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AndrewBUD
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August 12, 2012, 04:25:15 PM |
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I have done 5 bets in a row without any returns....
TX ID's:
f50d27ad60f37cf87113b35fa4c694234c8fd21aa89b7f2d9938a53fd72bf08d
b83441d912f88c19c6165ad7c904a6f702b80023fdcf1d3c508d8d4c00c9c646
244986081d499e75e35210049182e8753e61b28352ddc5aff456695d301708fc
963f684757f7b409f977756add7518e3a324f8d1c8455217ed819a86aec1a91b
94b95dcf7cfbd4572a7396bce23d40e83f64e02884a734f097cab99fc81b92b4
None of these have returned anything and are on confirmation 2 of 6..
Came through.. Took a very long time...
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365 |
TM | | | |
EZ365 is a digital ecosystem that combines
the best aspects of online gaming, cryptocurrency
trading and blockchain education. ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | |
..WHITEPAPER.. ..INVESTOR PITCH..
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.'M████▀▀██ ██
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Play | | | |
│
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Trade | | | |
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]█! m▄▄ '~▀▀▀████▀▀~~ ,_▄▄
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Learn |
[/tabl |
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Even in the event that an attacker gains more than 50% of the network's
computational power, only transactions sent by the attacker could be
reversed or double-spent. The network would not be destroyed.
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Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
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evoorhees (OP)
Legendary
 Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1021
Democracy is the original 51% attack
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August 14, 2012, 04:49:12 AM |
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This has now been fixed - arij can confirm  |
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VelvetLeaf
Member
Offline
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
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August 15, 2012, 10:53:48 AM |
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Still winning so far, thanks SatoshiDice !
One quick question, what's the % chance to lose if I do 73% roll three times ?
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BTC : 1GN81dxzxyFPQsyAtdocXr5S9Mcg4wcfFG
LTC : LgmYvXsYXc4xdjsMKXJWqtagxVvioK6iaw
FC : 6dpSnKMtttUUYzaRu1EB7Lu18PBRVHU3V7
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ericrw14
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 59
Merit: 0
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August 15, 2012, 12:43:22 PM |
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Still winning so far, thanks SatoshiDice !
One quick question, what's the % chance to lose if I do 73% roll three times ?
percent chance to lose once or to lose 3 times in a row |
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VelvetLeaf
Member
Offline
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
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August 15, 2012, 01:03:44 PM |
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percent chance to lose once or to lose 3 times in a row
Percent chance to lose once. I want to know the formula so I can calculate when I'll approach my loss and stop gambling while I'm still winning. Formula to calculate percent chance to lose 2-3 time in a row is fine too. |
BTC : 1GN81dxzxyFPQsyAtdocXr5S9Mcg4wcfFG
LTC : LgmYvXsYXc4xdjsMKXJWqtagxVvioK6iaw
FC : 6dpSnKMtttUUYzaRu1EB7Lu18PBRVHU3V7
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organofcorti
Donator
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
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August 15, 2012, 01:11:47 PM |
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For any three games in a row:
chance of win = p = 0.732422
chance of loss = 1 - p = 1 - 0.732422 = 0.267578
chance of 2 wins and one loss = p*p*(1-p) = 0.1435401
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VelvetLeaf
Member
Offline
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
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August 15, 2012, 01:31:04 PM |
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For any three games in a row:
chance of win = p = 0.732422
chance of loss = 1 - p = 1 - 0.732422 = 0.267578
chance of 2 wins and one loss = p*p*(1-p) = 0.1435401
Following your math, is this correct ? 1 game win : 73% lose : 27% 2 games all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64% 1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15% 3 games all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 39.29% 2 wins 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 14.35% 1 wins 2 loses : 0.732422 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 5.24% all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 1.91% Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ? |
BTC : 1GN81dxzxyFPQsyAtdocXr5S9Mcg4wcfFG
LTC : LgmYvXsYXc4xdjsMKXJWqtagxVvioK6iaw
FC : 6dpSnKMtttUUYzaRu1EB7Lu18PBRVHU3V7
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kano
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 4466
Merit: 1798
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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August 15, 2012, 02:17:51 PM |
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...
2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% times 2 (1 win 1 loss = 1 loss 1 win) |
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VelvetLeaf
Member
Offline
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
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August 15, 2012, 03:20:51 PM |
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...
2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% times 2 (1 win 1 loss = 1 loss 1 win) Thanks, so this is the correct one : 1 game win : 73% lose : 27% 2 games = 2^2 = 4 combination all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64% 1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% 1 lose 1 win : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15% 3 games = 2^3 = 8 combination win win win win win lose win lose win win lose lose lose win lose lose win win lose lose win lose lose lose compacted to 1 [win win win] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 39.29% 3 [win win lose] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 14.35% * 3 = 43.05% 3 [lose lose win] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.732422 = 5.24% * 3 = 15.73% 1 [lose lose lose] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 1.91 The winning chance streak get reduced after each game  As long as I don't play more than one two three four games it should be okay right ?  |
BTC : 1GN81dxzxyFPQsyAtdocXr5S9Mcg4wcfFG
LTC : LgmYvXsYXc4xdjsMKXJWqtagxVvioK6iaw
FC : 6dpSnKMtttUUYzaRu1EB7Lu18PBRVHU3V7
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AndrewBUD
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August 15, 2012, 08:46:13 PM |
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It seems like it gets stuck sometimes..... I had 3 or 4 confirmations on 5 bets before it returned anything.. But it will |
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365 |
TM | | | |
EZ365 is a digital ecosystem that combines
the best aspects of online gaming, cryptocurrency
trading and blockchain education. ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | |
..WHITEPAPER.. ..INVESTOR PITCH..
| | | |
.'M████▀▀██ ██
W█Ws'V██ ██▄▄███▀▀█
i█████m.~M████▀▀██ ███
d███████Ws'V██ ██████
****M██████m.~███f~~__mW█
██▀▀▀████████= Y██▀▀██W ,gm███████
g█████▄▄▄██ █A~`_WW Y█ ██!,████████
g▀▀▀███ ████▀▀`_m████i!████P W███ ██
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__ ~~~▀▀▀▀▄▄▄█*f_m██████ ██i!██!i███████
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~~*██ | |
Play | | | |
│
│ ███
│ ███
│ ███
│ │ ███
███ │ ███
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│ ███ ███ ███
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Trade | | | |
__▄▄████▄▄
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i██[ ~ ▀▀█████████▀▀▀
g███!
Y███ | |
Learn |
[/tabl |
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evoorhees (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1021
Democracy is the original 51% attack
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August 15, 2012, 09:19:08 PM |
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SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.
Rock on, Bitcoin.
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Raoul Duke
aka psy
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1002
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August 15, 2012, 09:20:00 PM |
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SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.
Rock on, Bitcoin.
WOW, just WOW! Yes, with capitals!  Congrats! |
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AndrewBUD
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August 15, 2012, 09:33:42 PM |
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Right on man,,, Pretty cool...
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365 |
TM | | | |
EZ365 is a digital ecosystem that combines
the best aspects of online gaming, cryptocurrency
trading and blockchain education. ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | |
..WHITEPAPER.. ..INVESTOR PITCH..
| | | |
.'M████▀▀██ ██
W█Ws'V██ ██▄▄███▀▀█
i█████m.~M████▀▀██ ███
d███████Ws'V██ ██████
****M██████m.~███f~~__mW█
██▀▀▀████████= Y██▀▀██W ,gm███████
g█████▄▄▄██ █A~`_WW Y█ ██!,████████
g▀▀▀███ ████▀▀`_m████i!████P W███ ██
_███▄▄▄██▀▀▀███Af`_m███ █W ███A ]███ ██
__ ~~~▀▀▀▀▄▄▄█*f_m██████ ██i!██!i███████
Y█████▄▄▄▄__. i██▀▀▀██████████ █!,██████
8█ █▀▀█████.!██ ██████████i! █████
'█ █ █ █W M█▄▄▄██████ ██ !██
!███▄▄█ ██i'██████████ ██
Y███████████.]██████████████
█ ███████b ███ ██████
Y █ █▀▀█i!██ ████
V███ █ █W Y█████
~~▀███▄▄▄█['███
~~*██ | |
Play | | | |
│
│ ███
│ ███
│ ███
│ │ ███
███ │ ███
███ ███ ███
│ ███ ███ ███
███ ███ ███ ███
███ ███ │ │
███ ███ │ │
│ │
│ | |
Trade | | | |
__▄▄████▄▄
__▄▄███████████████▄▄▄
_▄▄█████████▀▀~`,▄████████████▄▄▄
~▀▀████▀▀~`,_▄▄███████████████▀▀▀
d█~ =▀███████████████▀▀
]█! m▄▄ '~▀▀▀████▀▀~~ ,_▄▄
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W█. - ██████████████████▀
i██[ ~ ▀▀█████████▀▀▀
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Learn |
[/tabl |
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papaminer
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August 16, 2012, 04:54:56 AM |
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me likey likey..
but is there an easier way to get the winnings from a new address?
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฿: 1L7dSte4Rs4KyyxRCgrqSWYtkXdAb4Gy1z MORE INFO ABOUT ME: BTC |
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evoorhees (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1021
Democracy is the original 51% attack
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August 16, 2012, 10:35:58 PM |
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me likey likey..
but is there an easier way to get the winnings from a new address?
It's being worked on... |
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papaminer
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August 16, 2012, 10:50:20 PM |
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hi,
how do I send a bet to 50% odd multiple times?
i tried doing it but it says cannot send to a duplicate address
im doing it in my pc wallet not online
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฿: 1L7dSte4Rs4KyyxRCgrqSWYtkXdAb4Gy1z MORE INFO ABOUT ME: BTC |
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byronbb
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
HODL OR DIE
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August 17, 2012, 12:02:49 AM |
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SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.
Rock on, Bitcoin.
at what kind of volume? |
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evoorhees (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1021
Democracy is the original 51% attack
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August 17, 2012, 02:53:56 PM |
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hi,
how do I send a bet to 50% odd multiple times?
i tried doing it but it says cannot send to a duplicate address
im doing it in my pc wallet not online
You are using the standard Satoshi client on your PC? In the Send Coins tab, you can click the "Add recipient" button at the bottom and add more bets to the same address I believe. Or is that what you already tried? |
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evoorhees (OP)
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1021
Democracy is the original 51% attack
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August 17, 2012, 02:56:46 PM |
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SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.
Rock on, Bitcoin.
at what kind of volume? Over 518,000 BTC has been bet thus far. All the data can be figured out from the blockchain, and there are some other threads which examine the stats in depth. The statistical skills of the people on this forum are quite impressive, especially etotheipi and dooglus |
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