Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Bossian]

I think we have reversed... or not?  

P.S. Chinese conmen ran out of ammo (Chinese ponzi coins)?

Early to tell, but possible. I bought a bit at $9.55k.

[1660888315]

1660888315

[1660888315]

1660888315

[Lambie Slayer]

So we are on pace to soon be testing the very low 9ks for the third time in a month.

I dont see any special reason why 9k will hold. I want to see some serious volume to convince me otherwise.

We can go to 7-8k and easily still consider ourselves to be in a very bullish scenario. We all remember how 2015 gave away big gains several times only to finish the year very strong.

Tons of support around 8k. If we make it that low and get some mega volume along with a green dildo then I think we set ourselves up nicely for a beautiful finish to 2019.

A huge volume spike would sure be nice.  But remember, accumulation doesn’t show volume spikes.

2015 gave us a nice example of such. The year in hindsight to me was an accumulation year for the first 10 months.

The June-July 2015 mini bull run peaked on July 12 and had big daily volume on July 10, 12, and 13.

All gains from this run were given back and the down trend did not stop till August 25. August 24 and 25 had massive volume and signaled the selling was over.

2015 to me was characterized as a large accumulation period with two mini bull runs that gave up most of their gains. 2019 did a lot of sideways and then a large bull run that we just witnessed peak on Jun 26. I still think its likely 2019 is an accumulation year just like 2015 and instead of 2 runs giving up a lot of their gains we seem to have consolidated it into 1 large run that hopefully wont give up all, but has already given up much of its gains.

Exacerbating circumstances warping it into one large run would imo be the perfect storm of stockboyz hitting all time highs despite all the economic fuckery we are living in, Trump jawboning the Fed into first ending rate hikes and quantitative tightening, following up that feat by jawboning the Fed into cutting rates, the Trade War shitstorm, the devaluing of the Yuan, the NYAG Tether crusade making Bitcoin a safe haven from sketchy stablecoins, the Libra hype(lets be honest that was crack cocaine for newbs) the demise of shitcoins, the humiliation of CSW, and last but not least frontrunning what happened in 2015.

TLDR: I think we are due for some moderate to serious mean reverting based on the 2015 fractal. Good news is a lot of it has already happened, but Im convinced its not over and a mega volume day would go a long way to change my mind.

[zhekinsp]

^Jump up means?

Buy now or wait ?

If everyone decides to wait then the price may fall $7.5K so its better to do buy now if we don't want to wakeup the bears.

[nutildah]

And he is somewhat deluded into thinking that the possibility of a "blockapocallipse" is much higher than it really is...

You may wish to ponderate upon this trend line: https://www.blockchain.com/en/charts/avg-block-size?timespan=all

Has nothing to do with a "blockalypse" because the blockalyse never happened.

Blocks became full, Dominance plummeted. If you don't like the name Blockalypse I for this sorry state of affairs, then good for you. Stick your metaphorical fingers in your ears or bury your metaphorical head in the ground - your choice. For my part, I find it an apt and fitting description.

You're correlating two things that have nothing to do with one another. The price of BTC continued to rise during the dominance plummeting. There are hundreds of other projects out there that were rising just as fast, or faster. Ego, they were taking up more of the market cap share. Its simple math.

This time around, investors have wisened up to the fact that not every project will be as successful as bitcoin, which is why altcoins are being left behind (including BCH and BSV).

If money was flowing out of BTC in search of other options, its price would have declined. Instead, the opposite happened.

It simply means blocks are becoming increasingly full.

Exactly. And when they become persistently full once again?
Blockalypse II. Where the masses again abandon BTC for some other chain that actually allows one to quickly and inexpensively transfer value.

Again, its dishonest of you to say the "masses abandoned BTC" when its price was on the rise the entire time. This is why the 'blockalypse' never happened.

[VB1001]

Santander UK unexpectedly dropped support for Coinbase

On August 14 a Reddit user announced that Santander UK was halting all payments to Coinbase cryptocurrency exchange. ui/Cheat69 said:

Just got off the phone with a Santander rep in the U.K. who informed me they will no longer be allowing their customers to deposit money to Coinbase.

After I put in a compliant their “complaints department” confirmed to me that I should move to an alternative bank if I wish to make the payment.

They went on to say this is likely because of an increase in fraud related to Coinbase.

https://bitcoinist.com/santander-uk-no-longer-supports-coinbase-payments/

Yesterday Barclays today Santander.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg52155756#msg52155756

[600watt]

lol, some bounce. we need another $150 to go up to be above $10k.

obvoiusly this is your last chance to buy sub 10k. once it goes above, we will never see sub $10k again^TM

 

[HairyMaclairy]

<...>

When Legendary, HM?

I still need to get my mom to sign the permission form

[heslo]

So is this the bottom or just a dead cat bounce?

I think we've probably seen the worst... seems people got a bit over happy in the sell off

[VB1001]

<...>

When Legendary, HM?

I still need to get my mom to sign the permission form

Ok, study a little more this summer and your mom will give you the authorization.

[Saint-loup]

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/3l1JOd99-Wedge/

The next 24 hours is extremely critical. Go down and say hello to $7.5k, we better jump up now.

edit: mini jump from 9.5k to 9.8k. I just bought before the jump another $100  

[JSRAW]

To keep up WO's Spirit up

[El duderino_]

Don’t mind the spirit of the true WO-members

Its always positive

[El duderino_]

The ongoing Argentine devaluation is heartbreaking:

100 Pesos

= 20.2 USD (Jan 2013)

= 14.2 USD (Jan 2014)

= 11.6 USD (Jan 2015)

= 7.5 USD (Jan 2016)

= 6.3 USD (Jan 2017)

= 5.2 USD (Jan 2018)

= 2.6 USD (Jan 2019)

= 1.7 USD (Now, Aug 2019)
https://twitter.com/matthuang/status/1161663210392436738?s=21

People Will realise....

[lightfoot]

An autopsy found that financier Jeffrey Epstein sustained multiple breaks in his neck bones, according to two people familiar with the findings, deepening the mystery about the circumstances around his death.
Among the bones broken in Epstein’s neck was the hyoid bone, which in men is near the Adam’s apple. Such breaks can occur in those who hang themselves, particularly if they are older, according to forensics experts and studies on the subject. But they are more common in victims of homicide by strangulation, the experts said.

They need to check Waze, there was probably a traffic jam outside his cell with various operatives trying to get in there to kill him.

Who strangled Epstein? Everybody.

[hd49728]

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/3l1JOd99-Wedge/

The next 24 hours is extremely critical. Go down and say hello to $7.5k, we better jump up now.

edit: mini jump from 9.5k to 9.8k. I just bought before the jump another $100  

I feel more interesting with the horizontal line at $8000. When people panicly sell at the range of $8000, we might see the next dump to $7.5k, and that time we might see last chance to buy cheap bitcoin, this year. If it happens, next 10 weeks, someone still miss it, will have never have other chances to buy cheap bitcoin. When really big bull run starts, bitcoin will fastly break $20,000. Nevertheless, I don't think that bull run will happen sooner that middle of December this year.
For now, enjoy the bounce, just be careful.

[fillippone]

Time to hit F9, Gabor: negative yielding bonds just hit 16 Trillions USD.

‘Time for Plan ₿,’ Says VanEck Exec as Negative Yield Bonds Hit 27%

According to Deutsche Bank, 27% of global bonds traded are now negative yield, so expected to pay out less than their initial cost.

Negative yield bonds dwarf Bitcoin market cap

This represents $15 trillion worth of debt. Or as VanEck digital asset director, Gabor Gurbacs, commented Aug. 14, this is 75 times the total Bitcoin market cap.

“It’s time for Plan ₿!” he adds.

Whilst currently this phenomenon is limited to certain European countries and Japan, all eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve to see if it follows the trend.

Meanwhile, ex-chairman of the Fed, Alan Greenspan, told Bloomberg on Tuesday that there is no barrier to Treasury yields falling below zero. This prompted Bitcoin perma-bull, Max Keiser to tweet that “Bitcoin has no top because fiat has no bottom.”

[El duderino_]

10K closing in ...... 

[Saint-loup]

As The Largest Crypto Exchange Goes Offline, Bitcoin And Altcoins Crash To New August Lows

The cryptocurrency market lost around $25 billion today, as Bitcoin and all major large-cap altcoins plummeted heavily. This happened right after Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange went down for scheduled maintenance.

Bitcoin, for once, broke below the $10,000 level in a heavy plunge upwards of 7% at the time of this writing.

Awkward Timing Once Again

All of this happened after Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, went off for a scheduled maintenance in order to perform a system update.

In any case, the maintenance was intended to go for 6-8 hours, which is a considerable amount of time during which deposits, withdrawals, and trading is halted.

As Cryptopotato reported in the past, scheduled maintenances of the kind are an excellent opportunity for Bitcoin price manipulations by whales. Traders don’t want to stay out of control only to find their positions forced liquidation at the time the exchange goes back up.

Moreover, there is also a possibility for serious arbitrage trading because of the severe price difference before and after Binance went offline.

https://cryptopotato.com/as-the-largest-crypto-exchange-goes-offline-bitcoin-and-altcoins-crash-to-new-august-lows/

https://www.binance.com/en/support/articles/360032315391

[El duderino_]

https://m.hln.be/geld/economie/beurzen-kleuren-rood-door-vrees-voor-recessie~ab5bc0ee/

Belgium news..... start talking about a probably recession and everything is turning red etc

Then I was Reading, suddenly they where writing that BTC also went down a bit from 12 to 9.7K
Questioning if BTC is a safe heaven or absolutely not.....

[VB1001]

On August 15, 1971, President Richard Nixon closed the gold window to foreign countries, meaning they no longer could exchange dollars for gold.

The Federal Reserve had printed so much money that there was
a run on gold at the Treasury by foreign central banks. (Americans at the time couldn't own gold thanks to a ban by Franklin Delano Rosevelt.)

The printing of money also caused accelerating price inflation in the United States that Nixon tried to battle. But instead of putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to stop printing money, on the same day he closed the gold window, he also imposed a wage and price freeze.

https://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2018/08/this-week-in-economic-history-nixon.html

August 15, 1971 / Aug-15-2019

Lets go 10,000 BTCitcoin