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481  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Woman won $43million but was offered a steak dinner instead of her winnings on: January 10, 2023, 07:57:20 PM
Unfortunately, this happens a lot more than we know. Casinos don't mind taking your money, but as soon as you win big, there's all kinds of excuses. There was a man that took one of the big three to court in the UK over a multi million pound bet, I believe it was a sport bet. They refused to pay initially. I do believe he won in court though.

I can't imagine what it feels like to see that you've won some big money, legitimately, and then get rejected the withdrawal. If you take them to court, you'll likely win. However, it's the hassle of that, and I suppose they're hoping you take the easier route, and likely will attempt to settle outside of the court for much less than the actual winnings.
482  Other / Meta / Re: What one change would you like to see in bitcointalk in 2023 on: January 10, 2023, 07:43:14 PM
Additionally, every time you make a comment when reporting a post, it is saved so all you have to do to get an option is to enter first letter of your report in order to get all of them. So for example, if you reported post by writing "Low value post", next time all you have to do is enter "l" in the comment section and it will offer you that, and all other comments that start with "L". It makes a difference when you are mass reporting, trust me.
This only happens if you've got the option for forms, and fields to be saved. I'm personally disabled that; however I do believe most browsers ship with this by default, and it might not be changeable in the settings, but rather through editing the JSON policies of that browser. I'm only familiar with Firefox, so I don't know the process of other browsers. However, I've heavily modified the policies of Firefox, and that's one of the options I did disable. Firefox might have this option accessible in the settings though, if I remember correctly so it's quite possible some users have disabled this.
483  Other / Meta / Re: bitcointalk forum vs OpenAI - ChatGPT on: January 10, 2023, 07:39:48 PM
It is possible that some people will lost their jobs because of AI similar like this, but even worse thing could be to have much more stupid people and cheaters.
As for current AI's I think they are way overblown and hyped, I saw many examples of them making obvious mistakes to simple questions.
I think most people become worse in math when calculators first appeared, and I understand using calculator for complex operations but not for everything.
They're pretty good. Although, comparing a human, and AI the AI is definitely going to come up short. However, its' quite easy to fool an non expecting person that the content they're reading is AI generated. At the moment, it's newish technology, and therefore we haven't really sussed it out yet. However, I suspect not only laws brought in to prevent plagiarism, but also we as the readers/viewers will be able to decipher it much easier as we get used to it.

I suspect this could become a problem for certain universities, such as Math as you brought up. Technically, someone could ask the AI to work out complex math problems, without actually needing to supply a source. Whereas, other content will likely be easier to prevent or decipher.

484  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: January 10, 2023, 07:22:32 PM
I just haven't watched enough football this season to even attempt predictions this side of the year. I've been away too much in the last few months. Liverpool are incredibly unreliable, and I'm not even sure what's the problem since I haven't been able to watch many of the games. I'm looking forward to the end of the season, so I can start anew in the next season. Since, I honestly don't know much about this season across the teams.

Seems Manchester United, and Arsenal have recovered from a few years of poor performances. City seem a little less consistent this year, and a little less dominant, but I can't be sure in that.
485  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: January 10, 2023, 07:19:38 PM
If you say McGregor came back because of money, yes, that's true. We can see from McGregor's biography that he was not from a wealthy family, so we can be sure that he will only pursue money and wealth.
Which a lot of fighters do, and there's no shame in that. I think it's quite well documented that a lot of the fighters on the roster don't come from the wealthiest families. Mcgregor is no different in that. People who are already worth a lot probably wouldn't go through the hardship of getting beaten up on for years, before making it big. Hence, why there's a certain demographic to MMA in general, and not just the UFC. I'm not saying it's true for everyone, but the majority will be from low income households.
486  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: January 10, 2023, 05:02:40 PM
Shame about the injury, and I don't think Strickland will have much luck as the replacement. I expect Imavov to win this. Gives him a good chance to actually jump a few in the rankings also. I'm also fancying Damon Jackson against Dan Ige. He's tough, and won't give up. Does leave himself open at times though that could definitely be a problem against Ige. Early feelings is; Soriano takes it against Kopylov, but I imagine it'll be a tough fight for both fighters. Soriano doesn't have a lot of volume, and will be looking for the finish.

Other than that, my other early leans are Vieira, Nurmagomedov, and Cachoeeira.
487  Other / Meta / Re: Moderator Account may be compromised? on: January 03, 2023, 04:29:57 PM
I'm not saying this is what happened, but it's not uncommon for some of the more talented security experts to be compromised themselves. It comes down to that age old debate of security vs convenience, and a lot of the time by human nature we'll pick convenience. Again, not saying that's what happened here. I'm saying it's very easy to get complacent, and make mistakes. For example, I believe Satoshi's email was compromised, despite them being something of a security expert to implement what they did into Bitcoin. Now, I can't remember the specifics so it may have been that Satoshi wasn't at fault, and the company that hosted it was. However, you could argue that's even poor security since they don't own the email, and relied on a third party.

I'm sure some of the details will emerge once they've gotten to the bottom of it, and it's very likely a user error, and not something fundamentally wrong with Bitcoin.
488  Other / Meta / Re: What one change would you like to see in bitcointalk in 2023 on: January 03, 2023, 04:20:07 PM
Why is everyone wants to change some of the features on this forum?

Why aren't we happy with the current setup of the forum?

If there was to change anything, theymos would have done it already. When the forum admin did not want any changes and think everything is perfect, why do we insist on the changes?

My answer is that I am happy with the current bitcointalk forum and no changes are required.
As far as I know, theymos also has a rather large list of things they'd like to do, there's just some complications in implementing it, whether that's due to time restrictions or just because there's issues in the current implementation they've drawn up. There was a list that theymos commented on the various suggestions the community has made over the years. It's a bit like the reporter badges, there's issues that's prevented it from happening. I do think eventually we'll see them.
489  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin price guess, 2023 on: January 03, 2023, 04:15:23 PM
$30000 is conservative speculation but it could be more than that by DEC 2023. By 2024 is where the halving will happen and I'm guessing this will really move the price above $100k just when we expected it to happen in 2021 but didn't. Maybe the next will finally make it happen.

So many people have already said we have found the bottom for months yet the price continues to go under. It's when the time when holders already lost hope and sold that they'd be surprised by its price comeback.
Usually optimism starts creeping in just before the halving, so I'd expect a little run wherever the price is at. Then after the halving we'll probably see some short term rallies, but it'll likely correct itself after that. I think this might be one of the more important halving's since we've been struggling in terms of price for a while now, and with the recession going on. It'll be interesting to see how many people are optimistic about the halving, and how that drives investment.

It might be just what we need after the rough last year. Hopefully, this year we'll see no major negative events, and just continue to push the price up. Regain some faith in the public eye, and then hit the halving.
490  Other / Archival / Re: [POLL] What to expect from Bitcoin in 2022? on: January 03, 2023, 04:11:14 PM
Expecting all time highs every year would be unsustainable anyhow. People usually follow trends, we like patterns. We're basically pattern recognising machines, and therefore when we feel good about something, we're likely to be more optimistic, and as the saying goes "when it rains, it pours" we very much adopt a similar thinking when times aren't going so well. I imagine the next poll will be more negative, with a little optimism sprinkled in.
491  Other / Archival / Re: [POLL]What do you expect from Bitcoin in 2023? on: January 03, 2023, 04:08:03 PM
My predictions are normally horrible. Although, I do think we'll have some sort of recovery this year. I'm not sure how much it will actually recover, but I suspect people will be dealing with the recession a little better in a few months, and that might allow extra adoption . I'm also anticipating companies, and banks to fall through, and increase the skepticism around fiat. Not sure if banks will be the ones to fall, but I imagine there's going to be a lot of physical shops closing down in this period, which might encourage digital money. Hopefully, people consider their options, and don't just accept digital money, but look at alternatives, i.e Bitcoin.
492  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: January 03, 2023, 03:26:19 PM
Brentford are quickly becoming our bogey team, although we've been awful all season. I didn't catch the game unfortunately, but it sounds like we've been absolutely awful since the world cup, just as we were before it. Weird, not sure why we're struggling this bad. I mean, injuries, and aging players sure, but I find it hard to believe a team that was on the top of the world, is struggling this bad. I would consider our team, despite a little light in areas better than a lot of the teams we've lost against.

I think I'm going to write this season off, and hopefully we get it together before the next season.
493  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin 50% Down Move Incoming? on: December 30, 2022, 06:11:58 PM
I am not a believer in technical analysis but looking at the world economy and what is going on in the markets, I also predict another crash in 2023. Fed rates are falling, but the recession is closer than ever, even many countries have already into recession, so expectations of a bull run in 2023 are highly unlikely. I don't think bitcoin can drop to 8k, but 10k-12k is possible.
Technical analysis is a decent indicator. However, the problem is people just compare what's happened before, and then expect a similar pattern. When really; the analysis should be looking at the current situation, what happened in the past, what's different now, and the current risk factors. For example, rarely do I see users thinking about how the recession will impact their previous historical cycles, which is quite obvious to me. We aren't going to see the same pattern; since four years ago we didn't have a pandemic, and recession to recover from.

The four year cycle is nothing more than a market that's relatively stable because of the lack of massive events that effect global investment. Such as; pandemic, war, and the recession.
494  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin still looking bearish during the holidays on: December 30, 2022, 06:03:31 PM
Not sure they're using the holiday low liquidity I'd say it's more the recession that's basically looming. We've already had record breaking increases in inflation, and obviously what comes with that is higher prices for everything, thus lower investment potential. People are struggling to clothe, and feed themselves let alone invest in Bitcoin which has shown the potential to swing from one extreme to another.

That's the real reason; I don't think its whales looking to push the price down. It's simply because there's less buying power due to the fact that everyone is skint right now, and have higher priorities.
495  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: December 30, 2022, 05:59:34 PM
I think a lot of us are still recovering from the premature retirement of Khabib. He had a lot left in him, and it was a shame. So, now everyone that's even remotely similar or trained by Khabib we hype up. However, ultimately Khabib was a special fighter that doesn't come around too often. Chimaev probably is the front runner in being like Khabib, but he's a little more risky on the feet, and as we saw got hurt multiple times against Burns. Khabib played a lot of his fights safe, and that's why he had such success.

However, Burns threatened Chimaev on the ground, and that's not something we've seen Khabib be subjected too. He's usually the shark, and there's little to no threat from his opponents. Makachev is just so far from both of these fighters in my opinion. Champ sure, good fighter, and probably is a lot better than average. However, when comparing him to Khabib, and how he's this indestructible force; I just don't believe it.
496  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: December 30, 2022, 05:55:58 PM
Well, as per usual I forgot. I'm away, so that's my excuse. I'm not sure if I put in the predictions in advance, probably not. I'm away from the superbru app at the moment so I've either already put the predictions in or I've picked up a few wooden spoons Tongue. I don't think I had any chance of competing for this competition this year anyhow. It's been a rather difficult season to predict, and I haven't watched nearly as much football as I usually do this year.
497  Other / Meta / Re: What one change would you like to see in bitcointalk in 2023 on: December 30, 2022, 05:38:55 PM
I wish to go for this before, but with what you explained, I have a second thought, it can be possible that this can make other members on this forum that are not reporting now to start to report posts and many good posts may be reported which can become a problem for the moderators.

If posts are often reported effectively, I think reporter badges should not be done, theymos can just be making yearly post about good reporers and how they all appreciate their efforts.
Shouldn't be too much of a problem. They need good reporters to get the badges, and if they're reporting inaccurately they aren't going to get them. You could counter this problem by deducting bad reports from the good reports a user makes. The only issue I see with it is it could be short lived. Users will have the motivation in the beginnings to get the highest badge, and then unless we keep adding badges users will stop once they've reached he highest badge. 

But, yeah; users reporting inaccurately shouldn't be a problem. We've got enough moderators to deal with it, and it doesn't really effect the moderator much to mark a report bad, instead of good. There might be a few select users that could become problematic if they're just reporting everything, but again that's just counter productive.
498  Economy / Reputation / Re: My ignore list got a Christmas cleanup on: December 30, 2022, 05:33:28 PM
You are in a unique position, your position within the forum does not allow you to ignore users as you need to have eyes all over the place to see what is going on but in some cases, lists are made public and they do not necessarily cause conflict.
Yeah, although technically I can there's nothing implemented to specifically stop me, and as far as I know there's no mention of it. However, yeah it would be counter productive obviously. I don't think I ignored anyone prior to being moderator though. I think I tried it, but ultimately got annoyed at it more than it benefited me.

lists are made public and they do not necessarily cause conflict.
I know they are made public by quite a lot of users. However, I've never really seen the benefit of it. Ideally, each user would be vetting the ignore list, and adding based on their experience instead of trusting a list of another users. Posting it definitely has the potential of causing conflict, even if that's not public conflict. I'm not saying it's guaranteed to cause conflict, but there's definitely a decent chance of that happening.

I guess it can streamline the process of finding spammers, and therefore ignoring them. However, that can also be counter productive since the spammers aren't getting reported anymore; instead they're being ignored. Obviously, for users that you don't agree with, ignoring them sometimes makes sense. Personally, I'd rather see what they say, since there's only a select few that I completely disagree with everything they say. Usually, users have some sort of substantial input, even if that's once in a blue moon.

499  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin payment laundering in order to avoid taxation on: December 30, 2022, 05:27:45 PM
You should absolutely file any income as taxes, including Bitcoin. It will vary by country so check with your local laws on how they handle it. However, the vast majority of countries are now treating Bitcoin income as normal income tax, and therefore would be subject to your normal income tax rate. If you've invested in Bitcoin, and haven't sold yet that's a little different as that would be subject to capital gains once you've sold it for a profit. However, income is largely treated the same universally, and has to be filed to the tax man.

Obviously, a lot of users don't, but ultimately you would be breaking the law if you don't file those taxes. Plus, the Blockchain is public, and only offers pseudonymous, therefore it's probably not the best idea to avoid taxation with Bitcoin. Hence why cash is used worldwide as tax evasion. Bitcoin, despite its reputation isn't the best thing to use, which is the annoying part as it does have this sort of reputation.
500  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Where is your bitcoin balance at the end of the year? on: December 30, 2022, 05:24:33 PM
Why is it worth pointing out if it's expected though. Not to mention that bitcoin wasn't specifically created to fix wealth inequality, but to just give more opportunities to people who seek it.
Right, wealth inequality is actually a very difficult problem to solve, and I'm not even sure if it's possible. We are humans, with different mindsets, and ideologies. Therefore, convincing the masses that everyone should be equal, would be rather difficult. As you rightly point out; Bitcoin was never going to solve it, and it certainly wasn't created to solve it. halvings help distribute the wealth; however ultimately those that can afford to mine, are already wealthy. We've already hit the point where you need some sort of skill or existing wealth to profit off the volatility that Bitcoin brings.
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