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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 939925 times)
segeln
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January 21, 2014, 03:32:28 PM
 #1281

See this forecast: It's the result of long in-depth anal-ysis and fundamental investigation: ^^


Quote
A part of me agrees with this chart wholly. very reasonable and well proportioned.
it`s a bad drawn graph,not according to TA-Rules

This one is by professionals:

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segeln
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January 21, 2014, 04:58:22 PM
 #1282

http://www.directupload.net/file/d/3509/8p6yfg38_png.htm
BrightAnarchist
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January 23, 2014, 01:34:24 AM
 #1283

Happy new year )

What I see? I see zig-zags, price in positive both daily and weekly BB. What could it mean? It could mean true ending diagonal, which never happened before. And also very fucking risky.






Funny, an ending diagonal is also in formation on the dow transports
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January 23, 2014, 05:17:40 AM
 #1284

A part of me agrees with this chart wholly. very reasonable and well proportioned.
 

Finally a chart that makes sense  Grin


http://www.introversion.co.uk/
mit/x11 licence 18.x/16|o|3ffe ::71
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January 23, 2014, 05:23:04 AM
 #1285

in the meanwhile in an exchange near by  ...





http://www.introversion.co.uk/
mit/x11 licence 18.x/16|o|3ffe ::71
masterluc
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January 24, 2014, 11:52:58 PM
 #1286

пoxoжe нe взлeтит

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January 25, 2014, 12:17:08 AM
 #1287

пoxoжe нe взлeтит

Can't happen before the 31st, the market is completely terrified of the Chinese deadline and there can be no real take off before that.

Bitcoin = Gold on steroids
sir faps
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January 25, 2014, 12:37:54 AM
 #1288

in the meanwhile in an exchange near by  ...






Haha very awesome picture
BrightAnarchist
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January 25, 2014, 12:38:13 AM
 #1289

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue

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January 25, 2014, 01:13:04 AM
 #1290

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue



Yep, because bitcoin is just a stock.
Bitcoin BEAR
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January 25, 2014, 01:57:37 AM
 #1291

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue



Yep, because bitcoin is just a stock.

In the last 5 years Bitcoin has held pretty decent correlation to the S&P. I only boxed the bear markets and consolidations to make it easier to see. With an exception of the $7.22 top in January of 2012, every consolidation lasted nearly identical amounts of time.

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January 25, 2014, 03:35:03 AM
 #1292

[img]

That is a well-defined complex system.  Analysis of such systems is challenging, perhaps, but the possibility is very motivating.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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January 25, 2014, 03:36:49 AM
 #1293

In the last 5 years Bitcoin has held pretty decent correlation to the S&P.

The correlation with QE & LTROs would be a lot better.  Then you'd be getting to the meat.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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January 25, 2014, 03:38:10 AM
 #1294

Stocks are done
I'm worry too about this move. January nears to end as well as start of qe tapering. As I said, no money - no honey.

US treasuries rates are about to take off.

I don't like this.

Bitcoin... Bitcoin also needs money, which are being tapered. Bitcoin wide acceptance and millions sales on overstock & co means only one: people buy goods, merchants sell bitcoins in their announced volume.

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January 25, 2014, 03:43:23 AM
 #1295

Stocks are done?  Fed funds rate still at 0-.25% or something.  Stocks won't be done for a bit longer me thinks.  Good buy opportunities.
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January 25, 2014, 04:30:08 AM
 #1296

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue



Yep, because bitcoin is just a stock.

In the last 5 years Bitcoin has held pretty decent correlation to the S&P. I only boxed the bear markets and consolidations to make it easier to see. With an exception of the $7.22 top in January of 2012, every consolidation lasted nearly identical amounts of time.



Well there is some correlation, but certainly no causation.  Bitcoin has dwarfed the growth of the stock market. Some economic aspects that would hurt the stock market would also hurt bitcoin, but to say that it would stop bitcoins price ascent - well, there just isn't any data to predict that. The last great economic fallout was before bitcoin and actually spawned bitcoin. So, this is mere speculation at best. Although, I suppose, this is the perfect forum for it. Wink
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January 25, 2014, 11:26:32 AM
 #1297

Well there is some correlation, but certainly no causation.  Bitcoin has dwarfed the growth of the stock market. Some economic aspects that would hurt the stock market would also hurt bitcoin, but to say that it would stop bitcoins price ascent - well, there just isn't any data to predict that. The last great economic fallout was before bitcoin and actually spawned bitcoin. So, this is mere speculation at best. Although, I suppose, this is the perfect forum for it. Wink

Well in a credit crunch and a stock market crash we will see deflation all over the globe, so everyone will be pretty much running for cash. This will most likely also count for Bitcoin at this point, as it is not a real substitute for fiat just yet. So I would expect a big drop in bitcoin value if this happens, but it will be shortlived imo as QE will be going to the moon in reaction to this and the realization will settle in that fiat is done for.

Bitcoin = Gold on steroids
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January 25, 2014, 11:41:49 AM
 #1298

Stocks are done

Bitcoin... Bitcoin also needs money, which are being tapered. Bitcoin wide acceptance and millions sales on overstock & co means only one: people buy goods, merchants sell bitcoins in their announced volume.

That doesn't need to be the case since bitpay offers the option to receive e percentage or the whole amount payed in BTC and not just in dollars. also many people who bought something at overstock with their BTC replenished them straight away by rebuying BTC at an exchange.

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January 25, 2014, 01:15:09 PM
 #1299

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue


We've seen this call from you many times before. What makes this time more likely?
(Serious question, not sarcasm.  I am fan of EW analysis but have been burned on this call before many times)
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January 25, 2014, 06:54:18 PM
Last edit: January 25, 2014, 11:05:14 PM by waveaddict
 #1300

We've seen this call from you many times before. What makes this time more likely?
(Serious question, not sarcasm.  I am fan of EW analysis but have been burned on this call before many times)

I would simply play it by ear. If the price doesn't bottom at SPX ~1550 (previous 2000 & 2007 highs), then this EW count has merit. If it bottoms at ~1550 then you pretty much have to assume that it'll revisit the highs. Furthermore, keep in mind that there are some other running corrective EW alternatives that allow for one or two more highs before a major top so a total collapse now is far from certain (i.e. I definitely wouldn't bet the farm on it...just yet).

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