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Author Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis  (Read 107517 times)
DieJohnny
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September 01, 2017, 10:31:16 AM
 #461

this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?

yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day

We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI

BETI for some psychological resistance:

5000    0.085905352
7500    0.49137046
10000    0.779052532
15000     1.18451764
20000     1.472199713
25000     1.695343264



If we break above zero BETI, I say we get to 10k pretty quick, then a correction before jumping to 25k. I don't see what stops this trend right now until we break BETI ATH.... which would be what 45k by now?

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September 01, 2017, 12:39:34 PM
 #462

this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?

yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day

We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI

BETI for some psychological resistance:

5000    0.085905352
7500    0.49137046
10000    0.779052532
15000     1.18451764
20000     1.472199713
25000     1.695343264



If we break above zero BETI, I say we get to 10k pretty quick, then a correction before jumping to 25k. I don't see what stops this trend right now until we break BETI ATH.... which would be what 45k by now?

this will be epic. all the best for all of you. keep calm and hodl. stay humble. enjoy.
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September 01, 2017, 01:13:49 PM
 #463

If the trend remains, we will see 0 BETI in 2-3 days

Date:    31-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.039
VWAP:    4682.34
x:    2602
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10835
Rsq:    0.81893
The day's expected price:    4869.63
Actual price / expected price:   96.15%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   524.27
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31525.31
Predicted date for today's price:    19-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -11.87
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330481447945013++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108354481974801+%29   

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September 01, 2017, 01:33:07 PM
 #464

Apologies if already asked before but can Wolfram Alpha also render the historical chart of this indicator?

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jl2012
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September 01, 2017, 09:21:46 PM
 #465

Apologies if already asked before but can Wolfram Alpha also render the historical chart of this indicator?

No, it's far too complicated

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September 01, 2017, 09:22:44 PM
 #466

The spot price has been above 0 BETI. Need 24hr average to confirm

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September 01, 2017, 09:39:40 PM
 #467

The spot price has been above 0 BETI. Need 24hr average to confirm

I got goose bumps,  when I read this. i find the BETI concept convincing.

fantastic work jl2012, ty!
jl2012
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September 02, 2017, 01:45:11 AM
 #468

If the price remains stable at this point, we will have the first positive BETI in more than 3 years

Date:    1-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.016
VWAP:    4808.17
x:    2603
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10834
Rsq:    0.81910
The day's expected price:    4885.63
Actual price / expected price:   98.41%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   526.00
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31628.89
Predicted date for today's price:    27-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -4.84
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330480030412776++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108342161383926+%29   

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September 02, 2017, 09:19:08 AM
 #469

If the price remains stable at this point, we will have the first positive BETI in more than 3 years

Date:    1-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.016
VWAP:    4808.17
x:    2603
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10834
Rsq:    0.81910
The day's expected price:    4885.63
Actual price / expected price:   98.41%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   526.00
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31628.89
Predicted date for today's price:    27-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -4.84
Daily price rank:    1
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330480030412776++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108342161383926+%29   



Oh boy, i´m glad my brother showed me your thread.... the first 0 BTI since years....  fasten your seatbelts, getting some Popcorn... lets go!
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September 04, 2017, 06:52:01 AM
 #470

Date:    3-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.077
VWAP:    4553.45
x:    2605
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10825
Rsq:    0.81943
The day's expected price:    4917.10
Actual price / expected price:   92.60%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   529.39
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31832.63
Predicted date for today's price:    10-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -23.25
Daily price rank:    5
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330469168980936++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108247699327808+%29   

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September 04, 2017, 06:56:18 AM
 #471

0 BETI and ~$5000 seem to be an important resistance


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September 06, 2017, 04:08:41 AM
 #472

Date:    5-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.155
VWAP:    4234.99
x:    2607
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10802
Rsq:    0.81975
The day's expected price:    4947.48
Actual price / expected price:   85.60%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   532.66
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   32029.32
Predicted date for today's price:    19-Jul-2017
Days ahead:    -47.06
Daily price rank:    13
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330443273942119++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108022324800932+%29   

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September 06, 2017, 04:10:36 AM
 #473


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September 06, 2017, 04:20:56 AM
 #474

Actual price / expected price:   98.41%
Actual price / expected price:   92.60%
Actual price / expected price:   85.60%

I know China have had a great part on that, but it couldn't be only coincidence.
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September 07, 2017, 05:10:47 PM
 #475

Actual price / expected price:   98.41%
Actual price / expected price:   92.60%
Actual price / expected price:   85.60%

I know China have had a great part on that, but it couldn't be only coincidence.
What do you mean, what would be the reason then?
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September 23, 2017, 09:37:11 AM
 #476

0 BETI and ~$5000 seem to be an important resistance



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September 26, 2017, 12:30:46 PM
 #477

can we have any updates please?   Undecided
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September 29, 2017, 06:29:38 AM
 #478

Sorry, have been distracted by other things

Date:    28-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.234
VWAP:    4187.55
x:    2630
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10342
Rsq:    0.82307
The day's expected price:    5289.09
Actual price / expected price:   79.17%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   569.43
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   34240.87
Predicted date for today's price:    19-Jul-2017
Days ahead:    -70.78
Daily price rank:    23
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00329917145602274++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.103418811854715+%29   

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September 29, 2017, 06:37:05 AM
 #479



It bottomed at about -0.41, and is currently around -0.3. The next resistance is -0.2 ($4330)

By the way, we need >$5300 to get a BETI of 0

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September 29, 2017, 06:39:30 AM
 #480

Zooming out:


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