Everyone knows a crash is coming. No one knows when. That's the name of the game.
Nobody knows what part will crash even, nobody knows anything much apparently
Its all guesswork, I'm fairly sure this is the doctrine of the FED tbh Its true there never has to be a default in anything, Greece is no problem etc no matter quality of the debt it can be buried on the books and only those who pick apart the failure of value can argue it was virtual default.
A 100 dollar bill from 1960 is worth 20 cents now I heard, I find that hard to believe and if true its a default in all but name. Ditto any US government pension will bare the brunt of QE failings, thats a default similarly. I will get a source for that.
If we find the above to be true I think it does explain alot why BTC rises, yep the technology, growth etc but I swear its this other half also with the dollar story, yen etc
https://www.ft.com/content/2a165852-90ae-11e8-b639-7680cedcc421Stocks on balance are unlikely to crash so long as currency is this soft. It could reset a way though, I'd mark the 1987 move as a proper crash and I dont expecially think thats a danger ('87 recovered its losses for anyone who held annually very quickly). Studies of massive inflation in an economy and its effects on stocks, such as Mexico has suffered previously gave a rough conclusion of no value lost over that period of a decade or so but also no growth. That including all the false growth from a lower value currency, dividends, etc So long as the company stayed solvent it didnt crash exactly, on average to an index there was no loss or real growth given.
Motley is just spewing out articles like most news outlets. Quality varies by each writer but the most you can hope for is information, conclusions are biased to headline vs viewers.
like Western Europe, which is intent on becoming one, large Muslim state
France will switch over to a Muslim majority population at some point.
Just wondering where you guys get the data you are basing these conclusions on. (I'm implying that they are far from accurate
.)
Its a projection so feel free to disregard. I should post a source but also you can look up birth rates which would be a historic fact at least. I wont single out France, next time I see an article on demographics like this I will post it. Its more fundamental then speculative but a nation can always advance away from relying on mass labour exactly, such as the transition from agrarian economies to modern efficiency.
Its my own personal view that a country is poorer and less likely to grow with a declining population, some believe opposite. Vietnam undercuts the cost of labour vs China now, China overall is a complicated argument but I wouldn't disagree they have quality control problems. I said before Im apprehensive on any reliance on China as a flaw waiting to fail.
Futures effect on the underlying market is like a wolf pack U-boat formation, Im not sure how to track that influence exactly apart from knowing the closing dates being particularly prone to sharp movements. Happens in a few markets with these contracts I think, also their margin requirements vary which can have an influence.
I didnt see it this time but sometimes traders will call out a large buildup of positions at certain prices and potential for manipulation