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2041  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Synthetic trading on: October 08, 2022, 11:31:22 AM
OP, I believe it's better to buy the actual thing/asset, no matter whether you are buying for a months-long trade, or a short-term trade/day-trade, UNLESS you want to trade with leverage, which is probably the only advantage in buying and selling these synthetic stocks/indices.

I tried actively "trading" with both no leverage, and with leverage. What it did was make me lose money.
2042  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 08, 2022, 11:13:36 AM
Hello

So some of you might recognize my username, for those who don't I am one of those "whales" at blackjack.fun.
Some people in chat asked for my footage, therefore I have recorded a session.
You can find the link below.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XgrVAArlFYg

To be honest I have no idea if it's even interesting to watch lol.

Regarding blackjack.fun I think the site has got some potential, certainly with the upcoming changes regarding the leaderboards, it can have a downside that if wager is low the prizes are low, but it also works the other way where we could have insane leaderboards, unrivaled by any other site.

I must say, although not all providers are available due to geolocation, blackjack.fun did a lot of effort to make the games that I was playing bugfree (like in the one in the recording).

If anyone has any questions, just ask in their chat, most of the time I am around.

Kind regards

MrBrightside


Let me do the honors of giving you your first merit in our forum, ser. I believe we should appeal the negative trust given to you by one of our trusted members. The people here have been scammed many times that sometimes the paranoia takes over our mental processes.

I'll watch the video later. Thanks for posting, I always wanted to learn proper BlackJack because I found it hard to win, and it's stressful. Craps is currently the game for me, more relaxing.

Plus BlackJack.fun admins, the chatbox is becoming stupid with spam. It's probably to stop giving free spins to those users who post, "digdigdig" or something useless.
2043  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 08, 2022, 09:03:54 AM
Didn't Real Winner fix the issues regarding BlackJack.fun and KYC?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5415969.0

It would be very unfortunate to see him leave the casino, and the growing BKF Community. He was always very responsive in the chat, and he also very helpful with some of the users who have encountered minor issues when using in the site.

It's probably why the admins are changing the way the casino calculates the rewards and the leaderboard, of perhaps it's more efficient to have another leaderboard for high rollers?
2044  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 08, 2022, 08:50:02 AM
-snip-


Read your own post again after three years, OK? The current price, and the DIPs from the current price are the BEST opportunities to buy that have been given to everyone during this part of the cycle. It's THE SAME opportunity. Don't tell us we were merely just lucky in 2025. NO, because we paid attention when it was THE right time to pay attention.

LOL I like your sense of humor but am not going to regret or swallow my word's because adaption is the name of the game and to survive these crypto waves one has to think like a trader to buy when market enters into a bullish state and to sell at a premium when markets are in a bearish state.... We have to be opportunists at the end of the day because you real intention is to make a profit.


I wish you good luck in your "adaption" ser. I'm merely a pleb who is looking for golden opportunities to buy more Bitcoin at "discounts" during DIP cycles, THEN HODL them like it's my second savings account. I'm happy, and I don't need to stare at a computer screen all day pretending to be a "trader". But you do you, I'm happy to  Buy the DIP, and HODL.

Quote

Bitcoin is not a collectors item which will always appreciate with time unfortunately so Hodlin in 2022 is not the same as it was 10years ago!


That might be true, or might become true someday, but I believe during 2032 the same people will say "HODLing in 2032 is not the same as HODLing in 2022", no?
2045  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 07, 2022, 01:58:29 PM
Am starting to think this hodling process is easier done if you have a small stake to grow, the whales with deep pockets will continously buy and sell coins to realize any small profits at any given opportunity which is the smart way of investing if you ask me... Buying the dip now and throwing the key away to your stash will just bring headaches and should be discouraged, times have changed and we need to adapt with the new game!


Read your own post again after three years, OK? The current price, and the DIPs from the current price are the BEST opportunities to buy that have been given to everyone during this part of the cycle. It's THE SAME opportunity. Don't tell us we were merely just lucky in 2025. NO, because we paid attention when it was THE right time to pay attention.
2046  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🦉 Owl.games 🦉 Web 3.0 Crypto Casino & Sportsbook - BTC-Metamask-Walletconnect on: October 07, 2022, 01:46:52 PM
Ey anyone notices this?

https://twitter.com/OWLDAOio/status/1576600511125639170?cxt=HHwWhMC-pfnzmuErAAAA

So, two gaming platform we have here work togheter until now?.

Really good news for both. And the two are running signatures campaings here.


Good news for both from a business viewpoint, but hopefully the Owl.Games family will also make some decisions to improve the service from a community viewpoint. I'm not much of a gambler in all of my life, but I believe that BlackJack.fun has found the recipe to take the service to success. The answer is a loyal community, not of real gamblers, but a community of ordinary people who merely want to connect with other ordinary people, and probably sometimes gamble. Have a chatbox where people meet is a good way to start.
2047  Economy / Economics / Re: China tells state banks to prepare for a massive dollar dump on: October 07, 2022, 11:52:12 AM
Although, isn't China still one of the largest HODLers of United State debt, and U.S. Dollars? Why would they start dumping an asset that they are largely exposed to, and crash the price of that asset? Do they truly want to crash the currency of U.S. economy, the largest importer of their exports?

If rather it's not China trying to dump the dollar they're trying to find a way to save their yuan, avoid letting it drop too deeply, seriously affecting the national economy. Japan and other countries are also planning to find solutions to prevent the devaluation of their national currencies to avoid creating a serious economic crisis in their countries.

The dollar is at a 20-year high and this is good for the US but for the countries that are borrowing money from the US, which depend on the US, they are having a hard time repaying the US government and do business with America.


The situation in Japan is their central bank's fault, the Bank of Japan. They planned, and purposefully printed trillions, and more TRILLIONS of Yen to buy shares of private companies to save them from failure. The effect which we're seeing is a weaker currency. Because of the Fed's strenghtening of the U.S. Dollar, I believe it will give them some capacity to do the same when the recession has done its worst. The Fed will be "investing", and will be buying shares of failing American companies/banks. The U.S. government will literally OWN a large slice of the U.S. economy.
2048  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 07, 2022, 11:36:46 AM
Real Winner doesn't play with high volume anymore, it's currently Mr. BrightSide who is always the consistent winner of ALL of the wagering competitions. I believe the reason why I was given 80 free spins was because my votes form him on the Daily Competition, Highest Bet, and Highest Win all won! Thank you BlackJack.fun family, I "digged" 0.15 mBTC.

Plus, is there anything wrong when everyone plays live tables from Evolution? The video of the dealer for Live Craps, and other live games won't stream.
2049  Economy / Gambling / Re: WINZ.IO 🚀 WELCOME BONUS: 300 FREE SPINS 🎁 43 ETH ETHEREUM ADVENTURE 🌕 on: October 06, 2022, 10:20:11 AM
@Everyone, Read this post before trying the free spin bonus at Winz.io
They may force anyone to complete the identity verification process without any valid reason. If you give priority to your personal documents (Proof of Identity, Proof of Address, Proof of Payment system), then avoid playing at Winz.io. They reserve the right to ask for KYC documents. But they trap the users to apply this rule.

Even though this has been discussed so many times before, I'd still like to adress your post.
Almost every single casino reserves themself the rights to demand a kyc verification upon deposit or withdrawal of a certain sum of money.

If you don't feel comfortable doing so, you should probably stay away from most online casinos.

I've had a bad experience myself using the free spins on winz.io but I wouldn't complain about such basics to be honest.


It's a trade-off accepted by the casino to protect itself from cheating coming from, or through the use of muti-accounting. The casino truly doesn't care about who you are or where you live, but they are forced to implement a procedure to stop, and discourage people from cheating and taking advantage of the service. Because a casino that's always been cheated regularly is a bad casino.
2050  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 06, 2022, 10:08:38 AM
Did anyone take part in Rainstorm yesterday? we got massive rain from @hellhound russian  streamer who plays on blackjack.fun
Rains dropped almost every minute with an estimated $30 in every rain I managed to collect $15-20 from all rains, not bad right?
We hope to see @hellhound again next weekend  Smiley


NO! What time did he start giving them in the chatbox? I was logged in for almost 24 hours yesterday, playing Craps, chatting/voting, and "digging".

By the way, Digging is VERY addictive once you have experienced getting those three Digs, and the slot machine takes you to another stage with 10 automatic free spins, THEN you get another three Digs again, with another automatic free spins. Plus the sound when you get one Dig, then another Dig, and the next spins become very fast!
2051  Economy / Economics / Re: China tells state banks to prepare for a massive dollar dump on: October 06, 2022, 08:12:05 AM

~
I misunderstood China's intentions, but stompix posted a very good point on why China is preparing for a "massive U.S. Dollar dump". It's just to prop up it's own currency, the Yuan.

Perhaps the Fed's tightening to stop, and reverse inflation in the country is having a negative effect from China's point of view. Because through a strong Dollar, and from China's point of view, it might be that inflation is also being exported to them. Haha.

The exchange rate charts don't show any major change though.


Because Forex is a more sophisticated animal, and to attack it is to use a different strategy. It isn't like cryptocurrencies that plebs and whales click the maximum amount, then click the market-buy button. Hahaha.

Like QT, QE, and BRRR-Money prints it takes time to see the effects.

Quote

In any case, if you look at the act alone this conclusion (strengthen their currency) makes sense and it may very well be one of the motivations; but I believe there is a bigger picture here. China is not doing ONLY that, there is a lot of other steps they are taking. Like the ones I listed, and I clearly see a trend.


From the point of view of the United States, China needs to export more products to them to get the U.S. Dollars to replace that that they have dumped. No country can continue to play the macro-economics game without U.S. Dollars.
2052  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 06, 2022, 07:58:35 AM
Gennady increased wagering volume, but most of the time it's not enough to compete vs. Real Winner, God, Mr. BrightSide, and the old Private User in the weekly, and daily competitions. But the in hourly competitions, he has my vote sometimes.

Yeah. Realwinner, God and Private user is on different level when the tournament reward is still in Bitcoin. I believe MrBrightside is already competing to them too but not in toe to toe level. He only step up now and increase his wager volume same with Gennady when the old whales is not competing much anymore. I think they will come back again with there regular high wager if the reward will increase again to the old one. The free spin is just luck based and some users doesn’t preferred it as cashback to recover some of there losses.

Today the total reward has just been updated once again all rewards are reduced by 50% but not sure because there is a new mechanism
Admin says reward will increase based on total wagered we can see it after a few days because this is the first day
And for RW I'm not sure he will participate again especially after today update.

We are creating a automatic Reward solution for leaderboards what will depend on wagering amount. More wagering, bigger rewards.


I believe that would be welcomed by high rollers. Perhaps the reason why Real Winner isn't playing anymore is the smaller rewards after the changes. But how to filter it and give larger betting amounts higher rewards if a player who isn't a high roller gambled with higher hourly/daily/daily volume than they high roller? Will the new system check for every bet and give more points to higher bets?
2053  Economy / Gambling / Re: ⚡️⚡️Betplay.io - Lightning Network Casino - INSTANT & ZERO FEE Payments ⚡️⚡️ on: October 05, 2022, 10:50:42 AM
Are you considering the suggestion of doing a special promotion for the users of the Lightning Network? I believe it would be the perfect way of promoting the casino for Betplay, and it will also help the Lightning Network increase in usage.


I agree with the idea, Lightning Network is one option to grow up usage of bitcoin with a small fee and fast transfer, In this situation, we can Kill two birds with one stone. Betplay will also get a new customer with Lightning Network enthusiasm. Maybe there is a certain limit to getting a bonus like a minimum deposit and wager requirement.

I have suggested creating an android application also, as we know Android is more users than iPhone where they already made it on AppStore which not many people used it.  Smiley


Plus the Lightning Network will be the future of Bitcoin, OR one of the paths that's going to be taken. Bitcoin exchanges, merchants, and other services including Bitcoin casinos should start to accept transactions through it, and also start promoting its use. If you build on Bitcoin, you should also build FOR Bitcoin. It's a path towards real success if you're a builder in crypto. If Bitcoin fails, everything fails.
2054  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Casino games plebs like us must play on: October 05, 2022, 10:36:03 AM
We're merely plebs, many of us. Although there are also casino whales in the forum, I believe it's the best advice for everyone, especially plebs, to play only the casino games with the lowest house edge available. BlackJack and Craps.

I tried both of them, and my favorite is Craps. For a beginner, just bet on 6 and 8, then if the dice roll is a 7, you lose, if it's 6 or 8 you win. There are other betting strategies to use to increase your bets called "press and collect", but that's for another topic. Cool

The reasoning on why "just place on 6 and 8" is the lower house edge = 1.52%, definitely lower if compared to playing your favorite slot machines.

Plus there are bets with lower house edge in craps, like Pass Line/Come Bet = 1.41%, Don’t Pass/Come = 1.40%.
[...]

Your topic is interesting but at which casino do you play craps currently? Very few live casinos are offering this game actually, because I think it's a little bit complicated to quickly understand all the rules for a beginner.


I play Craps in BlackJack.fun, Betplay, and Owl.Games, but most of my time is currently in BlackJack.fun because of the free spins as rewards for playing, and because they have an active community there. Plus I believe most of the casinos that have Evolution Gaming also have Craps. You have to go to Evolution's actual lobby and search for "Craps", it will be there.

Quote

Regarding the house edge it isn't the lowest among live games if your figures are correct. Blackjack house edge is almost 3 times lower than that, and Baccarat house edge is also lower than 1.5% even without commission and still lower than those figures if you bet on player.
Moreover you can find few slots claiming they have a RTP of 99%, which is hard to check though.


https://www.tangamsystems.com/post/north-america-its-time-to-adopt-no-commission-baccarat


I believe I never claimed that Craps has the lowest house edge? Although, it's among the lowest, and relatively very low compared to slot machines.
2055  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 05, 2022, 08:12:41 AM
If it was buying real Bitcoins to HODL, and not trading futures contracts with leverage, then definitely there's nothing to be worried about. It's just the bear part of the market cycle. During the bull part of the cycle, the same people who didn't buy and merely looked at the DIP, WILL wish that they bought the DIP. The market is giving us plebs a gift, another Golden Opportunity.
How about today? Is this the right time to buy? Is it possible that the price of Bitcoin will drop even further so that we can buy at the right price. The bull market has ended, and is now in a bear market. Of course we are difficult to predict when the bear market will end.


Pretend you are in 2025, zooming out Bitcoin's chart to the maximum. You can't pretend that? OK, you are in 2022, zooming out Bitcoin's chart to the maximum. Look where are 2019, and 2015. I believe that's what it will be like, but it will be more like 2015 because the next bull cycle WILL be like 2015 - 2017's surge. After the crash/recession/reset, there will be a FRESH, MASSIVE QE to revive the economy. Maximum bearishness will cause maximum bullishness.
2056  Economy / Economics / Re: China tells state banks to prepare for a massive dollar dump on: October 05, 2022, 07:54:08 AM
Although, isn't China still one of the largest HODLers of United State debt, and U.S. Dollars? Why would they start dumping an asset that they are largely exposed to, and crash the price of that asset? Do they truly want to crash the currency of U.S. economy, the largest importer of their exports?
Good questions and I'm afraid we will have a better answer for them in the future. For now it is worth knowing that China has been slowly pulling out of US economy for months now. A large number of businesses already left US, a lot of Chinese companies pulled out of US stock exchange and investors also pulled their money out.

It is also worth knowing that if they go ahead with the plans to bring Taiwan back to China, most probably US is going to do the same they did to Russia which is to sanction them! In which case US will no longer be "largest importer of their exports" and the incentive to baghold USD is no longer there for the Chinese.


I misunderstood China's intentions, but stompix posted a very good point on why China is preparing for a "massive U.S. Dollar dump". It's just to prop up it's own currency, the Yuan.

Perhaps the Fed's tightening to stop, and reverse inflation in the country is having a negative effect from China's point of view. Because through a strong Dollar, and from China's point of view, it might be that inflation is also being exported to them. Haha.
2057  Economy / Economics / Re: China tells state banks to prepare for a massive dollar dump on: October 04, 2022, 12:03:55 PM
Although, isn't China still one of the largest HODLers of United State debt, and U.S. Dollars? Why would they start dumping an asset that they are largely exposed to, and crash the price of that asset? Do they truly want to crash the currency of U.S. economy, the largest importer of their exports?
2058  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 04, 2022, 09:32:53 AM
Quote

EU to Soften Sanctions on Russian Banks to Allow Food Trade

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2022-07-19/eu-to-soften-sanctions-on-russian-banks-to-allow-food-trade

The Bank of England Just Made a Hard Pivot on Monetary Policy. Will the Fed Follow Suit?

https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/03/bank-of-england-hard-pivot-monetary-policy-fed/

To 'Step Back From the Edge of Recession,' UN Urges Central Banks to Stop Rate Hikes

https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022/10/03/step-back-edge-recession-un-urges-central-banks-stop-rate-hikes


The Federal Reserve, and all of the other Central Banks around the globe CANNOT tighten forever. The Bank of England "made a hard pivot" to QE to bring forth liquidity to their bond market to save its pension funds from losing money. If they didn't do it, pensions would be LOST.

Will the FED also pivot? Will it be UPTOBER? Cool



Buy the DIP, and?
2059  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Privilege to teach Bitcoin in church on: October 04, 2022, 05:14:43 AM
It was been looking good that there is a growing interest in the community. Well, teaching these people is not hard knowing that they will certainly listen and their minds are wide open to understand how this works. It simply won't be done easily, probably not in a single day but I was sure these people who see the potential of Bitcoin will get what it deserves them. As the discussion continue, they find out that those who say it was scam or ponzi are wrong.
Those who initially said it was a scam and ponzi of course they didn't know what bitcoin was and how bitcoin worked because they didn't get any education about bitcoin. When there is a moment like this, where the young people around give some important education about bitcoin, their minds will open and understand how bitcoin works. This makes them more interested in learning about bitcoin and the technology behind it. this is the first step for them to be more advanced and not left behind by the others.


It's not a scam, but it can be debated that it started as a "Naturally-Occurring Ponzi" because most of its value is market-driven, but not a "Ponzi" as in there's a centralized entity to "scam" you. Bitcoin is just like Gold. It started to be HODLed, and valued, with a market behind it causing its price to surge, and to sell it higher, someone must enter the system with new money. THEN an economy was built around it through the first dark markets, giving it a "circular economy" and real world value. That's when it stopped being a "Ponzi" in my opinion.
2060  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I need help on Option Trading on: October 04, 2022, 05:02:12 AM
Nobody really, except maybe a small number of institutions really trade Bitcoin options. They are popular for stocks but in forex or crypto nobody trades them. The liquidity is also bad.

Most just trade the futures or the perps. It gives you lots of leverage and has great liquidity. You should focus on this. Options are usually priced against you and you need to get the direction and time correct to make a profit, very difficult to do.


I believe it's not just the institutions anymore. Plebs like us, perhaps absolutely no one uses it except for the purposes of gambling/trying options, but there might currently be more whales during this cycle that use a more advanced strategy that utilizes options for hedging their long or short positions than the last cycle.

It's probably good to learn about options to understand its effect on the market when their expiries are coming.
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