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jl2012 (OP)
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Activity: 1792
Merit: 1097
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December 08, 2017, 04:16:49 AM |
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BETI is going up vertically, and 1-1.5 seems possible Since the thread was started in Feb 2014, this is the first time that the model is tested in a bubble. In 2015 it has been tested in a deer bear market and worked very well
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Donation address: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY) LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC) PGP: D3CC 1772 8600 5BB8 FF67 3294 C524 2A1A B393 6517
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criptix
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Activity: 2464
Merit: 1145
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December 08, 2017, 04:18:35 AM |
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im holding my breath until 35k - after that i gonna short like a mofo.
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MNDan
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December 08, 2017, 05:02:03 AM |
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I'm surprised how far out that expected date is.
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explorer
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Merit: 1259
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December 08, 2017, 05:28:45 AM |
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im holding my breath until 35k - after that i gonna short like a mofo. All the way to 70k?
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Biodom
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December 08, 2017, 10:24:35 PM |
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Fascinating...I am trying to come up with a trading plan for some amount, but too many possibilities plus externalities (futures, etc.).
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redmeat
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December 09, 2017, 02:34:27 AM |
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Can i see the data somewhere, how many days we were ahead of trend in previous bubbles? this could be an could indicator aswell.
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jl2012 (OP)
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Activity: 1792
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December 09, 2017, 07:04:50 AM |
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Can i see the data somewhere, how many days we were ahead of trend in previous bubbles? this could be an could indicator aswell.
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Donation address: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY) LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC) PGP: D3CC 1772 8600 5BB8 FF67 3294 C524 2A1A B393 6517
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redmeat
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Activity: 40
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December 11, 2017, 03:38:05 AM |
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Update? looks like next btc leg up
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neilol-real
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December 11, 2017, 05:45:26 PM |
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im holding my breath until 35k - after that i gonna short like a mofo. Profit take? Yes. Short? Are you insane?!
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Biodom
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December 11, 2017, 06:34:59 PM |
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not jl, but looking at the graphs it is clear that anything between 0 and 2 is a very short living spike as it is supra-exponential. In all likelihood by the summer of 2018 the graph would be below zero (or fluctuating around it).
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btcone111
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December 11, 2017, 09:04:49 PM |
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not jl, but looking at the graphs it is clear that anything between 0 and 2 is a very short living spike as it is supra-exponential. In all likelihood by the summer of 2018 the graph would be below zero (or fluctuating around it). Looks like historically spikes could be lasting for around 2 quarters.... Think we have used up one quarter already.... Scary times.
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Equilux
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December 11, 2017, 11:19:48 PM |
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Thanks for the real-time links aswell! Very usefull!
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ragnar0k
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December 11, 2017, 11:49:58 PM |
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Maybe it is a stupid question... But shouldn't BETI take into account the increasing market CAP? I mean, volatility should decrease with the increase of MC (so even a bubble over 1.5 might become sustainable given enough cap)
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explorer
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December 12, 2017, 12:18:39 AM |
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Maybe it is a stupid question... But shouldn't BETI take into account the increasing market CAP? I mean, volatility should decrease with the increase of MC (so even a bubble over 1.5 might become sustainable given enough cap)
A lot of that is icecap, so the float remains astonishingly small...
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btc4lifer
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December 12, 2017, 12:20:31 AM |
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Maybe it is a stupid question... But shouldn't BETI take into account the increasing market CAP? I mean, volatility should decrease with the increase of MC (so even a bubble over 1.5 might become sustainable given enough cap)
What if this is the strongest move bitcoin has ever had? Should the volatility be less then?
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ragnar0k
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December 12, 2017, 12:47:13 AM Last edit: December 12, 2017, 01:02:33 AM by ragnar0k |
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Maybe it is a stupid question... But shouldn't BETI take into account the increasing market CAP? I mean, volatility should decrease with the increase of MC (so even a bubble over 1.5 might become sustainable given enough cap)
What if this is the strongest move bitcoin has ever had? Should the volatility be less then? Yes. I am wondering if it can be really applied now given that the basis since when BETI was made, audience and infrastructure were different. The pool of buyers was so limited it is not even comparable Ideally, you would want to consider the amount of users coming in EDIT to make my point more clear: let's assume in 2013 Satoshi decided to pay for a Super Bowl ad and a football world cup ad. 40 Million people joined MtGox buying at least 400$ worth of bitcoins each, rising the value to 4000$ (just throwing numbers here, sorry). Wouldn't BETI still consider it a bubble although fundamentals are correct? Also, I don't get why in August/September 2013 (according to charts in p. 32) we had 0 or less BETI when we were clearly ahead (BETI expected ~30$ vs an actual of ~100$)
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