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2301  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 18, 2023, 08:42:29 AM
Mbappe has been one of the deadliest strikers for the last two World Cups and he won one of them and finished the one in Qatar as vice world champion. I think calling that nothing serious is wrong.

I absolutely agree that he wasting golden years of his career with PSG because Ligue 1 is not where a player of his level is supposed to play. It was different for Messi because he had his success already and some circumstances led him to play for PSG. But it is not like Mbappe should be blamed for not winning the Champions League. He has proven that he can deliver on the highest levels with 12 goals in two World Cups. I can only hope that he will soon make a decision to leave PSG and finally play in a better league, but here is really only the Premier League that would get the best out of him and maybe La Liga if Barcelona gets back to strength and perhaps Atletico Madrid as well.

Barcelona, Atletico, but not Real?! Did I miss something or did you just forget about Real Madrid, with which negotiations have been going on for a long time and most people assume that Mbappe will move to Real Madrid next summer?
A move to the Premier League, I think, is extremely unlikely since he won’t go to City because of Haaland, and there is no point in moving to another club where the likelihood of a Premier League title will be low.
2302  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 18, 2023, 08:35:18 AM


It has been such an incredible day for me. I wanted to use my free bet on these two matches like this. The odds were quite high but still the betslip won.  Smiley

I got the news of the fourth goal in each one of these matches in the same minute which was really amazing. To be honest I was more doubtful about Serbia - Montenegro because the third and fourth goal came in the last twenty minutes consecutively. I withdrew all the money right after it won as I thought that I used up all my luck on this.  Cheesy

Excellent bet, congratulations) By the way, out of the 21 games that were played during this break for national teams, in 11 games (more than half) the bet on a total of more than 3.5 turned out to be correct. If the odds were similar everywhere (from 3 and above), then we can say that the bookmakers made a serious mistake in their forecasts.
2303  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: October 18, 2023, 08:26:07 AM


Source: https://twitter.com/FabrizioRomano/status/1714446142094610638

I don't know what else to say, because Neymar has suffered another injury and had to be carried off the field on a stretcher. Neymar suffered an injury during the match between Brazil vs Uruguay which is currently underway and as reported by Fabrizio Romano it seems he has suffered another serious injury. I think whenever and wherever Neymar is he will still be faced with the problems that have caused him to experience a decline in performance in recent years.

In this week's match it is clear that Al-Hilal will not be strengthened by Neymar again and perhaps if he is often absent due to injury, Al-Hilal will also feel disadvantaged because missing Neymar will reduce most people's interest in watching the Saudi league. We can only hope that Neymar can recover quickly from his injury.

You can’t even hope that Neymar will quickly heal the injury - he has a serious knee injury and will miss up to six months. It looks like this season is over for him, the question is how much he can recover overall.
I feel very sorry for him, but I was once again convinced that his purchase was a deeply wrong decision. The only club that benefited from this transfer was PSG.
2304  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 17, 2023, 09:29:59 PM
After losing to England (and with expectation that they beat North Macedonia), Italy will now have to play a decider away to Ukraine.
They really complicated their lives in this group, although both of their losses came against the leader of the group.

If I'm calculating correctly, a draw there would be enough - meaning that Italy is still my favorite to qualify from this group.

After North Macedonia knocked Italy out of the World Cup qualifiers and drew the first game with Italy in this qualifier, I would say that the first decisive game will be with North Macedonia  Grin
If you think like this, then in the event of a victory over Italy, North Macedonia still has a game with England (which has already decided its issues), so if North Macedonia takes 6 points in these games, and Ukraine lose to Italy, then North Macedonia will take second place in the group. They definitely have something to fight for.

upd: Hmm... Looks like I'm wrong. By personal meetings, Ukraine will still be higher than North Macedonia.
2305  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: October 17, 2023, 09:21:00 PM
It would be interesting to see the greatest player of the Champions League again in this tournament and I would say that it is quite simple from the point of view that Portugal has 3 tickets to the Champions League and it should not be a big problem for Sporting to win one. But it seems to me that Ronaldo has other plans, he will play until the very end (without defining any year as his last) in Saudi Arabia and will end his career as soon as he is no longer able to play for the national team.
The passion Ronaldo has for sport has always impressed me. He's eager to move forward even though most athletes his age have already given up. I've been watching his play very carefully, and even though his mobility has decreased, he still has excellent finishing. His superior mentality may be his greatest asset. But I have to wonder about his long-term strategy with Al Nasr. Although it looks like a cozy place, is this the best option? Ronaldo might improve Sporting's potential to qualify for the Champions League. However, after learning about his plans for Euro 2024 and the World Cup in 2026, I believe Ronaldo's pride in his country may take precedence over his club goals. Its contradicting for me as a fan, but I appreciate his decisions

It is unlikely that Sporting has any prospects in the Champions League even if they qualify for it. And if we take into account that in the new format of the Champions League the group stage will be chaos, then I don’t even know if this chaos will be interesting to anyone. In the playoffs there will still be +- the same teams and Sporting will always be the underdog among them.
Ronaldo set the trend for interest in the Saudi League and I think it’s rational to stay here, this league is developing faster than all the others (low base effect) plus with Al-Nassr Ronaldo can claim victory in all competitions, but with Sporting not.
2306  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io - UFC 294 - Multi Master Challenge - (Saturday) on: October 17, 2023, 09:09:10 PM
13. Islam Makhachev
12. Kamaru Usman
11. Magomed Ankalaev
10. Ikram Aliskerov
9. Said Nurmagomedov
8. Tim Elliott
7. Mohammad Yahya
6. Javid Basharat
5. Abu Azaitar
4. Mike Breeden
3. Nathaniel Wood
2. Jinh Yu Frey
1. Bruno Silva

NOT go the Full Distance 5
2307  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +91147 units on: October 17, 2023, 05:56:41 PM
What an overestimation of Azer / underestimation of Austria that turned out to be, haha. To be fair, it was a slim victory for the favourite. I'm not about to give up on the Central Asians yet and I feel like Finland deserves to lose this one, if only because Pukki must be in his golden twilight now?

100 units at Sportsbet on Kazakhstan to WIN vs Finland @8.04. Other odds: 7.80
Units advantage: 24

Running advantage after 21 bets: +2097 (+24)
All-time cumulative: +92,047
Running units after 20 bets (2W|18L): -216 (-100)

Great pick! Gratz  Cool
To be honest, it would never have occurred to me to place this bet (in my opinion, the odds were too small for an away game). I’m probably biased towards teams from Central Asia, but it seems to me that they play weakly in away games, but at home they are stronger than average. But today Zainutdinov broke my stereotypes  Grin
2308  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: October 17, 2023, 05:50:18 PM
It would be interesting to see the greatest player of the Champions League again in this tournament and I would say that it is quite simple from the point of view that Portugal has 3 tickets to the Champions League and it should not be a big problem for Sporting to win one. But it seems to me that Ronaldo has other plans, he will play until the very end (without defining any year as his last) in Saudi Arabia and will end his career as soon as he is no longer able to play for the national team.
At his current age, I also think that Al Nasr will indeed be Ronaldo's last club in his football career. Because if he returns to his childhood club (Lisbon), Ronaldo will definitely be older than now and his performance will definitely decline too. Even if he returns to Lisbon, he has the opportunity to appear again in the Champions League, but in my opinion there is not yet a strong enough reason for that. Because in my opinion the possibility of Ronaldo returning to Lisbon is very unlikely. Apart from that, Ronaldo's contract with Al Nasr is still very long until 2025. Several news sites even say that Ronaldo wants to extend his contract with Al Nasr until 2027. So I don't know whether this information is true or not. However, what is certain is that Ronaldo still wants to play at Euro 2024 and the 2026 World Cup to defend his country, Portugal. So if you see that Ronaldo still wants to buy the Portuguese national team, it means that the main priority in Ronaldo's final career is clearly his country, Portugal. And perhaps club affairs will become less important to Ronaldo in the future. Because if you look at his satisfaction, Ronaldo is definitely quite satisfied with his career so far at several football clubs.

Yes, Ronaldo has no particular reason to return to the European Champions League - his position as the top scorer and best assistant there is unshakable. In the national team, his statistical advantage is also huge, but it’s probably nice to continue improving the record. Ronaldo still has many ambitions and he is trying to realize them. As for the 2026 World Cup, he probably also dreams of increasing his own record (if I remember correctly, he is the only player to score in 5 World Cups).
2309  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 17, 2023, 05:44:01 PM
The current odds for the Ligue 1 title are as follows:

Paris Saint Germain 1.20

As Monaco Fc 11.00

Olympique Marseille 15.00

Everything is clear here and, in my opinion, even 1.20 is a favorable coefficient (at least it looks more reliable and more profitable than depositing in a bank hahaha). I'm talking about PSG's prospects in the Champions League - if they are lucky with their opponents, they can climb very high (like Inter last year or any other team from the "easy" part of the playoffs).

Betting on the teams like Marseille is actually a death wish because they are not in a good situation at all and they are just waiting to see the Saudis buy thing teams and make a better team in the next season otherwise Marseille will not have a chance to win the title in this season. Also, Monaco has always unstable team and I think the best we can do about this is to take less risk and just bet on PSG because hoping for a miracle is not a wise move in this league.

Yep. In general, I am not against bets with high odds, but not in the case where you have to wait half a year for the outcome. In this case, it may take several years to “catch” the desired outcome, which does not suit me at all.
As for the rumors regarding the purchase of Marseille, it would be good if it were true - having two money bags in Ligue 1 will make it more interesting and I will wish failure on two teams at once and not just one  Grin
2310  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: October 17, 2023, 05:37:26 PM
Manchester United made a hugh mistake when they allow their first choice, David de Gea to exits Old Trafford this summer after failing to meet his demands simply because they had their sights on Inter Milan goalkeeper, André Onana who was at his peak but alot of things have changed since United signed him, he haven't performed to the expected assumptions of the fans. Meanwhile David de Gea is currently a free agent this season with no club. He's keen on making an impact move to an elite team because he's a top goalkeeper that has the presence of other top competitors, moving to an average team will only see him beckoned to mediocre level which he will totally refrained.

There is an opinion that the “high” level that Onana demonstrated in Milan was due to the defense of Milan, and not to Onana himself. Today I watched a video where there were all his saves and all the goals that he missed, what can I say, it all looks very sad - he misses every third shot on target. And here there can be no comparison with “the young De Gea who came to United and also made mistakes,” if I remember correctly De Gea ended up at United at the age of 20, and Onana came at 27 as a professional in his prime. But so far I don’t see that he is good.
2311  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 17, 2023, 05:29:05 PM
Bellingham is Modric's replacement. Vinny and Bellingham are not strikers, so Real needs a top striker. I think Haaladn can go to Real Madrid because it’s stupid to play in a team where you set records but the dick head coach says that you are not a better player than his favorite Messi. The compensation for Haaland is not so great - 173 million, so maybe Real will buy him.
The question is whether Manchester City will let this player leave, while this player has contributed a lot, even in his first season joining Manchester City. I think that could happen is unlikely, especially now that Real Madrid are closer to getting the signature of a Mbappe.
I also haven't heard any rumors about Real Madrid's interest in Haaland, but I also don't know because it could be that they move without being detected by the media so that the movement is silent.
Haaland is also only 1 season at Manchester City, I also believe he still wants to play there and give more titles.

No, there is no question here - the compensation under the contract is 173 million, Real can pay this money and City’s opinion will not be taken into account at all. This is literally the price for breaking the contract early. Considering that many transfers are now taking place at prices of 100 million, the price for Haaland does not look high. That is why City are trying their best to convince Haaland to extend his contract in order to increase compensation for break of contract.
2312  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 17, 2023, 05:16:08 PM
This news looks strange if you don’t understand why it’s all being started.
I think the scheme is this: Kroos goes to City for free, sits on the bench (sometimes plays as a substitute) until the winter, then City sells him to Saudi Arabia. Kroos gets a lot of money, City gets + in the balance sheet and “fits” into financial fair play. Everyone is happy.
Another City shenanigan.
That's a really good guess, KTChampions. But we also have to say that Manchester City need a midfielder. Kevin de Bruyne is injured. And they haven't made a good signing to replace Ilkay Gundogan. Tony Kross could be a good signing for Manchester City. And if he adapts to the team quickly, he could find a place in Pep's plans. I think your guess about the potential of this signing makes a lot of sense. But on the other hand, we can't deny that Manchester City need a midfielder who can be a passing link.

Kroos will be 34 years old in 2.5 months, City will only get him in the summer so we can say that when he ends up at City he will be 35. City is too rich a club to make temporary transfers and fill any positions on the field with players who will end their careers in a year or two and the peak of whom is already behind. There was information that Guardiola tried to persuade Bellingham to move to City and after Bellingham chose Real Madrid I doubt that Guardiola changed his plan to get the young star midfielder.
2313  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 17, 2023, 05:01:22 PM
~
 Sacking Ten  Hag won't change anything but rather would even cause more problems for the team cause the new coach might even find it more difficult to work under the glaziers that are only interested in the financial benefits they're getting from the club instead of making investments to help it grow.

No one can know this for sure. Maybe the new coach really won’t be able to change much since Ten Hag has already made mistakes that are difficult to correct - for example, buying Onana is definitely a mistake. For the new coach to be able to fix anything, he must take part in at least one transfer cycle, and given the fact that United has already spent a lot at Ten Hag’s request, new serious acquisitions will have to wait at least until the summer.
2314  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 17, 2023, 04:54:16 PM
I think both teams will score in this match. The Italians have scored consistently in the last seven games. Among them they scored in the previous meeting with England. England was considered the main favorite of their group even before the start of qualification and the English have proved it without any problems so far. I have no doubts at all that England will score.

It seems to me that England will win this game without any problems and it is unlikely that Italy will be able to score a goal. Surprisingly, bookmakers apparently share the same opinion: BTTS quotes are as much as 2.26. There is no question at all about which team will definitely concede a goal today:

England Clean Sheet

Yes 1.95  No 1.83

Italy Clean Sheet

Yes 4.90 No 1.17


I completely agree with the bookmakers here, but I must say that the odds of 2.26 seem fair.
2315  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Credit card gambling fuels gambling addiction on: October 16, 2023, 12:12:27 PM
Many people actually don't really understand what they are doing with the credit card they have, they think that the limit the credit card has is all their money,

It always made me laugh. And I’m also amazed that there are many companies/people who make money by helping people with bad credit history get a loan. And naturally, advertising of their services is presented as something positive: “We’ll help you get a loan!” as if a loan is some kind of gift and not a forced measure.

~ some credit card providers even deliberately collaborate with casino business owners. to make players tend to incur debt and this is what is very dangerous, if you have a credit card then never be careless to use up all the limits on the card, remember to only gamble responsibly, don't gamble with capital that you can't afford to lose.

This sounds dubious; it seems to me that there is a very large percentage of non-payers among gamblers (especially those with pronounced addictions). This is an unfavorable category of borrowers.
2316  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Not keeping records makes me a bad gambler? on: October 16, 2023, 11:49:45 AM
Good day crypto Famz, I will like to ask gamblers this question, is there any gamblers on here that keeps record of their wins and losses? Do you keep a record of all the pennies you use to gamble and also the result?

Someone whom we both have this discuss yesterday said this is a good practice, I still don't see a reason why because I don't keep record of my losses, I tend to only remember when I win a certain amount, if its good enough you won't easily forget, but apart from this I don't care.

So Famz, is there any benefits when one keeps record on their losses and wins? Is there any thing to gain when you write down all the money you spent in gambling and also how much you have made so far?

Not keeping records, does this make me a bad gambler?

There is probably no benefit (if we are talking about ordinary gamblers who do not have an addiction) and, on the contrary, there is a feeling of disappointment because sooner or later even small amounts add up to something larger. This is the same senseless and irrational nonsense as calculating how much money I would save if I didn’t drink coffee for a whole year. We must love ourselves, not money, and if we can get little joys for money, then this is good spending.
2317  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 16, 2023, 11:34:16 AM
Haven't Albania qualified yet? In the worst case scenario for Albania, they will be tied on points with Poland. But according to the results of personal matches, Albania has the advantage (Poland won 1-0, and Albania 2-0).
By the way, Santos has already been fired from the Polish national team and it is still unclear who will manage the team in the remaining game, however, this game is no longer important, Poland needs to prepare for the tournament of losers.

Most likely yes,Albania needs just one point and with the results right now they will be second in the worse case scenario as they will be 14 points.However I very much doubt that Albania will not be able to win the last game at home against Faroe Island so most likely they will finish the tournament with 16 points which has high chances to make them come first and in this I am assuming 0 points in Moldova which can be completely different as I doubt they will lose in Moldova,in the worse case they will get 1 point there in my opinion and will end with 17 points which assures the first place to them.

For Santos firing him is a bit funny,first time when he was appointed to Portugal it was when Albania won there 0-1 and he won the Euro 2016 at that time,now he is fired again after Albania beat Poland 2-0 and now things look much worse for him.

No. If we are discussing Albania, Czech Republic and Poland, then Albania has already qualified: Poland can score a maximum of 13 points (like Albania) but according to the results of head-to-head matches, Albania will be higher. The only reason Albania has not yet been declared qualified is that Moldova has a theoretical chance to overtake it, but I think it is obvious that this will not happen.
2318  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 16, 2023, 11:27:06 AM
I still can't understand Pep no matter how he makes things to be plain, like what is Pep Guardiola cooking this time around? Where other managers sees players who are above 30 as a problem Pep just have to go and make something great out of them, I so much love the way he goes about business.
Some would ask, what does Toni Kroos have to offer at his age. I believe Pep Guardiola can't get his eyes off Gundogan's style of play that's why he's going for the Madrid man, well I feel that's another addition to the Citizens and they can do anything to get his signature.

Nothing intresting:

This news looks strange if you don’t understand why it’s all being started.
I think the scheme is this: Kroos goes to City for free, sits on the bench (sometimes plays as a substitute) until the winter, then City sells him to Saudi Arabia. Kroos gets a lot of money, City gets + in the balance sheet and “fits” into financial fair play. Everyone is happy.
Another City shenanigan.

I am 99.99% sure that this is the essence of this machination. It would be good if the League monitored such transactions and punished them, but as we know, the League was unable to punish even more obvious violations and this cheating club remains invulnerable. I will definitely add this event to my “calendar” so that later I can check if I was right.
2319  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 16, 2023, 11:19:30 AM
Every player values their self-esteem so much that they are willing to change clubs but not willing to apologise. ~

I wonder why he should apologize if he feels that he is right? Judging by how crappy United are playing and what shape the players are in (by the way, there was also a leak that an internal investigation was carried out at United regarding a large number of injuries), there should be questions not only for Sancho. If the head coach allowed all these problems to become so critical and deep, then he himself is to blame.
2320  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 16, 2023, 11:12:24 AM
I doubt that Guardiola will let Haaland go to Real Madrid, and I’m not sure whether Haaland himself needs it. Mbappe dreams of playing in Real Madrid, that’s true, but his contract ends only this summer, until then it’s too early to say anything.

And I really doubt that Real needs a striker now, look at the form in which Bellingham is now, Vinicius and Joselu also regularly score goals, so everything is fine with Real’s attack. They would have to think about maybe strengthening Modric's position, but I also think Real Madrid's midfield is fine right now.

Bellingham is Modric's replacement. Vinny and Bellingham are not strikers, so Real needs a top striker. I think Haaladn can go to Real Madrid because it’s stupid to play in a team where you set records but the dick head coach says that you are not a better player than his favorite Messi. The compensation for Haaland is not so great - 173 million, so maybe Real will buy him.
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