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1601  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: March 16, 2023, 12:33:05 PM
Change? I don't want any change. Please bring my empty mempool back! 

Stompix is correct, YOU want the change, not him, Ordinals are real, they are already in the blockchain, and no change is required to keep them there, on the other hand, a change is needed to ban them, so it's not like we are trying to convince you to let Ordinals in, they are already sitting on the couch, it's the folks who want them out of the house who are desperate for a change in the protocol, so his statement is perfectly stated.

Oh, and as for your little poll thread, please don't take that too seriously, the percentage of Bitcoin users who are going to see it rounded to a whole number will be zero, the only way to find out is to wait a few years and see, if Ordinals stay alive it means enough people wanted them - if they die, it means the opposite, simple free-market capitalism.


I believe it will be like altcoins/shitcoins/NFTs, which developers built the tools for users, the investors/traders were incentivized by the development of a market to buy/sell, and the gathering of people behind each project that become "communities".

There's a high possibility that if the market for NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain can incentivize developers and traders to stay and profit as much as they can profit from NFTs in the Ethereum blockchain, then they will come back especially if it's cheaper/more reliable to use the Bitcoin blockchain.
1602  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: i have no programming knowledge. but i love bitcoin and would like to learn on: March 16, 2023, 12:17:17 PM
OP, alongside all of the suggestions posted in the topic, read the Developer Guides in Bitcoin.Org, https://developer.bitcoin.org/devguide/

It's a basic guide that will give newbies a good understanding of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin.Org, not Bitcoin.Com.

In your programming/learning journey if you have some questions, or answers for the questions of other people in their own journey, you explore Bitcoin Stack Exchange, https://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/
1603  Economy / Economics / Re: Bank Bailouts and Stock Market. on: March 16, 2023, 08:06:43 AM
Hello everyone.
I think some people interpret this whole situation a little bit wrong so I wanted to share my opinion on this topic.

I think the banking contagion is now over. The government and federal reserves backstopping the banks with the protection of assets above 250k. So we won't see more bank runs because people know that their money is protected now so banks are safe.


It's probably just starting. During the last Banking/Financial Crisis, there where Banks that made press releases that they were "OK", one of them was Lehman Brothers.

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Some people and media also say that the system broke and that means that federal reserves won't rise interest rates at the next meeting. And I think it's completely wrong. I think they will just rise rates for another 0.25% as a response to the SVB situation. The inflation is still pretty high and FED will keep fighting it, they can't afford to stop right now.


As a response, the Federal Reseve SHOULD pause, BUT they CAN'T because of inflation.

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So I think we will still see a lot more bankruptcies, there will be more layoffs and the stock market will keep suffering from that. This also means that bitcoin will probably find a new bottom.


"It's probably just starting".

 Cool

Bitcoin to find a new bottom? Buy the DIP, and HODL.
1604  Economy / Economics / Re: The problem with Credit Suisse and banking sector. on: March 16, 2023, 07:52:23 AM
I think you all noticed that the stock market went down again and this time it's because of Credit Suisse.
It is still one of the biggest banks in Europe so the European banking sector has some problems too.

Their bonds, CDS, everything is going down and it's bad news not just for people from Europe but for everyone cos this is international.

Credit Suisse had some problems in previous years but this time it's wild. They delayed their annual report and announced that they have weaknesses in internal control which is awful for the bank. And the largest shareholders started saying that they won't give any money to Credit Suisse. People are withdrawing from this bank for the last 3 months but now it's got even worse.

Because risk is getting higher, people move away from banks to invest in more stable assets. The US is helping banks to bail out depositors but banks still have to keep credit flowing which is pretty hard considering the loss of trust in this sector.

I think the best decision right now is to wait for what will happen next because it's pretty hard to predict where the market will move next.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB), together with the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, issued a press release stating that the problems of some banks in the US do not pose a risk to Swiss banks. And Credit Suisse has everything in order - it meets the requirements for capital and liquidity.

Well, CS, for its part, immediately announced its intention to get access to the SNB credit line in the amount of $54 billion. "Which will certainly support business and customers."

The collapse of the global financial system is temporarily delayed.


But could we truly trust their press releases saying that everything is "secure, and safe"? I believe not, and we simply shouldn't trust them. Everyone should get their money out. Because, why would they need a $54 billion credit line?

The first clues that came out about Credit Suisse's problems were back during February, and I believe that it will not be the last.

Plus did you know that the Federal Reserve can also give credit lines to eligible FOREIGN BANKS?

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Borrower Eligibility: Any U.S. federally insured depository institution (including a bank, savings association, or credit union) or U.S. branch or agency of a foreign bank that is eligible for primary credit (see 12 CFR 201.4(a)) is eligible to borrow under the Program.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/files/monetary20230312a1.pdf


"U.S. Branch", OK!

 Cool
1605  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Coinomi wallet hacked, all funds stolen on: March 15, 2023, 08:19:47 AM
The thing with software wallets is that there's always a chance of a private key leak simply due to the fact that your wallet's private keys were generated through your computer/mobile device. And add the fact that it's closed source? We have no idea how secure the wallet app is.

Next time, grab a hardware wallet.


I believe it's more probable that OP was a victim of a phishing attempt, or his/her computer was hacked, than Coinomi software had a private key leak, or if Coinomi was a nefarious entity that steals private keys themselves like what OP is giving that impression. Because if it's true/proven, then they are legally liable.
1606  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On Ordinals: Where do you stand? on: March 15, 2023, 08:08:56 AM
without code changes.. the spam, by just sitting in mempool plays with the fee structure
it also plays with the tx per block structure
it also plays with the time expectation for payment settlement

but hey an exploit has been allowed and you dont want to fix it because you think its not broke

oh and the fee mechanism you think will "figure itself out" wont figure itself out to make spam disappear in blocks...
because said spam can manipulate fee's of other people in the pending(zero-confirm) stage of mempool filling


I'm merely talking about what I see, without expressing my personal bias or personal opinions. In that context, I'm also neither thinking about it in labels such as "spam". I'm thinking about it with a neutral viewpoint.

Block space is limited, if demand goes up, fees go up, and miners simply do their job looking for the most profitable outcome for them per current block.
1607  Economy / Economics / Re: Silicone Valley Bank bust in 48 hours - Crypto exchanges could be doomed easily! on: March 15, 2023, 06:19:53 AM
"Nouriel Roubini", the Bitcoin FUDster, and the same person who predicted many times that Bitcoin would die many times, and yet the network continues to chug along and continue to produce block after block.

But because of the Federal Reserve's "over-tightening", I believe more banks will crash, but should that be seen as a confirmation that the Federal Reserve made a mistake by "over-tightening"? I believe not, it should be seen as a validation that the tightening is starting to work. Banks will break, exchanges that hold their funds in those banks will also break.
1608  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On Ordinals: Where do you stand? on: March 15, 2023, 06:05:46 AM

to fully enforce a fee mechanism to scare(not completely stop) meme bloat requires enforcing full node compliance to reject blocks that contain transactions that dont honour the fee mechanism, which can cause forks

yet meme bloat have other tricks to pay less than the average so even with such enforcement it wont completely stop them


Plus to fully enforce something that will break the incentive structure, which I will sound like a broken record to SAY that it's truly what's making everything stick together, will definitely risk breaking Bitcoin. I believe from the miners' and full nodes' viewpoint, transactions should only be merely transactions, it shouldn't matter from where it came from, to who it's sent to, or what kind of transaction it might be, let the fee market do its job.

nah its not.. but nice try. i guess the latest campaign script has deceived you again
forget the campaigners that recruited you...
. forget their scripts for one moment
where you are pretending to be against the bloat memes. but then loudly saying you dont want the meme spam to stop and instead want everyone else to pay more


You're not getting the context. I actually agree to the debate that changes in the fee structure might break Bitcoin. Simply, I'm saying don't take the risk of playing with the incentive structure that has already been set in place. Let the fee market do its job, and figure itself out.

I'm not debating for Ordinals either, but don't "fix" any part of the network that doesn't need any "fixing".
1609  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On Ordinals: Where do you stand? on: March 15, 2023, 04:12:53 AM

to fully enforce a fee mechanism to scare(not completely stop) meme bloat requires enforcing full node compliance to reject blocks that contain transactions that dont honour the fee mechanism, which can cause forks

yet meme bloat have other tricks to pay less than the average so even with such enforcement it wont completely stop them


Plus to fully enforce something that will break the incentive structure, which I will sound like a broken record to SAY that it's truly what's making everything stick together, will definitely risk breaking Bitcoin. I believe from the miners' and full nodes' viewpoint, transactions should only be merely transactions, it shouldn't matter from where it came from, to who it's sent to, or what kind of transaction it might be, let the fee market do its job.
1610  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Startup for Technical Indicator Alarms on: March 14, 2023, 02:02:37 PM
OP, it's not the tool that's going to be a problem for you. It's marketing your tool, and it would be horrible for you if you took most of your time and resources building the tool, but it doesn't get the attention of the community. Plus TradingView already has alerts based on signals from technical indicators.

I believe you should start with something simpler, and first build a Telegram bot for alerts to build a following for your projects in the future.
1611  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will we get the fed pivot right now? on: March 14, 2023, 01:50:22 PM
Choas across all the markets. Silicon Valley bank has collapsed in a manner of hours due to a bank run caused by the fed hikes. Right now there are half a dozen banks with double digit losses trading like low cap alt-coins. The worse of this is Charles Schwab. And I think the fed will finally step in to protect it.

The fed doesn't care about Silvergate or Silicon Valley but Schwab is pretty big. I think any day now we will get the pivot and all markets will rally which are considered risk-on. Sure inflation is bad but I don't think the fed wants a major bank collapsing sending shockwaves across the entire financial system.

If the fed pivots then Crypto and stocks should rally. The hint is in the bond markets. Currently they are rallying like crazy.


I don't believe that you have done the proper research to say such a thing. Because if the Federal Reserve pivots now, without contolling and bring inflation down, what will definitely happen is MORE inflation, going into the direction of hyperinflation. The whole economy would go into a recession, THEN a depression.

The recession is UNPREVENTABLE. The Federal Reserve MUST cause a recession through tightening, and through rate hikes, to get money out of the system, to lower demand, and THAT will bring inflation down. If the Federal Reserve doesn't do enough tightening/rate hikes then inflation will stay and it will do the job for the Federal Reserve = cause a recession. If the Federal Reserve pivots, and cuts or pauses interest rate hikes, then inflation will surge. What would the Federal Reserve do if inflation surges again? More aggressive tightening/rate hikes or nothing = both go to recession.
1612  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On Ordinals: Where do you stand? on: March 14, 2023, 09:37:45 AM
I believe proposals for another soft fork would open a new debate/drama within the community, which will make us split/divide further again. One group will be Ordinals users/supporters and most of the miners/mining-pools, the other group will be Bitcoin purists and probably most of the Core developers.
A fork is a bad idea because it would prevent future extensions to Taproot (witness version 1) which is the reason why this mess was allowed in first place. Not to mention that forks take a very long time to reach consenesus.

As I've said many times the correct solution should have been using standard rules to prevent this type of spam like what we have been doing all these years!
You see Ordinals attack could have happened before Taproot too but it was successfully prevented by standard rules. But after Taproot for some unknown reason the devs decided to not add any standard rules when verifying Taproot scripts (eg. a DISCOURAGE_BIG_SCRIPTS flag) and we are seeing this unwanted attack vector...


Plus it's not only about going through another controversial soft fork/hard fork, it's d5000's proposal of making a new fee structure itself! He is proposing to make a crapshoot with the part of the network that's making everything stick together. I'm stupid when it comes to programming/technical matters, but I know that's not the solution.
1613  Economy / Economics / Re: Benefit from Higher Education? on: March 14, 2023, 06:55:04 AM
I wonder if higher education will help for entrepreneurship?

I am more interested in how much theory will help in this, because during a long study we do not get practice, this will be possible only when we start doing business, until that moment we will not be able to know how much it will help us.


Theory "may help", but many of the most successful entrepreneurs learned through trial-and-error. The entrepreneurs who got lucky in their first try without solving hard problems, because they merely followed what was taught to them in school/university, I'll call them lucky and say that they can't do the same success if they started another business.

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This can help us if we need a license, but in some cases it can be obtained without a higher education.


No, ANYONE can get a license.

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Statistically, 95% of entrepreneurs have a bachelor's degree or higher and I wonder, for those of you who are involved in entrepreneurship, how useful was higher education for you?


Can you post the link/source?

Plus I believe that statistic doesn't show the details. How many of them are actual successful entrepreneurs? How many of them took an actual entrepreneur course? Because a person studying to be a doctor could also be an entrepreneur.

It merely shows that there are currently too many people who have college degrees. It's laughable that today, you need to have a degree for a clerk job, or an low-level office job. The world today thinks Higher Education Diploma = Competence.
1614  Economy / Economics / Re: "Surprisingly, Tail Emission Is Not Inflationary" -- A post by Peter Todd on: March 14, 2023, 06:33:48 AM
Shower thought. What if, instead of a Tail Emission or expanding Bitcoin's coin supply, Ordinals and the demand for block-space it brings would be the answer to the question, "Will the fees be enough to support the miners when all the coins have been mined"?

I'm NOT debating whether Ordinals is good for Bitcoin. I'm merely looking at the possibility that Ordinals might make Bitcoin a better network for what Ethereum is already doing if doing them in Bitcoin will make it cheaper, and if the Bitcoin blockchain is more reliable for them.
1615  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Retracement will finally happen on: March 13, 2023, 11:19:49 AM
We are currently experiencing red days in these past days but is it good or bad? As you can see in the weekly time frame below, the price is nowo in the major support where it is considered as buyer side. Which only means that there is a high possibility that the price will bounce in this area. If the price bounce in this area then the movement of the bitcoin is very healthy and we can a upward movement in the following days if this happen. Right now, I'm planning to entry to get as much as position in the major support for me to not be miss out.

Happy trading and Goodluck

Mini Update March 13, 2023

Does my prediction is correct again? take time to read my past updates on my analysis regarding the price and the movement of the bitcoin. I said that it is considered as healthy move that the price retrace on the level of $20,000. I also mention that I'll get as much as position becauseu the price is currently at the major support. Luckily, I followed my plan and I have big positions in a lot of coins and I'm currently 30% up in my total portfolio.

A lot of people got scared because of the retracement of the bitcoin, it only shows that they do not fully understand the psychology and market sentiment. As for my next prediction, the price of the bitcoin will consolidate and eventually break the $25,000. Take note that it is really good time to acquire positions in the consolidation level so guys good luck and happy trading again! If you want to make money then consider my analysis but also make sure to have good risk management and solid plan.

The current weekly chart as of now:


The current daily chart as of now:



When, do you predict, will that eventuality for Bitcoin to break $25,000? Will it be in two or three months? Because for me, while it's possible that your prediction will happen in two or three months, I believe Bitcoin might go touch $16,000 again because of bearish macro-economic conditions around the world. BUT if we zoom out to the maximum, it's an easy prediction that eventually, Bitcoin will surge over $25,000. Especially a few months before the halving.
1616  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Biden on Brink of 2nd US Bank Bailout on: March 13, 2023, 07:57:07 AM

The title sounds all too familiar, doesnt it? We are seeing this in real time and its pretty wild! This is one of the main reasons that Bitcoin was created, to create an alternative to the fiat trash money. Tomorrow morning President Biden will speak on the 2 bank collapses that happed in the past week, and of course he is going to follow in Janet Yellens footsteps assuring that the US Government will bail the failed banks out and that all the depositors money is safe, but with what money? The printers are running nonstop, they have to be. The US defaulted on their debt recently, I mean all the conditions are not looking great for USD.


If you're suggesting that the Federal Reserve will pivot to expansion of their balance sheet, reverse to QE, and turning on the printers, then I believe not. Inflation is still high in the U.S. A pivot now would bring it up further, then what will do? Tighten more and raise interest rates higher, and more aggressively to bring inflation down.

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Are we seeing the beginning of the domino affect on US AND ALL GLOBAL BANKS?! Is the USD going to finally collapse? I don't think just yet, the FED is going to pull some strings to delay yet again but how much longer can they hold up the inevitable?


It might take longer than expected, and the replacement might be a CBDC. A reset of the U.S. Dollar.
1617  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Which best for long term investment? Hardware wallet or Software wallet . on: March 13, 2023, 07:45:45 AM
Plus it's not really "paranoid". That method of using fake I.D. and opening a P.O. Box is actually a standard safety measure used to buy "something else" from the internet.
It is paranoid and super expensive doing all this just for one hardware wallet, I am not talking if you are dealing drugs, selling alcohol or nuclear fuel all the time, so you need to have this.
But go ahead and keep recommending people to buy fake ID (aka commit crime) because that is ''standard safety measure'' in your world Cheesy
What I proposed is 100 times more simpler, cheaper and safer, plus you don't have to commit any crime along the way.


To give you context, another poster brought up a concern that the biggest problem in purchasing a hardware wallet is privacy-related, because you have to give up your home address, real name and probably other information. I merely suggested a way in how a person can buy one without giving up any real information about himself/herself. You don't have to be angry and nitpicky about it.
1618  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: March 13, 2023, 05:33:23 AM
Quote
We need every bit of value we can extract, you will have very hard time finding a miner who would mind getting paid more be it the result of spam or NFTs.
That doesn't mean we should indulge miners.
Who's "we"?

I'm sorry that I'm responding without reading the last page with devotion, but it's just frustrating observing established experts going against the Bitcoin spirit without noticing. There is no "we" in transactions. I don't expect the majority of you to approve my transaction from an ethic standard when I make it. Nor do I expect you to feel I have circumvented your space. I don't even expect you'll attend to talk about it. The only thing I expect is that it will be done in 10 minutes.

You know you can't have both the most freedom preserving currency in the world and simultaneously dictate miners how to do their business or which transactions pass the collective approval.


Whether we like Ordinals, or not, there's nothing the community can do, except debate and express their own opinions. In theory there's something we can do = another soft fork, but practically speaking I believe, after Taproot - which brought us a development of using the blobspace for an unintended purpose, there will he no soft forks for a longer amount of time because of a "distrust that it might bring something unintended" again.

1619  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On Ordinals: Where do you stand? on: March 13, 2023, 05:18:51 AM
...
Yep, I more or less agree -- my remark was about the way the "sub-consensus" works in the case of Ordinals and Omni/Counterparty, and it's identic. Both assign "significance" to data which would normally be read as "arbitrary" with the standard Bitcoin tools (which follow only the Bitcoin protocol).

I've thought a bit how the Ordinals problem could be dealt with without censorship or hard forks, but simply using incentive mechanisms and/or possible soft forks. Apart from making ordinal-type taproot scripts non-standard, which could be a "short term" strategy but is a bit of a "hack", I think there could be a more long-term oriented, "cleaner" strategy to provide a clear "incentive framework": creating two new transaction types with even better witness discounts than Segwit-style transactions.

The first type would be for pure financial transactions without OP_RETURN scripts nor any contracts. It would get 4x discount in comparison to today. Maybe even with a privacy mechanism in the style of Monero or Grin.

The second type would be for small data inscriptions with a single OP_RETURN output to up to a few hundreds of bytes, and would get 2x the Segwit-style witness discount. I would prefer 200 bytes instead of 80, or even a bit more, to be able to support at least some of the Ordinal Inscription use cases, without opening to things like JPEGs.

For larger inscriptions, a "data sidechain" could be supported "semi-officially", with a client offering to store inscriptions which are hashed into a small OP_RETURN output, but separately from the main chain. (This could include the "notify and takedown" mechanism I outlined here).

We could allow some more types to be supported by the 2x category, like popular contract types (multisig, atomic swaps/Lightning HTLCs and channel openings etc.). There could be a mechanism similar to "standardness" to enable them for that category.

We would then have a new "minimum fee level" 4 times lower than now, so - always having the current "fee market" in mind - the fee level for the current categories would be moving two "steps" higher for the current transaction types:

- standard non-segwit transactions: paying 8x the new minimum fee
- standard segwit transactions with full contracts, including Ordinals: paying 4x the minimum fee
- new "small data" / limited contract transactions: paying 2x the minimum fee
- simple financial transactions: paying 1x the minimum fee

Ordinals Inscriptions would then, on average, pay approximately 4 times the fees they pay now (with similar network congestion).

This is just a very general idea, which should (from my understanding, please correct if not) be achievable with a soft fork. The advantage is: we would not rule out new contracts and innovation in that field, but make it up to 4x more expensive until it is accepted generally.


I believe proposals for another soft fork would open a new debate/drama within the community, which will make us split/divide further again. One group will be Ordinals users/supporters and most of the miners/mining-pools, the other group will be Bitcoin purists and probably most of the Core developers.

Core developers who might reject Ordinals will probably be Adam Back, Gregory Maxwell and Luke DashJr.
1620  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On Ordinals: Where do you stand? on: March 10, 2023, 02:30:11 PM
caseys RULES are not locked to hard data
its just code he wrote which he can change
nutildah loves it and thinks its a real NFT that has value and is trying his hardest to say it is real with his silly
"read casey, look at casey, trust casey" crap

I hate to agree with franky but he is right. There are people in this topic and elsewhere that for different reasons refuse to acknowledge the scam nature of this whole thing. Ordinals is not part of or enforced by bitcoin consensus rules or any other consensus rules, it is basically an illusion created and controlled by a centralized authority and is sold to people who are unknowingly attacking bitcoin.


Are you talking about how "Ordinals" are making Satoshi No. "XXXXXX" = Level "X" in Rarity? I would have to agree with franky1 too if it's that. It's not real, it's merely a made up concept, although I would have to also admit that it's remarkable.
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