The first person to roll 30 or more losing bets in a row at 50.0000% on Just-Dice gets a 1 BTC or 80 CLAM prize, no strings attached.
1 in around 1,451,590,215 rolls? Dang! That's how often losing streaks of length 30 or more come up if you play at 50.5%.ashfaq is talking about playing at 50%, and so that's the chance you have to play at to qualify for the prize I'm offering. It's 1 in 1,073,741,824, since losing at 50% is a bit easier than losing at 50.5%. Showing my working: >>> 1 / (1 - 50.5/100) ** 30 1451590214.9428499>>> 1 / (1 - 50.0/100) ** 30 1073741824.0 Note: this is why I wrote this a while back: it should only happen about once per BILLION rolls.
1 / (1 - 50.5/100) ** 30 1451590214.9428499 It should be: 1/(0.505^30) [or 1 / (50.5/100) ** 30] = 796633667.012 i.e. 1 in 796633667 rolls. For that, 1073741824 is the right one of course. I had calculated the win odds instead of the lose odds, but you didn't find that.
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Multipliers: (center to extreme) --------------------------------------------------- 0.1 0.1 3 0.1 2 2 1 5 1000 --------------------------------------------------- Max amount playable: 0.1 --
Odds: 98.292% Max win: 100.00 BTC Name: Winner Bitcoin Address: 3QpPvuk4LUYzDQgHt8zqZqCMugMNxg76W3
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A work of art with MS Paint.
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NO one hit jackpot yet ? How to Calculate Probability of it at 200 million bets ?
Dooglus did this a while back. Not for 200 million bets, but the probability of the jackpot in general. Found a few: Rolling a prime betid is 5.00% (1 in 20) Rolling a prime epoch time is 4.54% (1 in 22) Rolling both primes at the same time is 0.23% (1 in 440) Rolling the right number is 0.01% (1 in 10,000)
What is the chance of winning the jackpot?
About 1 in 20 to get a prime betid, 1 in 22 to get a prime unixtime, and 1 in 10k to roll the right number. That makes 1 in 4.4 million overall. Finally, since the Unix time is prime about 1/22 of the time, and the betid is prime about 1/20 of the time, and you hit the required number 1/10000 of the time, betting 1 satoshi will hit the jackpot about 1 in 22*20*10000 bets. That's 1 in 4.4 million bets. But the jackpot is 20% of 1 BTC, or 20 million satoshis. That makes the jackpot very +EV:
>>> 100 * (1 - 20/4.4) -354.5454545454545
The house edge when betting 1 satoshi is minus 354.5%...
^I am not sure if this one is up to date.
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Still for sale, 112 referrals now!
What is yesterday's profit? and this week's profit? Is it possible to change the email related to it, so that you can't reset the password lateR?
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Loan due.
7 more days to last date.
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Another way to look at it: Since 0 satoshi bets are delayed by 0.3 seconds on JD, the average time needed with non-stop betting would be 2^30*0.3s = 3728 days. That's right! If you want to be clicking the 'hi' button for the next 10 years to win a free 1 BTC, be my guest! Well, if Just-Dice gets a few million rolls per day, it is quite probably that someone will hit it, may be twice a year.
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The first person to roll 30 or more losing bets in a row at 50.0000% on Just-Dice gets a 1 BTC or 80 CLAM prize, no strings attached.
1 in around 1,451,590,215 rolls? Dang! That's how often losing streaks of length 30 or more come up if you play at 50.5%. ashfaq is talking about playing at 50%, and so that's the chance you have to play at to qualify for the prize I'm offering. It's 1 in 1,073,741,824, since losing at 50% is a bit easier than losing at 50.5%. Showing my working: >>> 1 / (1 - 50.5/100) ** 30 1451590214.9428499 >>> 1 / (1 - 50.0/100) ** 30 1073741824.0 Note: this is why I wrote this a while back: it should only happen about once per BILLION rolls.
Right. Sorry, no idea where got the number from Probably took the win chance I think with 1% edge.
Yeah, I didn;t read it properly and took 2x instead. 1/(0.5^30) = 1 in 1073741824 rolls.
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Went till 2.2btc then bust finally, anyway happy that I rained like 0.3 of it away before busting, although still think I should've withdrawn at 2btc xD.
Hope you are on a profit. I'd say withdraw part of your profits (and deposit) when you are up a reasonable level, so that you don't lose all your funds once you have a bad streak. Sorry for your loss. Great job with the rain tho.
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well buddy dont want to argue on this but , if the numbers r not tampered then why do i always get 30 reds at 50% chance while martingale
You don't. Nobody ever rolled 30 losses in a row at 50% at Just-Dice. If you can provide a legit screenshot of it happening even once (edit: at Just-Dice) I will send you 1 BTC or 80 CLAMs, your choice. maybe clarify weather or not it has to be on martingale settings (low only or high only) instead of manual betting? i feel like people would actively try to manual bet their way to 30 losses in a row just for the 1 btc/80 CLAMs. I was specifically making the offer to ashfaq, but sure, why not. I'll open it to anyone. The first person to roll 30 or more losing bets in a row at 50.0000% on Just-Dice gets a 1 BTC or 80 CLAM prize, no strings attached.PM me on this forum to claim your prize, telling me the betid of the first loss in the sequence, set your emergency withdrawal address on your Just-Dice account to a BTC or CLAM address depending on how you want the prize, and I'll send it there. I don't care what stakes you use. You can flat bet zero amounts if you like. Then you'll see just how rare it is to see 30 or more losses in a row at 50%, and be less likely to believe ashfaq's story. 1 in around 1451590215 rolls? Dang!
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You have add Ethereum for deposit/withdraw , congratulation, is the first casino/dice i usee with this new coin. I have received a withdraw very slow
Yep, possibly only for that coin.
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Congrats for winning the auction and best of luck for your business.Hopefully new management will make the Quantum Dice one of the most successful and user friendly site where users will have priority.
"Silent" partner with educational motive . Not part of management.
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Same here. Looks like that happened to everyone?
What happened to everyone btw? is it that you are unable to type in the chatbox or that the apps was disabled automatically? If it is the former then so far only yahoo reported that issue and if it is the later then YES it happened to everyone due to the false alarm from Moneypot. For safety precautions it seems Ryan disabled the apps from all players to do some checking yesterday and turns out that it is only a false alarm, sorry for the inconvenience LOL, sure. I couldn't find BetterBets today. Thought something is weird until I found a "1" beside the "Disabled" tab. lol. Didn't remember disabling it, and I was sure I didn't do it. Not really something to concern about.
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i had to enable the app today myself. now i can access the games but chats not working for me at all. i can see ppl talking and when i type nothing shows up? ?? Same here. Looks like that happened to everyone?
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I wanted to deposit the altcoin Dash and your interface told me I would get about 57k satoshi for 0.05 Dash.
But after I send the coins I got only 47k satoshi and this is already the second time I tried this.
Can anyone explain this?
Here you'll find some information on the ShapeShift fee structure: https://shapeshift.io/aboutWe are crediting whatever ShapeShift is sending us. Ok, so ShapeShift reduces the amount by a constant fee for the receiving currency. Maybe you could place a hint for altcoin deposits that ShapeShift takes extra fees. oh wow does it happen with bigger amounts too? keep me updated on whether i should stay away for a while if this problem will not be solved soon
It only affects altcoin deposits and as stated above the fees are constant, so bigger amounts will have the same fee. I simply didn't know that DaDice uses ShapeShift and was therefore confused by the reduction...sorry for the inconvenience AFAIK, the fees is small. The extra part comes from the difference between lowest ask and highest bid. So, if you got Bitcoin, prefer to use that. And avoid recurring depositing and withdrawing to reduce the effect of ask-bid spread.
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Wohoo had a good streak today . Made 0.4 from 0.28 , wanted only 0.3 so rained the rest off. Must've been my greatest rain to date.
Nice luck, good job for raining it to others Way to go, mate. Rare to see such generous people around.
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.. ndnhc from dadice.
LOL, srsly, this has nothing to do with Da Dice. I don't own/control/anything like that DD either. I agreed around 20% share with him, so that I can just know and observe the technical aspects of it. Congrats ndnhc for have your first dice site as you was the campaign manager of DaDice so that thing made him confused you are part of this site, i wish you luck for this and i hope you will bring some interesting contest for this to get attention for players. Sorry, a little bit confused from our conversations. Anyway congrats, hope it works out for you. I'm going to be on a long period of inactivity starting next week. Probably because of my signature. Sure. Good luck. Transfer everything to him (not me) - all that in the list as agreed, when he is ready. I have paid my part to him and all is settled between me and Rmcdermott927. ttyl
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.. ndnhc from dadice.
LOL, srsly, this has nothing to do with Da Dice. I don't own/control/anything like that DD either. I agreed around 20% share with him, so that I can just know and observe the technical aspects of it. Edit: His share is 80%. He makes all the decisions. Am the silent partner.
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The thread is too long to read, so does whatever OP says still hold true? or was it disproved (that seems unlikely)?
Nothing seems to have changed and it still requires a click to see the hash, and everything is vague. I anyway, tried it with a small deposit and lost it, tho that doesn't mean anything..
IMO, 999dice is highly suspicious, and doesn't seem to be provably fair.
Well all his accusations have strong evidence behind them, unfortunately its impossible to prove if they are indeed cheating, more or less like dadice case where they didnt want to show the cold wallet and now people is calling them scammers. If so, then 999dice is not provably fair. Provably fair requires guarantee that the fairness is provable. Not provable (even in a single scenario) = Not provably fair. Whenever I tried 999dice before or after this, I had always ended up losing my funds. Though it doesn't actually mean anything, I am not going to deposit there whatever happens. I usually don't end up losing the entire deposit like that unless I am chasing something. https://www.moneypot.com/users/ndnhcDa Dice is provably fair. No one has complained about not honoring withdrawals or anything. All that is there is (in the words of the those who suspect so ), there is no assurance that Da Dice has the funds they claim. It is approx. 500 to 600 BTC before kelly. I am personally positive that they have the funds. The campaign budget (proposed to me while making decisions) was big enough that such amount is only expected. Claiming it a scam for not providing the signed message is absurd though some like QS do, and is not right and is only a speculation on the part.
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