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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941453 times)
NamelessOne
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November 20, 2013, 03:15:52 PM
 #341

noob question but couldn't the wedge be redrawn like so:



making this not a breakout?
Yes, that is what I did also.
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kehtolo
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November 20, 2013, 04:51:15 PM
 #342

Looks a bit like a breakout to me?

The next 24 hours are critical!
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November 20, 2013, 04:57:11 PM
 #343

Looks a bit like a breakout to me?
Yes, at least over the channel and wedge upper lines. But what comes next? Hmmmmmm....
masterluc (OP)
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November 20, 2013, 04:58:46 PM
 #344

I bet on this one. Triangles always follow the sharp moves.


oda.krell
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November 20, 2013, 05:38:05 PM
 #345

Since your analysis is usually based on mtgox data (correct me if I'm wrong), I'd like to add one thing: the markets are reactive to each other, and right now, everyone else is almost certainly looking at where China is going. But there is also the notable fact that Bitstamp resisted the craze of the past days much more than gox and btcchina, for example the gox ATH log line applied to bitstamp's reduced price proved to be a point of resistance.

My point is, stamp was reluctant to join the run-up, corrected back earlier, and now, interestingly, is back up on its feet earlier than the others (green daily candle today, while gox and china still had some correcting to do I guess Cheesy). I take that as a pretty bullish sign, if the "bear" exchange is going up again.

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masterluc (OP)
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November 20, 2013, 05:42:07 PM
 #346

I get same picture everywhere. However Gox shows more clear EW picture. And bitstamp breaks its feed second time in a week.

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November 20, 2013, 05:43:27 PM
 #347

I bet on this one. Triangles always follow the sharp moves.


BTC loves triangles.
masterluc (OP)
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November 20, 2013, 05:47:06 PM
 #348

I bet on this one. Triangles always follow the sharp moves.


BTC loves triangles.
BTC loves sharp moves.

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November 20, 2013, 05:48:57 PM
 #349

I bet on this one. Triangles always follow the sharp moves.


BTC loves triangles.
BTC loves sharp moves.
Me too!
oda.krell
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November 20, 2013, 05:52:40 PM
 #350

I get same picture everywhere. However Gox shows more clear EW picture. And bitstamp breaks its feed second time in a week.

Bitstamp is really starting to disappoint, in my opinion. Bitfinex not much better either IMO. Mtgox not worth mentioning. Where to go, where to go...

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Pruden
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November 20, 2013, 06:40:18 PM
 #351

I concur with the triangle hypothesis, but the swings tend to be much slower as it completes, so I think it will still be alive come December.
Rampion
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November 20, 2013, 08:23:12 PM
 #352

I get same picture everywhere. However Gox shows more clear EW picture. And bitstamp breaks its feed second time in a week.

Bitstamp is really starting to disappoint, in my opinion. Bitfinex not much better either IMO. Mtgox not worth mentioning. Where to go, where to go...

OTC my friend. Unfortunately no exchange is reliable.

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November 20, 2013, 11:02:03 PM
 #353

I bet on this one. Triangles always follow the sharp moves.



Looks good to me as well

Bro, do you even blockchain?
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November 21, 2013, 04:03:59 AM
 #354

Now this looks like a flag for me. No?
antoineph
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November 21, 2013, 04:10:20 AM
 #355

I bet on this one. Triangles always follow the sharp moves.



Looks good to me as well

uh, according to that graph it should be around 800 now.
notme
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November 21, 2013, 04:14:19 AM
 #356

I bet on this one. Triangles always follow the sharp moves.



Looks good to me as well

uh, according to that graph it should be around 800 now.

He's indicating structure, not price/time intercepts.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
Rampion
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November 21, 2013, 01:51:42 PM
Last edit: November 21, 2013, 02:26:29 PM by Rampion
 #357

And he has pretty much nailed the structure so far. Kudos to Lucif... Its incredible how he turned from perma-bear to reasonable and mostly spot-on analyst Smiley

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November 21, 2013, 02:25:26 PM
 #358

if you were to avg in the price china is paying i think its pretty bang on so far.

Proud Hodler, neither bull nor bear.
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November 21, 2013, 02:55:41 PM
 #359

And he has pretty much nailed the structure so far. Kudos to Lucif... Its incredible how he turned from perma-bear to reasonable and mostly spot-on analyst Smiley

He was perma bear when it was a bear market, and was spot on back then too.

It's not his problem some of you didn't want to hear it's bears time at that point.

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Miz4r
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November 21, 2013, 03:03:08 PM
 #360

And he has pretty much nailed the structure so far. Kudos to Lucif... Its incredible how he turned from perma-bear to reasonable and mostly spot-on analyst Smiley

He was perma bear when it was a bear market, and was spot on back then too.

It's not his problem some of you didn't want to hear it's bears time at that point.

He wasn't spot on. He was way too bearish and predicted a bottom of $20-30 after the April crash. I do like his analysis but let's not make him out to be perfect.

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