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Author Topic: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread  (Read 86481 times)
tokeweed (OP)
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September 19, 2020, 12:53:10 PM
 #2661

Everybody made weight.  

I'm thinking about putting a little action at the under 1.5 rounds on Costa vs Newson.  You guys watch that bout, I think it's gonna be fight of the night.

UFC Vegas 11:  Weigh ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHgKAEI_vy0

UFC Vegas 11:  Face offs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFU0yaFvuSI

Colby Covington (171) vs. Tyron Woodley (171)
Donald Cerrone (170.5) vs. Niko Price (170.5)
Khamzat Chimaev (185.5) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (186)
Johnny Walker (205.5) vs. Ryan Spann (205.5)
Mackenzie Dern (115) vs. Randa Markos (115.5)
Kevin Holland (185) vs. Darren Stewart (185.5)
Mirsad Bektic (144.5) vs. Damon Jackson (145.5)
Mayra Bueno Silva (125.5) vs. Mara Romero Borella (125)
Jordan Espinosa (126) vs. David Dvorak (125.5)
Sarah Alpar (135.5) vs. Jessica-Rose Clark (135)
Randy Costa (135) vs. Journey Newson (135)
Andre Ewell (134.5) vs. Irwin Rivera (135.5)
Darrick Minner (146) vs. T.J. Laramie (145)
Tyson Nam (136) vs. Jerome Rivera (135)

R


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September 20, 2020, 11:13:26 AM
 #2662

Its was super easy win for Colby Covington, and I think the same as Dana White - it is time for Woodley to retire.
Covington dominate him in all rounds and now he is aiming for champ belt again.
Other fight I got surprised with result was D. Cerone vs Niko Price draw, as looking at fight I though Cerone won.
He was not happy with the outcome for sure, unlike Niko Price Smiley

Full results:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Covington_vs._Woodley


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eaLiTy
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September 20, 2020, 11:20:34 AM
 #2663

One of the best fight cards with 4 submissions and 6 knockouts. Khamzat Chimaev surprised me yet again, i was expecting him to take the fight to the ground against a submission specialist but he knocked out Gerald Meerschaert with a single punch and proved he has lethal hands along with his ground game and now Dana White is saying that he might fight before facing Demian Maia which is really crazy as i have not seen anyone fights and dominates two weight divisions coming up the ranks.

Colby Covington once again proves how skillful he is, i always underestimated him but he always proves me wrong.

The fighter that surprised me in this fight card is Darrick Minner, i was expecting Laramie to finish the fight and avoid the grappling exchanges but he presented his neck to a submission specialist within the first minute of the fight.  
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September 20, 2020, 11:25:42 AM
 #2664

What do you think about Chimaev KO? Right cross and fight was over. Only 17 seconds in round 1.
Gerald Meerschaert is not a newbie according to his record, but got KOed so easily.

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September 20, 2020, 12:38:18 PM
 #2665

What do you think about Chimaev KO? Right cross and fight was over. Only 17 seconds in round 1.
Gerald Meerschaert is not a newbie according to his record, but got KOed so easily.

Well, that just how it goes for that man. no matter how strong you are when you get that power punch landed on your chin, only a few fighters can survive which is not the case for him this time. I think it was one of the fastest knowckout in the UFC history and Damn! man his knockout will be listed in the top UFC K.O videos on Youtube. just check out this video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DREiHS-iBlw&ab_channel=TheWeasle

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September 20, 2020, 12:41:36 PM
 #2666

This is not the fastest knockout in ufc history, Masvidal put Askren to sleep in 3 seconds. But this one is probably of of the fastest. I am always amazed when people prepare for the fight for months, and then everything ends in less than a minute. I really hope that this is more skill than just luck.

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tokeweed (OP)
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September 20, 2020, 12:49:11 PM
 #2667

What do you think about Chimaev KO? Right cross and fight was over. Only 17 seconds in round 1.
Gerald Meerschaert is not a newbie according to his record, but got KOed so easily.

GM3 is kinda chinny.  He also got KO'd in the match before...  Not that I'm taking anything away from Chimaev.  He's def a prospect.

Anyway, I'm 3 - 0 for the event.  Nice to have some wins for a change.  Cheesy  Can't wait for the next one.

R


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September 20, 2020, 03:56:00 PM
 #2668

Its was super easy win for Colby Covington, and I think the same as Dana White - it is time for Woodley to retire.
Covington dominate him in all rounds and now he is aiming for champ belt again.
Other fight I got surprised with result was D. Cerone vs Niko Price draw, as looking at fight I though Cerone won.
He was not happy with the outcome for sure, unlike Niko Price Smiley

Full results:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Covington_vs._Woodley



I should say Nice! for Colby Covington winning you can see from start to finish that Covington really dominates that fight and when Woodley had bloodied his face that was the end of it, then Covington his shouting that it is Broken and that he is calling for Usman to be next,

And after that fight the interview on Covington was interrupted by a call and non other than the president himself.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERX4j9cZ4ss
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September 20, 2020, 04:50:19 PM
 #2669

Covington wouldn't dare exchange blows against Woodley. He'll take him to the ground for sure. He'll try to throw punches here and there to mix it up but the end game is to finish the fight in the ground via submission or TKO. If the fight goes to the 5th round, Woodley would end up frustrated lying on the ground most of the fight.

I prefer Cowboy to retire. He probably has little power left in his kicks but he doesn't have a good chin anymore. Niko might not be that skilled in striking compared to Cowboy but the guy has some serious KO power. He finishes opponents in some weird ways too, just look at how he KO'd someone with a hammer fist while on his back  Grin

For Khamzat Chimaev, well, what else can we say about this guy? I don't know if it's even worth it to check his opponent.
I think I got the Covington-Woodley analysis right somehow. A takedown right off the bat  Grin

Cowboy has outdone himself this time and kudos to him. He ate a lot of good shots in the early rounds. I don't agree with the decision though and I think Price should have won by split decision at least.

On Khamzat's fight, yeah there was no need to know who the opponent is.



Adesanya vs. Costa is up next! https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-253

Co-main event (Reyes vs. Blachowicz) is a must watch too.



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September 20, 2020, 09:40:16 PM
 #2670


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_253

Oh boy I am so pumped and excited for next UFC 253 event!
Card is great and two fights I love to watch is Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa and Dominick Reyes vs. Jann Błachowicz
My early picks are Adesanya and Reyes, but I need to make some research and read news before making bets.

Early odds here:
https://bitedge.com/odds-comparisons/ufc/

Countdown and vote here:
https://www.countdownmma.com/

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September 21, 2020, 01:13:53 PM
 #2671

UFC 253 Countdown - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0wskZFgkwhg

Let's start with what will probably happen between Adesanya and Costa.

Adesanya's strengths are his striking skills and dexterity. He moves pretty well and a great counter puncher too.
Costa has his jiu jitsu background, submission, and is also known for his power.

During Costa's previous fights, his opponents stands still often which allows him to land those power punches. Adesanya isn't like that, he is elusive. I think Costa will be frustrated trying to knock him out on the feet. He'll have to rely on his submission skills or ground and pound to win.
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September 21, 2020, 01:36:59 PM
 #2672

^  Gut feeling, Costa.  The more I think about it, I don't know...  I'm pretty confident it could be over 2.5 rounds tho.

UFC 253:  Inside the Octagon - Adesanya vs Costa
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bK2B7k9Cu_o

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September 21, 2020, 04:58:36 PM
 #2673

^  Gut feeling, Costa.  The more I think about it, I don't know...  I'm pretty confident it could be over 2.5 rounds tho.

UFC 253:  Inside the Octagon - Adesanya vs Costa
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bK2B7k9Cu_o
I have nothing against your gut feel on Costa winning but I don't see it at over 2.5 rounds unless you also see Costa pinning Adesanya on the ground. I kinda agree with Dan that he'll charge, start quickly, and give it all in the first two rounds. I don't think he has the gas tank to keep up with Adesanya after two rounds of high volume striking.

As Adesanya puts it, Costa will be the Bull and he'll be the Matador. 
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September 21, 2020, 08:25:21 PM
Last edit: September 21, 2020, 08:47:55 PM by tokeweed
 #2674

^  Yup exactly.  But as I think more about it, I could see it going over 2.5.  And it's one of the bouts that you don't really know what's gonna happen just like Whitaker vs Romero.  So as a safer bet, I'll go for the over 2.5 rounds.

Edit:  And Costa has good cardio for a guy his size.

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September 21, 2020, 09:11:40 PM
 #2675

^  Yup exactly.  But as I think more about it, I could see it going over 2.5.  And it's one of the bouts that you don't really know what's gonna happen just like Whitaker vs Romero.  So as a safer bet, I'll go for the over 2.5 rounds.

Edit:  And Costa has good cardio for a guy his size.
It is a really interesting fight and it is hard to predict what might happen in the fight as both fighters are undefeated and they are fighting for the belt, i do not remember any past fight where both the fighters are undefeated where one is defending the belt and one is fighting for the belt. Israel Adesanya is the superior technical striker but the problem is he has mileage in his fighting career and he got knocked out in the past in his kickboxing career and on the other hand Paulo Costa is really strong and a black belt in BJJ while having knockout power.

My prediction is, Paulo Costa is fighting 5 rounds for the first time and i have doubts about his stamina to last that much while we have seen  Israel Adesanya digging deep in the last rounds, i am expecting Israel Adesanya to take the fight to the later rounds and test the endurance of Costa.
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September 21, 2020, 09:25:29 PM
 #2676

^  Gut feeling, Costa.  The more I think about it, I don't know...  I'm pretty confident it could be over 2.5 rounds tho.

UFC 253:  Inside the Octagon - Adesanya vs Costa
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bK2B7k9Cu_o

Is anyone also bothered with Dan's mustache?  Grin
Dan really knows how to break it down. I'm just amazed to listen how he reveal Costa's vulnerability like he is just a volume fighter who can knock but don't really make them unconcious while on the ground.  

^  Yup exactly.  But as I think more about it, I could see it going over 2.5.  And it's one of the bouts that you don't really know what's gonna happen just like Whitaker vs Romero.  So as a safer bet, I'll go for the over 2.5 rounds.

Edit:  And Costa has good cardio for a guy his size.

2.50 rounds is more than enough for Adesanya to measure his counter while Costa is busy. But then Costa could still be lucky to throw a hook like how he did to Romero.

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September 21, 2020, 10:13:21 PM
 #2677

UFC 253 Countdown Full Episode including preview for Reyes vs Blachowicz and both championship belt fights:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b9mkOpgS3Q

After looking his fight against Jon Jones, Reyes is my favorite here and I think he has better skils and more professional approach compared to Blachowicz in every way.
You should never hire your girlfriend as your manager, and that is what Blachowicz is doing now Shocked

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September 21, 2020, 10:48:27 PM
Last edit: September 22, 2020, 02:58:02 AM by -CryptoViking-
 #2678

I just watched the replay of the fights and must say that it was really nice watching Covington controlling Woodley. It looked easy as if Woodley never showed up for the fight. He looked like that quite a lot lately, could be time to stop fighting, makes me think that his next fight will be extremely important for him, he will have to win if he plans on staying relevant.

As for the upcoming Costa fight, it will be high paced fight most likely , ending in first 2 rounds. Costa will come out and start hard, that will surely create a lot of danger for Adesanya, but an opportunities too. If Costa connects one though, that will be the end I think.
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September 22, 2020, 10:41:42 AM
 #2679

As for the upcoming Costa fight, it will be high paced fight most likely , ending in first 2 rounds. Costa will come out and start hard, that will surely create a lot of danger for Adesanya, but an opportunities too. If Costa connects one though, that will be the end I think.

If not only Adesanya will start his marathon around Costa. A person that is not familiar with this sport will say that they are in two different weight categories. Costa look like a light heavyweight and might need to cut a lot before the fight (according to his instagram he should not, but numbers will show). This might lead that he will be exhausted and his fuel might end in round 3+. The plan for Adesanya will be running for 2-3 or even loosing them in the cards, but they win over tired Costa via TKO (submission would be more likely, but he is not a master of it).

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September 22, 2020, 11:18:43 AM
 #2680

^  Yup exactly.  But as I think more about it, I could see it going over 2.5.  And it's one of the bouts that you don't really know what's gonna happen just like Whitaker vs Romero.  So as a safer bet, I'll go for the over 2.5 rounds.

Edit:  And Costa has good cardio for a guy his size.
I agree that it's one of the unpredictable fights and that's due to Costa's punching power.

His cardio is only good for three rounds if he contunues with his striking. Rewatch his fight with Romero and you can clearly see he already slowed down in round 2 and looked gassed out in round 3. I dont think that's something you want if you'te going to bet for over 2.5. Adesanya will pick him apart in the later rounds if he survives the early Costa onslaught.

If Costa will mix it up and stick to his ground game, then that's a different story. Based on the videos we've seen so far, that doesn't seem to be the case.
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