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761  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: OFAC-Sanctioned Transactions Being Censored on: November 30, 2023, 03:50:11 AM
I'm sorry, but you're the one who has garbage counterarguments here. You insult my intelligence when you insinuate that people will be happy to accept CBDC (along with its consequences).

The bonobo intelligence you have, welcome to my ignore list you retard.

IMO people aren't the sheep some posters here think they are. Yes, they chose credit cards over cash, but that's because most of them were certain that the money on their card is real cash converted to ones and zeros. The risk of using a card over cash wasn't really that big for your average joe, but the convenience was greatly increased.

Another one who doesn't get something basic. The money shown as balance on the (debit) cards is not real money, they are accounting entries based on a ponzi scheme, and in the case of credit cards it is even worse, because they are accounting entries passed on as money that are created as debt with every payment you make. But if you don't understand this very basic thing don't expect me to waste much time arguing with you, eh?

 
762  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Christine Lagarde's son lost money on the cryptocurrency market on: November 30, 2023, 03:40:39 AM
Well, for starters, it appears from the news that the son allegedly invested in "crypto", which most likely means he engaged in pump and dump shitcoins, which is not unlike going and gambling your money at the casino.

People can make up such stories to discourage other people from investing into certain as it classes.

Without knowing for sure if the story is made up, I don't have to believe it's false either, and it's quite plausible because many young people buy shitcoins from their mobile in the same way they place bets on sports or on casinos.

I couldn't care less about her son losing his money, although this will serve Lagarde to emphasize her personal crusade against cryptocurrencies, among which she counts Bitcoin as just another one (and not something essentially different), and it will also serve to promote the goodness and security of CBDCs.
763  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Here we go again! ANTPOOL mined empy block on: November 30, 2023, 03:31:43 AM
Being that mining empty blocks is a normal thing, and that although there is a decreasing trend we can still expect a few more until the end of the year and about 100 or more next year, I hope that every time an empty block is mined the OP will not reopen a thread titled: "Here we go again...". For the mining of empty blocks, while it may seem surprising to someone who doesn't know much about the subject, it shouldn't be surprising to someone who registered on the forum in 2013.
764  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Request to learn gambling on: November 29, 2023, 03:45:40 AM
suggest learning to play poker, baccarat, blackjack or other types of games that are skill based not luck or algorithm based as @Westinhome said
but I am more interested in playing poker which is easy to play when fighting fellow gamblers at the casino table, just set strategy or tactic to be able to win with just one pair.
but you also have to be patient and explain in detail about the game so that your friends understand better how the poker game works.

I agree but I wouldn't waste a lot of time teaching her. Nowadays there is a lot of free information on the internet. In my case if a friend asked me, I would explain the basics of poker and guide her on self learning resources. From there on it should be up to the person with their interest, perseverance and effort to learn by themselves.
765  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Not this guy on: November 29, 2023, 03:31:14 AM
This guy is giving me a weird vibe, like a different gambling breed, he knows he have the gambling addiction problem but he just doesn't care, like for real, he doesn't care, the amount he has lost is in six figures but very weird how he is able to handle it.

Some gamblers are different breed to be honest, they don't care about what their present situation is, if they are breathing they are good, anyone know crazy gambler who don't care if they lose big amount of money and they still gamble?

These gamblers can continue to gamble as if nothing matters to them until they run out of money, and in most cases debt capacity. When they have nothing left and only a pile of debts to pay, or even have their house repossessed, we'll see if they care or not. Unfortunately the extreme cases of problem gamblers, the degenerate gamblers, end up like this.
766  Economy / Economics / Re: Central banks getting ready for cbdc-s USA is good for freedom on: November 29, 2023, 03:22:35 AM
CBDCs to me are unstoppable. They're a matter of when and not if. Paper bills and coins will be gone. That's the call of the times. The fast development in technology means cold cash is becoming obsolete. The financial world is turning digital. Although developing countries like mine will take a much longer time to adopt, it will eventually happen.

As a result, Bitcoin becomes more and more relevant. CBDCs mean death of privacy. CBDCs mean death of ownership. CBDCs mean death of freedom of money. Bitcoin is our refuge.

It is an optimistic vision of the topic that not many of us share in the forum. Go through other threads and you will see. CBDCs indeed spell the death of privacy but Bitcoin is in more danger than ever of censorship. If you add to that the fact that most people who buy Bitcoin are only thinking about profit and don't care about privacy, using CEX and/or custodial wallets, I'm not that optimistic.
767  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: JJG's Bitcoin Investment Ideas (Sustainable Withdrawal / Portfolio Maintenance) on: November 29, 2023, 03:10:32 AM
I understand that there is quite a bit of data in the charts and some of the ideas regarding the monthly spending limitations of the accounts are somewhat discretionary, but starting out by sticking with standard 4% per year withdrawal rates and even presume a kind of perpetual ability to withdraw BTC under this kind of system with a kind of underlying assumption that BTC prices (especially the 200-week moving average) will continue to go up at least 4% per year on average, so even if there are some down, years the account is not materially getting depleted in terms of its dollar values (or whatever other utility we might be measuring our cost of living).  

It seems like a safe assumption at 4%, which would be the classic rule because at least in the next few cycles it is normal for Bitcoin to continue to give a much higher return than that, although I for one would expect the returns in percentage terms to gradually decrease as the cycles progress.

I am focused on BTC in this example, but of course, there could be various other assets that comprise someone's investment portfolio and maybe even cashflow, so surely I am not against any kinds of Gresham Law types of considerations in which there would likely be spending from other assets prior to spending from BTC, so if the accounts are not spent to the max of their limits, then whatever BTC remains would just continue to sit in the accounts with probably a need to consider whether to maximize withdrawal or to sometimes even hold back on withdrawal or to maximize withdrawal which is also partially already guided by the parameters and assumptions contained in the chart/table.

Well, in my case, and I think I am by far not the only one, Bitcoin is part of my wealth building plan which also has other assets, but I think it is better to focus here on sustainable ways of withdrawing Bitcoin as I am sure that in the forum there is too much heterogeneity in terms of wealth building and having this plan one can get an idea and adapt it to his personal situation.

For example, let's suppose that in a market downturn, apart from Bitcoin we also have money in an S&P 500 index fund or pension plan that we can withdraw. Surely we will be more interested in withdrawing from the S&P 500 because it is normal that when the market rises again the Bitcoin will give us more returns than the S&P. Then in a bullish market we may be more interested in withdrawing from the Bitcoin portfolio to diversify the risk and not have too high a percentage of our net worth concentrated in Bitcoin. I know that there are people in the forum who have 100% in Bitcoin or a very important part of their net worth but in my case I prefer to play safer even at the cost of sacrificing a little profitability.

Here I am only considering the case in which both Bitcoin and the S&P rise and fall in unison, but if this does not happen, and we have a fall in the S&P and the portfolio in Bitcoin rises in price, or conversely, the decision of where to withdraw it's clear.

I too, like Fillippone, am more focused on increasing my stash, or rather my global wealth, but I am interested in the topic as information for the future and because I am interested in financial strategies in general
768  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: OFAC-Sanctioned Transactions Being Censored on: November 29, 2023, 02:47:16 AM
You really think people will be so enthusiastic to abandon cash in favor of CBDC, social credit score, carbon credits, 15-min cities? Roll Eyes

Only a gullible person would believe that... I think Bitcoiners can do better than that. Cool

So I have dismantled the garbage argument that was a pure conspiracy and you come back to me with the adjective "gullible". Read again and see to whom you have to apply the adjective.

I doubt anyone here is entertaining that notion, but it's the kind of thing the bureaucrats obsess over.  

Yes, well, the concern for privacy that I see on the forum I don't see on the street in my day to day life where almost nobody pays with cash anymore. From there to enthusiastically using CBDCs is a step.

Another curious thing is that CBDCs indeed eliminate the need for conventional banks in the same way that a combine harvester eliminates the need for human hand harvesters. But it seems the bureaucrats don't want that part of progress, or at least they don't want it to happen too fast.

The masses have a distinct knack for acting against their own self-interests when given the opportunity, so it won't be as easy as it might sound to convince them that CBDCs are very bad for them.  You'd be surprised at how quickly some might embrace this mass-surveillance foolishness.

I am starting to see some resistance to CBDCs from non-Bitcoin environments, but minimal. I'm pessimistic on the subject. There have been countries like Venezuela and Nigeria where the launch of CBDCs has been a failure but I think in other parts of the world is going to be different.
769  Economy / Speculation / Re: What did you think will happen to Bitcoin before January? on: November 28, 2023, 04:19:24 AM
Well, with only a month left I'm inclined to think it will stay more or less where it is or undertake a slight rise above $40K. I do not expect big movements towards the end of the year unless we have news about some ETF spot, so it is normal that the price at the beginning of January will not be very different from now.
770  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why the rich win gambling more than the poor. on: November 28, 2023, 04:02:39 AM
Yeah, at the end of the day rich and poor both lose at gambling.

And I would argue that rich people usually won't gamble. Because the whole point of gambling is to buy the hope of becoming rich.

If you are rich already, then gambling would be a waste of your valuable time.

It is a fact that in wealthier districts there are fewer bookmakers and lottery sales. In other words, the rich gamble less. That's partly because of what you say about them already being rich but also precisely because they are rich they know that gambling is not a good way to make money. That's why the OP's statements are not accurate, although he is somewhat right that the rich when they win they get more money than a poor person, obviously because they bet larger amounts, but the frequency of winning in EV-games is the same for rich and poor.
771  Economy / Economics / Re: My economic plan over the decades and our future on: November 28, 2023, 03:49:58 AM
This is not a plan, because a plan does not consist only of a single action planned for the future, but a set of actions. I even doubt, with my usual skepticism, that the thread is a sincere thread and not a blatant and crude attempt to earn merit. I also plan to sell when the price is high, but that is only a small part of my plan.
772  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: OFAC-Sanctioned Transactions Being Censored on: November 28, 2023, 03:41:05 AM
I know this sounds like a crazy tinfoil hat conspiracy theory to some people around here, but what would you do if you were Bill Gates?

Would you trust CBDC? Especially considering the fact it will have a limit of €2000-3000 (as ECB officials have said)?

Do you wanna own nothing and be happy? Because with only 2-3k dollars/euros you will be forced to rent everything (your house, your car etc.)

It sounds like a conspiracy theory because it is, like that thing that looks like a duck and turns out to be a duck. The €3,000 limit has been planned to protect banks. You can see it in the following document: Know your (holding) limits: CBDC, financial stability and central bank reliance. But if you find it too complicated, it is summarized in a newspaper article:

Quote
The European Central bank is toying with the idea of imposing a €3000 limit on consumer CBDC accounts to discourage users from transferring all their cash from commercial banks to the central bank.

So what the ECB is worried about is that citizens will embrace the Euro CBDC so enthusiastically that they will all want to switch to it, eliminating the need for commercial banks and suddenly all those banks will fail. That is why it is considering imposing an initial limit of €3,000, which will coexist with the existing cash and electronic payments (transfers, card payments, etc.).
773  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How can about this forum??? on: November 28, 2023, 03:29:45 AM
Seems like you’ve finally figured out that you’ve been wasting your time in the bounty section and that they are lots of information you’re missing out on… but now that you’ve asked let’s start from the basics.

Herein lies the question. The user is not so new, although he is still a newbie and has spent a month since he registered applying in the bounties section, probably without success and now he is looking for opportunities in the best section of the forum. It is almost better for him that he has not been caught in any bounty, because in many of them he would have worked for almost nothing. In this section he could do better but if he is patient.
774  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: The vastness of this forum (Bitcointalk) is quite Amazing . on: November 27, 2023, 06:06:07 AM
I don't want to take away your illusion but underneath the surface there is a lot of garbage. Apart from the technical sections and some others, there is a lot of writing without thinking too much because you are paid to do it. If you want to learn in the forum you have many useful threads but you have to select among all the garbage.
775  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: OFAC-Sanctioned Transactions Being Censored on: November 27, 2023, 05:59:58 AM
So, are we now agreeing that bitcoin is in fact not censorship resistant at all, and depends on trusted third parties (mining pools) in order for anyone to use it?

As it turns out, bitcoin is not censorship resistant. It simply isn't being censored right now.

And in such a scenario, the pro-censorship majority can simply ignore any blocks which include transactions they dislike. Any blocks mined by the non-censoring pools can just be re-orged out of the chain at will.
That'd be the time to abandon Bitcoin for good. The day mining pools reorg the chain is the day there is nothing valuable to secure. It'd be suicidal.

What a bummer, I'm not optimistic about it, but seeing you say that, along with the stompix popcorn, makes me even more pessimistic.

If Bitcoin in fact does become censored then is it possible for us to return to CPU Mining?  Back when Bitcoin was created this was the norm.  Right?  1 CPU equals 1 vote.  It was supposed to be like this so every body has a right to vote.  Now we get warehouses of GPUs used for Mining.  There is no more such thing as 'every body gets a right to vote' because others have way too many votes.

If these warehouses start censoring.  How about we just go back to what Bitcoin was and return to CPU mining?  This renders ALL censoring warehouses useless for Bitcoin Mining and gives us all back the power.

Is there any danger I do not see?

With the current hashrate you can not, I think that could only be possible in the hypothetical scenario they are painting in which a majority of miners begin to censor transactions and a few others do not, so there would be a fork that would have much less hashrate and then maybe the scenario you speak about would happen but it does not seem a very rosy future, and I do not have much technical knowledge, someone correct me or clarify if it is not entirely correct what I say.

776  Economy / Speculation / Re: Should I still hold the investment or sell it? on: November 27, 2023, 05:46:09 AM
His hand are soft not Diamond. He needs to sell it and ask for advice.

100 into 150 is nothing

and having to ask about it is the issue.

No understanding of hodl not ready to hodl.

Yes, and I can understand if it is someone young with little money or living in a developing country where that amount is more important than for us, but the fact that 20 days ago he was saying he was planning to hold for 5 years, plus adding to the investment, and now he is considering whether to sell makes me wonder if there isn't a bit of trolling going on here. In any case, I have it clear, at the moment we are in, facing a bull market and with that amount I would not sell, another thing is that he needs the money for something but then he should not have invested it in the first place.
777  Other / Meta / Re: DT1 and DT2 Explained - Gods of Bitcointalk on: November 27, 2023, 05:35:12 AM
This is the strangest explanation I hear today.

I agree. And not very true to reality, because it doesn't explain how some gods change from type 1 to type 2 every month, and that some type 2 gods are not type 1 because they have expressly refused to be type 1. Another thing apart is to see how many type 2 gods have more gp according to the OP's terminology than type 1 in the list, and it has to do with the DT lottery and not with any mystical explanation like the OP's, which despite funny is not very accurate.
778  Other / Meta / Re: Bitcointalk news ( more like drama/gossip thread) where to start it? on: November 27, 2023, 05:29:51 AM
meta is the gossip section

Please add the reputation board there's more drama and gossip here than meta,

It does not need to be added. The gossip section par excellence is Reputation, which far surpasses the gossip that can be found in Meta.

I really like to know what's going on here, but I don't have the time to go through 10 topics to find what I want to read.

...

Where shall this thread find its home?

If you don't have time to read, who is going to make the summary thread?
779  Economy / Economics / Re: "I saw my salary on a bottle of perfume today" on: November 26, 2023, 04:23:57 AM
What is financial freedom to you? Is it about having a certain amount of money that is required to have financial freedom or to have an amount of money which can potentially give you freedom in the future?

To me, I will choose the second one. If I am happy with what I have and I am certain that it will continue to help me in the future too, then I have successfully achieved financial freedom. But most people these days are caught up with the thought of using luxurious thing and being able to continuously use it is financial freedom to them.

Do you agree or disagree to this?

Financial freedom is usually understood as having achieved a wealth that allows you to live without working for the rest of your life. I care more about, and already enjoy, partial financial freedom, because years of saving and investing give me a freedom of choice that if I didn't have money I wouldn't have. Besides, since I like what I do when I work, I am not obsessed with retiring. I think that if I had enough money not to work for the rest of my life I would work, at least part-time, or otherwise, in projects that I create.
780  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin purchase using proceeds of a sold asset on: November 26, 2023, 04:15:37 AM
Oh look, one more thread that seeking a suggestion from the community toward investing in Bitcoin.

Your friend is right, he need to sell his house and use that money to invest in Bitcoin. My suggestion he need to take a loan as much as possible, don't worry about the interest because he can pay it after Bitcoin break new ATH. After all it's his money and if he's failed, it doesn't affect you, myself or anyone else.

Good irony, my friend. I'm going to say it without irony. Just because someone sells or mortgages their house to invest in Bitcoin or make any other investment has a high risk, and just because CZ did well doesn't mean by any stretch of the imagination that everyone else will do well. Even more so when I understand that, as happens to many people, they have all their net worth in their home, so if it goes wrong they are left with nothing.

I am in favor of a slow approach to enrichment following basic rules of personal finance, but there are always those who do these crazy things, and most of them go wrong.
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