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Author Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation  (Read 3312488 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (2 posts by 1+ user deleted.)
iCEBREAKER
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December 13, 2015, 06:03:35 AM
 #11441

...

100% PoW is the only way to be safe.

Even PoS+PoW hybrids don't work.  Novacoin (PoS + scrypt) just got hacked.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=143221.msg13168415#msg13168415

Can't wait to find out if Dash's PoS + X11 scheme is susceptible to the same technique!   Cool

I am not familiar with the attack on Novacoin. There are various attacks against POS coins that have been discussed at length. The attack I formulated, the Second Pirate Savings and Trust, https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=897488.msg10182752#msg10182752 is based entirely on borrowed stake, which the coin network simply cannot detect. The borrowed stake is generated with the model of the infamous First Pirate Savings and Trust.

With Dash such an attack is actually a lot simpler since there is no need for a bear raid / ponzi. One simply offers to borrow Dash, from those with less than 1000 Dash, and pay a rate somewhat below the net masternode return. The procceds are then used to set up a large number of masternodes all with borrowed stake. The attacker could then for example put up a large amount of Monero as collateral to short Dash while at the same time unleashing the rouge masternode attack on the Dash network. Monero is actually a good choice here because the DASH/XMR rate has been very stable over the last few months and the current development vs lack of updated binaries dynamic in Monero.

Edit: There is simple no way that the Dash network can detect when the Monero developers are going to release version  0.9 of Monero.

Sounds like a great way to celebrate (and leverage) the 0.9 release!


OK, time to start a Masternode pool service.  Deposits <1000 DRK get <Masternode return; >1000 get more.

Another way to get 1000s of DRK for our fun-time games is with a (spoofed) dice service/casino offering competitive rates for its "bankroll."   Cool

Amplify attack by setting a floor on Dash interest rates >Masternode return, so Masternodes are taken offline and moved to Polo lending accounts.

Time attack to coincide with Masternode voting on controversial, arguably wasteful proposals designed to divide the community, such as sponsoring a NASCAR/blimp/athlete/charity/politician, website/forum/logo/wallet redesign, etc. and malicious proposals like "send 100% of block reward to iCEBREAKER" or "burn the instamine coins."

Use Sybil Masternodes to tilt votes in favor of slightly unpopular proposals (and overstate popularity of unalterable ones), in order to alienate maximum number of participants, waste resources, and encourage (perception of) dumping.

If it's truly a DAO, nobody can stop it.   Cheesy

Oh wait, Evan and Otoh control 99% of Masternodes thanks to the instamine and pump/dump market manipulations.

TIL "distributed" and "autonomous" means 'totally controlled by two people.'

Nevermind.   Embarrassed


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Monero
"The difference between bad and well-developed digital cash will determine
whether we have a dictatorship or a real democracy." 
David Chaum 1996
"Fungibility provides privacy as a side effect."  Adam Back 2014
Buy and sell XMR near you
P2P Exchange Network
Buy XMR with fiat
Is Dash a scam?
primer-
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December 13, 2015, 09:49:00 AM
 #11442

Quote from: fluffypony link=topic=753252.msg13229246#msg13229246

VItalik's response to your shitpost on reddit :
https://www.reddit.com/r/tech/comments/3wgcrz/the_ethereum_computer_securing_your_identity_and/cxwubpw
smooth (OP)
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December 13, 2015, 10:00:42 AM
 #11443

The attack I formulated, the Second Pirate Savings and Trust, https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=897488.msg10182752#msg10182752 is based entirely on borrowed stake, which the coin network simply cannot detect. The borrowed stake is generated with the model of the infamous First Pirate Savings and Trust.

Very much so. Quoting Nick Szabo:

Similarly, small-game/large-game problems often arise when software or security architects focus on an economics methodology, focusing on the interactions occurring within the defined architecture and failing to properly take into account (often because it is prohibitively difficult to do so) the wide variety of possible acts occurring outside the system and the resulting changes, often radical, to incentives within the system. For example, the incentive compatibility of certain interactions within an architecture can quickly disappear or reverse when opposite trades can be made outside the system (such as hedging or even more-than-offsetting a position that by itself would otherwise create a very different incentive within the system), ...

The rest of his post is an interesting read.
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December 13, 2015, 12:45:35 PM
 #11444

Are they? 0.43 USD currently, there were a lot of opportunities to buy below.

For perspective, I think the low was 0.215 USD in January, since when XMRUSD is up ~100%, while XBTUSD is up ~165%.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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December 13, 2015, 12:48:37 PM
 #11445

Are they? 0.43 USD currently, there were a lot of opportunities to buy below.

For perspective, I think the low was 0.215 USD in January, since when XMRUSD is up ~100%, while XBTUSD is up ~165%.


Most people here still buy alts with BTC so I continue to feel that BTC pricing is more appropriate than any fiat currency for measure gains and losses.

If people were primarily using fiat to buy alt coins then my opinion would be different.

Don't buy Monero: https://twitter.com/MoneroPromotion/status/746006420508729344

XMR: 43hPTYyKarCTWyh4ZnMVn8AtFeEmtzTXo3Y6TGGMV26BWonJ4tpR7eP9RkUDYQbvg6LbrnMXWfghddE NGtvKxr7B5oML4qd
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December 13, 2015, 12:51:51 PM
 #11446

this coin is not bad, but to big to move.
I suggest to liquidate and invest on ANC.
Why? Because it is not big yet. It is the opposite, small and very low profile.
Yet rare and with excellent developers.

Just be realistic.
LucyLovesCrypto
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December 13, 2015, 01:17:22 PM
 #11447

this coin is not bad, but to big to move.
I suggest to liquidate and invest on ANC.
Why? Because it is not big yet. It is the opposite, small and very low profile.
Yet rare and with excellent developers.

Just be realistic.

How can you come here and say be realistic? Look at this quote from one of ANC your devs:

Also, and most importantly, GroundRod our Chief Developer is no more, in fact he may be actually dead... but because he is anonymous we cannot be sure although it is 4 months he disapeared. Sad
 
So we are looking for a skilled C++ coder to review the GroundRod code and finally release this awesome work!

Until and unless we find this new C++ coder we will not release. It would be a shame considering the amount of work GroundRod put in this new codebase (updated to bitcoin 10.99).

Pass the word around!

CS

Monero has many developers and does not rely on 1 person with C++ skills
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December 13, 2015, 01:26:09 PM
 #11448

this coin is not bad, but to big to move.
I suggest to liquidate and invest on ANC.
Why? Because it is not big yet. It is the opposite, small and very low profile.
Yet rare and with excellent developers.

Just be realistic.

How can you come here and say be realistic? Look at this quote from one of ANC your devs:

Also, and most importantly, GroundRod our Chief Developer is no more, in fact he may be actually dead... but because he is anonymous we cannot be sure although it is 4 months he disapeared. Sad
 
So we are looking for a skilled C++ coder to review the GroundRod code and finally release this awesome work!

Until and unless we find this new C++ coder we will not release. It would be a shame considering the amount of work GroundRod put in this new codebase (updated to bitcoin 10.99).

Pass the word around!

CS

Monero has many developers and does not rely on 1 person with C++ skills

That is the problem, to many devs, to many investors. To big market cap.
No move.

ANC is risky but potencial for grow is 100x bigger.
Besides you are tearing words from context. The dev is needed only to finish almost ready transition to new wallet.
You forgot to mention i2p devs actually launching first fiat/crypto i2p exchange and most importantly the devs working on rsa ufos system.

Thanks got it is not ready yet! That creates interesting investment opportunity.
But yes, buy Monero, Ethereum or other oversized and collapsing system - just do it. Please!
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December 13, 2015, 01:46:41 PM
 #11449


But yes, buy Monero - just do it. Please!

Thank you for the advice Smiley

My bids just missed getting filled.  Damn bots Sad
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December 13, 2015, 02:05:40 PM
Last edit: December 13, 2015, 02:58:35 PM by farfiman
 #11450

this coin is not bad, but to big to move.
..snip
This is the only part that could be considered OT

the rest is spam.

"We are just fools. We insanely believe that we can replace one politician with another and something will really change. The ONLY possible way to achieve change is to change the very system of how government functions. Until we are prepared to do that, suck it up for your future belongs to the madness and corruption of politicians."
Martin Armstrong
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December 13, 2015, 02:50:19 PM
 #11451

...

ANC is risky but potencial for grow is 100x bigger...


Your posts are nothing more than shilling a shitcoin in another coins thread.

“Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing.”
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December 13, 2015, 08:01:35 PM
 #11452

this coin is not bad, but to big to move.
I suggest to liquidate and invest on ANC.
Why? Because it is not big yet. It is the opposite, small and very low profile.
Yet rare and with excellent developers.

Just be realistic.

How can you come here and say be realistic? Look at this quote from one of ANC your devs:

Also, and most importantly, GroundRod our Chief Developer is no more, in fact he may be actually dead... but because he is anonymous we cannot be sure although it is 4 months he disapeared. Sad
 
So we are looking for a skilled C++ coder to review the GroundRod code and finally release this awesome work!

Until and unless we find this new C++ coder we will not release. It would be a shame considering the amount of work GroundRod put in this new codebase (updated to bitcoin 10.99).

Pass the word around!

CS

Monero has many developers and does not rely on 1 person with C++ skills

That is the problem, to many devs, to many investors. To big market cap.
No move.

ANC is risky but potencial for grow is 100x bigger.
Besides you are tearing words from context. The dev is needed only to finish almost ready transition to new wallet.
You forgot to mention i2p devs actually launching first fiat/crypto i2p exchange and most importantly the devs working on rsa ufos system.

Thanks got it is not ready yet! That creates interesting investment opportunity.
But yes, buy Monero, Ethereum or other oversized and collapsing system - just do it. Please!

Too many devs?

Now that is a new way of looking at things.

So in essence less is more?

Kinda like the price of monero?

Less price = more monero

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LEALANA BITCOIN GRIM REAPER SILVER COINS.
 
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December 13, 2015, 08:27:47 PM
 #11453

Are they? 0.43 USD currently, there were a lot of opportunities to buy below.

For perspective, I think the low was 0.215 USD in January, since when XMRUSD is up ~100%, while XBTUSD is up ~165%.


Most people here still buy alts with BTC so I continue to feel that BTC pricing is more appropriate than any fiat currency for measure gains and losses.

If people were primarily using fiat to buy alt coins then my opinion would be different.

I think this depends on the kind of investor in Monero:

- If you bought BTC with fiat just so you could buy a stake in Monero, you should look at Monero's price in fiat.
- If you were speculating that Monero would rise in price relatively to Bitcoin, then indeed you are currently at a loss.

- You can figure out what will happen, not when /Warren Buffett
- Pay any Bitcoin address privately with a little help of Monero.
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December 13, 2015, 08:46:00 PM
 #11454

Too many devs?

Apparently >0 is too many. Not enough upside.
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December 13, 2015, 08:52:39 PM
 #11455

Are they? 0.43 USD currently, there were a lot of opportunities to buy below.

For perspective, I think the low was 0.215 USD in January, since when XMRUSD is up ~100%, while XBTUSD is up ~165%.


Most people here still buy alts with BTC so I continue to feel that BTC pricing is more appropriate than any fiat currency for measure gains and losses.

If people were primarily using fiat to buy alt coins then my opinion would be different.

I think this depends on the kind of investor in Monero:

- If you bought BTC with fiat just so you could buy a stake in Monero, you should look at Monero's price in fiat.
- If you were speculating that Monero would rise in price relatively to Bitcoin, then indeed you are currently at a loss.

Yeah, that's how I feel... when I get extra funds in terms of fiat, I usually just put what I can into a little bit of bitcoin and then automatically shapeshift it to XMR to hold in my wallet.  So in that case, I always tend to view monero more in terms of fiat than anything and don't really feel that bad when I see the Bitcoin/XMR price go so low.  It's just all a matter of perspective to me.

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December 14, 2015, 02:03:30 AM
Last edit: December 14, 2015, 02:18:38 AM by e-coinomist
 #11456

Lucy, ack! "rsa ufos" my ass. ANC is scammy like that, always has been. Devs always vanishing after the fact. Again, and again.
BTW made good revenue on Cryptsy on some of those "ufo sightings". Would never touch Cryptsy nor ANC ever again. Zerotrust applies.
Ask TheKoziTwo for some more information.
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December 14, 2015, 02:17:06 AM
 #11457

Buy support on Polo has quickly doubled from 40 to 80btc followed by some buying of the asks including an approximately 10k chunk a couple of hours ago. 

I had been patiently bidding/buying the past week and with the remaining 20% of btc that was earmarked I bought from the asks as things started to move.  There has been some short bursts of buying lately followed by calming down.  This feels a bit different but then again how could I know. 

I also have a feeling that "soon" may be this week.  This is based on an estimation of mine from a bit over a month ago.  I have had no info about progress since then.  Let's see if my guess is lucky Smiley

Thanks again for you indulgence Smiley
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December 14, 2015, 03:07:34 AM
 #11458

I also have a feeling that "soon" may be this week.  This is based on an estimation of mine from a bit over a month ago.  I have had no info about progress since then.  Let's see if my guess is lucky Smiley

"soon" what?

Bitcoin is NOT anonymous: http://www.bitcoinisnotanonymous.com
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December 14, 2015, 03:09:30 AM
 #11459

...

"soon" what?

The 0.9 release.

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
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December 14, 2015, 03:11:07 AM
 #11460


Or possibly, the big green candles...  Roll Eyes

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