19 - NeuroticFish

Thank you!

Well, congrats! Is this payment for the side job or for the main job?
I'm asking because for the side job it's just the perfect way to do it (imho), but for the main job, getting the full pay in bitcoin is a bit risky unless you can live from other funds and keep the bitcoins untouched for a couple of years.
However, interesting move!

10 - NeuroticFish
36 - NeuroticFish

Thank you, Betnomi!

Far too early to say anything meaningful on that matter. It's clearly bleeding, but it's far from bleeding to death.
The problem is that Elon was probably expecting the opposite: a tremendous growth from second one under his lead; and the current state (people publicly moving to another platform and calling the others join in there) is a bit bad for the business...

Is it only me who finds these polls made by Elon just desperate attempts for advertising his new toy (yes, Twitter) and keep some action going on there?
I find a bit unlikely Elon will step down this quick - he might find some trick to get out of this dilemma he created for himself - and I also find it highly unlikely to make Twitter CEO people like Snowden or Snoop Dogg or others who would propose themselves as CEO.

He desperately needs a solution, especially after he "restored the freedom" and then started disallowing this and that (including the most visible thing: the links to competition), and a new CEO could be the salvation he needs. But, again, I have some doubts he will do it.

The only correct/hones thing in this shitshow is Elon's answer there:

OMG, LOL!
Well, anything else is better than Martingale
In this case, slowing down was already a huge step forward.

This is not a bad idea. It's an improvement/extrapolation of the bonus/malus system on the state level.
Of course, if one is caught some years later he didn't pay taxes or did murder somebody, then the wrongly received bonus needs to be taken back too.
And it makes overall sense because the good citizen give less work/headaches to "the state" than the others, hence they do save some money; it's fine that some returns to them.

Thanks for bringing back that post into attention, I could have been missing it. And it's ... a good/viable one.

There are campaign managers who may start ignoring your posts if it's almost only you discussing in a topic.
And yes, there are the many who just post something and move on.
These are both problems of the signature campaigns.

And I don't even talk about the "past page 5" area which in many cases becomes a meaningless mess.

But in a discussion it's good to wait for a third person's answer too sometimes, in order to prove your or thee other guy's point.
Or sometimes you or somebody else give the right answer and one simply doesn't have anything to add there.
And then instead of a not-really-valuable "You're right", people just move on, leaving topics look unfinished (although sometimes the merits on a posts tell the story).

So there are various cases and you seem to not care much into differentiating them in order to find some good directions (or even answers).
I tend to believe that Poker Player is right on this, especially as it's not the only topic you've made under this same format lately (I'd be happy to be wrong though).

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If you write into an old topic, you'll get a red "Warning: this topic has not been posted in for at least 120 days." message on top of the edit box.


Indeed, there are some debate there now and then, or people can easier correct one another. Good point.

Actually you were overly lucky imho.
When I lose over a certain amount, I simply stop. And I play as usual some other time, maybe I recover some of the loses, maybe I don't.
However if you are focusing too much on recovering the loses, even if you "go slow" you have a very good chance to go deeper down.
Juist don't gamble more than you afford to lose and you'll be fine.

It's simple: if you don't own the private key, most probably the wallet is not yours, meaning it's not a wallet, it's an account and whatever happens in the underlying wallet is not important for you, as long as the account remains correctly funded.
And yes, in such cases, the address they give you it's not your address, it's a deposit address for your account.

You confuse cold storage with a wallet. Cold storage is pretty much a specific way to use a wallet.
Yes, Electrum is nice and easy to be used also as cold storage (meaning always offline, no matter what!), but... I am not sure you know or meant this, hence I recommend you read (much) more about cold storage.

This is widely incorrect. In some countries the 3 areas/powers - executive, legislative, and judicial - are correctly separated giving less chance to "the government" do anything he wants in the way he wants (of course, there are exceptions too sometimes, unfortunately).


If they would just do anything they want the supreme court would kick their asses pretty bad. So no.
If they have their backs insured properly, then yes, they can do certain things. Still, there are much worse cases around the world; and there the government really does whatever it wants. Do you need examples?


Some store information and tell you, some store information and lie to you and very few don't store information. Of course, governments don't like the 3rd category. Still, this doesn't make them the same.

This is free money. First case is a free insurance, second is... some sort of stimulus for learning.
For the first case, I've seen in my country giving free money to those hit by flash floods; I've never find it fair, they've pretty much bought some votes with tax payers' money, instead of fixing the problem (deforestation). I don't really agree with your ideas either and I don't think they'll be implemented easy or at all:
* CBDCs are money and in the global acceptation money usually is something one gets as payment for something, no matter it's another good or some service/work done for the payer
* there are few countries wealthy enough to just give money to its citizen, that's an exception; in all the rest of the cases somebody (the taxpayer) has worked for that money
* so free insurance is an unfair equalitarian thing, for which probably some tax payers will pay more and some less, and still receiving the same "service"
* education... when I'll see politicians indeed and for real support education, then this may worth a second thought...  

Now, "no premine" would somehow mean wealth created out of thin air and then distributed, and we both know that if everybody receive gold for free, gold will no longer stay valuable.
So, since it's a central bank coin, i.e. a digital representation of same ol' fiat, there will be the same type of "premine" all fiat has (just this time it will be a replacement of a few tons of printed paper) and the fair mechanism would remain the salaries.

Sorry that I didn't really follow a very clear line of thought, but I hope you've got my points. Bitcoin has this success because it's a representation of hard work (of the ASICs), free airdrops cannot compete with that.

He's... deliberately wrong. It's a declaration that can make some people keep their funds in (his) centralized exchange. Many of his followers trust him ... well, too much.


Cold wallets are wallets set up to never go online. Never.
If set up correctly, if used correctly, if the backups are stored safely and correctly, then they are the safest.
Since most people are not knowledgeable enough to handle this, the next safe option is hardware wallets, which are also much more convenient.
CZ makes declarations that suit him best. He is sometimes correct and sometimes not. Don't just believe all he says.

Well, I would not know if the problem is on my side or on the forum's.
And maybe excepting a switch between clear net and Tor, I don't have external services where I could login and check. And I expect most of the users are in a worse situation.

...Or is there another way to find out and I've missed that?


At least this is something I do agree with. And it stands for all social media platforms.

One of the few uses of the Bitcointalk Twitter account is to notify whether the forum is down.
Of course, this didn't really happen lately, but I'm sure that theymos knows this and almost sure that he will act.
...After all, even Hal's wife has made a post in order to keep Hal's account alive. I think that it's even less a hassle for theymos do the same for Bitcointalk.

War is indeed a good trigger for technological advancement, but that usually stands for the technology to be used in the war.
Even more, a war tends to be a black hole for resources/money, leaving insufficient funding for overly expensive projects like the nuclear fusion is.
So overall there are mixed feelings on this: on one hand this war is also a global energy war hence the advancements in producing energy are important, on the other hand the standard war (with bullets) dries up the funds. I fear that overall we'll have a setback/slow down in this development on short term, until after the war.

I'll try to be the devil's advocate here: is it a chance that you've shown us this prediction now because you may be afraid the price could go significantly higher (or lower?) until EOY and make your prediction become inaccurate/bad? 


Imho, according to the 4-years cycle the trend should have been reversed already and we should be in a recovery mode (slow, but still upwards).
But small variations are to be expected after all...

That's true/correct.
I've read already about manufacturers getting silent and having the coins redeeming logic based on their (now offline) website.
I think that I've read about the possibility holograms could be taken down and put back again (in some cases).
Clearly, addresses created with the same firstbits in order to mislead users is not a possibility to dismiss.

Imho collectibles are very nice even if not funded (I tend to like more the DYI ones). Funded collectibles, especially with higher amounts, tend to pose unnecessary risks.
So, again, I agree, you're fully right.


However, the topic has started with a question, not a debate on how (un)safe holograms and fistbits are. If one indeed has such a collectible, he will still want a tool to see his funds without taking down the hologram. Yes, it may not be accurate, in some cases the wrong address may be returned/checked, but I don't know of better tools.

Actually bech32 addresses start with bc1 and the next character comes from the witness version.
More of your questions may also get answered after you read this: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/BIP_0173