Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[windjc]

The log trend lines will hold above $4k.  Those have never broken.

If the 4k were to break (decisively) , would that be a sell signal ?

It would mean the exponential trend is over. Read what you will in those tea leaves.

[Majormax]

The log trend lines will hold above $4k.  Those have never broken.

If the 4k were to break (decisively) , would that be a sell signal ?

It would mean the exponential trend is over. Read what you will in those tea leaves.

Fair enough. I am not using the chart that way, but rather trying to determine objective support levels. My assumption is that the long trend is in place until my support levels are broken. Those levels I have stated (with reasons) in the previous posts.

There are many ways to look at this.

[FractalUniverse]

The lower it gets, the more bitcoins will be removed from market by long term holders' buying spree.
I would use such opportunity for sure. if it should get below 4-3-2 or even 1k as some pple here predict, Id probably raid my entire bank account ant put it all into bitcoin.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

The lower it gets, the more bitcoins will be removed from market by long term holders' buying spree.
I would use such opportunity for sure. if it should get below 4-3-2 or even 1k as some pple here predict, Id probably raid my entire bank account ant put it all into bitcoin.

If it ever went below $2,000 then definitely, you’d be almost guaranteed to at least double your money, I’d imagine pretty quickly.

Test of $6,000 held though any way. Do we think the bottom is in or will there be a lower low?

[El duderino_]

The lower it gets, the more bitcoins will be removed from market by long term holders' buying spree.
I would use such opportunity for sure. if it should get below 4-3-2 or even 1k as some pple here predict, Id probably raid my entire bank account ant put it all into bitcoin.

If it ever went below $2,000 then definitely, you’d be almost guaranteed to at least double your money, I’d imagine pretty quickly.

Test of $6,000 held though any way. Do we think the bottom is in or will there be a lower low?

[Cryptodaddy05]

I will just leave this here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xdOt7UUAPiQ

 

Interesting video from a YouTube channel I follow. Funny enough we’re at $6.5K today which is the key support level mentioned in the video, and let’s see if it breaks below this due to bot or institutional pressure or whatever and then hopefully bounces up as a False Breakout like Alessio explained. I still think the long-term exponential growth line of BTC from 2011-2018 is intact, and that’s what I’ll be basing my investing on! Long live the King!

[mindrust]

I will just leave this here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xdOt7UUAPiQ

 

Interesting video from a YouTube channel I follow. Funny enough we’re at $6.5K today which is the key support level mentioned in the video, and let’s see if it breaks below this due to bot or institutional pressure or whatever and then hopefully bounces up as a False Breakout like Alessio explained. I still think the long-term exponential growth line of BTC from 2011-2018 is intact, and that’s what I’ll be basing my investing on! Long live the King!

Say hello to the mods.

[mOgliE]

The lower it gets, the more bitcoins will be removed from market by long term holders' buying spree.
I would use such opportunity for sure. if it should get below 4-3-2 or even 1k as some pple here predict, Id probably raid my entire bank account ant put it all into bitcoin.

Oh god if it was to happen...
I would so fucking love to see this! That would be incredible!!!

But I don't think it will... You get more and more people saying it's crashing. Fact is that when everyone thinks it's going down the market can only go up because everyone is starting to buy to invest.

[El duderino_]

allways listen to the schwarzenegger

[El duderino_]

[Torque]

I read through the Tether manipulation paper. IMO it made two convincing points:

#1 Someone has a habit of doing this:
 - Issuing new USDT
 - Within days, moving that USDT to BitFinex, Bittrex, and/or Poloniex
 - Using that USDT to buy crypto (seemingly a portfolio of BTC & others). They especially like to buy crypto when the price is just below whole numbers.
 - Moving the resulting crypto back to BitFinex
 - Rarely or never selling the crypto for USDT again
 
The authors argue that this is Tether/BitFinex themselves, and I think that this is in fact the most likely explanation. But the authors didn't address the alternative possibility of this being a particularly ham-fisted whale who is a close partner of Tether.

#2 Due to end-of-month trading, Tether has probably always been trading with USD deposited with them (fractional-reserve), though at least until March 2017, USDT was probably not complete monopoly money, since they did go to the effort of achieving an end-of-month USD balance.

The authors also tried to argue some other points which I didn't find convincing.

Meh, theymos I know you've been around this block before.

Notice when these so-called "in-depth analysis" FUD studies come out... never during a bull run, but always after a confirmed downtrend and usually near the bottom (e.g. Willybot report, anyone? I also distinctly remember another example in mid 2014 where some well known financial institution did some "in-depth analysis" to determine the true fair market price of bitcoin forever : $1100    ).

It's not the content that is suspect. It's the timing. These "studies" are designed to do one thing, and that is to keep Average Joe sidelined at the precise time he should be accumulating.

[mymenace]

via @qew

cheers luv it, needs a repost

[mymenace]

I read through the Tether manipulation paper. IMO it made two convincing points:

#1 Someone has a habit of doing this:
 - Issuing new USDT
 - Within days, moving that USDT to BitFinex, Bittrex, and/or Poloniex
 - Using that USDT to buy crypto (seemingly a portfolio of BTC & others). They especially like to buy crypto when the price is just below whole numbers.
 - Moving the resulting crypto back to BitFinex
 - Rarely or never selling the crypto for USDT again
 
The authors argue that this is Tether/BitFinex themselves, and I think that this is in fact the most likely explanation. But the authors didn't address the alternative possibility of this being a particularly ham-fisted whale who is a close partner of Tether.

#2 Due to end-of-month trading, Tether has probably always been trading with USD deposited with them (fractional-reserve), though at least until March 2017, USDT was probably not complete monopoly money, since they did go to the effort of achieving an end-of-month USD balance.

The authors also tried to argue some other points which I didn't find convincing.

Meh, theymos I know you've been around this block before.

Notice when these so-called "in-depth analysis" FUD studies come out... never during a bull run, but always after a confirmed downtrend and usually near the bottom (e.g. Willybot report, anyone? I also remember another example in 2014 where some financial institution did some "in-depth analysis" to determine the true fair market price of bitcoin forever : $1100    ).

It's not the content that is suspect. It's the timing. These "studies" are designed to do one thing, and that is to keep Average Joe sidelined at the precise time he should be accumulating.

Yeah news everywhere

1) Bitcoin was manipulated with last highs

2) Tether

3) Bitcoin Illegal

All this news at once, nothing for weeks and boom

coordinated effort put fear in market


lets see how effective it is



it also shows desperate phase, they bringing the big guns out now because nothing else working

says volumes

[V1lpu]

[mindrust]

I will just leave this here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xdOt7UUAPiQ

 

He is basically saying;

"The next 24 hours are critical and if it doesn't go below from this point it's going to go up."

Very insightful. He also added;

"If you don't pay attention to my TA, you are a gambler."

[Torque]

it also shows desperate phase, they bringing the big guns out now because nothing else working

says volumes

Yep.

Also, the whales have to keep up the pressure to dump and short. Because they know that once the technicals turn upward for good, the thousands of trading bots take over and the start of a new bull run gets solidified. Then other long investors and traders start coming back in. They lose a bit of control over the float and the direction of the market at that point.

[Globb0]

I sold bits and pieces. Not enough that I'm not a mountain of regret. TBH

Don't forget at that convenient time everyone could have been rich. Their funds were also all tied up in KYC.

[Elwar]

You know the signature campaigners must have taken over the rest of bitcointalk if theymos is finally retreating to this thread too.

[Globb0]

You know the signature campaigners must have taken over the rest of bitcointalk if theymos is finally retreating to this thread too.

I tried to go out there a few times, to spread the merit.

Its a sad world.

[shahzadafzal]

You know the signature campaigners must have taken over the rest of bitcointalk if theymos is finally retreating to this thread too.

That is a dark truth, finding a healthy discussion on bitcointalk is as rare as seeing BTC crossing $9k mark