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1801  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: January 16, 2022, 12:58:16 AM
Player stats - D. Carr 1+ Pass interceptions (Game)

He took his time with that one.

But Mixon didn't score so it's kinda moot for you anyway.
1802  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Anti-vaxxers now drinking their own urine on: January 16, 2022, 12:00:18 AM
[...]

So you don't know why McCullough was fired but something something Fauci?

I can't wait until someone (Al Gore?) invents a tool to search the internet, this would make people so much better informed.

1803  Other / Meta / Re: russian mafia on BTT on: January 15, 2022, 04:59:41 PM
but why then if KTChampions says that someone's account is an alternative account of another user, then this is considered true?

Is it? Just because he said so, or perhaps he presented evidence, or perhaps not everyone "considered"?

You on the other hand posted utter nonsense with no evidence whatsoever. Whataboutism and straw people can't fix that.
1804  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 15, 2022, 04:01:11 AM
Any techies here want to move to Arkansas?  Grin

Arkansas is offering remote tech workers $10,000 in bitcoin to move to there
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/14/arkansas-offers-remote-tech-workers-10000-in-bitcoin-to-live-there.html

They could drive a dump truck full of money up to my house and I would not move to AR.

But what if Walmart is paying for it? Still no?

Quote
The incentive is part of the NWA Council’s “Life Works Here” campaign, which is funded by the Walton Family Foundation.
1805  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2022, 08:03:45 PM
I bet this was ordered to discredit Bukele and Bitcoin. When I see a word combination "non-profit organization" I read CIA (or some other three letter agency) between the lines. It's hard to believe average joe journalists can detect war spyware like Pegasus, identify the person behind it, locate all victims etc. Looks like a job for intelligence guys.  Cool

He's a demagogue and a wannabe dictator. If he wasn't so into Bitcoin he'd be derided here (if anyone even knew who he is) for his actions and policies, from firing Supreme Court judges to inflationary spending to COVID lockdowns. He's a populist and seems to be well liked in El Salvador. But I have little doubt that the spyware story is true.
1806  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: GeForce RTX 3090 GAMING X3 24GB for sale Quantity: 16 on: January 14, 2022, 06:14:42 PM
Used or new? What brand is it? Where are you located?

And yeah, pictures. This board is worse than 1980s newspaper classifieds. No one ever posts photos.
1807  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [self-moderated] Is LN Bitcoin? franky1: About scaling, on-chain and off-chain on: January 14, 2022, 05:10:20 PM
Not from a merchant's POV. There is more hassle involved in receiving LN payments for no tangible benefit.
Isn't your customers' satisfaction a tangible benefit? Whenever I see Bitcoin as a payment method, but without Lightning, I'm a little more discouraged to do the transaction. For instance, I don't want to broadcast another transaction every month for the $10 of Spotify.

Also, if I had made all those transactions on-chain the merchant would have a ton of UTXOs. I've saved them money in fees.

What percentage of online purchases are paid for with Bitcoin? What percentage of those are paid for with LN? At merchants who have both those options along with fiat payments.

As much as some customers might be satisfied paying with exotic payment methods, there is a threshold were such options are too costly and cumbersome for the sales (and satisfaction) it could possibly bring in. Most businesses would happily pay the extra 20 cents per UTXO or whatever it is, if they can avoid  maintaining yet another service and dealing with all the other crud - imagine training customer service reps on troubleshooting LN payments. They might be enticed to utilize LN payments if it's offered as a custodial hands-off solution so there's probably a business opportunity for someone here.

I have been successful a few times. Some went to Coinbase Commerce, some went to BitPay, some went to coinpayments.net and others I did a BTCPay server for.
As of now none of the BTCPay servers are active. They just did not want to deal with it.

Similar experience here. I still have some clients running self-hosted payments but only because I support them for free basically, and even take the bitcoins off their hands if they want to.
1808  Economy / Goods / Re: ~ Buying a TESLA CYBERTRUCK with BITCOIN ~ on: January 14, 2022, 02:11:23 PM
Quote
Tesla wants to make changes to the Cybertruck's features and functions in order to make what the source called a 'more compelling' product.

Yeah that's PR bullshit... they got (allegedly) so many preorders that it must be already very compelling, just make it and sell it, and count the billions pouring in.

Except they can't, can they.

1809  Other / Meta / Re: russian mafia on BTT on: January 14, 2022, 02:41:26 AM
KTChampions is my main alternate account

If you say that suchmoon is your account, that doesn't mean it's true.
1810  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2022, 02:26:16 AM
Run a miner without running a node? I find that odd, but ok I guess.

Makes sense - even for solo mining - instead of having each miner host their own nodes and worry about connection latency, outsource the hassle to professionals. For a tidy 2% fee.
1811  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2022, 12:04:54 AM
Isn't that days when you divide by the number of seconds per hour 3600 and then the number of hours per day 24?

edit: It is 32 days which is, as I was saying, about a month.  With their current hashrate, the CK pool should make about 0.19 BTC per day on average.


Sorry, you're right, I don't even know what I was looking at to mangle it so badly.
1812  Other / Off-topic / Re: [WO/Hat-Gang Only - MODERATED] The fucking COVID vax thread (No hat? Fuck off!) on: January 13, 2022, 11:16:51 PM
Yes it was supposed to be 100% effective, then 95%, followed by 90%, now we see around 78% (as of September 2021). So it's effectiveness has either declined based on initial Pfizer/CDC claims compared to recent data, either that or they were exaggerating (or simply lying) about it's effectiveness from the start in order to get it "approved". As quite obviously 80% for vaccine effectiveness is still quite poor statistically speaking (compared to other vaccines) for multi-billion dollar funding and widespread use, unless it's a pandemic of course then more of a case of "throw against a wall and see if it sticks".

Pfizer/Moderna were claimed to be 90%+ effective against early variants, likely less so against Delta. Not sure about AZ (widely used in England).

Immunity does seem to decline over time (thus boosters). There is also data to suggest that vaccination followed by a COVID infection/recovery increases immunity compared to vaccination alone or infection alone.

Vaccination rate is not a static number. If we take UK population at 56.191M. According to the UK govt's data, in 2/2021 only 8,362,868 vaccinations had been administered (14.8% of the population). By 6/2021, only 33,085,145 had been administered (58.8% of the population). By end of 9/2021, they had administered 40,979,175 vaccines (72% of the population).

UK or England? Your charts referred to England. Did you exclude children under 18? You should because they weren't being vaccinated until later in the year. Even other age groups may need to be adjusted because the rollout started from the oldest.

So you do the math on what the "percentage vaxxed" was at the time the data was gathered.

If you do that you should adjust hospitalization/death data as well - it was not linear during that time period.
1813  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 13, 2022, 10:42:59 PM
1/2,783,947

 which indicates they should solve about one block every month.

Every 32 hours actually (2,783,947 / 3600 / 24).

However their hashrate was much lower (like an order of magnitude lower) before the recent two blocks so it seems that fillippone had a point here:

Funnily enough I thought miners being the most rational agents, not easily fooled.

Not particularly rational if they start solo mining after someone else won a solo block.
1814  Other / Off-topic / Re: [WO/Hat-Gang Only - MODERATED] The fucking COVID vax thread (No hat? Fuck off!) on: January 13, 2022, 09:41:07 PM
If the percentage of vaccinated folk are quite high, then those numbers seem to indicate that you are more likely to get infected with the Delta variant of covid if you have not been vaccinated but less likely to die from it. 

If unvaccinated are 10 times more likely to have a positive test but out of positive tests they're half as likely to die, they're still 5x more likely to die than vaccinated. To me that doesn't say "less likely" to die. It may show that unvaccinated get tested a lot more often with milder cases, but more data would be needed to figure that out.

Also keep in mind that this sort of comparison depends a lot on age, for example elderly are more likely to be vaccinated but more likely to die of COVID so their breakthrough cases may skew the numbers significantly. Unfortunately this level of detail is impossible to convey in a simple chart but if you care to dive into it - read up on Simpson's paradox.

Still about equal ratio sample sizes vaxxed vs. unvaxxed.

Not sure why you still think the sample size is similar. It's not. Vaccination rate in England is significantly higher than 50%.
1815  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [self-moderated] Is LN Bitcoin? franky1: About scaling, on-chain and off-chain on: January 13, 2022, 09:03:40 PM
Back in the day I was rolling my own payment processing and it was extremely simple, efficient, and safe - pre-generate a bunch of cold addresses and hand them out to buyers.
Why did you do that? Why can't you just have a BTCPay Server installed and let it undertake your invoices automatically?

This was years before BTCPay existed. Still works fine.

None of this is feasible with LN
Let me correct you; it's a far more efficient way to transact than to update a ledger written in hundreds of thousands of hard drives.

Not from a merchant's POV. There is more hassle involved in receiving LN payments for no tangible benefit.
1816  Other / Off-topic / Re: [WO/Hat-Gang Only - MODERATED] The fucking COVID vax thread (No hat? Fuck off!) on: January 13, 2022, 08:31:11 PM
In the chart, the number of vaxxed hospitalized Covid patients (278,212 - 47%) was roughly equal to the number of unvaxxed hospitalized Covid patients (257,357 - 43%). But the vaxxed had 70% of the total # of patient deaths, 1779 out of 2,542 that died).

Shouldn't the vaxxed have far less deaths than the unvaxxed, not the other way around?

The chart says "positive tests", not hospitalizations.
1817  Other / Off-topic / Re: [WO/Hat-Gang Only - MODERATED] The fucking COVID vax thread (No hat? Fuck off!) on: January 13, 2022, 07:35:36 PM
So you are saying that a higher hospitalization and death rate for vaccinated individuals is completely normal, just because there are more of them?

The number you posted is not a hospitalization/death rate among vaccinated but you seem to be interpreting it as such. It's a comparison of absolute numbers from two samples of vastly different size. It's statistically meaningless without additional information (e.g. sample size).

If everyone was vaccinated then 100% of deaths would be among vaccinated. If no one was vaccinated, 0% of deaths would be among vaccinated. Not rocket surgery.

Your math may be correct, but your mental gymnastics that completely discounts the (negligible) efficacy of the vaccines is off the charts. This so-called "vaccine" was supposed to COMPLETELY PREVENT serious illness and death, not just a mild "protection" from.

It's in all caps so it must be true.

#stupidstrawmanisstupid
1818  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 13, 2022, 06:47:29 PM
Forgive my ignorance...but have you tried Brave?
https://brave.com/

Batslap incoming.
1819  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: [self-moderated] Is LN Bitcoin? franky1: About scaling, on-chain and off-chain on: January 13, 2022, 05:59:40 PM
And even though Bitcoin can work when the receiver is offline, it still requires both parties to be online and verify the transaction to complete the sale (or whatever deal we made).

I don't know if this is the argument that franky is making, but paying with Bitcoin doesn't technically require funds of either party to be online (in a hot wallet). Sender can sign the TX offline, receiver can give a cold wallet address to sender. Sender needs to broadcast it, receiver needs to verify it, but both don't need to be online at the same time or otherwise coordinated.

Back in the day I was rolling my own payment processing and it was extremely simple, efficient, and safe - pre-generate a bunch of cold addresses and hand them out to buyers. None of this is feasible with LN and it seems to be pushing merchant adoption towards custodial options.
1820  Economy / Reputation / Re: My bitcointalk self-appraisal [I'm now a Snr. Member] on: January 13, 2022, 05:37:52 PM
I'm mostly indifferent to "self-appraisal" threads. I don't think they're needed but if it makes some people feel good, why not.

I am however puzzled as to how the OP managed to earn so many merits for self-indulgent walls-of-text posts that most of the time bring nothing new to threads where they appear. Perhaps some merit senders just assume that a long somewhat-literate post is good enough regardless of its vacuousness. I'm starting to yawn about two paragraphs into KingsDen's posts so I can never finish them.

This is a discussion forum, not an essay forum or a lullaby forum. And what's with all the "@". This is not facetwit. Don't summon people unless there is something actually important they must attend to.

That's exactly what it is. We need a thread where everyone can post their yippie I made it to blah blah crap vs everyone making a single post.

There is a thread to post nice merit numbers:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5251894

There is one of post numbers too I think.
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