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April 23, 2019, 07:15:20 PM *
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Question: Probability that we've seen the bottom of this bear market:
0% - 3 (3.2%)
1-5% - 3 (3.2%)
6-10% - 0 (0%)
11-15% - 0 (0%)
16-20% - 2 (2.2%)
21-25% - 2 (2.2%)
26-30% - 2 (2.2%)
31-35% - 0 (0%)
36-40% - 4 (4.3%)
41-45% - 2 (2.2%)
46-50% - 1 (1.1%)
51-55% - 2 (2.2%)
56-60% - 2 (2.2%)
61-65% - 0 (0%)
66-70% - 8 (8.6%)
71-75% - 5 (5.4%)
76-80% - 6 (6.5%)
81-85% - 10 (10.8%)
86-90% - 7 (7.5%)
91-95% - 7 (7.5%)
96-99% - 6 (6.5%)
100% - 21 (22.6%)
Total Voters: 93

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21123930 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (18 posts by 10 users deleted.)
Majormax
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April 12, 2019, 12:13:32 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Of course, I am still not convinced that this market has transitioned into anything beyond further consolidation.. even if there are recent bullish tendencies in the past month or so and especially in the past couple of weeks.

But, projections of impending new lows, borders on wishful thinking to me, even while we cannot really rule out that the bottom is NOT in...

For example, if we stay above $4,200 in the coming weeks, then I might just switch over to considering this a bull market, at that time.

TLDR: The next two weeks = critical

Yes, this phase of consolidation is more likely to continue. Whilst we may be at the start of an uptrend, the likelihood of a new low has not receded that much (hazard a guess at 35% ?)

I would add one more , possibly useful, comment :

The break down from $6200 was sharp, and showed the weakness of support in the zone between 6k and 4k. This is often mirrored on the way up, therefore resistance is likely to be weak, hence the ease with which price has risen in the last couple of months. Assuming the bottom is in (balance of probability only),
there could still be a lot of work to do (and time to spend) in this area, before any decisive further advance.

Pessimistic scenario :  5-6k needed revisiting and testing before a new low.

Optimistic scenario :  5-6k will work out and consolidate over a few more months, providing the base for a 2020 uptrend.
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samson
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April 12, 2019, 12:33:27 AM

The point about a $15 wage demand at McDonalds, leading to workers being replaced with $35k kiosks, was an example of capitalism and the free market responding to stimulus.

Where I live they get less than $15 per day in most service jobs, plus tips!
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April 12, 2019, 12:41:19 AM
Merited by jbreher (1), JayJuanGee (1)

A purported black gay man

That is unkind Jay. We have no reason to think Bob is anyone other than exactly who he says he is.
Do youn't? It's just internet persona. We know it's a team, even if no show off with audio wavs clinking garbage collection or pics of ball caved steel blocks - like some other peep team post exotic islands, food porn and digital hat displays.

Sorry for english, my today subsitute copy editor not very proficient.
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April 12, 2019, 12:47:11 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Do youn't? It's just internet persona. We know it's a team, even if no show off with audio wavs clinking garbage collection or pics of ball caved steel blocks - like some other peep team post exotic islands, food porn and digital hat displays.

Sorry for english, my today subsitute copy editor not very proficient.

Satoshi aside, I wonder who here puts the most effort into putting people off the real life scent with the persona they maintain on here. I've no idea how people keep it up for years on end but I'm sure a few do.


HairyMaclairy
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April 12, 2019, 12:49:16 AM

Are you suggesting you are not actually a pervert IRL?
gentlemand
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April 12, 2019, 12:51:31 AM

Are you suggesting you are not actually a pervert IRL?

Am I one on here? Everything I do throbs with purity.
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April 12, 2019, 12:52:29 AM

throbs
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April 12, 2019, 12:56:32 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Pity our immaculate gentleman snubs haikus.

Am I one on here?
On here, everything I do
throbs with purity.
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April 12, 2019, 12:57:52 AM

Madame Alexa knows how many Bitcoin you have

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April 12, 2019, 12:58:54 AM

Would you both support effective US immigration controls even if it causes a recession and wipes out many family businesses?

In the interests of National Security, yes.

Problem solved. US immigration controls are already extremely effective. I'd like to see you try to enter the US without your ID/Passport. And then get a job/bank account/etc without an ID or SS#.
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April 12, 2019, 01:02:24 AM

Good evening folks.

Market consolidation continues at the $5k battlefront as neither side seems able to gain a foothold. Stronger resistance is forming near $5.12k  Support is falling from $4.7k to $4.66k as shown by the cloud. Possible downwards and sideways movement detected. #dyor
1h

#stronghands
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April 12, 2019, 01:15:10 AM

A simple fact:

in 1975 the minimal wage was $5.15
in 2019 the minimal wage is $7.25

Well, $5.15 adjusted for inflation would be $24.33 today, so $15 number is not crazy.

Bob surely produces mixed messages (like paying 1% for 7 fig btc tx is OK, but $15/hr for MickeyD is too much).
The rich are different..., but I liked him more during drinking period...


I had to look this up bc I remember making 4.25 in high school decades after 1975.

Looks like minimum wage was 2.10 in '75.


I believe minimum wage is morally wrong because it makes it illegal for you to sell your labor for under a certain price. This prices out some people out of the work force against their will. I see it as somewhat useful in a fiat currency system where the workers are getting constant de facto pay cuts each day as the currency is debased through money printing. These workers cant negotiate pay raises fast enough to keep up with the de facto pay cuts.

When Bitcoin is the global reserve currency and all sane workers demand to be paid in Bitcoin, de facto pay cuts will be a thing of the past and minimum wage wont be useful at all. Workers will have all the bargaining power. Begging bosses or govs for raises each year wont be necessary as workers will have de facto pay raises as the currency gains value. When Bitcoin gains value too fast for some employers to successfully stay in business, then employers will have to come hat in hand and beg the workers to take less Bitcoin so they can stay in business.

This change in the power dynamic of employee/employer wage negotiation will usher in a prosperity the world has never witnessed.

6k soon.
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April 12, 2019, 01:16:16 AM

I am not supporting illegal migration.  I am simply stating that much of the US economy runs on illegal migrant labor.  This is a fact.  
A fact that needs to change. Even it crashes the local economy. America will adapt, always has, always will.

And no, American teenagers do not want to pick bell peppers out of the dirt in the blazing sun for $2 per hour.  
And that's their whole fucking problem, isn't it? Coddled, spoiled, privileged, sitting on their fat asses drinking their $4 lattes and eating $7 avocado toast and $9 millionaire's bacon. All the while crying about illegals taking their jobs.

But no worries, when the world economy goes to shit... they'll learn... by picking free grown bell peppers in the blazing sun out of their back yards just to eat.

I had to google millionaire's bacon. I must try this soon. Smiley
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April 12, 2019, 01:17:50 AM

I definitely bet $5k is breaking tonight.


Edit: Well fuck.
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April 12, 2019, 01:23:37 AM

Ah, Throbbing Gristle. My grandma used to sing their songs to me.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Throbbing_Gristle
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April 12, 2019, 01:27:27 AM

...
 Same reason I have people managing my portfolios.
 Same reason I hire people to do jobs that I'm not skilled at.
...

I'm probably not qualified, but may I try? I have some asset allocations in mind, but mostly index funds, a small bunch of them.
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April 12, 2019, 01:27:36 AM

"The Dip"

Buy buy buy buy buy
Buy buy buy buy buy buy buy
Buy buy buy buy buy
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April 12, 2019, 01:29:54 AM

looking pretty ugly
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April 12, 2019, 01:34:09 AM

117 into the new BTCaby BTCull Market and all is well.  Cheesy

Halvening cycle over 72 percent complete.

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April 12, 2019, 01:40:50 AM

https://www.reviewjournal.com/entertainment/food/slaters-50-50-serves-a-24k-burger-made-with-real-gold-1526942/

"Slater’s 50/50, known for its iconic burger with a healthy dose of bacon, has done it again with a sandwich that’s a tribute to Las Vegas. The 24K Burger starts with a brioche bun dusted with 24-karat gold, stacked with three strips of 24K “BTCillionaire’s BTCacon,” a half-pound of Australian wagyu beef, truffle cheese, baby arugula, bacon jam, roasted garlic aioli and demi-glace, with regular or sweet potato fries on the side. It sells for $24."

So looks like I have to not only try millionaires bacon, but also get me sum uh dat BTCillionaires BTCacon glazed with 24k gold dust.  Grin



6k soon
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