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1741  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: The sole difference is capital. on: October 11, 2022, 01:59:47 PM
When it comes to trading, capital makes the difference. For it hits me hard to know that same energy and technicality put in making about $500 is also synonymous to making a million dollars or more in trading.
If we look back to our series of successful trades most of us would have made tremendous profits running in millions if it was on a good capital start.

Sure we would have made more money if we invested more in our best trades, but we would have also lost more money in our worst trades if we had more capital. When it comes to trading it's all about the returns in percentages and not absolute terms in my opinion. You either make a profit (positive return) or a loss (negative return). Having a large capital base to start trading with us no guarantee to make money. In my opinion it's rather counter productive, I would focus first on becoming a good trader before investing large sums of money. Because a good trader will always identify new trades to make money. Thinking about one trade in the past where we could have made a lot of money is not productive and helpful. There will always be opportunities that we missed out on, no need to feel bad about it.
1742  Economy / Economics / Re: The end of cheap money reveals global debt problem on: October 11, 2022, 01:40:06 PM
I wonder if a good strategy here could be to forget about recession and economic collapse. Focus on the rebound. Begin planning. Preparing. Taking steps for a return to a pre pandemic economy. What would that look like. What can people do to fast track a trend in that direction. Its been said that an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. Being an early adopter of bitcoin showed the world the value of getting in early. Is it possible the same trend will also apply to any economic downtrend which occurs and its recovery?

That sounds like a good strategy indeed. The recession is only a temporary event that is not going to last. Economic growth has always happened in cycles, with bigger recessions happening on average every 10 years. In the 1990s we had the Asian debt crisis, in the 2000s we had the IT bubble, in 2008 the subprime mortgage crisis, and now the energy inflation crisis. All of these events lead to recessions which were overcome in a few years, only to reach new ATHs afterwards. I am sure the same is going to happen after our current crisis. And the best we can do to focus on the recovery is to stay invested. Both crypto currencies and stocks will rise quickly once the recovery is on its way.
1743  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Bangladesh has blocked 331 online casinos on: October 11, 2022, 07:35:02 AM
That is sad news, even though I don't live in Bangladesh I hate to read about countries blocking casinos or making gambling illegal in general. It's okay if a country wants to do something against money laundering, but banning 331 casinos seems excessive to me. Why not work with the casinos together and make money laundering harder? Banning a casino seems like the last solution. There are other ways to prevent money laundering and still allow gambling to people who enjoy it. It's not only about all the customers who enjoyed gambling at those casinos, it's also about the employees from Bangladesh who work at those casinos. This is a really big step and is going to hurt a lot of innocent people. I am pretty sure that the majority of the gamblers on these casinos are not engaged in money laundering and rather use gambling as recreational activity. The issue I have with outright bans is that there is always a way around a ban. A government can't prevent gambling to 100%,  the same way it can't prevent illegal activities 100%. All the government does with the ban is moving the online casinos into a dark area, which takes away rights from the customers. People who enjoy gambling will try and find alternatives and if they are not allowed anymore then there is no safety for the customers. If there are any issues, than the customers can't take a lawyer and get his rights in front of a court. I hope other countries will not do the same and also ban so many online casinos.
1744  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Take bitcoin as the virtual currency, that perform better than physical currency on: October 11, 2022, 06:57:47 AM
Since 2009 when Bitcoin was launched by satoshi, Bitcoin has performed better than most physical currencies.

It's true that Bitcoins came a long way from it's initial price of less than 1 USD, but these prices are long gone. Most of the investors we have in the crypto market today haven't been around in 2009. Me personally I only started with crypto currencies in 2016, that is why I think it's wrong to compare the prices we are seeing today with the prices over 10 years ago. Looking too far back into the past makes you feel bad that you haven't invested earlier in Bitcoins and somehow let' you hope that prices will fall again to a similar level to get a second chance to buy so cheap again. This second chance is not realistic and we shouldn't be hoping for it. It's better to look at the more recent prices of Bitcoins, we see that up until 2021 the price fluctuated around the 10,000 USD level. Comparing that to today it's still a pretty got development for any currency.
1745  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling and Reputation on: October 10, 2022, 11:41:20 AM
You're a professional like a lawyer or a teacher in a respected university, will it harm your reputation if people around you or your students discover that you are into gambling, you're not really a compulsive gambler but gamble for entertainment, how will you explain this to people around you or will you explain to protect your reputation or just ignore them.

As long as everything is legal it's not a big deal in my opinion. I wouldn't have thought differently about my teachers if they were regular gamblers, it rather makes them see more normal. The  only teacher I know that was a gambler was my math teacher in high school. He liked to use gambling examples during our classes. He also had some funny stories to tell from his casino days. During school trips we went to some bars together in our final year and we played some slots together. It was a great experience and he was my favourite teacher. So knowning that he gambles made him actually more likeable. I don't think that his colleagues looked differently at him only because he gambled. Probably more teacher also gambled and we just didn't know about it.
1746  Economy / Economics / Re: Retailers make more profit than wholesalers during inflation. on: October 10, 2022, 10:56:00 AM
Is it that as long as you are selling essential commodities, inflation doesn't affects your business instead you make more profit.


I feel like companies are using the rising inflation as an excuse to increase prices more than necessary and making things worse. Especially companies that sell essential commodities are aware that consumers can't stay away and have to keep buying no matter what the prices. The politicians keep talking about economy downturns and that things will get worse, yet many companies have strong revenues and pay their employees big bonuses. I wish the government would keep an closer eye that companies don't increase their prices too quickly. Every price raise that is not necessary except to make higher profits will increase the inflation even more. Once the overall inflation is above 10%, the government should step in. Otherwise we face the risk of a downward spiral.
1747  Economy / Gambling / Re: To what extent do you chase anonymity while gambling? on: October 10, 2022, 10:42:10 AM
Hey guys.
Choosing crypto in casinos has always also to do with more anonimous gambling.
Anyway I'm curious how important is anonimity to you when you pay & play?


For me the anonymity of online game is not really important. I don't mind if people know that I am a gambler, all of my friends and my whole family knows it for years already. Also gambling is legal and quite common in my country, in my city there are tons of small slot places and sports betting cafes. Every young man here as at least gambled once in his life. If I had to choose between anonymity and safety I would always go for safety in an online casino. I mainly prefer crypto casinos because it's easy to deposit and withdraw money, and it gives me a chance to increase my crypto holdings.
1748  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Will You Support Casino Operated By The Bitcointalk Members on: October 10, 2022, 06:51:00 AM
I'm sure by now you have read about a casino review site where the admins are trusted members of Bitcointalk, which  I believe is good for the community because they have a good roadmap and we all know their capability as gambling reviewers
but what if reputable members here decided to put their own casino will you support them and will this become a conflict of interest if they are already or have promoted casinos in the present or in the past, what's your take on this?
Maybe in the future, we'll have one.

Yes I would promote them if they have been a recognisable member from the forum who has been around for some time and has a good trust rating. Let's say a new member who signed up 6 months ago and has already negative trust reviews, then of course I wouldn't support that casino. In my opinion the bitcointalk community is great, we have many members here who have been around 5+ years and if they would decide to run their own casino, we should help them.  I don't think this would be a conflict of interest if you promoted different casinos in the past. Opening and running your own casino requires a lot of money, experience and time. Without having some knowledge about the industry it's not a good idea to open your own casinos. So maybe working with casinos in the past and promoting their business helped to gain a better understand of how casino operates and also helped to save up money to start your own business one day.
1749  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can this be the reason some people are afraid to invest in Bitcon? on: October 10, 2022, 06:41:27 AM
The typical human mind initially considers the fictitious drawbacks and rejects the possibility of another type of money. However, a growing number of individuals are visiting exchanges like Binance, Primexbt, Kraken, etc. People are afraid because they were taught to be afraid as child. This is, unfortunately, what the educational system does.

I am also a victim. Wish I had joined this forum earlier.


I am not sure if this plays a big role in why people are afraid of Bitcoins. It's true that our upbringing plays a big role in what we are afraid of and what not. For example, if our are parents and grand parents where too afraid to invest in stocks directly and let rather the bank decide on the investments than it's likely we as kids will do the same. My grand father was always very interested in stocks and liked to choose them all by himself. As a kid he gifted me my first stocks and that is probably why I became so interested in investing and trading. For me crypto currencies is the new form of commodities and currencies that everybody should be invested it. I am not afraid and hope that over time more people lose their fear of the new unknown. What makes most people afraid to invest larger sums in the bitcoins and other coins is the volatility in my opinion. If you look at the bitcoin price at the start of the year it was around 40.000 USD and 1 year ago it was at 60.000 USD, and 2-3 years ago it was at 10.000 USD. This big volatility scares of some potential new investors who likely wait for bitcoins to reach a more stable era.
   
1750  Local / Deutsch (German) / Re: [Gesponsort von Betnomi] Gewinnspiel - Betnomi Hardware-Wallet und 0,5 mBTC on: October 09, 2022, 07:23:30 AM
Mal wieder ein Klasse Gewinnspiel hier im Deutschen Forum. Danke an 1miau, icopress und das Betnomi Team für ein weiteres Gewinnspiel diese Jahr. Kommt ja einiges zusammen am 31.12 Cheesy zweites Weihnachten für zwei Glückliche hier

Code:
Bitcointalk-Nutzername: Mauser
1. Tipp: 40
2. Tipp: 80

Viel Glück an Alle und schönes Rest Wochenende
1751  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why 95% online Gambling websites are Scam? on: October 09, 2022, 07:15:11 AM
NOTE: My point is that in online gambling they can can easily loose others people money 🤣 I have seen that everyone is Roasting me with same text and also Roasting me. There is saying that " Casino always wins "
They do this by cheating or by Gang. Looks like you all are gamblers and might have lost a lot of money and than blaming me.

The casino doesn't need to cheat you, the games are designed in a way that there is a house edge that makes sure the casino wins over time. You are saying that 95% of gambling sites are scams but don't give any actual proof for it. That number is way to high and it makes no sense for big casinos to engage in scams. Why risk your reputation and business for a scam that will be uncovered and ruins your casino? The big online casinos who have been around for years rely on their regular customers for their profits. Running a scam in a casino will only make sure that all of the regular customers are going to leave the casino and not come back. A casino doesn't need to run a scam to make a profit. All the games you can play online or in physical casinos have a negative expected value for the gambler. That means the longer you play, the higher the chances the casino is going to win. Which doesn't mean we can't be lucky and make a profit ourselves. It's just that the overall number of losers in a casino will be larger than the number of winners. That is how the casino makes their money legitimately.  
1752  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I helped my dad bought some Bitcoin last night on: October 09, 2022, 07:02:55 AM

He wanted to buy using his credit card, but I rather have him buy through me instead to save fees since I can transfer USDT to his account immediately on Binance without fees and convert it into Bitcoin. So yeah now my dad has some Bitcoin in his Binance account.


That is great news, good job. We should all help our friends and family to buy some Bitcoins, the price is still so low at the moment that it's a good point to invest. I wish I could also help my father to get into the crypto world, but he is already so confused when it comes to money and investing. Maybe it's the age that he is trouble remembering things, or it something worse. He constantly loses his bank card, forgets his PIN. There is no way he could do online banking at his age, he barely uses his smart phone or writes emails. At his age there is probably no more opportunity to invest in bitcoins. At least my cousin is very interested. I bought him some bitcoins for his birthday in the summer and gave him his first wallet. He is now actively checking the market and even bought his own coins.
1753  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is an economic recession bearish for the market? on: October 08, 2022, 02:57:45 PM

So the increased demand for crypto is something I am right about.
I just don't see how this doesn't lead to a higher price of the coins.


I agree with you that the demand for crypto currencies is rising during times of high inflation, but a recession is working against that pressure. A global recession we are facing now creates a lot of uncertainty for investors. First of all we don't know how save our jobs are, maybe companies need to lay off workers and we will be part of the layoff. This fear makes planning future investments very difficult and investors are reluctant to add on new trades. In my country the situation is very paradox, most of the big asset managers recommend to not invest right now and hold cash instead, but with inflation rates at 10% it makes no sense at all to hold cash. It's only a matter of time before more investors start buying crypto currencies again.
1754  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling Distortion Pattern on: October 08, 2022, 08:07:46 AM

Conclusion: what I say can be wrong and can also be right, you can correct what I explain if there is an error. Please share what kind of gambling experiences and patterns you often experience while at the casino.


I never really thought about how the patterns in gambling would look like. The 4 pictures you gave us are all a simplistic approach, especially the first and second picture are only linear lines which is not so realistic. For me these are the most common scenarios, it either goes well or it's a bad evening and I am losing money. But in either direction there are moves up and down on the line. It's not like I lose two games and then I know I will only lose that night. The pictures make it seem that there is a trend in gambling which of course there isn't. A total loss like in picture 3 rarely happens these days, because I try to have treshold loss in place after which I stop gambling for the day. So once I lose a few rounds in a row and I used all my budget for the week I have to stop gambling. In my opinion such an approach is important to avoid going broke, because once you lose all your money is no more chance to recover. Splitting my bankroll in smaller sizes to gamble each week there is a much higher chance to  recover my losses from the previous week. The last picture is what mostly happens when I run my martingale strategy, there is a loss streak only to be recovered at the end.
1755  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Is it best to have a personal trading strategy? on: October 08, 2022, 07:52:49 AM
Having a personal strategy to me isn't just the key but the ability to stick to it, is. I have been trading synthetic indices for over 6months and I feel it is better to have a working personal strategy and keeping to it, even at the days and times of loss.

I'm seeking to know if having a personal trading strategy has been able to enhance your trading profitablity and if you really keep to a particular strategy that worked for you even when it seems it's failing you later on and for how long do you stick to this strategy?

My core trading strategy I have been using for more than 5 years now. I started with it back when I was only buying and selling stocks and some bonds. Eventually when moving into the crypto world I gave it a try to trade cryptos similar to stocks and found out that the price patterns seem very similar. My strategy at the moment based on a few different technical indicators, including High/Low prices over the last 30 days, moving average prices for 7 and 30 days and the traded volume. It's not a guarantee to make money and I have even made quite a few bad trades over the years. But I usually come always back to a similar strategy. After a bad trade I switch around the time frames, and instead of looking 30 days numbers I switch to 60 or 90 days to look for different trends. For me it is good to have a fixed system in place to rely upon, it helps calm my nerves and I worry less about when to sell and when to buy.
1756  Economy / Economics / Re: Are you ready to spend crypto when market is down on: October 08, 2022, 06:31:32 AM

If one doesn't spend their crypto for purchases and wait for to spend their crypto when its price is nice, are they really considering it as a cryptocurrency or can we assume like those people are treating more like a security or investment instrument?


Isn't it always a form of investment when you hold different currencies and decide which one to use for your purchases. Before crypto currencies my investments where either in Euros or US dollar, there wasn't much to choose from when making bigger purchases. Now I hold quite a few different coins and all of them are currencies in my eyes. And it is a normal thought process to decide which currency makes the most sense to sell right now. All smaller purchases I am doing in Euros, because that is where most of my income is coming in. For larger purchases like the next vacation I would choose right now US Dollars, both Euro and cryptos are low at the moment and I want to hold them until the market recovers.
1757  Economy / Gambling / Re: Maybe Yet to be seen? on: October 08, 2022, 06:30:35 AM

1. Is it possible for NFTs to coexist with a crypto-gambling project?

2. What usefulness do you think 🤔 could make NFTs useful for crypto gamblers?


Yes of course NFTs can coexist with gambling projects, the question is only how well gamblers are going to accept. If the NFTs are for free and are like bonus jackpot that we can win on top of our normal winnings, then everybody would be happy about it. The problem is that the value only comes through scarcity and that will be hard to achieve if they are given away freely. And if NFTs take a too large part in the winnings it could drive away gamblers who are not interested in it. Maybe a function to choose between crypto or NFT payouts could work.  As for the usefulness I am not so sure about it. When it comes to gambling for most people it's about making a profit, and right now the times to make a profit with gambling is not so great.
1758  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What Happens to Our Bitcoin and Other Assets If We Die? on: October 06, 2022, 01:50:20 PM
I think that's the reason still there are millions of BTC that are still missing cause of lost key or dead Bitcoin holders too.
I think we should at least make backup  file and should transfer in Bank Safe so that when they receive than they know how to retrieve it.

If you have 1 million USD invested in bitcoins and other crypto currencies I hope you made a testament that includes all your assets and how the should be split among your family. Without a testament all your assets will go to your wife or children automatically. But if they sing know about the bitcoins all your coins might be lost. The next step would be to guarantee that your family can access your bitcoins. If they only know about your coins but can't access your keys than your coins are lost. With investment above 50,000 USD I would consider renting a safe deposit box at your local bank. There you can store all important information in one place and your family and has no trouble finding them. Alternatively you can also add instructions on how to access and keys to tour will. Then your lawyer will deliver that information to your family.
1759  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is It An Easy Transition From Gamer To Gambler In Casino. on: October 06, 2022, 01:28:03 PM
I find it hard to gamble in real casinos, as I am scared of being embarrassed (by doing something wrong or not understanding what people want from me) or from doing something stupid. While gambling online, I can always pause or read help. While in casino, playing slots for example, I am shy to ask "I've got 3 apples, and a worm, what should I hit next, everything is flashing and distracts me".

I remember when I was younger and played blackjack. A friend of my or dealer offered me to split. While playing online, I have only use hit and stand. Split? Yes split. No. I was so embarrassed that moment, because I did not understand what dealer wants, and I wasnt sure that "no" will be a proper answer (like answering no to a "whiskey in rocks or snifter glass")

I remember that feeling, my first few times in a physical casino I waa afraid to make mistakes and people would laugh. That is why I only played roulette, betting on red or black. Nothing can go wrong there. My friends were a bit more experienced and they also played other games. It took me a while to get used to the whole casino atmosphere. The good thing about casinos is that people are usually very friendly and you can ask questions, also you are not required to gamble constantly. You can spend a whole night without betting at all and only observe other gamblers. A good friend of mine who doesn't like gambling still goes to the casinos with us, only to enjoy the drinks and place one bet every time right before we leave. In the end we put most of the pressure on ourselves and the other gamblers are so busy with their own game that they won't even notice us.
1760  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: I find way to win on dice on: October 06, 2022, 06:16:32 AM
Do only 50% bet 20$ every time if it fails do 60$ it fails do 150$ if it fails do 350$ if it fails do 900$ if it fails do 2300$

There is no way you will fail 7 times and if you do just increase the bet and you will get it back eventually even if you wait 12 times.

what you think on my method?

What the heck is that approach mate. Are you seriously running that strategy? How long have you been using it and what is your profits?  I don't think this is a very profitable strategy long run and it will lead to you losing all your bankroll eventually. You seem to be a using a martingale approach, where every win will make you a profit and cover all the previous losses you had. The problem I see here is that you are increasing your bets too fast. Why jump from 20 to 60 USD so quickly, and already after 6 times losing you are at 2300 USD. If you lose that are you going to bet 7000 USD? In the end you need more than 10,000 USD bankroll to only cover 7 losses. And getting 7 losses in a row with 50% chances is not so uncommon.
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