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February 07, 2023, 02:55:46 AM *
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Question: When will we see a new ATH?
2023 - 38 (25.5%)
2024 - 58 (38.9%)
2025 - 40 (26.8%)
2026 - 3 (2%)
2027 - 2 (1.3%)
After 2027 - 3 (2%)
Never - 5 (3.4%)
Total Voters: 149

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26002796 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
marcus_of_augustus
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Eadem mutata resurgo


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February 09, 2020, 04:21:07 AM
Merited by eddie13 (1)

I'm not trying to spread fear and panic but forewarned is forearmed ... if this report can be confirmed we're in for a rougher ride than I was imagining.

https://twitter.com/RolandBakerIII/status/1226149513653411840
Quote
Shanghai Municipal Gov. press conforance: #coronavirus aerosol transmission via droplets 0.1mm and below exhaled in a few seconds evaporate in 10ms into droplet cores micrometers in size and can travel hundreds of meters and can can cause infection.

tl;dr airborne contam.
Is this new? How else could it spread so fast.

... yes, this is new ... up to now the narrative was spreads in droplets like the flu. wash hands, cover your mouth when coughing and nose when sneezing keep 6 feet separation, etc, etc. If true every droplet can essentially vapourize and spread in a fine dust-like plume wherever the wind takes it, ie. it's far more contagious than the flu, not just a little bit more.

It also explains why they lock-downed Wuhan on relatively low numbers of cases. And the other cities/regions.

Could be BS though, hope it is.
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eddie13
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February 09, 2020, 04:29:42 AM


Confirmed!
Thank you!

All them long days of manual trading paid off in them quick clicking skills I guess Smiley
infofront (OP)
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February 09, 2020, 04:30:40 AM

Time for a new poll!

Old poll:
Lambie Slayer
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February 09, 2020, 04:33:01 AM

Rip 4 digits, killed by Coronavirus, never to be seen again.
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February 09, 2020, 04:34:29 AM

http://boards.4chan.org/pol//thread/242834342/4chan

"4chan
I am a lab technician at Huoshenshan hospital in Wuhan.
The situation is so much worse than you know. Reported death of coronavirus are just those of sudden type, not pneumonic. Daily removes pneumonic patients to not return, whole sections of hospital 200 rooms each and not recorded. They are filled immediately with new pneumonic.
Please know we are trying but there is simply too much"

via Imgflip Meme Generator

It’s 4chan.  Even Reddit is more credible.

and even CCP is less credible.  Smiley
machasm
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February 09, 2020, 04:35:52 AM

It’s 4 a.m here.
Just woke to celebrate the 10K crossing with you guys.
BTCGO bitcoin GO
Now back to bed.
eddie13
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February 09, 2020, 04:36:49 AM


... yes, this is new ... up to now the narrative was spreads in droplets like the flu. wash hands, cover your mouth when coughing and nose when sneezing keep 6 feet separation, etc, etc. If true every droplet can essentially vapourize and spread in a fine dust-like plume wherever the wind takes it, ie. it's far more contagious than the flu, not just a little bit more.

It also explains why they lock-downed Wuhan on relatively low numbers of cases. And the other cities/regions.

Could be BS though, hope it is.

Wouldn't this imply that their was specific foreknowledge of the virus back when iirc the official narrative was they weren't even sure it was human-human transmissible?

I hope it is BS too, and am leaning towards it being BS, because I have never heard of any other contagion that can be contracted at "hundreds of meters"..
Ibian
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February 09, 2020, 04:39:34 AM

My bet is accidental release of a lab made bioweapon. It just makes the most sense.
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February 09, 2020, 04:43:00 AM

Sweet, first to vote, its been awhile since I got the first vote in. Smiley

$11,001-$11,500
bitebits
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February 09, 2020, 05:05:52 AM

$10k/btc and no euphoria. This is fine.
marcus_of_augustus
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February 09, 2020, 05:07:07 AM


... yes, this is new ... up to now the narrative was spreads in droplets like the flu. wash hands, cover your mouth when coughing and nose when sneezing keep 6 feet separation, etc, etc. If true every droplet can essentially vapourize and spread in a fine dust-like plume wherever the wind takes it, ie. it's far more contagious than the flu, not just a little bit more.

It also explains why they lock-downed Wuhan on relatively low numbers of cases. And the other cities/regions.

Could be BS though, hope it is.

Wouldn't this imply that their was specific foreknowledge of the virus back when iirc the official narrative was they weren't even sure it was human-human transmissible?

I hope it is BS too, and am leaning towards it being BS, because I have never heard of any other contagion that can be contracted at "hundreds of meters"..

No, it's not unheard of this is why measles is so contagious ... it has R_o ~ 14

It's due to specific property of diameter of the virus, it's survival time outside the body, droplet size it is in solution with (type of fluids and coughing induced), air temperature, humidity, air turbulence, etc, i.e. much physics. Measles can spread from one end of a football stadium to another or linger in the air in a room for up 2 hours after being exhaled by the carrier.

edit: and yes would imply foreknowledge.
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February 09, 2020, 05:10:39 AM
Merited by eddie13 (1)

WOOT GO BTC!!!!!!


Fuck, I am too drunk to determine who won. At first instance it looks like it was eddie13. Is that right?

P.S.: On other news... WE ALL WON Tongue
I believe so. I'm 8 seconds slower. Congratz eddie13

If, after sobriety has been reclaimed, and/or rigorous examination of the photo finish determines me the winner, the address in my profile is good Smiley
1vvSrTFiQY7akwbsv3iYPPe9mR3DsEbff

https://youtu.be/qR7U1HIhxfA <needs a BTC remix..
Seemed appropriate, couldn't resist
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February 09, 2020, 05:51:59 AM



Let's see if the badger "lifts" 10,000 with some meat. Wink

BTCadger, did you like them?
I can bring you more if you go to 15,000.

Good morning WO,s/+10,000 Wink
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February 09, 2020, 06:20:00 AM
Merited by bones261 (4)


And Welcome Back bones261!

Just to let everyone know. I am doing great. Sorry to worry some people. I'm just for all intensive purposes a nocoiner now. I'll try to check in more often. We shall see.

Sometimes, in life, the priorities are what force us to make certain decisions, that's how it is, there is no more.

It is really difficult to say, for sure, or even to lecture someone else for taking a zero position in regards to bitcoin.

It is almost as if you have no spare income whatsoever.. or no view of the future or no ability to save.

So, maybe if you don't have any savings and only debt, then it would be better to get your debt paid off first and to establish yourself an ability to save... and if you have absolutely not enough money to put away that you can afford to not think about, then maybe you cannot be in bitcoin.. even if that is a mere $20 per month... or some low level like that.

There are usually ways that even really poor people are able to stack some investments away, and maybe the only exception would be if a person believes that he is not going to live more than a few years, so really in a liquidation phase of his life and liquidating most if not all assets.
Lambie Slayer
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February 09, 2020, 06:22:31 AM

11k by Valentines Day guaranteed.

VB1001
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February 09, 2020, 06:38:04 AM


And Welcome Back bones261!

Just to let everyone know. I am doing great. Sorry to worry some people. I'm just for all intensive purposes a nocoiner now. I'll try to check in more often. We shall see.

Sometimes, in life, the priorities are what force us to make certain decisions, that's how it is, there is no more.

It is really difficult to say, for sure, or even to lecture someone else for taking a zero position in regards to bitcoin.

It is almost as if you have no spare income whatsoever.. or no view of the future or no ability to save.

So, maybe if you don't have any savings and only debt, then it would be better to get your debt paid off first and to establish yourself an ability to save... and if you have absolutely not enough money to put away that you can afford to not think about, then maybe you cannot be in bitcoin.. even if that is a mere $20 per month... or some low level like that.

There are usually ways that even really poor people are able to stack some investments away, and maybe the only exception would be if a person believes that he is not going to live more than a few years, so really in a liquidation phase of his life and liquidating most if not all assets.

It may be the case, but you can also have an unexpected unforeseen and you need liquidity, then you have to act, if for this you have to part with part of your investments, do it, you will have more opportunities to return to the market when your financial situation is stabilized.
If you can cover the unforeseen or economic urgency without borrowing better.
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February 09, 2020, 06:46:09 AM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2)

I used to speak to rjclarke2000 a lot when I first signed up here. I hope he’s still HODLING!

Me too.... I am pretty sure that he is a HODLer, and maybe in a similar situation to you, LFC...... even though maybe quite a bit of a smaller BTC stash.. .

He had felt that he did not quite have enough in BTC to sell during the last price rise to $20k, but I think that he got more frustrated than you, LFC, in terms of his NOT really wanting to talk or think about the BTC price falling matter... because that would just bring him further from NOT having enough to just retire...  so largely just preferred to HODL through it all, as far as I understood to be what he was doing.

It takes a quite a bit of balls just to HODL through and to try not to think about the cyclical matters too much.... although I am sure that he is peaking here and there.... and that would be really strange if someone like him were to panic sell or anything like that when he seemed to be more than willing to put another 4 years or even quite a bit more into waiting on the matter.. and just let the whole BTC price cycles play out.. while just continuing to just hold... which is likely NOT a bad philosophy, overall... I am wondering if $50k or $100k is going to be enough for him, and if we might end up going in that direction in the next couple of years, and a lot less bullish case scenario would be to add another 4 years onto that.. so instead of the end of 2021 we would be looking at the end of 2025, which just does not seem to be as likely of a scenario to play out.
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February 09, 2020, 06:49:45 AM
Last edit: February 09, 2020, 07:00:48 AM by LFC_Bitcoin

I used to speak to rjclarke2000 a lot when I first signed up here. I hope he’s still HODLING!

Me too.... I am pretty sure that he is a HODLer, and maybe in a similar situation to you, LFC...... even though maybe quite a bit of a smaller BTC stash.. .

He had felt that he did not quite have enough in BTC to sell during the last price rise to $20k, but I think that he got more frustrated than you, LFC, in terms of his NOT really wanting to talk or think about the BTC price falling matter... because that would just bring him further from NOT having enough to just retire...  so largely just preferred to HODL through it all, as far as I understood to be what he was doing.

It takes a quite a bit of balls just to HODL through and to try not to think about the cyclical matters too much.... although I am sure that he is peaking here and there.... and that would be really strange if someone like him were to panic sell or anything like that when he seemed to be more than willing to put another 4 years or even quite a bit more into waiting on the matter.. and just let the whole BTC price cycles play out.. while just continuing to just hold... which is likely NOT a bad philosophy, overall... I am wondering if $50k or $100k is going to be enough for him, and if we might end up going in that direction in the next couple of years, and a lot less bullish case scenario would be to add another 4 years onto that.. so instead of the end of 2021 we would be looking at the end of 2025, which just does not seem to be as likely of a scenario to play out.

Morning JJG!
Just woke up for a piss & see the price is above $10,000. Good stuff Smiley

Yeah I’d love to be able to HODL everything until after the 2024 halving but it’s just too long away.
I’ll probably have to sell half during the next peak or somewhere near to it so I can live the life I dream of.

Not all bad though, will obviously still have a fairly nice stash to HODL into the future Smiley


It’s 4 a.m here.
Just woke to celebrate the 10K crossing with you guys.
BTCGO bitcoin GO
Now back to bed.

Same here!

Just woke up for a piss.

Observing $10,098 - Happy days, now back to sleep Cheesy
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February 09, 2020, 06:53:37 AM


https://mayermultiple.info/

Quote
What the Mayer Multiple is

The Mayer Multiple was created by Trace Mayer as a way to analyse the price of Bitcoin in a historical context.
It does NOT tell whether to buy, sell or hold.
The Mayer Multiple is the multiple of the current Bitcoin price over the 200-days moving average.

Quote
Why 2.4 ?

Simulations performed by Trace Mayer determined that in the past, the best long-term results were achieved by accumulating Bitcoin whenever the Mayer Multiple was below 2.4.
Since the simulations were based on historical data, they are purely educational and should not be the basis of any financial decision.
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February 09, 2020, 07:31:08 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Cryptotourist (1), VB1001 (1)


He had felt that he did not quite have enough in BTC to sell during the last price rise to $20k, but I think that he got more frustrated than you, LFC, in terms of his NOT really wanting to talk or think about the BTC price falling matter... because that would just bring him further from NOT having enough to just retire...  so largely just preferred to HODL through it all, as far as I understood to be what he was doing.

It takes a quite a bit of balls just to HODL through and to try not to think about the cyclical matters too much....

That is basically where I'm at..

I really have barely any BTC compared to most of you, which at the current price is not life changing either way, so I might as well just HODL..

I haven't made/accumulated much BTC since before the $20k peak, as my ways of accumulation are mostly eliminated by the modernization/regulation of exchanges shutting down/shutting me down, so it just is what it is..

Though, my retirement goal ambitions are much lower than most, I am satisfied with a more modest way of life, being a countryboy and all..
I don't need a $1mm estate and $500 dinners.. I only need a couple hundred K to become financially secure..

I think in my entire crypto career I have cashed out about 1.6 BTC for probably just under $10k total.. And I do regret it, but still have a bit more than that..
Most of what I have I have held from under $500..

I haven't ever really been in the position to "invest" into BTC, so all I have is what has been hard earned behind my keyboard, and I try to keep it..
I have a bit more BTC $ at current value than I have debt though, so their may be hope..

But, I am a BTC believer from a libertarian/anarchist point of view, so their is that keeping me HODLing too..

I think I have 0.12BTC riding 1:1 on the Trump election, Trump wins, so that will be the biggest loss/gain for me in quite a long time..

I really should get back into trading, but all the shit in trading I have been through, and narrowly escaped, is almost like PTSD to me, and I just can't Sad
I tried Binance for a bit and they just shut me down too Sad
Can't seem to find a signature deal..
Don't know wtf I'm going to do to satisfy my accumulation urge yet but I'm looking..
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