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1241  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Ledger hardware wallet offering custody for seed backups on: May 18, 2023, 10:16:51 AM

What are your thoughts?


Thoughts? Simple.

Don't update your firmware if you already own a Ledger, don't buy a Ledger if you don't own one. Buy a Trezor, preferably a Trezor One because it has lower attack vectors.

We can't trust a company which was breached in the past before. Plus how can we verify that they haven't already backdoored their devices?
1242  Economy / Services / Re: 🚧[OPEN] [banned mixer] | Bitcoin Mixer | Signature Campaign ~ Up to $130/week on: May 17, 2023, 06:02:10 AM
Bitcointalk Username: Wind_FURY
SegWit BTC Address: bc1qkj69e8cd6twqlcedfk5cdlsfrfw3q6l43mufk3
Merits Earned  in 120 Days: 75
1243  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Solidity scripts in Bitcoin transactions using Inscriptions on: May 17, 2023, 05:47:52 AM
Here's a crazy idea. Rather than embedding stupid jpegs in the witness data, what about embedding solidity scripts? The capabilities of Bitcoin could potentially be expanded tremendously. Opinions?
Great idea but why not directly embed a *solid* language in your few transaction-bytes instead, like c++ for example.
Jokes aside, as already pointed out as long as which-ever-language is not part of the Bitcoin protocol, nothing will happen.  Tongue

And hopefully onchain program code (aside from the few op-return commands) will never be a thing with Bitcoin. No need for another turing-complete megachain. Just sidechain that shit or use a normal centralized server, which is probably the better solution in 99.9% of cases anyway.


It's probably the best time for developers who want to build on Bitcoin to start exploring Blockstream's Liquid Sidechain if they truly want to make something that utilizes BTC at the center and gives more value to it. Inscribing BRC-20 tokens through Ordinals, then using a centralized/trusted indexer for trades/transfers is definitely NOT a good solution. Although, BRC-20 users will spread the narrative that they're moving Bitcoin development forward, and the plebs will believe it.
1244  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: Ledger Recovery - Send your (encrypted) recovery phrase to 3rd parties entities on: May 17, 2023, 05:30:38 AM
Wait.... Just bought a Ledger wallet a week ago. I have some ETh inside. Should i take them off? Is it unsafe ?


I believe you're safe from the backdoor if you don't update the firmware.

Seriously, do the management teams behind both wallets understand nothing about bitcoin?
It would be fool to think that they don't understand the basic. Question is why they are pretending that the don't have the basic understanding. Who is behind all these?
Let me guess, it's those who are printing notes and doing everything from the tax payers money.

Question remains.
The device is not an offline device then?
Someone please answer it.


The trust is currently broken. Ledger says anyone can opt-out of the service, but how can we verify that the backdoor wasn't there the whole time?

Ledger said it's "impossible for them to extract" the master key from the device, then they're currently saying that they backdoored the device to "allow" them to extract the master key? Laughable.
1245  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: May 16, 2023, 02:42:07 PM
I believe we should be like James. Not investing in Real Estate, just keeps reading about Bitcoin, and who's remembered for just reading about Bitcoin. In 5 to 6 years after a market surge bringing Bitcoin to six digits, they will remember.



Buy the DIP, and HODL.

 Cool
1246  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Civil War on: May 16, 2023, 02:29:17 PM
But be careful with the narrative debating that "it's not an attack", because Ordinals could be used as an attack that could hide itself behind Bitcoin's very ethos of permissionlessness and censorship-resistance.

Yeah but its not though.

Its literally just a bunch of degens who are using Bitcoin blockspace for their latest round of Ponzi hot potato passing. Once they grow bored of it, and they will, they'll simply move on to the next thing and fees will go back to normal (or at least substantially lower). I have heard the conspiracy theory that BSV people are behind it, and there are indeed developers from there working on ordinals and BRC20 stuff, but that's simply because its more profitable to work on BTC than BSV.


I never said anything is/was an "attack", I merely said that Ordinals "could be" used to attack the network. Because from a technical and practical standpoint in any software application - the more features it has, the more attack vectors it will also have. It's a fact.
1247  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Solidity scripts in Bitcoin transactions using Inscriptions on: May 16, 2023, 11:32:09 AM
Here's a crazy idea. Rather than embedding stupid jpegs in the witness data, what about embedding solidity scripts? The capabilities of Bitcoin could potentially be expanded tremendously. Opinions?
Unless Bitcoin node actually execute and verify those solidity scripts, anyone can embed invalid solidity script or perform illegal operation (e.g. mint near unlimited amount of token). If Bitcoiner want turing complete script, they should consider using Bitcoin side-chain instead.

Well the Bitcoin node doesn't have to execute the scripts. The people that care about the scripts would do that and they could easily verify the validity of the scripts. The effect would be something like a side chain, but embedded in the chain itself.

I don't know if it, or something similar, is a good idea or not, but if it valuable and economically viable, it will happen.


If the script needs to be censorship-resistant, and makes a way for it to be more permissionless, then it will definitely be a good idea. I.E. a mixer that reads instructions onchain, then executes them in a sidechain/offchain. I'm not a very technical person, I don't know if that's possible, but something that increases permissionlessness will always be good for Bitcoin.
1248  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Civil War on: May 16, 2023, 11:06:46 AM
I agree with your point, OP.
This Ordinals BS being portrayed as some kind of attack over the Bitcoin Core blockchain is something that annoys me.
It's not an attack. It's just a bunch of NFT holders, who don't care about congesting the blockchain with transactions and paying higher transaction fees. I'm not blockchain developer or expert, but my proposal is to impose a high minimum fee for the Ordinals transactions.
Let's see if those NFT holders will be so happy to pay 100-200 or 300 USD fee per transaction and keep congesting the blockchain. Grin


But be careful with the narrative debating that "it's not an attack", because Ordinals could be used as an attack that could hide itself behind Bitcoin's very ethos of permissionlessness and censorship-resistance. The fact that developers are willing to build inefficient apps on the Bitcoin blockchain that doesn't solve anything, or doesn't push the network technologically forward, should tell us that these "improvements" are laughable from a development perspective.
1249  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Civil War on: May 15, 2023, 10:54:11 AM
But we're not talking about art. From a REAL developer's point of view, anything they build should be finding a better, more efficient solution in doing things, and BRC-20 "fungible" tokens, which truly are NOT fungible, are definitely NOT a better solution than what's currently available. Why are those developers forcing themselves to build their apps on something unreliable? What's their incentive?

I have no exact information about the intentions of the developers. However, it is highly likely that the desire to make money on the wave of hype with meme-tokens plays an important role. I don't really follow this shit, but I think there was a big story recently about a guy who bought Pepe's green frog tokens for $250 and soon made $8 million from it. Or something like that. In such conditions, development speed is much more important than quality, because it is important to catch the right moment.


Development speed" = merely riding the hype-wave while there are newbies and plebs who are willing to buy into their Ponzi?

Because scripting in Bitcoin is limited, and from a long term perspective, their "development" of "not-fungible tokens marketed as fungible" made through Ordinal inscriptions is already dead.

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This is the case when it is better to make a mistake at the right time than to do the right thing at the wrong time.


Like scammers?

 Cool


It was a surprise to me to learn that the Pepe green frog meme has a huge community of several million people who, for all their heterogeneity, are united by a strange kind of irrational love for the image of the green frog.

What if a significant proportion of these people are not willing to resell their token to earn a few dollars, but simply want to own the digital rights in the largest and most secure decentralized network to their copy of the green frog image, as a sign of belonging to this strange meme subculture?

I would refrain from calling them all scammers, they honestly paid the market price for their part of the deal and got what they wanted. Are those who gave them such an opportunity scammers? Without hard evidence, this sounds like a false accusation. And even if they really are scammers, so what? Is bitcoin no longer a trustless system? Does bitcoin need to start giving moral judgments to the content of the transaction in order to continue to work normally?


I'm not debating if something like the Pepe is a scam. I'm debating if the developers of BRC-20, because as I understood you said they are merely riding the hype-wave, are acting like scammers.

Because from a developers viewpoint it wouldn't be rational to build something that wouldn't be making it more efficient/better. Let's be frank, what they're developing won't make trading tokens better. In fact, they're making it more inefficient and more expensive. If the incentive is just "profit now", then they're like scammers? Cool
1250  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: May 15, 2023, 10:38:01 AM
I've read through the debates from both sides of the argument and played Devil's Advocate on one side, and then the other. After reading many opinions from early users, technical people, and fellow plebs, I agree with the argument that making an ideological debate out of this is a mistake.

We may not like "their" use case, but Bitcoin was designed to be permissionless and censorship-resistant. That means anyone can use it in the way they want as long as their use case is following the consensus rules. From a technical viewpoint, what changed?

Technically it should be blockchain which is getting used here and not the bitcoin. Blockchain is the real highway and other coins or tokens are just the vehicle riding on them. In similar fashion Ordinals NFT is using branch on the blockchain.


Technically, if I'm saying Bitcoin it's the Bitcoin network, which includes the blockchain, but you already knew that. If you don't, just get the context.

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More specifically “live data correction” can be done on the ordinals while on the regular NFT this upgrade is OFF CHAIN. It means whenever the later one is upgraded it needs to be refreshed on the server to see changes.

Ordinals are ON CHAIN so they are basically updated on the spot.


Ser? Can you give a more comprehensive explanation?

Quote

I’m not sure if it really affects the blockchain or not, but we surely need more space, powerful processors and obviously faster developments in the code to sustain for longer.
 

More data = more resources required.
1251  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will the Ordinals craze cause a UAHF soon? on: May 15, 2023, 08:23:25 AM
In other words, rejecting Ordinals transactions would bring censorship to the Blockchain. Bitcoin is decentralized and open to anyone, so why go ahead and block something you (developers) don't like? This would make BTC no different than banks. If people are not happy with the high fees, they could either make their own fork off the BTC blockchain or simply switch to an alternative chain with lower fees. The market will eventually decide the optimum network fees that will benefit both miners and users alike. Fees can't stay high forever, anyways. Things have settled a bit lately, so there should be nothing to worry about.

you do realise POOL MANAGERS take most the fee's not the asic owners(most pools share payments are the main reward not the fee element)

you do realise POOL MANAGERS can spend their own income in their own block templates(not zero confirm relay) where they give themselves a high fee(returning funds to themselves AT NO COST) but causing the crappy fee estimator of EVERYONE ELSE to be high


Most, not all? Is that what all the pools are doing? Doesn't it depend on the pool, and what kind of allocation schemes they share with the miners? Because it was probably OK when the pools got "most' of the coins collected from the transaction fees BEFORE, when most of miner-profit were from the actual block rewards.

I believe the only trusted source for anything about mining and mining pools is philipma1957. We should ask him what's the current state of profit sharing scheme between miners and pools.
1252  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will the Ordinals craze cause a UAHF soon? on: May 15, 2023, 05:25:50 AM
leading Bitcoin towards a hard fork (UAHF)?
We do not need a hard fork to fix the exploit they are using to attack bitcoin because the change would be adding more restrictions on the consensus rules instead of removing anything. This is backward compatible and can be achieved using a soft fork like all the previous soft forks.


Plus if the community truly finds and goes into consensus for a Hard Fork, we better take that as a Golden Opportunity for the Core Developers to make great improvements in the code. The opportunity would be wasted if it's merely just to remove a "feature/bug", depending on opinion, that doesn't really break the consensus rules.

Upgrades and development of the Bitcoin blockchain can be implemented even without Hardfork.  Softfork is enough since Segwit and Taproot had been implemented through soft-fork.  So I do not think that there is a need for Hardfork in order to solve the current problem.


I was merely saying, if everyone went into consensus for a hard fork, the communuty shouldn't waste the opportunity to include more important changes in the code? Changes like to make the network running a full node more efficient perhaps? Or anything to improve scaling. REAL SCALING, not the one the big blockers sell.

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Plus we could be quite confident that long term development for inscribing tokens through Ordinals is a dead end, nothing more can be done with it. Their "network" with a third party/trusted indexer is off-chain. It's better for their developers to use more efficient solutions, like Blockstream's Liquid Network or probably Counterparty?

I think removing Bitcoin Ordinals in the blockchain does not need hardfork, the developer just needs to disable the feature that allows it and it can be done without hardforking the network.


Get the context of my posts, I never said that it needed a hard fork ser.
1253  Economy / Economics / Re: The precondition for knowing when the Federal Reserve stops raising rates on: May 15, 2023, 05:12:58 AM
I hope to add the source and modify the images so that we can follow them with you. Reading the topic now is almost impossible.

I don't know where you got the data that the unemployment rate is so high, but I will use this source as a reference for the discussion.


It's actually VERY low. The data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Quote


Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate

It is true that the rate of 3.4% is a little high, but it is much lower than the rates for the year 2022, when inflation was high, which means that the Federal Reserve’s policy of raising interest rates, which started from the same period, had a positive effect on reducing the number of unemployment.

I agree that the data still needs more months to judge its accuracy, but it is good compared to the state of the economy.


And for some context, Low Unemployment data = High Demand, High Demand = High Inflation, High Inflation = Federal Reserve needs rate hikes to lower inflation, which needs lower demand, which also needs HIGH unemployment - a recession.

They wouldn't tell you that, but that needs to happen and it has always happened a majority of the time when the economy has "over-heated".

The Federal Reserve might start to pivot when they recognize that Unemployment is starting to surge.
1254  Economy / Economics / Re: The precondition for knowing when the Federal Reserve stops raising rates on: May 13, 2023, 03:06:36 PM
I think unemployment is just one of the factor from many which is either indirect symptom of inflation. Unemployment will only reduce the burden from industrialist shoulders to minimise the investment done on cost to company. This indirectly increases the revenue and profitability so that they could pay higher taxes. That’s how whole thing works in corporate sector.

However this is just one factor we are discussing here. It does not fully contribute to the enigma. From small business owner to farmer or from car dealer to manufacturer everything pushes the market demand up and down resulting into adjusted economic cycle and inflation fluctuates accordingly.

Right now demand is disturbed due to hiked interest rates and its not other way round tbh.


But it's the most important, highest one that has a direct impact on demand, and therefore has the most direct impact on inflation.

I don't want to make any predictions/forecasts, BUT I believe the Federal Reserve will only start cutting rates aggressively IF the unemployment rate starts surging, causing a recession.
1255  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will the Ordinals craze cause a UAHF soon? on: May 13, 2023, 02:52:20 PM
Full node operators can filter Ordinals from their mempool using Ordisrespector, but it won't make a difference because not the whole network would be doing it. Those transactions would still propagate.


Do we all want censorship from Bitcoin full node operators and miners on our transactions?

I believe that if they filter and censor transactions from Ordinals, they will be able to do the same for coins related to CoinJoin transactions or any reason they think is bad, serious and should be censored.


It's not what I personally want, but their full node, their mempool.

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It is not what Satoshi Nakamoto designed for Bitcoin and it is not what the Bitcoin community have tried to maintain since 2009.

Should we break it because of Ordinals?

My answer is very strong, No, I don't want it and I don't think we should have it.


Satoshi technically designed a permissionless, decentralized, censorship-resistant network, if we start calling for censorship for their use case of the blockchain, they might start calling for censorship for our use case of the blockchain.
1256  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will the Ordinals craze cause a UAHF soon? on: May 13, 2023, 10:49:23 AM
Fees on the Bitcoin blockchain have been on the rise ever since Ordinals became a big hit. There's a lot of NFT inscriptions that's making BTC slower and expensive to use. We've already seen some criticism by Bitcoin users all across social networks (Twitter). Last time I've checked, TX fees were as high as $30. It's insane!
Nah, although the fees is still high as compare before wherein we can pay 1 sat/vByte, now the fees is between 16 - 35 sat/vByte, and I think that is manageable, still less than 2$.

I'm beginning to wonder if nodes will eventually reject Ordinals transactions, leading Bitcoin towards a hard fork (UAHF)? If that happens, we'll be heading back towards the era of the scaling debate which lead to the creation of Bitcoin Cash (BCH). Do you think the new hard fork will be a success? Will it destroy/ruin Bitcoin? If not, why? Your input will be greatly appreciated. Thank you very much. Smiley

Depends on the nodes if they will eventually reject Ordinals, the point of contention is that it's business and they are making big money because we try to outbid each other to get our transaction to get into the next block, so that debate is going on right now.


Full node operators can filter Ordinals from their mempool using Ordisrespector, but it won't make a difference because not the whole network would be doing it. Those transactions would still propagate.

Quote

For all we know, those entities spamming bitcoin's network right now are the same individuals back in 2017 wherein we have a debate whether to increase block or not.


Possible, plausible, probable.

 Cool
1257  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: May 13, 2023, 10:32:09 AM
We may not like "their" use case, but Bitcoin was designed to be permissionless and censorship-resistant. That means anyone can use it in the way they want as long as their use case is following the consensus rules. From a technical viewpoint, what changed?

From a technical viewpoint, Bitcoin's code was changed with the Taproot patch that moved Bitcoin away from being purely a peer-to-peer electronic payment system as Satoshi envisioned, to include the "latest thing". One of the developers referred to this as "security regression."


Please tell me if I'm wrong, but didn't Bitcoin always have the abiity to store arbitrary data pre-Taproot?

Plus "Satoshi envisioned"? That's being ideological, no?

Quote

This is not what Bitcoin was designed to be.


Technically it's a permissionless, decentralized, censorship-resistant ledger. Any user, technically, can use it in different ways as long as it follows the consensus rules.

Quote

Being permissionless and censorship resistant are features of this payment system.

Now that payment system is being halted by a bug that was introduced.


It's the feature of the network.
1258  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: May 12, 2023, 12:32:15 PM
I've read through the debates from both sides of the argument and played Devil's Advocate on one side, and then the other. After reading many opinions from early users, technical people, and fellow plebs, I agree with the argument that making an ideological debate out of this is a mistake.

We may not like "their" use case, but Bitcoin was designed to be permissionless and censorship-resistant. That means anyone can use it in the way they want as long as their use case is following the consensus rules. From a technical viewpoint, what changed?
1259  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Technical Analysis (TA) & Macro Fundamental Analysis on: May 12, 2023, 11:57:04 AM
The CPI results are out and it's not too shabby. It's come in at 4.9% instead of the 5.0% that was expected. The core readings stayed put where they were predicted to be, so that's pretty much on par with what everyone was thinking.

But what does that mean for us? Well, the price is currently hovering around the first resistance level, so it's not really time to jump in just yet. We don't wanna risk getting burned, especially when we're still waiting to see how things will develop.

That being said, my prediction of an uptrend formation is still looking pretty good. I need more confirmations on the short term charts, and then start looking for some long setups. If we can develop a good uptrend here, then we definitely wanna ride that wave and make some gains.  Cool




What's your projection for the U.S. CPI during the months coming ahead? Will it continue to go down and give the Federal Reserve an opportunity to "ease"/pause their rate hikes? Will the U.S. have a "soft landing"? Or will we see more 25 BPS hikes?

The low unemployment data makes me believe that the Federal Reserve will not either ease or pause because doing it will definitely make inflation surge again. It happened during 1976 when Volcker, the Fed Chairman during that time, eased rates prematurely, then he was forced to raise rates more aggressively during 1977 to 1980 bringing recession in the country.

I'm merely an arm chair economist who likes to discuss, debate, and learn about different topics about Economics and Bitcoin.
1260  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will the Ordinals craze cause a UAHF soon? on: May 12, 2023, 06:57:21 AM
leading Bitcoin towards a hard fork (UAHF)?
We do not need a hard fork to fix the exploit they are using to attack bitcoin because the change would be adding more restrictions on the consensus rules instead of removing anything. This is backward compatible and can be achieved using a soft fork like all the previous soft forks.


Plus if the community truly finds and goes into consensus for a Hard Fork, we better take that as a Golden Opportunity for the Core Developers to make great improvements in the code. The opportunity would be wasted if it's merely just to remove a "feature/bug", depending on opinion, that doesn't really break the consensus rules.

Plus we could be quite confident that long term development for inscribing tokens through Ordinals is a dead end, nothing more can be done with it. Their "network" with a third party/trusted indexer is off-chain. It's better for their developers to use more efficient solutions, like Blockstream's Liquid Network or probably Counterparty?
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