jl2012 (OP)
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January 01, 2017, 06:25:16 AM |
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Donation address: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY) LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC) PGP: D3CC 1772 8600 5BB8 FF67 3294 C524 2A1A B393 6517
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jl2012 (OP)
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January 01, 2017, 06:29:16 AM |
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BETI closes at -1.118 for 2016. We (again) see some resistance around -1.1
BETI for some major levels:
$1000: -1.072 $1126 (ATH): -0.954
Tips are highly appreciated if you like this analysis: 1CiZPrEJdN4FJcqdLdgVLzT8tgCXxT5ion
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600watt
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January 01, 2017, 01:03:46 PM |
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awesome thread. thank you jl2012 for providing this. it helped me in the darkest moments. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)
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jl2012 (OP)
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January 03, 2017, 03:24:58 AM |
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awesome thread. thank you jl2012 for providing this. it helped me in the darkest moments. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) This is a victory for all 3-year hodlers. Update: BETI is above -1.1 for 2 consecutive days. It's at 27-month high Date: 2-Jan-2017 BETI: -1.063 VWAP: 1013.00 x: 2361 a: 0.00349 b: -0.26161 Rsq: 0.79891 The day's expected price: 2932.18 Actual price / expected price: 34.55% Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 315.68 Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 18982.52 BETI for ATH ($1126): -0.957 Predicted date for today's price: 3-Mar-2016 Days ahead: -304.34 Daily price rank: 5 (See OP for explanation) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00349221249089816++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.261613124881628+%29
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jl2012 (OP)
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January 04, 2017, 10:56:44 AM |
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Thanks for the donor sending me 50mBTC. That's a lot! (This is even more than someone sent me 1BTC in 2012, in USD terms) We are in the mid-way from $1000 to ATH. In terms of BETI, there is no obvious resistance for the road ahead Date: 3-Jan-2017 BETI: -1.057 VWAP: 1020.56 x: 2362 a: 0.00349 b: -0.26072 Rsq: 0.79896 The day's expected price: 2937.17 Actual price / expected price: 34.75% Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 316.22 Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 19014.83 BETI for ATH ($1126) -0.959 Predicted date for today's price: 6-Mar-2016 Days ahead: -302.80 Daily price rank: 5 (See OP for explanation) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00349107412254917++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.26071548848195+%29
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jl2012 (OP)
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January 05, 2017, 03:33:20 AM |
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Update: above -1 Date: 4-Jan-2017 BETI: -0.994 VWAP: 1088.45 x: 2363 a: 0.00349 b: -0.25987 Rsq: 0.79902 The day's expected price: 2942.48 Actual price / expected price: 36.99% Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 316.79 Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 19049.22 BETI for ATH ($1126) -0.961 Predicted date for today's price: 25-Mar-2016 Days ahead: -284.96 Daily price rank: 3 (See OP for explanation) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00349000407190921++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.259871364442829+%29
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BitcoinNewsMagazine
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January 10, 2017, 04:54:10 PM |
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Thanks for this!
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jl2012 (OP)
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January 22, 2017, 04:48:36 PM |
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Date: 21-Jan-2017 BETI: -1.191 VWAP: 916.08 x: 2380 a: 0.00347 b: -0.24219 Rsq: 0.79918 The day's expected price: 3013.59 Actual price / expected price: 30.40% Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 324.45 Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 19509.56 BETI for ATH ($1126) -0.984 Predicted date for today's price: 12-Feb-2016 Days ahead: -343.39 Daily price rank: 22 (See OP for explanation) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00346768088970605++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.242193709561248+%29
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jl2012 (OP)
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January 22, 2017, 04:54:05 PM |
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Donation address: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY) LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC) PGP: D3CC 1772 8600 5BB8 FF67 3294 C524 2A1A B393 6517
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jl2012 (OP)
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February 22, 2017, 08:12:17 AM |
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Date: 21-Feb-2017 BETI: -1.051 VWAP: 1104.60 x: 2411 a: 0.00343 b: -0.21259 Rsq: 0.80005 The day's expected price: 3161.30 Actual price / expected price: 34.94% Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 340.35 Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 20465.80 BETI for ATH ($1126) -1.032 Predicted date for today's price: 20-Apr-2016 Days ahead: -306.50 Daily price rank: 3 (See OP for explanation) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00343066053259443++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.212585331010719+%29
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February 22, 2017, 08:39:06 AM |
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where are we on the grand scale? would you mind posting the bigger chart? thank you. this thread will help me to get the timing right next run-up.
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jl2012 (OP)
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February 23, 2017, 05:13:12 PM |
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Date: 22-Feb-2017 BETI: -1.034 VWAP: 1126.24 x: 2412 a: 0.00343 b: -0.21173 Rsq: 0.80009 The day's expected price: 3166.72 Actual price / expected price: 35.56% Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 340.94 Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 20500.93 BETI for ATH ($1126) -1.034 Predicted date for today's price: 26-Apr-2016 Days ahead: -301.44 Daily price rank: 2 (See OP for explanation) https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00342959283908775++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.211725558164464+%29
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jl2012 (OP)
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February 23, 2017, 05:16:56 PM |
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Biodom
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February 23, 2017, 06:31:30 PM Last edit: February 23, 2017, 10:18:16 PM by Biodom |
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^^^Well, based on comparison with 2011-2013 we are coming up shallower, but had a couple of sharp bumpletts already. Most likely scenarios: 1. we are about to undergo a "phase transition" and go for a sharp local super-exponential peak OR 2. wiggle down to -1.2-1.25 before doing #1
Both scenarios would favor long positions, but wiggle down to $800-900 might be possible on ETF rejection, for example, which would be hopefully dismissed by the market. jl2012 provides numbers for the all-time high, but I am curious, what would 1 or 1.5 peak look like in current numbers (1.87 might be too extreme).
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jl2012 (OP)
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February 24, 2017, 07:06:48 AM |
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^^^Well, based on comparison with 2011-2013 we are coming up shallower, but had a couple of sharp bumpletts already. Most likely scenarios: 1. we are about to undergo a "phase transition" and go for a sharp local super-exponential peak OR 2. wiggle down to -1.2-1.25 before doing #1
Both scenarios would favor long positions, but wiggle down to $800-900 might be possible on ETF rejection, for example, which would be hopefully dismissed by the market. jl2012 provides numbers for the all-time high, but I am curious, what would 1 or 1.5 peak look like in current numbers (1.87 might be too extreme).
the formula for BETI = x is: 3166.72 * e ^ x. For x = 1, it's $8608
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jl2012 (OP)
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March 02, 2017, 07:48:42 AM |
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Date: 1-Mar-2017 BETI: -0.974 VWAP: 1210.05 x: 2419 a: 0.00342 b: -0.20593 Rsq: 0.80049 The day's expected price: 3206.33 Actual price / expected price: 37.74% Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 345.20 Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 20757.37 Predicted date for today's price: 20-May-2016 Days ahead: -284.73 Daily price rank: 1 (See OP for explanation)
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Biodom
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March 02, 2017, 05:55:06 PM |
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^^^Well, based on comparison with 2011-2013 we are coming up shallower, but had a couple of sharp bumpletts already. Most likely scenarios: 1. we are about to undergo a "phase transition" and go for a sharp local super-exponential peak OR 2. wiggle down to -1.2-1.25 before doing #1
Both scenarios would favor long positions, but wiggle down to $800-900 might be possible on ETF rejection, for example, which would be hopefully dismissed by the market. jl2012 provides numbers for the all-time high, but I am curious, what would 1 or 1.5 peak look like in current numbers (1.87 might be too extreme).
the formula for BETI = x is: 3166.72 * e ^ x. For x = 1, it's $8608 making $8608-14912 a possible supra-exponential peak. If it happens, I might sell 10-30% there, most likely.
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jl2012 (OP)
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May 04, 2017, 03:41:44 AM |
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Donation address: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY) LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC) PGP: D3CC 1772 8600 5BB8 FF67 3294 C524 2A1A B393 6517
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jl2012 (OP)
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May 04, 2017, 03:46:52 AM |
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BETI has been making higher highs and higher lows since the bottom around Sept 2015. Yesterday it was -0.879. It is a resistance and support level historically, so I expect we will see some resistance here. As long as it does not go below $1000, it's still making a higher low and the upward trend is still intact.
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