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1421  Economy / Economics / Re: Will chatgpt really destroy the job market? on: May 29, 2023, 09:06:38 PM
I do not think ChatGPT will increase unemployment. The bot is used to get job more easier and faster. It is just like the Google assistant, Siri, Bixby or Alexa which are also AI, although ChatGPT is more. I do not see a way it can lead to unemployment than to lead to more employment becusee this AI companies too are employing workers.

Are you people for real? If it makes a job easier and increases productivity, then obviously fewer people are needed to produce the same output - meaning they could be made redundant.
On top of that, if AI is sufficiently good at something, then no humans could actually be needed at all. i.e. if I can use AI to produce the exact graphic or content that I need, with just few prompts, I will no longer be using any graphic designers or copywriters. Even if they were to reduce their payment expectations massively, they'd still won' be able to compete as AI is essentially free and can produce much faster.

So the real question is, if a new type of jobs will emerge, that can be done by humans but not AI. That was historically true with any automation, but I think most experts agree that it's just a matter of time before most of human work will become obsolete. That's pretty obvious to understand if we look at people as biological robots, that are not optimised for any kind of work, i.e. we use much more energy that is needed for the tasks that we're doing.

And it's funny (and a bit disturbing) that AI seems to be replacing "creative" jobs, so jobs that some believed will be automated as last, or that will never be automated at all.
1422  Economy / Service Discussion / What's the best and trusted exchange for UK? on: May 29, 2023, 08:39:05 PM
The question is as in the topic.
After Binance stopped their partnership with Skrill and suspended GBP deposits via Bank Transfer (Faster Payments) and card as well as spot trading - what's the best alternative for the UK customers?

I mean an established, legit exchange with a good track record and no excessive fees. Any recommendations are welcome.
1423  Local / Polski / Re: Pospekulujmy o aktualnej i przyszłej cenie BTC. on: May 29, 2023, 08:22:32 PM
No i moje pytanie do Was, do góry czy na dół?

A czemu nie w bok? Równie prawdopodobna opcja co pozostałe dwie.
Historycznie czerwiec był raczej spadkowy, ale to raczej mało istotne. Wolumen trochę się podniósł w przeciągu ostatnich dni, ale to dalej nie to co kiedyś. Obstawiam kolejne tygodnie "krabowania" i nie spodziewan sie wielkich ruchów w którąkolwiek stronę. Oczywiście zakładając brak jakichś rewolucyjnych doniesień itp.


zapraszam do głosowania



Głosowanie nie działa. Da się odblokować/edytować?
1424  Economy / Gambling / Re: Using ToS against users normal? on: May 26, 2023, 09:31:47 PM
Changing of terms and conditions without notifying the users or gamblers is normal with online gambling websites? Then when you did something wrong or about to withdraw your money they will tell you that you don't read their terms and conditions, and you start arguing with them until you decide to read the ToS again and you find out that it's different.

Some gambling websites consist of wicked owners that willingly plan to defraud their users using the ToS against them, or is this normal? Have such happened to anyone on this forum before?

Terms of Service do not supersede the law. Most civilised countries would require any operators to inform their users of any changes to the terms of service. If they fail to do that. any dispute resulting from such changes would be ruled in favour of the customer.
The problem is, many gambling websites operate illegally or half-legally, i.e. being registered in some exotic jurisdictions and not adhering to regulations of the countries in which they provide their services. In such cases, there's not much you can do, other than maybe contacting your bank and trying to reverse any fiat deposit you've made.
1425  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: [RAFFLE] Utopia - P2P Ecosystem | Free Bitcoin Raffle Weekly 💎 Round 13 on: May 26, 2023, 08:58:47 PM
Bitcointalk Username: pawel7777
Utopia Public Key: 7949B3BCB5687CA4E8861C193409B9109C24F422517B5980D5C9270F96ED301A
BTC Address: bc1q79vqvnghljgu926g7gtuhnncq560kc24cur43t
Message Deep Link (Chat link): https://utopia.im/d53b4431fd604e2f0261792444797aa4?tid=4042906785625214491
Slot No: 00
1426  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do we know about lazlo's other contributions on bitcoinnet besides buying pizza? on: May 26, 2023, 08:25:32 PM
No need to feel bad for him and forget about being regretful of these what ifs about him holding those bitcoins by now, his contributions will be forever engraved on Bitcoin's history and if it's not because of him who else is going to make that historical purchase when Bitcoin was worthless more than a decade ago and was just a project that's no one has an idea where it's going.

Exactly. And to add, if not for people like him, who actually tried to put Bitcoin into real-life use, who knows if we would ever get to where we are now.
If everyone just held from the start, Bitcoin would probably never took off the ground and the project could end up as a bunch of guys stashing millions of worthless coins that nobody has even heard about.
1427  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2023-05-25] Forbes: Elon Musk Issued A Stark Crypto Warning After $2 Trillion.. on: May 26, 2023, 08:05:53 PM
...
He is saying all these while he plans to add BTC and Eth wallets on twitter so this is like the classic observe what they do and not what they are saying thing.

Are the BTC/ETH wallets on twitter confirmed info or just a rumour? I haven't heard about it before, but then again, I'm a bit out of the loop in recent news.


Anyhow, as I mentioned in the first post, I don't think that what Musk said was even worth writing an article. I take it as just him saying "don't invest more than you can afford to lose" in an awkward way.
1428  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do we know about lazlo's other contributions on bitcoinnet besides buying pizza? on: May 25, 2023, 06:26:07 PM
It is interesting that he shared his family and himself publicly while every one of us around bitcoin community love to hide under our fake identity.

It was not unusual for people to post under their real identities back then, when Bitcoin was essentially worthless. Bitcoin was a rather niche project and no one could predict it'll grow that big. There are many developers or prominent figures not hiding their identities, but I guess it make sense to keep a low profile when you hold a significant amounts of bitcoins.
"Luckily" for Laszlo, he spent almost all of his holdings on those pizzas, or maybe that's just a story that he made public not to drive attention of any bad guys who could pose a threat to himself and his family.
1429  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I won £50 - should I use it to buy Bitcoin? on: May 25, 2023, 06:16:38 PM
I don't buy the median theory, but then I'm not a statistician, your theory sounds a bit like government speak. Smiley 

I think it's the opposite, since the premium bonds are government-run, they probably want you to believe your expected return is higher than it actually is  Smiley
But I guess it's still better than buying lotto tickets.


Anyway, I bought another Volvo a short while ago, and this one is in potential concours condition. I paid £850 fior it, and it is probably worth £4,000-£5,000. These classic cars seem to be appreciating as people turn away from electric cars. I think many are becoming aware of the environmental damage resulting from buying new cars, and the savings you make from driving reliable classics.

If it has original parts and fairly low mileage, it could be worth even more than £5k actually. But I don't think anyone would buy a car priced as a classic for everyday driving and to save money. They'd go for a cheap car that is not yet considered a classic.
1430  Economy / Economics / Re: Success in finance and investment is a journey of finding your true self on: May 25, 2023, 06:01:16 PM
Not entirely correct, there are some people who don't care about finance and investment because they think money isn't the top reason to achieve in this life, they're consider religion or family is more important than money. It's true everything needs money, but it doesn't mean they will not work to feed himself and his family, their' aim are only to earn enough money, not become successful in financial.

Well said. I can understand and relate to people who are temporarily money-focussed as they're aiming to achieve financial independence and be able to retire early, so they have time to focus on more meaningful things, but dedicating your life to earn money just for the sake of it is just silly. It's a cliché but the best things in life cannot be bought. i.e. if you neglect your children because you were focused on a career, you will never develop a proper bond, and no money in the world could buy back the wasted time.
1431  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Your Life After 10 years in Bitcoin... on: May 25, 2023, 05:40:48 PM
I suppose hodling is the best option if you have BTC. About 6 years ago I withdrew some money, I consider it as a mistake, since later it rose significantly. And now there is one more reason to hodl: the chance to save money in case of dollar (or other fiat) inflation. I don't know if BTC is going to be stable during inflation, but there is such possibility.

Hodling to what end though? You need to figure out what actually are your long term aims and what are you trying to achieve from investing in crypto. Without setting clear goals, you're more likely to make rushed, emotional decisions. For some the goal could be a new car, for others - buying a house for cash, and others will aim into retiring early or just passing their stash to their children. The more realistic the goal is, the more likely it is to be achieved, but holding without any purpose bears the risk of either dying before seeing any benefits or panic-selling when things temporarily go bad.

You cashed in some BTC and now consider that a mistake only because now you know that the price went up. But you didn't know it then, so if selling BTC helped you achieve some life goal, there's nothing to regret.
1432  Bitcoin / Press / [2023-05-25] Forbes: Elon Musk Issued A Stark Crypto Warning After $2 Trillion.. on: May 25, 2023, 05:25:22 PM
Not much of a news, but still a press hit from the main stream - Elon Musk says that perhaps buying crypto would be unwise.

Elon Musk Issued A Stark Crypto Warning After $2 Trillion Bitcoin, Ethereum And Crypto Price Crash

https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2023/05/25/elon-musk-issued-a-stark-crypto-warning-after-2-trillion-bitcoin-ethereum-and-crypto-price-crash/

Quote
Bitcoin, ethereum and the wider crypto market have suffered an almighty crash since peaking at a combined value of around $3 trillion in late 2021, wiping away $2 trillion of value (even as bitcoin braces for a 3 billion user shock).

Subscribe now to Forbes' CryptoAsset & Blockchain Advisor and successfully navigate the bitcoin and crypto market rollercoaster

The bitcoin price, which crashed to around $16,000 per bitcoin in the aftermath of the FTX crypto exchange meltdown last year, has rebounded this year, sparking a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions.

Now, Elon Musk, who helped fan the flames of the huge 2021 bitcoin and crypto bull run, has said he wouldn't advise "anyone to buy crypto"—despite Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs and Microsoft backing a new blockchain.
1433  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2022-10-24] Six armed men tried to steal Bitcoin inside Blocknance Bitcoin ATM on: May 24, 2023, 10:09:38 PM
That's pretty hilarious. But are we sure it wasn't the kind of atm that accepts cash, and it wasn't the cash that they were really after?
1434  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do we know about lazlo's other contributions on bitcoinnet besides buying pizza? on: May 24, 2023, 09:54:44 PM
I read an article and the writer stated that the Bitcoin community has been unfair to Laszlo Hanyecz because he is recognized only as the Bitcoin pizza man. He argues that he made a more significant contribution to bitcoin than just being the first spender.

Writing a code for GPU mining (now obsolete anyway) is simply not as good of a story and doesn't capture the imagination as spending 10k BTC on pizza.
And considering that the average bitcoiner (who is no longer just a nerdy, tech-savvy guy) probably cannot name more than 2-3 developers, being recognisable within such large community is nothing to be sad about. Literally no one gets famous for writing code, other than Satoshi.
1435  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I won £50 - should I use it to buy Bitcoin? on: May 24, 2023, 09:44:16 PM
I dont know of the bond you mentioned and this is the first time I'm hearing of it but I think it also sound great but what are the criteria for drawing the raffle and picking the winner and if its truly fair,

I think premium bonds are specific to the UK. It's an interesting concept, instead of earning a fixed interest as with the regular bonds, premium bonds do not earn interest but they enter a lottery instead. So the average expected winnings stand at a bit above 3% p.a. (not quite true for smaller investors as I posted above) but you also have a chance of winning big, with the top prize being £1 million.

Great alternative for playing Lotto, as you don't spend money on the tickets, but not so great as an investment,
1436  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I won £50 - should I use it to buy Bitcoin? on: May 24, 2023, 08:41:04 PM
Surely the odds are the same for a £25 investment as for a £25,000 one.
You would think so but not quite. this is nicely explained in this Martn Lewis's article:
https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/savings/premium-bonds/

Quote
To show you why using the 'mean' average isn't a good description of what most people will win, let me use an extreme example…

Imagine I sold a million people a £1 lottery ticket, and then paid just one winner a million pounds.

I could argue, mathematically, that the average (mean) payout was £1, so on average everyone got their money back. This, of course, is bonkers.

Almost everyone wins nothing – which is the median average – as if you lined them all up and asked, the midway person would've won nowt.

So to really see average luck, you need to focus on this 'median' average returns figure. And for the rest of this guide, whenever I refer to average luck, that's what I mean.


Don't forget the 3.3% is tax free as well.
So are ISAs.


But I wouldn't have had the fun of checking every month to make sure that I haven't won £1,000,000.

Makes sense, but consider if the difference between a higher rate account and premium bonds is worth paying for the tiny chance of wining £1 mil.
1437  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I won £50 - should I use it to buy Bitcoin? on: May 23, 2023, 11:02:33 PM
I wanted to say that I'm pushing my luck, and I bought another £500 worth of bonds. Unfortunately, they won't go into the draw until July, the they won't be eligible on my birthday ( June 20th ).

Why even bother? Premium bonds yield 3.3% p.a. and there were some calculations that you'd need at least ~£10k to get that, otherwise the yield is even lower.
So, unless you're into gambling, you can get better return on fixed-term saving accounts.
Or, considering RPI is something around 13%, you can ironically just spend it on a long-lasting goods (clothes, canned foods etc) before their prices go further up. Probably still a better move than 3.3% bonds.
1438  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool issue and suggestion: Better if Mempool was planned differently on: May 23, 2023, 10:29:58 PM
...Do not use a wallet that do not support RBF.

Take it past there to do not use a wallet that does not support RBF *by default* IMO that check box should be checked by default.
And give a warning if it's not.
Not the other way around.

I screwed up the other day, and did not notice that for whatever reason RBF was not checked and set a lower fee non RBF transaction. Not a big deal since I just did a CPFP with the change. But, I tend to make BTC transactions a few times a week and would like to think that I know what I am doing.

If I can screw that up, then anyone can.

-Dave

I wasn't that lucky, I made a low fee transaction from Mycelium wallet which does not support RBF, and since I spent entire available balance, I can't use CPFP bump.
So now I had to wait for it to either be forgotten by the network or for the fees to come down. But as anyone can potentially rebroadcast any transaction and there's no guarantee the fees will come down any time soon - it could be stuck for a very long time.
1439  Bitcoin / Mycelium / Re: [Mycelium Android] Transaction stuck for ~2 weeks, can't bump the fee on: May 23, 2023, 09:52:43 PM
What I have noticed is that all wallets that I know that do not support RBF only broadcast non-RBF transactions. The reason we should avoid them. But you can read about full RBF too which can make that possible in the future if most node runners and wallets support it.

Looks like you're right. I imported the wallet to Electrum but can't use the RBF feature, as it wasn't supported by Mycelium where the tx was created:



So I guess waiting for it to be dropped from the mempool is now my only option.

But if you dont want to wait CPFP is your last hope to speed up this transaction ask the receiver to do this if he is using Electrum.
It's not possible to do CPFP.
According to transaction history of the receiving address, it probably belongs to a custodial service like an exchange.

Correct. I was sending to exchange and I can't use the CPFP on Mycelium (as mentioned in the first post) as I'm getting this error:
"Transaction has no utxo to form a child transaction or utxo has already been spent".


1440  Bitcoin / Mycelium / Re: [Mycelium Android] Transaction stuck for ~2 weeks, can't bump the fee on: May 22, 2023, 10:57:33 PM
Thanks both, really appreciate your help.

So if I want to switch to Electrum to use the RBF feature, I do not have to wait until it gets dropped from the mempool, right? Will I be able to see the unconfirmed transaction made in Myclium and bump it via Electrum?
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