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1401  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Taxes on NFT holders on: March 30, 2023, 06:24:32 AM
OP, will they do tax-cuts for losses from NFT "investing" as well? I believe there will be more tax-cuts than tax-payments.

 Cool

imagine it

paying tax on ingame purchases.. turns Steam into tax reporting agents of its customers rather than games retailers

so soon you wont be able to play online games without KYC


I could imagine it. There might not truly be a difference in how they could differentiate, and systemize, between an NFT and a CS:GO skin or WOW items. But I believe there would be a push-back from gaming companies, some sane politicians, and users if the government starts proposing KYC for gamers. Plus it cannot simply be done without legislation.
1402  Economy / Services / Re: [CFNP] BetterCallRaul.it No KYC Crypto Exchange Signature Campaign on: March 29, 2023, 08:01:54 AM
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1403  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] [banned mixer] Bitcoin Mixer | Sig Campaign | Up to 0.003 BTC/W on: March 29, 2023, 12:41:09 AM
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1404  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] BetterCallRaul.it No KYC Crypto Exchange Signature Campaign on: March 29, 2023, 12:39:10 AM
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1405  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] Yo!Mix Bitcoin Mixer Signature Campaign| Reward up to $100/w | 2/2 escrow on: March 29, 2023, 12:36:58 AM
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1406  Economy / Services / Re: 🚧[OPEN] [banned mixer] | Bitcoin Mixer | Signature Campaign ~ Up to $130/week on: March 29, 2023, 12:35:13 AM
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1407  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 28, 2023, 09:58:05 AM

oh and yes i do agree there is like 12 ass-kissing wannabe fangirls of core on this forum that idolise these exploits and defend devs.. but are not successfully getting recruited into being their official PR team because they are still penny pinching for income via sig spamming or merit cycling each other

that sounds like a strange situation indeed. i'm assuming all 12 of them are pro-ordinals for sure. but maybe not? Shocked what's the benefit of being on the "PR team" do they get chocolate chip cookies or something?


 Roll Eyes

Is that the new social drama? There are 12 "ass-kissing wannabe fangirls of Core" who are probably "Pro-Ordinals" too? That's confusing, because from the information I collected, the leading Core developers like Adam Back and Luke DashJr are anti-Ordinals. But no one really believes what franky101 posts unless you're a franky-fan-girl. Read his trust-rating. Cool
1408  Economy / Economics / Re: Fed on brink of fifth(?) round of quantitative easing on: March 28, 2023, 06:41:21 AM
Quote

Fed on brink of fifth(?) round of quantitative easing


OP, no, the Federal Reserve cannot risk another round of Quantitative Easing while inflation is high. That's the difference between 2008 and 2023. During 2008, the Federal Reserve had some elbow-room to expand their balance sheet, and print more money. They currently don't have it. What Jerome Powell should actually be doing is, to be more aggressive in hiking rates, and to raise it more than the rate of inflation and guide it down. It will cause a recession, and the recession is what will lower demand, then therefore also lower inflation. But if Jerome Powell doesn't control inflation and lower it, inflation will cause the recession while inflation itself remains high. It will be Stagflation = Recession + High Inflation, a harder economic situation.
1409  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: March 28, 2023, 06:17:41 AM
...
Technically if there's no vulnerability, then it's not an exploit, and if it's not an exploit, then it's not an attack. At the very least again, it's debatable. Plus there will be developers who could debate that a feature was discovered.

NFTs dramatically reduce the number of transactions confirmed per block.
They increase the number of unconfirmed transactions, which has been high for quite a while.

Quote

2023-03-25T20:27:37.244548Z CreateNewBlock(): block weight: 3984936 txs: 485 of 49756 fees: 0.09462871 sigops 2187


Not sure why anyone wouldn't call that an attack and an exploit.


Because saying it, and convincing everyone that it's "truly a fact", is wrong. It's not an actual fact, it's merely an opinion taken from another viewpoint, and at the very least saying it as a "fact" = debatable. The Ordinals users could also argue that "the definition of what Bitcoin truly is keeps moving after each discovery of the network's capabilities".

Having that said, but an actual attack CAN be built through the use of Ordinals, maybe to keep spamming the network to price out onchain financial transactions from the blockchain, or to attack Bitcoin's fungibility.
1410  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] whirlwind.money | Redefining Mixing | Signature Campaign ~Up to $150/week on: March 28, 2023, 02:41:03 AM
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1411  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] BetterCallRaul.it No KYC Crypto Exchange Signature Campaign on: March 27, 2023, 06:18:53 AM
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1412  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 25, 2023, 11:28:04 AM
That doesn't truly change the fact that it's ANNOYING, and the fees are more than what they were before Ordinals, doesn't it? I don't want to offend anyone who develops NFT projects, and/or collects/trades NFTs, but you told Artemis3 to move his transactions offchain. The same can be adviced for those dick pics and fart sounds in the blockchain, so in my personal opinion, move them offchain.

Well, he wanted to use LN which is offchain. It wasn't my idea, it was his. I'm providing an actionable solution to an easily solvable problem.


OK, I merely had a different impression.

Quote

What you are offering is just more opinions and complaints which doesn't actually help solve anything.


Opinions? Annoyed because of paying for higher fees, and waiting for a confirmation longer than usual is not merely an opinion, ser. It's truly annoying.

Complaints? Please read through my post history and tell me where I had a negative opinion about specifically Ordinals. In fact, I always try to give everyone, especially the newbies, a non-biased/objective viewpoint about it. I also said it's remarkable, BUT the things that can be built out of Ordinals could open opportunities to attack Bitcoin.
1413  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 25, 2023, 08:58:34 AM
[edited out]
JJG, I believe I may have been in a bearish mood when I posted that that day. But after some meditation, I give you a more bullish context. Bitcoin might start playing the role of "Honey Badger don't care" again and go up in defiance of what the economy, or the legacy markets are doing.
 Cool
Possible? Probably. Unbelievable? Perhaps, but we HODL!

It's not easy to refrain from getting caught up with whatever the BTC price might be doing in the short-term. .and then once some seemingly extreme BTC price move happens, then get caught into a kind of thinking/believe that the short-term direction (momentum) is going to continue (and then suddenly the momentum reverses), and for sure the past several weeks have played out in see-sawing kinds of ways for bitcoin, and even if we look at the BTC price charts, there is nothing in the charts that really look very scary - except perhaps that bitcoin seems to be (at least temporarily) playing out the opposite of the various other calamities that are taking place in the overall market - and there seems to be a quite a bit of hostility being expressed towards bitcoin and maybe even some decently strong attack actions too.. but like you mention, honey badger does not seem to give too many shits, and truly if various governments (like the USA) become more and more hostile (and wanting to battle with bitcoin), then it is likely going to cause battles within the country but also likely cause some of the BTC price movements to get their initiatives from outside the USA locations, so surely there are some sayings within bitcoin that governments are not able to ban bitcoin, but instead they are able to ban themselves from bitcoin..


....and we have seen quite a few examples of governments banning themselves (and frequently certain fall out to their citizens) from bitcoin, but then they seem as if they end up having to flip-flop in terms of their banning and unbanning and then banning again and just showing that they are not really able to have as BIG of an effect on "controlling" bitcoin as they seem to be striving to accomplish - especially since BTC is an international phenomena and the word is getting out more and more that bitcoin has a potentiality (and even a likelihood) to be able to benefit everyone, and even though the "rich" can benefit too, the "rich" are likely going to have their wealth transferred away from them because they are spending too much time failing/refusing to recognize bitcoin and/or to appropriately allocate into bitcoin, which continues to create opportunities that are available to less well off (less financially rich) than other folks in the world to be able to advantage themselves by investing into bitcoin and even attempting to be prudent about their creating and following an ongoing investment into bitcoin that likely will pay off well over the longer period - even if there are continued battles and uncertainties in the shorter-term periods.

and for sure none of this UPpity is guaranteed.. but yeah we HODL and we accumulate BTC if we still have not gotten enough and especially if we are barely starting in bitcoin then we should be considering buying regularly and then maybe saving extra to buy on dips too.. and yes, none of us know how much further dips there are going to be or how much should be saved for the further dips, and that remains part of the justification to just buy regularly and be careful not to wait around too much, just in case dips do not happen and just in case such dips (if they do happen?) do not go as low as anticipated.


That's true, JJG. That's why I believe one of the things that helped me HODL, even through all of the strongest temptations and fear, is keeping my coins in cold storage through an old computer, offline. I panic during crashes and get tempted to sell. BUT starting to get my USB HD, and thinking about the process of signing the transaction, sending the transaction, removing my USB HD from my computer to the other computer, I stop myself.

It was probably just my mood.

Furthermore, if in doubt, meditate with this meme in your mind.

1414  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool full? Long transaction times + fees x10! on: March 25, 2023, 08:45:32 AM
Yeah, I'm still waiting for the lightning channel; no tip for me today, thanks spammers.

If you were just trying to receive a tip, you could have opened up a custodial LN wallet and then transferred it to yourself later.

There's always solutions to problems caused by "high fees." Seems like people would just rather complain than consider them.

The weirdest is when people believe their complaints actually have some sort of effect on the situation.


That doesn't truly change the fact that it's ANNOYING, and the fees are more than what they were before Ordinals, doesn't it? I don't want to offend anyone who develops NFT projects, and/or collects/trades NFTs, but you told Artemis3 to move his transactions offchain. The same can be adviced for those dick pics and fart sounds in the blockchain, so in my personal opinion, move them offchain.
1415  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: March 24, 2023, 11:21:51 AM
That's merely an opinion,

And that's your opinion because what I said is a fact.


Actually, no, and at the very least, it's debatable. But let's just agree to disagree.

Quote

Quote

but technically it's wrong because an "exploit" in computing is an actual attack that takes advantage of a vulnerability in a computing system. Ordinals is neither an attack, nor Taproot has a vulnerability. Newbies are reading our posts, let's not spread misinformation.


There is no vulnerability in Taproot, there is an exploit in implementation of Taproot that is in bitcoin core. The core devs either didn't foresee this attack vector or they saw it and didn't care enough to prevent it just like they'd prevented similar attack vectors in the past through standard rules.


Technically if there's no vulnerability, then it's not an exploit, and if it's not an exploit, then it's not an attack. At the very least again, it's debatable. Plus there will be developers who could debate that a feature was discovered.
1416  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 23, 2023, 02:50:51 PM
Whether you buy the dip, or you DCA.. or you HODL ... or you do some variation of that, if your investment timeline is 4-10 years or longer, you are likely coming across more cash during that time and you are likely witnessing a decent amount of BTC price volatility along the way.. so yeah, if you are able to figure out when and where the dips are, then you are likely going to be better off by being able to time the buying of BTC during the various dips.. yet it seems to me that figuring out the dips and getting it right is not an easy task, so any of us who are in bitcoin for a decent amount of time and are continuing to add to our position with the passage of time, we are likely going to realize that sometimes we are just throwing up our hands and just sucking it up.. and buying at whatever price because we are having difficulties figuring out whether the BTC price is going to dip more and also we might well be able to see that we are accumulating cash with the passage of time and we would rather store some of that cash in bitcoin rather than continuing to hold it in cash and waiting for a dip that may or may not come.
Your insights about difficulties of timing the market and accurately predicting the dips in Bitcoin price are accurate. It is true that investing in Bitcoin is a long term game to make your investment profitable. It is also important to have a well thought out plan that aligns with your investment goals and risk tolerance. Dollar cost average (DCA) is a popular strategy to mitigate the impact of market volatility but we should keep in mind  that no investment strategy is entirely fool proof and there are always risk involved with investment.

I am not really sure if your response is saying much of anything.**

(**ps.. I am not proclaiming to be saying much of anything either.. even though I felt somewhat compelled to attempt a response.... so there is that angle, too)..

We can choose to invest or not to invest into anything...  and those are investments of time, energy, psychology and financial value... invest or consume... or maybe there are more ways to frame our choices?

We can also choose how much to allocate to any investment, including choosing not to invest anything or to do nothing, which may well still add up to something similar to not investing anything.

Sometimes when we are young, we are not sure what we do not know, and so we are learning along the way, and surely some people start out with bad information, bad circumstances and bad options (or at least not very many options), and sometimes they can make choices to increase the odds that they will do better in life or that they might end up doing worse in life than what they could have had done.

Some folks have to work harder than others, and sometimes the hard work does not end up paying off, and maybe it could be more guaranteed that a person will not advance if they do not make any preparations to invest in themselves in various kinds of ways - and sometimes any of us could be presented with opportunties at certain ages, but those opportunities might not be available at later points in our lives, so if we do not choose at a certain point when we are in our 20s, we might not be able to make similar choices in our 30s, 40s or 50s because those opportunities to invest versus consume are no longer available.

In regards, to the bitcoin price it is possible that this week is the last time ever that prices will be below $30k, so there could be an opportunity to invest..

But the fact of the matter remains that we do not know, and we could be kicking ourselves if we took out a loan for all of our income for the next 5 years and we invested it into bitcoin at $27.5k, but then for the next 5 years, bitcoin prices end up getting stuck between $5k and $15k until the year 2028.... so then our investment ended up NOT paying off in a positive way, and we would have had been better off to just invest with money coming in rather than to front load our investment into bitcoin.

There are other ways that the future ends up playing out that our investment pays off stupendously, and our leveraging (including our having had taken out a loan - almost in a gambling capacity) had paid off way more than a more strict approach that relied only upon our income as it comes in.

Some folks are more inclined to gamble with the various ways that they invest, and surely some of us (including yours truly) would proclaim that they are not investing because they are inadequately accounting for the various outcome directions, so even if they might be successful for a while, if they continue with that kind of practice, the odds become higher that they are going to end up either losing big time or to at least have had done worse than if they had taken a more prudent approach.. .. there are ways to be aggressive and prudent at the same time, and frequently the line is not clear... the line between investing and consumption might not be clear and the line between investing and gambling might not be clear either... yet each of us has to make our choices based on the information and resources that we have available, even if we might not actually understand the information or the resources that we have available or how that we can use our information/resources and even if there might be people in the world with better information/resources than us.. and sometimes the one with inferior information/resources will later surpass the person who had superior information/resources based on choices that had been made earlier in life.  Of course, there are no guarantees that doing the right (or better) thing will end up paying off.

Bitcoin is surging, and it has gone over $26,000. But I'm not yet that convinced that we're starting a new bull cycle. Is it time to buy EVERY DIP? Yes. Has Bitcoin reached the bottom during November? Most probably. But because of the Macro-Economic situation around the world with inflation also surging, I believe the Central Banks might start being more aggressive to control it = more tightening. Because if the Central Banks cannot control it, inflation itself will cause a recession, and that will definitely not be good for everyone.
You are a bit ambiguous both in terms of your prognostication regarding what might happen and also lack of specificity regarding what constitutes a "dip" worth buying.
#justsaying for a friend.
I can't be more specific because a mere pleb like me can't predict precisely where Bitcoin will go.

Of course, no one can predict, and some folks have better information views than others, and some people figure out better ways to "play" their options/outlooks than others.

I'm simply making a shower thought/musing that because inflation remains to be sticky, the Federal Reserve might be more aggressive in tightening/QT to reduce demand to bring inflation down. I believe THAT will bring forth a recession. The "soft landing" the Federal Reserve wants is improbable.

If the Federal Reserve pauses QT and rate hikes, or do the worse, PIVOT and actually reduce rates/start QE, inflation will go up and also bring forth a recession. It might be worse, a depression.

Yes.  There are ways to play your bitcoin options that give a lot of weight to that or alternatively there are ways to play your bitcoin option in ways that attempt to account for more important (and other) variables... in order that you are largely prepared for no matter what ends up happening....

For years there have been people who have been basing their investment choices into bitcoin based on what they believe that the fed will do and/or other macro factors, and they have been touting out nonsense regarding how bitcoin prices are correlated to equities, fed rates and various other macro factors like that, and sure there may well be some short term correlation, but a lot of people have gotten fucked because they fail/refuse to appreciate the reality that bitcoin is way less correlated than what the various pundits are proscribing it to be.

Where does that put Bitcoin? It might crash it back near $16,000 again. Another Golden Opportunity.

Yes.. of course, anything could happen, including that the bottom of $15,479 might not be in... but also it is also possible that the bottom is in, and we will never see prices below $27k ever again.

I would suggest that it would be better to be prepared for a variety of scenarios, while at the same time appreciating that some scenarios are more likely than others, and frequently, it is not too your interest to put too much preparation into scenarios that are less likely to happen or to prepare for something that is going to cost you a lot to prepare for and it might not end up happening...

so yeah..

choices must be made regarding how much dry powder to deploy, under what circumstances and whether whatever you have been doing is already good enough or whether there is some need to tweak what you were doing to bring you into better alignment....

Not too many folks are going to know whether you are sufficiently/adequately aligned or not better than yourself, but sometimes even the self makes mistakes.. so shit does end up happening, including that we have had more than 9 months of opportunity to accumulate more bitcoin through a buying on the dip approach, so it may well be overly expecting matters in which more dip opportunities are coming... They might come, and they might not come, and hopefully, you are already sufficiently and adequately prepared for UP, just in case more dip does not end up happening.

During 2019, a surge happened too, from $3,000 to $14,000, then it went down near $3,000. Although, I'm wrong most of the time.

Yes.. I surely do remember that, and yes something like that could end up happening, or it might not.  We are not currently in 2019 - even if there could be some similar dynamics going on, yet there could be some dynamics going on that end up looking way more clear down the road after the whole matter plays out, and maybe instead of correcting back down after a 3.5x price appreciation, no correction ends up happening.

I am not going to proclaim to either know what is going to happen, but I am not going to deviate from practices that I have already established over the more than 9 years that I have been in bitcoin in that I am largely prepared for either direction and even extremes, and in my own experience, the longer that any of us has been in bitcoin, the more that we should be able to figure out how much resources we are going to put into (or hold aside) in order to prepare for extremes in either direction that might happen (or might not end up happening).


JJG, I believe I may have been in a bearish mood when I posted that that day. But after some meditation, I give you a more bullish context. Bitcoin might start playing the role of "Honey Badger don't care" again and go up in defiance of what the economy, or the legacy markets are doing.

 Cool

Possible? Probably. Unbelievable? Perhaps, but we HODL!
1417  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Can old trading strategies work again? on: March 23, 2023, 08:27:06 AM
Quote
   
Can old trading strategies work again?


It can, and I believe the reason for it is because markets move in cycles, and the psychology of the participants of the market adjust together with it through the cycles.

I know that sounds confusing, but the best way I can explain it is when everyone uses the same trading strategy, its effectiveness to gain profit becomes less and less. Let's pretend everyone want an "old strategy" of buying the DIP, waiting for the right DIP. The market would then go lower and lower, giving opportunity to the short sellers = the right trading strategy for the current cycle. But the selling won't last because the market WILL run out of sellers, THEN the "old strategy" of buying the DIP starts working again.

It's merely a simplification of a more complex topic, sorry if I can't explain it good enough.

 Cool
1418  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: March 23, 2023, 08:00:58 AM
Bottom line is no matter how a small group of people swing this, Ordinals is an exploit since it is using it in a way that is should not be used, ergo it is categorized as an attack on bitcoin.

That's merely an opinion, and I respect it, but technically it's wrong because an "exploit" in computing is an actual attack that takes advantage of a vulnerability in a computing system. Ordinals is neither an attack, nor Taproot has a vulnerability. Newbies are reading our posts, let's not spread misinformation.

Do I like NFT onchain in the Bitcoin blockchain? No. Do I support Ordinals? No. Do I think Ordinals can be utilized to attack the network? Yes, but let's not gaslight the people.
1419  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN][AVATAR OPEN Reward $20/w] SINBAD MIXER Signature & Campaign. Up-to $130/W on: March 22, 2023, 10:36:22 PM
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1420  Economy / Economics / Re: The world continues dumping US dollar (Gold, New World Order, World War III) on: March 22, 2023, 05:15:29 AM
Let's bring the discussion back to dedollarisation instead of War Propaganda.

Let me share a theory I heard recently that involves possible Finland joining NATO and collapse of (Soviet)United (Union)States.

We know that one of the major factors contributing to the collapse of the Soviet Union was economical. All those little countries with loads of economical problems were under the Soviet umbrella and Soviets had to provide them with enough incentive to keep the "loyal". To put simply as the economical problems grew, eventually the whole thing collapsed.

A very similar situation is happening again. It is not example a "union" like Soviet Union but more like a bloc were US is absorbing all these little countries into it. All of them (the entire Europe) has been facing a crisis and US not only been incapable of helping but they've made everything a lot worse by printing more dollars and exporting that inflation to Europe and by selling energy at extremely high prices and at small amounts that helped deindustrialization of Europe. Now more little countries like Finland with all their economical problems are being added to this "bloc" while US economy is slowly collapsing itself.

On the other side we have an Eastern Bloc that consists of the strongest economy (China), members from the West (like South America including Brazil), almost all the energy in the world (Iran has been in the bloc from day 1, Arabs are joining in like Saudi regime which is literary the only reason why Petrodollar is alive, tiny Arab nations like Qatar/UAE/..., Venezuela and more),... and the whole bloc's economy has been growing over the past year while separating itself from the failing Western Economy and also from Dollar.

The theory is that some experts suggest that what we are witnessing today is the start of the collapse of United States in a very similar way Soviet Union collapsed.
This also means more tensions, more conflicts and more nuclear threat.... and threat of WWIII which could also be averted when US collapses like Soviet Union did and nuclear war was averted in 1990's.


OK, you posted your theory. Playing the Devil's Advocate, let me post something that's actually happening in practice. BRICS can't compete with the United States Dollar system because BRICS can't run their own systems properly. Do the research on that.

World trade chooses the United States Dollar system because nothing else can compete with it in? Spendability, Saveability, and Liquidity. It's simply the easiest currency to move, makes the most practical choice to hold because it's the easiest to move in/out to/from it, and everyone wants to accept/transact in it, including China.
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