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1821  Other / Meta / Re: Save your nice merit records here - LAST UPDATE: 06/11/2021 on: January 13, 2022, 05:32:38 PM
Impressive number, but I hope it's not this ''Such Moon'' that is now driving in a back seat of motorbike from No Time To Die Tongue

Not me, but I have to say that the backseat of that scooter looks very... comfortable.

Do you have saved records of all previous Moon's 6007, 5007, 4007, 3007, 2007, 1007...?

Sadly no. I will do my best to save 8008.
1822  Other / Off-topic / Re: [WO/Hat-Gang Only - MODERATED] The fucking COVID vax thread (No hat? Fuck off!) on: January 13, 2022, 04:01:08 PM
But...bbut...the vaccines are supposed to protect from serious illness and death, right? Right?

I don't know if you're seriously misinformed or just trolling, but I'll try anyway.

All other things being equal, 90% of population vaccinated with an 80%-effective vaccine would mean that roughly two thirds of hospitalizations and deaths would be among vaccinated and one third among vaccinated. I.e. in a perfect sample of 100 people, 90 vaccinated, vaccine not effective for 20 percent of them (18 people) so they have the same chance of getting hospitalized and/or die as the 10 unvaccinated, 18/28 ~ 64%.

80% of population vaccinated: ~45% of hospitalizations and deaths among vaccinated.

95% of population vaccinated: ~80% of hospitalizations and deaths among vaccinated.

And so on.

IOTW a higher vaccination rate means a higher percentage of total deaths is among vaccinated but results in a much lower number of said total deaths.

AFAIK vaccination rate in England is ~90% so 63% doesn't seem out of line, it probably indicates vaccine effectiveness of about 80% as per above.

#math
1823  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 13, 2022, 02:45:18 PM
The more solo mining, the better it is for the network.
Correct me If i am wrong?

Decentralization, in theory, yes. In practice the ability to mine in pools encourages more small miners to participate so I'd say that outweighs the negligible chance that e.g. pools might try to cut the branch they're sitting on by colluding or otherwise trying to harm the network.

What I mean is: if I mine with 100 S19Pro, each one of them can be possibly considered by them a different miner?
Or maybe it’s my decision if enter with one account with 100 miners, or 100 with a single one?

You can choose to group your miners however you want. That's no different from mining in a regular pool or mining "real" solo completely on your own (without ck). However the pool operator can see your IP so they would have some idea which miners are related.
1824  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 13, 2022, 02:21:24 PM
Well perhaps I am more political than I pretend Wink  But I will most likely be switching to DDG, I think, which I would assume is Chromium based.

DDG is probably ok, although personally I prefer Tor Browser and thus have a vested interest in keeping Firefox alive Smiley

Miners in this pools looking all like solo miners?

If you're talking about solo.ckpool.org, that's a solo pool so the entire premise is that each miner mines individually for themselves, the pool just facilitates the logistics.

A marketing stunt from the pool operators trying to lure miners in their pools?

I guess it is this.
Funnily enough I thought miners being the most rational agents, not easily fooled.
We will see…

They can't possibly do a "stunt" like that unless they gift 6+ BTC to random strangers.

CK solo pool has existed for years and a couple of lucky blocks don't change anything.

https://btc.com/stats/pool/Solo%20CK
1825  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 13, 2022, 01:40:26 PM
why not play 2 or 3 or 4 or even 10 dollars a day at a long shot when you earn the safe mining.  and the long shot mine plays way better then the cost. just takes time.

I know it's a rhetorical question, but if anyone cares - variance is the answer to "why not". The 1:3664 chance for the pool to find a block means it would take 10 years on average, but it's not a 100% chance in 10 years. I'm too lazy to calculate now but there's probably like a 10% chance that it won't hit a block in 20 years.

I'm not saying this is a wrong strategy - like you said, compared to casino gambling you have an edge here as long as the cost/difficulty ratio is favorable. It's still a massive gamble though.

I am not a very political person.  Some would say I am lacking principal.  But I will be uninstalling Firefox for sure.  Not sure what that accomplishes.  But I do not want to have ANYTHING to do with supporting the sorts of garbage they seem to be supporting.

If you're not political you should ignore the noise, uninstall Chrome/Edge/etc and support Firefox. Seriously, most of the other browsers are a steaming pile of garbage developed by the largest spyware company in the world.
1826  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 13, 2022, 02:50:04 AM
Which means that, at the reference difficulty level, it can be expected to happen every 10,000 blocks * 10 min/block = 100,000 minutes.

That is, once in 70 days - or 10 weeks.

Definitely not a once in a lifetime event, if Philip's numbers are correct.

Once in 10k days, not blocks.
1827  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Anti-vaxxers now drinking their own urine on: January 12, 2022, 08:43:25 PM
If such piss-drinking proponents exist at all in the real world, they would be pretty fringe.

Exactly, it's not like real world antivaxxers would ever believe totally fringe unrealistic stupid shit like vaccines containing mind control 5G chips or gene therapy.
1828  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2022, 05:42:43 PM
If you advocate limiting the rights of others, you quickly find the rights of all greatly diminished. For this reason I have never participated in or even read Bob's C19 thread. I think it is wrong in it's very principle and from what I've heard has been wrong on other levels as well. Rights checked are Rights lost.

Not sure how that follows. Free speech doesn't mean you must be able to speak anywhere and/or force everyone to listen. Bob's thread is a good attempt to make the discussion a bit more orderly, it doesn't have anything to do with free speech other than allow it by default like the rest of this forum, within the topic of course.
1829  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Anti-vaxxers now drinking their own urine on: January 11, 2022, 12:30:07 PM
Don't laugh, this might be gross enough to overcome the fear of needles.

"Drink my own piss? Fuck it, ima get the jab and not tell anyone".
1830  Other / Meta / Re: Wall of fame / shame. Shit posts so bad that they are actually funny on: January 11, 2022, 02:09:06 AM
Top quality financial advice from Bitcoin forum: crypto is easier than mining and beware of blockchainchains.

As far as I know, Crypto and mining is a unity that always coexists. the two sides are interrelated, however, Crypto is easier to obtain, not the same as mining which must require large enough tools and capital, in my personal opinion

we must always be wary of blockchain chains, because endless investments can become a very open trend.  Therefore, we are more careful when placing assets or trading on the blockchain market.
1831  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2022, 01:51:39 AM
Quote
A total of 111 pilots died in the first eight months of 2021. This is a 1,750% increase on 2020, when the world was supposed to be in the middle of a pandemic.

A list of the deceased individuals was published in the Air Line Pilot Association magazine. In comparison, there were 6 airline pilot deaths in 2020, and only one death in 2019.

That's an absurd misinterpretation of those numbers that's been debunked long ago. The numbers show how many deaths were reported to the magazine for that issue (Oct 2021 I think). So someone belatedly reported one death of a pilot from 2019.

The publisher of the magazine actually said that in reality more pilot deaths were reported in 2019 than 2021.

Edit: grammar.
1832  Other / Archival / Re: Posting Dynamics for 2021 (Main Boards + Locals) on: January 10, 2022, 08:50:46 PM
Is it possible to see who was most active member for Altcoin Marketplace Board, using Ninjastic website?
It's would be interesting to see who contribute most for that high percentage Smiley

Something like this should work:

https://ninjastic.space/search?after_date=2020-01-01T00%3A00%3A00&before_date=2020-12-31T23%3A59%3A59&board=161&child_boards=true

(click the Users tab and Generate)
1833  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 10, 2022, 07:04:04 PM
Everyone holding their breath and trying to not interrupt Buddy's climb up?
1834  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: January 10, 2022, 06:12:47 PM
Thanks for the offer but do not send me anything, enjoy your profits and congrats on the amazing win. Smiley

Same here. Buy yourself a cold one, DireWolfM14. Your prize money is well deserved.
1835  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: HELP ON REFUND] Wrongy sent $3,900 worth of BTC plus .022 BTC on: January 10, 2022, 05:01:19 PM
Anyway, from what I can understand you were looking at e-mails instead of logging in to check actual posts/PMs and possibly you also got tricked by a fake/phishing site (note the fake-looking "r"):

Right, hotdog7 was apparently phished. The link uses strange characters to evade bitcointalk.org's detection of phishing links, but it was actually linked to a phishing site via [url].

But the timeline (as far as I could figure it out) is that the link was PMed (?) on Jan 9, but the money was sent (apparently to scammer(s)) on Jan 5.
1836  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Kazakh. Denies US-Funded 'Bio Lab' Taken by Rioters RU Claims Pathogen Leak on: January 10, 2022, 04:41:41 PM
Right wing crazies believing everything that comes out of the Russian propaganda machine is the most amusing thing of the past decade or so. Such a simple IQ test and such a spectacular failure. I wonder if Putin announced that he's coming to liberate the US from the evils of democracy, would they line up the streets waving red flags?
1837  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: HELP ON REFUND] Wrongy sent $3,900 worth of BTC plus .022 BTC on: January 10, 2022, 03:17:58 PM
But this isn't a valid domain name, is it?

True, it shouldn't work (not without some additional effort like a DNS hack but at that point why not just fake the actual bitcointalk.org), but it's really hard to follow what actually happened there. Perhaps OP is just a slob and typed the URL manually and put the wrong "r" in it.
1838  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: HELP ON REFUND] Wrongy sent $3,900 worth of BTC plus .022 BTC on: January 10, 2022, 03:12:16 PM
What a jumbled mess... how hard can it be to describe the issue clearly and concisely?

Anyway, from what I can understand you were looking at e-mails instead of logging in to check actual posts/PMs and possibly you also got tricked by a fake/phishing site (note the fake-looking "r"):

Code:
https://bitcointalk.oгg/index.php?topic=5379578.0

Is actually:

Code:
https://bitcointalk.xn--og-hlc/index.php?topic=5379578.0
1839  Other / Meta / Re: Ban request for user: franky1 on: January 10, 2022, 02:58:21 PM
When a topic is posted in Bitcoin (water) Discussion, franky1 should not be derailing the conversation to talk about "other networks" (piss).

He seems to be upset that the discussion is not really about water but about... uhmmm... struggling with analogy here.... snowballs? that can be redeemed for water but are not water.

I'm not gonna go on a crusade here but I do find it curious that a hardline approach to non-Bitcoin topics (e.g. posting about smart contracts or GPUs can get your thread moved to altcoin boards) doesn't apply to LN. Perhaps to make things clearly delineated we need an LN board (or a Layer 2 board) that was suggested numerous times but never got traction because apparently there isn't enough post volume on LN topics. Which ironically franky1 can help us with.
1840  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2022-01-06] Newsweek: Bitcoin hash rate affected by Kazakhstan internet outage on: January 10, 2022, 02:31:41 PM
Perhaps consistent hashrate wasn't there but I imagine even intermittent internet would be enough to broadcast blocks found? Or am I furthering my talking-out-of-ass? My contacts there do say internet's slowed down and in bursts, and mobile data appears less affected (if using the Russian-owned network) so app messaging is still possible just the regular large-media platforms load badly.

That sounds plausible. Perhaps miners were able to switch over to mobile hotspots or something.

or...

Edit:

There is one possibility. I remember blockchair saying that one of their explorers is down so bla bla bla data, etc, it could be that some pools had servers in Kazakhstan and those went down.
I know Viabtc had the miners servers for internation/russian/ middle east, so it might be that one of their servers went down and miners automatically switched, maybe to a pool that is not disclosing its current hahsrate.

I noticed the blockchair message too. It makes sense that some pools might have endpoints in Kazakhstan, perhaps even special endpoints for large miners. So it could be something as simple as losing API communication (e.g. via HTTPS) with a pool endpoint that was still accepting shares and submitting blocks if port 8333 was not blocked by the internet "shutdown".
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