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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 919196 times)
chessnut
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January 21, 2014, 11:30:27 AM
 #1301

What I see? I see zig-zags, price in positive both daily and weekly BB. What could it mean? It could mean true ending diagonal, which never happened before. And also very fucking risky.
See this forecast: It's the result of long in-depth anal-ysis and fundamental investigation: ^^


A part of me agrees with this chart wholly. very reasonable and well proportioned.

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I HATE TABLES I HATE TABLES I HA(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻ TABLES I HATE TABLES I HATE TABLES
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January 21, 2014, 01:17:20 PM
 #1302

A part of me agrees with this chart wholly. very reasonable and well proportioned.
 

"Es ist kein Zeichen geistiger Gesundheit, gut angepasst an eine kranke Gesellschaft zu sein."
masterluc
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January 21, 2014, 03:21:18 PM
 #1303

What I see? I see zig-zags, price in positive both daily and weekly BB. What could it mean? It could mean true ending diagonal, which never happened before. And also very fucking risky.
See this forecast: It's the result of long in-depth anal-ysis and fundamental investigation: ^^


A part of me agrees with this chart wholly. very reasonable and well proportioned.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irving_Fisher

Irving Fisher was perhaps the first celebrity economist, but his reputation during his lifetime was irreparably harmed by his public statements, just prior to the Wall Street Crash of 1929, claiming that the stock market had reached "a permanently high plateau."

Stock market crash of 1929

The stock market crash of 1929 and the subsequent Great Depression cost Fisher much of his personal wealth and academic reputation. He famously predicted, three days before the crash, "Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." Irving Fisher stated on October 21 that the market was "only shaking out of the lunatic fringe" and went on to explain why he felt the prices still had not caught up with their real value and should go much higher. On Wednesday, October 23, he announced in a banker’s meeting "security values in most instances were not inflated." For months after the Crash, he continued to assure investors that a recovery was just around the corner. Once the Great Depression was in full force, he did warn that the ongoing drastic deflation was the cause of the disastrous cascading insolvencies then plaguing the American economy because deflation increased the real value of debts fixed in dollar terms. Fisher was so discredited by his 1929 pronouncements and by the failure of a firm he had started that few people took notice of his "debt-deflation" analysis of the Depression. People instead eagerly turned to the ideas of Keynes. Fisher's debt-deflation scenario has since seen a revival since the 1980s.

segeln
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January 21, 2014, 03:32:28 PM
 #1304

See this forecast: It's the result of long in-depth anal-ysis and fundamental investigation: ^^


Quote
A part of me agrees with this chart wholly. very reasonable and well proportioned.
it`s a bad drawn graph,not according to TA-Rules

This one is by professionals:

segeln
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January 21, 2014, 04:58:22 PM
 #1305

http://www.directupload.net/file/d/3509/8p6yfg38_png.htm
BrightAnarchist
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January 23, 2014, 01:34:24 AM
 #1306

Happy new year )

What I see? I see zig-zags, price in positive both daily and weekly BB. What could it mean? It could mean true ending diagonal, which never happened before. And also very fucking risky.






Funny, an ending diagonal is also in formation on the dow transports
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January 23, 2014, 05:17:40 AM
 #1307

A part of me agrees with this chart wholly. very reasonable and well proportioned.
 

Finally a chart that makes sense  Grin


http://www.introversion.co.uk/
mit/x11 licence 18.x/16|o|3ffe ::71
knightcoin
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January 23, 2014, 05:23:04 AM
 #1308

in the meanwhile in an exchange near by  ...





http://www.introversion.co.uk/
mit/x11 licence 18.x/16|o|3ffe ::71
masterluc
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January 24, 2014, 11:52:58 PM
 #1309

пoxoжe нe взлeтит

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January 25, 2014, 12:17:08 AM
 #1310

пoxoжe нe взлeтит

Can't happen before the 31st, the market is completely terrified of the Chinese deadline and there can be no real take off before that.

Bitcoin = Gold on steroids
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January 25, 2014, 12:37:54 AM
 #1311

in the meanwhile in an exchange near by  ...






Haha very awesome picture
BrightAnarchist
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January 25, 2014, 12:38:13 AM
 #1312

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue

windjc
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January 25, 2014, 01:13:04 AM
 #1313

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue



Yep, because bitcoin is just a stock.
Bitcoin BEAR
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January 25, 2014, 01:57:37 AM
 #1314

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue



Yep, because bitcoin is just a stock.

In the last 5 years Bitcoin has held pretty decent correlation to the S&P. I only boxed the bear markets and consolidations to make it easier to see. With an exception of the $7.22 top in January of 2012, every consolidation lasted nearly identical amounts of time.

aminorex
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January 25, 2014, 03:35:03 AM
 #1315

[img]

That is a well-defined complex system.  Analysis of such systems is challenging, perhaps, but the possibility is very motivating.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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January 25, 2014, 03:36:49 AM
 #1316

In the last 5 years Bitcoin has held pretty decent correlation to the S&P.

The correlation with QE & LTROs would be a lot better.  Then you'd be getting to the meat.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
masterluc
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January 25, 2014, 03:38:10 AM
 #1317

Stocks are done
I'm worry too about this move. January nears to end as well as start of qe tapering. As I said, no money - no honey.

US treasuries rates are about to take off.

I don't like this.

Bitcoin... Bitcoin also needs money, which are being tapered. Bitcoin wide acceptance and millions sales on overstock & co means only one: people buy goods, merchants sell bitcoins in their announced volume.

dancingnancy
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January 25, 2014, 03:43:23 AM
 #1318

Stocks are done?  Fed funds rate still at 0-.25% or something.  Stocks won't be done for a bit longer me thinks.  Good buy opportunities.
windjc
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January 25, 2014, 04:30:08 AM
 #1319

Stocks are done

Bitcoin should eventually follow if the correlation is to continue



Yep, because bitcoin is just a stock.

In the last 5 years Bitcoin has held pretty decent correlation to the S&P. I only boxed the bear markets and consolidations to make it easier to see. With an exception of the $7.22 top in January of 2012, every consolidation lasted nearly identical amounts of time.



Well there is some correlation, but certainly no causation.  Bitcoin has dwarfed the growth of the stock market. Some economic aspects that would hurt the stock market would also hurt bitcoin, but to say that it would stop bitcoins price ascent - well, there just isn't any data to predict that. The last great economic fallout was before bitcoin and actually spawned bitcoin. So, this is mere speculation at best. Although, I suppose, this is the perfect forum for it. Wink
Miz4r
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January 25, 2014, 11:26:32 AM
 #1320

Well there is some correlation, but certainly no causation.  Bitcoin has dwarfed the growth of the stock market. Some economic aspects that would hurt the stock market would also hurt bitcoin, but to say that it would stop bitcoins price ascent - well, there just isn't any data to predict that. The last great economic fallout was before bitcoin and actually spawned bitcoin. So, this is mere speculation at best. Although, I suppose, this is the perfect forum for it. Wink

Well in a credit crunch and a stock market crash we will see deflation all over the globe, so everyone will be pretty much running for cash. This will most likely also count for Bitcoin at this point, as it is not a real substitute for fiat just yet. So I would expect a big drop in bitcoin value if this happens, but it will be shortlived imo as QE will be going to the moon in reaction to this and the realization will settle in that fiat is done for.

Bitcoin = Gold on steroids
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