Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[JSRAW]

~Snip~
Ben bloody Stokes

Welcome back V8

So you were keeping an eye on The Ashes   

The game was ripper quite tbh, no one in their right mind expected England to win the game after a humiliating collapse in the first inning. But Stokes single-handedly won the game for England. Some Aussie still crying over LBW decision. 

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[El duderino_]

https://twitter.com/jackkennedy/status/1165629624497377281?s=21

^
Would this be a good morning ritual??

[Lambie Slayer]

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/26/g7-donald-trump-says-china-ready-to-negotiate-on-trade-war.html

"China rip you off on trade" one minute, then "China ready to have fair trade w you", then right back to reality which is "Fooled you! China rip you off again" is the new China banning and unbanning Bitcoin games they used to play.

The average retail investor stockboyz are about to get a lesson over the next year or two on what dirty liars the Chinese govy boyz are.

[sirazimuth]

Incoming Legendhairy.

[d_eddie]

About time I'd say, but he might have to wait for some more activity.

[THX 1138]

Relaying a reply:

This is what I'm seeing on BTC dominance graph:



Seriously, IF this breaks down, go get some alts to further increase your BTC stash.

Hahahahahaha

It would not be very smart to be trading based on that kind of information or even deciding whether or not to play around with shitcoins based on that kind of information.

Hmmmm...mmmm....mmmmm... Not even with 10% of your BTC stash?

Certainly not if the current trend is due to the death of alts, which is a distinct possibility.

I presume you intended to imply that BSV isn’t an alt: 

Let the ’backsplaining ensue…

While Trump is crying a river over bitcoin, a small european country accepts it to buy shares:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-belarus-cryptocurrency/belarus-allows-traders-to-buy-shares-with-bitcoin-idUSKCN1P91VZ

As time passes, nation-states will see the value of bitcoin and will adopt it. No FUD will stop the flood.

So I should hodl Bitcoin even though no one else in the world will accept it as payment for anything because I can buy shares in Belarus. :rotflmao:

Dude get in touch with the concept called reality.

Its good to see that bitcoin is winning over sex in the pool.

Can't believe sex got that many votes. It is overrated. Gets boring pretty quickly imo.

It’s not the sex act they’re voting for. Rather it’s an idol. Actually both choices in the poll are idols. It’s all about coveting, feeling smug, haughty, and being jealous and insatiable.

4 Thou shalt not make unto thee any graven image, or any likeness [of any thing] that [is] in heaven above, or that [is] in the earth beneath, or that [is] in the water under the earth: 5 Thou shalt not bow down thyself to them, nor serve them: for I the LORD thy God [am] a jealous God, visiting the iniquity of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth [generation] of them that hate me; 6 And shewing mercy unto thousands of them that love me, and keep my commandments — Exodus 20:4-6 (KJV)

[mindrust]

Relaying a reply:

shelby moore, iamnotback, another psycho forum troll.

relay your mom if you want to relay.

Ignored.

[HairyMaclairy]

Mother of all bull flags

Note the golden cross of the 30 and 50 day MA in the middle of the flag. Also golden cross of 300 / 400 MA deep beneath the flag for the first time since  January 2016.

[ivomm]

According to this chart  based off analysing Deribit options pricing, in March 2019 the probability of Bitcoin to be traded at prices around 10K in Sept 2019 was 4-5%.
Edit. June 14K was nearly 0%. LOL



We all know what happened. Bitcoin ALWAYS does what is the least expected. Now, the probability that in Dec 2019 the price will be around 20K is 7%.



Anyone wants to bet with a 93% probability of success that the price will be under 20K?   I won't!
(The charts were taken from https://twitter.com/skew_markets)

[vroom]

According to this chart  based off analysing Deribit options pricing, in March 2019 the probability of Bitcoin to be traded at prices around 10K in Sept 2019 was 4-5%.



We all know what happened. Bitcoin ALWAYS does what is the least expected. Now, the probability that in Dec 2019 the price will be around 20K is 7%.



Anyone wants to bet with a 93% probability of success that the price will be under 20K?   I won't!
(The charts were taken from https://twitter.com/skew_markets)

what's the probability for bitcoin to reach 1 million in December 2019?

[bkbirge]

Nice little pump tonight, figure well slide down to 10,200 and bump right back up, I might put some skin in the game on that feeling, if the buy order doesn't fill then good.

Good call, you got close though I didn't see it hit quite that low.

[JSRAW]

~Snip~

what's the probability for bitcoin to reach 1 million in December 2019?

^ IMHO

0   

English : Zero 

French : zéro

German : Null

Russian : нyль

Spanish : cero

Chinese T : 零

Sanskrit-Hindi : शून्य   

Arabic : صفر

Korean : 제로

Japanese : ゼロ

[bkbirge]

what's the probability for bitcoin to reach 1 million in December 2019?

Goin' by the chart it looks asymptotically indistinguishable from 0% at 1000k.

[Wilhelm]

I was looking at the speculation board round about January 2017
This is a speculation post I found which gives some indication of how wrong we can be.
This guy/gals $10k prediction (as many others) seemed ridiculous.....

If only they knew they would be hitting $19k that year..... 

Other posts were hoping for a $5k to $6k bitcoin and $1k to $2k was reasonable.

So if we now shout $100k is stupid, then don't forget that it could be like 2017 and we might go to a ridiculous $200k-$400k or even higher. 

2k is a joke

it's 10k

Do you really think bitcoin will reach 10k dollar anytime soon, I think we first see a dump to around 500 dollar and than see an upwards trend to 2000 dollar at most. even 200$ is also hard to reach in early future. it must take another halving.

[Bossian]

I was looking at the speculation board round about January 2017
This is a speculation post I found which gives some indication of how wrong we can be.
This guy/gals $10k prediction (as many others) seemed ridiculous.....

If only they knew they would be hitting $19k that year..... 

Other posts were hoping for a $5k to $6k bitcoin and $1k to $2k was reasonable.

So if we now shout $100k is stupid, then don't forget that it could be like 2017 and we might go to a ridiculous $200k-$400k or even higher. 

2k is a joke

it's 10k

Do you really think bitcoin will reach 10k dollar anytime soon, I think we first see a dump to around 500 dollar and than see an upwards trend to 2000 dollar at most. even 200$ is also hard to reach in early future. it must take another halving.

My boss was hacked in April 2017. Ransomware.
They asked for 2 BTC, he sent them to these assholes because he could not afford his web service to be offline for too long. I hope these cunts cashed out to fiat straight away, don't want to believe they made like 35k at the end of that year.

[Phil_S]

Oh sure. And since we change our entire body molecular structure every 5 years it's pretty insane to assume the person you have now is the same one as 10 years ago. Things change.

I don't believe that.

Scars, tattoos survive for decades, right?

[bkbirge]

Oh sure. And since we change our entire body molecular structure every 5 years it's pretty insane to assume the person you have now is the same one as 10 years ago. Things change.

I don't believe that.

Scars, tattoos survive for decades, right?

cells are dying and being replaced all the time

https://www.livescience.com/33179-does-human-body-replace-cells-seven-years.html

Note: the cells in the brain don't get replaced when they die.

[Hueristic]

Looks like the altpocalypse is still going strong.

[fillippone]

~Snip~

what's the probability for bitcoin to reach 1 million in December 2019?

^ IMHO

0   

English : Zero 

French : zéro

German : Null

Russian : нyль

Spanish : cero

Chinese T : 零

Sanskrit-Hindi : शून्य   

Arabic : صفر

Korean : 제로

Japanese : ゼロ

Italian: quattordici.

[Phil_S]

cells are dying and being replaced all the time

https://www.livescience.com/33179-does-human-body-replace-cells-seven-years.html

Not all of them.

But the deeper layers of skin, called the dermis, do not go through this cellular turnover and so do not replace themselves. Thus, foreign bodies, such as tattoo dyes, implanted in the dermis will remain.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/if-the-cells-of-our-skin/