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9141  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Is diversification really a good advice for Newbies? on: November 09, 2019, 05:28:02 AM
If you want to diversify, buy ETF, bonds, gold, silver...
Buy other cryptocurrencies is not a diversification


I wrote about it recently

It makes no sense to "diversify" in assets which are totally correlated. As mentioned above, you will only increase your risk and volatility.

Take a look at this graphic, from coinmarketcap, that I took from this website (https://smartereum.com/1887/ethereum-bitcoin-ripple-cardano-cryptocurrency-prices-going/)


If you look carefully, youi will see that the graphics are all the same, so it makes no sense to diversify here.
9142  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Non smartphone wallet on: November 08, 2019, 04:04:46 PM
Isn't this risky?

You would be using an unsupported operating system, and unsupported wallet software, in an old hardware which also has no more firm ware support

I understand you may want to use an old phone, but that may be risky for you. You may exposed to Old non bugs and exploits (already known to hackers)
9143  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Where and how to check a bitcoin address is used for scam purposes? on: November 08, 2019, 02:34:34 PM
This a good way to detect the most obvious scams.
However, and address may have used for scams before and that scam may not have been listed in that website database yet.
9144  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Why say "NO" to Web wallet on: November 08, 2019, 02:19:26 PM
Coinbase is not a wallet Little Mouse.
They are both, an exchange as well as a web wallet, at least they claim that.

It is a false claim, already discussed a lot here in this forum and iin the whole bitcoin community, especially after mt gox episode.

A wallet is a software or web interface which gives you your private keys. No private keys? Not your coins. Simple as that.

If coinbase ever shuts down, you lose your coins. If some government requires anything, they can freeze your account and so on.
Coinbase is a custodial service, or custodial wallet, whatever...

Blockchain.com is a web wallet.
You hold your privatekeys. The coins are yours. If you lose the keys, they cannot recover. They cannot check or authorize transactions, they can't do anything. They just generate keys and give them to you, and also provide an interface to spend and receive coins. A truly wallet. Forked coins are also yours. Coinbase doesn't have any of that.

9145  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Why say "NO" to Web wallet on: November 08, 2019, 10:19:50 AM
Coinbase is not a wallet Little Mouse.
They are an exchange, and they let you hold your funds in their wallet if you wish. It is a custodial service
There are some wallets like blockchain.com, myetherwallet, etc. They are not custodial and doesn't hold your privatekeys.

They are good for adoption and for newbies. They're easy to use. However, they are unsafe for big amounts.

Web walletsare nothing like banks. Coinbase is, because it is not a wallet, but an exchange
9146  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Bitmain Co-Founder Claims He Was Illegally Removed, Plans to Sue on: November 07, 2019, 11:28:19 PM
I think this is good for bitcoin.
The more bitman fights between themselves, less mining centralization. I hope this co founder makes another company
9147  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: Good ICO Review Sites on: November 07, 2019, 11:00:42 AM
There are many that were supposed to do that. Icostats, icodrops, etc... However, all of them receive money to give good reviews to shit projects.
And, even if they didn't charge at all, who are those idiots giving reviews? They are just random guys from the internet giving investment advice.

If you want an advice, I can give one for free. Do your own research.
I did mine. I know a good project to invest. Only one: Bitcoin.
9148  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: This Analysis Makes Bitcoin Easy on: November 07, 2019, 10:33:41 AM
Your analysis is based on creation cost, but creation cost does not affect supply, so it can't affect the price.

The production of bitcoins is predetermined by the protocol. It is not affected by the cost of creation. Since the production is predetermined, then the total supply is predetermined. Therefore, it follows that the creation cost does not affect the price.

This is misinformation. New btc, Bch, eth, ltc, and dash are made each day. Your argument is false.

You are thinking the wrong way.
Odolvlobo is saying that a predetermined number of bitcoins is going to be produced everyday, not matter the cost. This is a fact, you cannot disagree with it , you can only fail to understand.

However, I partially disagree with him that it doesn't affect the supply. It does, because a lot of bitcoins are mined everyday and they go straight to Exchanges to cover miner's costs. It does affect supply, not entirely, but it does

However the price of any asset is not only determined by it costs or any rational argument you can think about. The price of every asset, like gold, stocks, bitcoins, bonds, etc are determined by the market's sentiment about its future.
Every price of every asset is speculative. This is why you can see sp500 drop 5% in a day for example (because the sentiment about us future changed, not because companies are 5% worse).

The same with Bitcoin, obviously. If energy and hardware costs were the biggest factor to consider when thinking about the price, bitcoin volatility would be minimum


Edit: let me illustrate. Let's suppose there is a huge rumor about a terrorist attack in a hydro dam in China. This would affect all energy cost in China, a big mining farm. However, the energy price is still the same now.

This would certainly affect Bitcoin price. Miners would antecipate themselves and charge more on each Bitcoin mined.
However, China government was fast enough to prevent the attack. Energy cost never changed. Bitcoin price got back to normal, but only after or spiked (due to bad sentiment about the future, which was not confirmed and it came back to normal later. Energy cost never changed, but price did)
9149  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Scarcity is one of the leading factors of Bitcoins value on: November 07, 2019, 10:13:26 AM
21 million cap in my opinion is not about scarcity and price but instead it is more about having a clear maximum supply and a clear predefined plan for distribution of that supply.

Are you trying to say that 21 million bitcoins are a lot?

I disagree with that. There are today near 8 billion people in the world

So, if we make the math, there is 0.002625 Bitcoin for each living person.
However, world population keep growing at exponential rate. Soon it will be less than 0.002 for each

Look at this wikipedia image
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
9150  Bitcoin / Electrum / Re: My Electrum stopped working on Windows 10. Wallet is watch only. REWARD AVAIL! on: November 06, 2019, 11:34:21 PM
Firat of all, don't respond to any pm. All discussions should be public.

Second: be sure you are not using a fake Electrum. Uninstall yours and download it from electrum.org (the only website)

Insert your seeds and try again.
9151  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How to know when will a LN Channel expire? on: November 06, 2019, 11:09:53 PM

my previous advice to you was "don't try it yet", so I hope you're willing to accept that you are 100% responsible for everything that happens to your BTC. That said, Zap should be pretty straightforward, although I don't have any direct experience using it.

NONETHELESS
I strongly recommend you try out the TESTNET version first. Play around, alot, then do that some more.


I used Lightning network once on mainnet, with LoyceV, just for testing.

Based on my experience the main problem is related to poor fee customization and lack of control over the channel using Eclair wallet.
Eclair charged me a lot of fees to open/close the channel. It didn't say how much it was going to cost, it had just a "high" and "low" priority, or "consensual" or "unilateral" close, something like that. I choose the lower fee, and even so I paid a lot in fees (0.000448‬ in total)
 Once we have better wallet software, those are not going to be problems anymore.

Quote from: bitmover
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5149962.msg51641913#msg51641913
I have closed all channels (2, one created by and the other probably created by loycev).  I received a few Satoshis from those channels, but in the end this test was expensive. I don't know exactly why because the  fees aren't very transparent.

I send 0.0011 BTC to eclair, and my final balance now is 0.000652
Open and closing channels are transactions... I sent to eclair with 3 sat/byte and create a channel with 13 sat/byte. Even with those relatively low w fees , this was quite expensive.
9152  Other / Meta / Re: @Theymos - how about verifying for Brave/BAT? Easy extra revenue. on: November 06, 2019, 09:05:41 PM
Shitcoin peddling in Meta?
Lol

Some moderator please  move this topic to altcoin discussion board, where it belongs.
9153  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: A common myth- Segwit Reduce Fees on: November 06, 2019, 06:40:47 PM
I don't know exactly how this works, but segwit also fixed some problems related to malleability in the Bitcoin network.

Without segwit lightning network would not be possible. This is why bch doesn't have a solution like the lightning network (bch was against segwit implementation)
https://bitcointechtalk.com/transaction-malleability-explained-b7e240236fc7?gi=e618b3724819

Quote
Conclusion

Transaction Malleability is fixed with Segregated Witness by no longer taking into account signatures when calculating the transaction’s fingerprint. Fixing Transaction Malleability means that the Lightning Network can work smoothly.
9154  Other / Meta / Re: @Theymos - how about verifying for Brave/BAT? Easy extra revenue. on: November 06, 2019, 05:14:56 PM
Extra revenue IS my only argument. Seriously, how did you get this dumb? Sold account?

A multi millionaire forum would risk its reputation for extra revenue? Supporting an altcoin which could become a scam in a near future?

You should always try to balance extra revenue with risks involved. Not every extra revenue is welcome.
Do you think it would be good to have all kind of Google ads here? Theymos could do that and receive lots of extra revenue x for example. Why doesn't he do it? Because it is against forum principles. Like your idea.

And it would risk forum's reputation and theymos' as well.

For example, let's suppose you have a job. If you start working elsewhere for an extra revenue, it is a bad idea if it put your current job at risky. Simple as that. Specially for a few pennies.
9155  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How someones made 184 Billion Bitcoin appear out of nowhere on: November 06, 2019, 01:42:23 PM
I didn't know about this history.
Are there any reference of this event here in bitcointalk forum? Something written by Satoshi?

That hacker is not so evil. He exposed the bug in a time when things could be easily fixed. Thank God that happened long ago, and not recently.
9156  Other / Meta / Re: @Theymos - how about verifying for Brave/BAT? Easy extra revenue. on: November 06, 2019, 01:17:15 PM
Theymos will not risk his personal info to apply the KYC verification just to get those rewards from brave.

The "privacy" browser demands kyc for publishers to receive their cryptocurrency
I think this incoherence is enough reason for theymos to avoid supporting such project.
And this is a Bitcoin forum. This forum has more than enough bitcoins, there is no reason to risk the forum and theymos' reputation supporting such a project
9157  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: The Ledger Nano S firmware version 1.6 is ready for testing/Beta testing! on: November 06, 2019, 11:40:18 AM
Personally, I see no reason to participate.
If they had new coins support (like forks on a fork season) or some other benefit...
But just to download a beta firmware on my device. That's not very attractive idea.
9158  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Risks with using trading Signals on: November 06, 2019, 11:20:11 AM
I know people who made money on those schemes. However, they are very risky and most  people don't make any money. Quite the opposite, they lose.

And those who make money make a small 3-5% and sell.

There is no easy money or quick rich scheme without risks. And they aren't worth, most of time.
9159  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Are Crypto Transactions Traceable? on: November 06, 2019, 11:01:12 AM
That's true, untill you decide to spend those unspent outputs. If you spend multiple unspent outputs funding several addresses, everybody will be able to link those addresses together. And with some clever analysis of the receiving address, the amount of outputs (change),... one could potentially start to trace you (like you said before, as soon as you filled in KYC info for a service and somebody is able to link you to this service, you are no longer anonymous).

A big exception to all this is the people that were ignorant enough to use a web wallet, exchange wallet, casino wallet. Next to making their clients vulnerable to loads of other attack vectors, the online wallet operator could link every address to a user.

There are even online tools that allows you to automatically trace all addresses that were used together in a same transaction, proving that the user hold all those private keys
Check this tool

https://www.walletexplorer.com/

If you paste an address there, you will see all other connected addresses
9160  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Staking = w/o supply raise? on: November 06, 2019, 10:30:17 AM
I've just heard about a staking model which doesn't raise the supply. what??

can somebody tell me if this is technically possible?

Yes ofc.
It is even possible to burn coins.


Casper suggests that. Stakers could be rewarded just by fees, and some of those fees even be burned, reducing the total supply over time. This is suggested by vitalik.

Quote
Because of the lack of high electricity consumption, there is not as much need to issue as many new coins in order to motivate participants to keep participating in the network. It may theoretically even be possible to have negative net issuance, where a portion of transaction fees is "burned" and so the supply goes down over time.
https://github.com/ethereum/wiki/wiki/Proof-of-Stake-FAQ
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