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2021  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Casino games plebs like us must play on: October 31, 2022, 06:18:40 AM
Although, a warning. The house edge may be low, BUT there's still a house edge! Managing your capital is MORE IMPORTANT than the favorite game to play.

It's true every game on a casino has a house edge. That's how the casino makes money over time. Even poker a game which is only played against other gamblers has a fee that the casino collects for the infrastructure and services they provide for us to gamble. When playing blackjack we can influence the house edge with our strategy. The more optimal we play the lower the winning chances of the house. Unfortunately the best gambling strategy will still not make a save profit, there is anyways luck involved in the games. Blackjack is one of my favourite games as well and I managed to get some decent profits over the years. Having a optimal blackjack strategy together with a martingale approach is what worked best for me. If you are looking for games with a low house edge you can also play some dice and roulette, it's very easy to learn for new players and you can start with only betting on Black/Red or the 50% winning chance. The most important thing we need to focus on in the beginning is not to bet too large, if we face a losing streak the chances are high we could go broke. Better to start small and build a bankroll over time.


I believe the consistent winning gamblers would not call it simply as "luck". It is luck, but it's more complicated than merely calling it "luck". In learning Craps, I have learned that it's also about the skill of when to make bets larger on more favorable trends, and the timing. The Craps players call it "pressing". You press your bets if the trend is on your side.
2022  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Casino games plebs like us must play on: October 29, 2022, 12:36:56 PM
I believe if the games a person plays is always simple games of "gamble/games of chance" without involving any strategy, then those games could become uninteresting especially if that person always loses.

Indeed people play games according to their preferences.  Any games of chance don't have any successful strategy so why think hard to create a strategy that won't be successful in the end?  There is also this gambling point where our favorite or preferred game becomes toxic to the point we lost interest and even cursed it.


That just happened to me! I lost in 5.00 mBTC in Craps. The strategy I was using simply stopped working. BUT Craps is a game you can play using different strategies, and there are MANY different strategies, https://www.youtube.com/c/ColorUp

I'll try some of them next week after Halloween break!

Quote

Because what's captivating in playing a game like slots everyday of your life, for hours and hours during the day or night, without encouraging strategy?

Well playing without strategy doesn't stress our minds.  This is one good thing about slots if we are playing to entertain ourselves.  We accept the lose of money in exchange for some relaxing entertainment.


Understandable, if you explain it that way.
2023  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 29, 2022, 12:22:24 PM
Freespins!


 Realwinner! We really missed you on the casino. Your long time rival Winner is already back in the game and probably waiting for a tough competitor to beat on daily contest. I just came back to have a glimpse on the casino and I notice that there already a new tournament that involves the bet quantity in hourly and daily basis.

I’m still can not dig because of my issue on my account but the reward I’m missing is very huge and I envy more you guys for enjoying all those free spins without a problem.  Undecided

That's true! I became hard to predict the winners of the Daily and the Weekly wagering competitions when RealWinner, and Mr. Brightside stopped playing in the casino. Although, there's a player called "winner" who has returned, and he's playing regularly winning the Daily and Weekly wagering competitions. Won 0.70 mBTC from my latest free spins! Thanks you BlackJack.fun. I have some coins to lose back to Craps. Hahaha.
2024  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 28, 2022, 12:32:35 PM




I'm in Blackjack.fun  Smiley
Username: SweetLou


SweetLou! How was Diggy's hole for you today? Did you enter it, and go into Narnia? Don't forget the Lotion so you will not hurt Diggy! Or he will hide from us again. Haha.

Let's tell everyone in the chat box to register in the forum, then we can discuss games, strategy, and "Diggy's hold" here in this topic!
2025  Economy / Economics / Re: What do you think of gold price in long term? on: October 28, 2022, 11:55:22 AM
Central banks do not agree with the bearish views that most of you have expressed.

Quote
Central banks added 463 tons of gold to global reserves in 2021. That was 82% higher than in 2020.

A WGC survey found that “gold’s performance during a time of crisis and its role as a long-term store of value/inflation hedge are key determinants in the decisions of central banks to hold it.”

Last year was the 12th consecutive year of net purchases. Over that time, central banks have bought a net total of 5,692 tons of gold.

Central Banks Add Gold for Fifth Straight Month

What you are ignoring is that the price of gold is manipulated:

Quote
"The manipulation of gold prices began on 5 August 1993," the German analyst points out, and the reason was none other than an agreement between different central banks and the then chairman of the US Federal Reserve-FED, Alan Greenspan, "who did not want the price of an ounce of gold to exceed 400 dollars" because an uncontrolled increase in the price of gold could affect the "inflation thermometer". So this agreement was in place for several years, and materialised by acting on the markets with orders to sell and lend gold with the blessing and participation of other central banks, which, he recalls, "work closely with private banks and financial institutions".

The way of operating and manipulating prices was "very simple", because these entities possessed significant amounts of gold that they used to control, if not lower, the price of gold, "expelling potential buyers" of the metal from the market who did not see the expected return on their investments. For Speck, states are the first to benefit from these practices, especially the US because its currency, the dollar, "is the world's reference currency" and gold is the main rival to loan-based currencies. "A rising gold price accentuates the debt and deficits of states", especially in the US.

¿Quién manipula los precios del oro y por qué? (I have translated the quote from Spanish into English.)

Having a little gold is not a bad thing. You can't pay for your groceries with it but you can convert it to cash instantly in any medium-sized city in the world. And even in small towns, if there is a jewellery shop or similar, even if it does not advertise itself as a gold dealer, it is quite likely that they will accept it.


It doesn't matter what the Central Banks do, what truly matters is what the market/price of Gold does, https://goldprice.org/gold-price-history.html

Plus if we copy-traded what the Central Banks did, and bought Gold during 2021, we would absolutely be holding paper-losses because like everything else, Gold is also going down. That's simply the effect of QT/tightening of the Central Banks' balance sheets.
2026  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Casino games plebs like us must play on: October 28, 2022, 10:25:11 AM

Each player has his own way of seeing things, according to his experience and according to what he has lived, obviously a person who has so much experience and who has managed to win in a casino with a great advantage is something that should be respected and take into account their opinion to learn, and also to see that their opinion is the most accurate, a casino that has a normal advantage is something that many players accept, others that have a higher one already depends a lot on the player's budget, and Sometimes it can be seen that each player has his preference in casinos, if there is someone who really likes a particular casino, obviously he will go there even if the advantage is high, and if he likes slots and enjoys them, it is something that the same will take advantage of it.


I would like to add one more thing to your opinion.  

The fact is that as you gain experience in the game, almost all players begin to experience changes in their preferences.  Many games become uninteresting and vice versa others begin to attract more and more.  And by the way, almost any new game gives a person a new experience.  And the player can gradually improve their skills.  

By the way, the experience of games that you are tired of playing can also be very useful. All this is a necessary process in striving for the professionalism of the player, when he begins to foresee the probabilities of events with some strange feeling and, accordingly, make bets.


I believe if the games a person plays is always simple games of "gamble/games of chance" without involving any strategy, then those games could become uninteresting especially if that person always loses. Because what's captivating in playing a game like slots everyday of your life, for hours and hours during the day or night, without encouraging strategy?
2027  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 28, 2022, 10:11:32 AM

Are you trying to shut me up by saying nice things?  


No, because if I wanted you to truly shut up, I would just click the ignore button, like what I do to all of the disinforming trolls/gaslighting charlatans. But EXCEPT franky1, he's a national treasure in the forum/community. A special kind of Gaslighting-Troll. He deserves the extra attention. This forum is probably therapeutic for him, and helps his mental-state. Hahaha!

2028  Economy / Economics / Re: What do you think of gold price in long term? on: October 27, 2022, 12:17:09 PM
Gold has not lived up to its role as an inflation hedge. Prices have risen about 25% over the last 10 years, but the price of gold is the same as it was 10 years ago despite that inflation.

I believe it is due to the falling demand for gold.

Only tradition has supported demand after the gold standard was finally abandoned in 1971. As time goes by, that tradition will continue to fade and people will have less desire to hold gold as an asset. Its falling value will also cause a reduction in demand by central banks, and that will eventually result in the abandonment of gold as a purely financial asset.

I decided all of this recently, and I plan to sell my gold as I don't see prices ever going up from here.


Plus the opportunity cost of HODLing Gold if you can HODL Bitcoin is very high. Think about HODLing Gold vs. HODLing Bitcoin from 2015 to 2022. I'm very sure you would have lost relative to Bitcoin.

Although, continuing to observe the Gold market could remain useful, because it's one of the leading indicators to know of the Dollar is going stronger or weaker. Gold Up = Dollar Weak, Gold Down = Dollar Strong.
2029  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Casino games plebs like us must play on: October 27, 2022, 10:33:56 AM
If anyone wants to learn how to play Craps, you can practice for fun without risking your own coins through BetPlay's casino, https://betplay.io/en/casino/play/1547/first-person-craps/fun

There's no requirement to log in, or to register for an account. You can just go to that link, and click/tap "play for fun", then it will take you to the table. The game is in "easy mode", and it highlights which numbers will give you a win, or a lose, depending where you place the bets.
2030  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 27, 2022, 10:21:49 AM



I'm in! I'm urukhai in BlackJack.fun. Cool


I believe transactions from multiple/many different public addresses would also prompt the casino to start requiring users to KYC, not just about the amount, although that too would prompt it.

I saw the whale called "winner" play in the casino today. He might be a good candidate to win free spins consistently for the Weekly Wagering Competition, IF he's "truly back".

Yeah. This belongs to irregular activity on the casino account because this is a sign of a money laundering since the deposit is coming into different address and mixed it to the casino before the user withdraw. Blackjack.fun has no wagering requirements to deposit so they are very strict on this kind of activity in the casino.

I’m really envy you for joining the event. My account is still can’t access the Digdigdigger slot which free spin is credited. It’s a waste for me to participate and get the reward if it will just expired for not being use. 40K free spin total rewards for this event is surely huge. Dig for the gold guys!


You can't access just Diggy's hole, or your account can't access all the games in the casino? Because my account is also strange sometimes. Sometimes it can access Evolution Gaming's live video streams for its games, and sometimes it can't access them. But I can hear the sounds, and I can place my bets.

Plus weren't you the person who was required to KYC, and you also can't access the chat box? I thought those issues were resolved with the help of sujonali1819.
2031  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 27, 2022, 07:13:26 AM

[edited out]
Contrary to what you believe, or probably what you want to "believe", no I am not playing the victim card. It's simply not me.

Well that's good.  The evidence did not seem to support such a conclusion.. from my perspective.. but whatever..  You do you.   Wink Wink   Tongue Tongue Tongue    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I personally believe that each person should stand up for himself, especially against bullies, name-calling trolls, and gaslighting charlatans in the forum.

Sure.  You believe that I am a bully, name calling troll and a gaslighting charlatan, or are you referring to some other unknown character/member that might exist?


I never called you those things, otherwise if you really are those things, I would have stood up for myself like I do with franky1. You are a Bitcoin OG, and a good one at that. You deserve all the respect.

Quote

BUT criticism from a Bitcoin OG/Legendary-Whale-Investors such as you, who is a positive influence for the whole Bitcoin community, not just in this forum, is OK for me. It's probably I respect you too much. Is that wrong of me?

I am starting to forget if I was even criticizing you very much, except your word choice.  


It doesn't matter, because you're right. I might post that "I'm one of the most optimistic HODLers in the forum", but I wouldn't be as optimistic if it was compared to your optimism. Thank you for supporting the community with your wisdom. Cool
2032  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 26, 2022, 11:58:09 AM
I'm one of the most optimisic HODLers in the forum,
Oh gawd..  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

How do you know?

and why would it even matter?
Ser, I believe your ego, and probably a biased attitude towards your fellow HODLers, is affecting your mood. I was merely making a point that even the most optimistic of HODLers will have doubts in their investment thesis, especially during the lows of the bear markets.

But, I'm a mere pleb, and the stupid one in the forum at that, and you're the "Legendary Whale-Investor". If you ridicule me, that's OK. Cool
Regarding my alleged legendary whale investor status, there's no evidence to support that claim either.
But you are, it would obviously be very impossible for a HODLer who has started DCAing since 2014 to not be a Legendary-Whale-Investor. Plus it's OK to ridicule me, because you as HODLer who buys Bitcoin monthly at any price since 2014 or before that, optimism should have a new definition. Cool
There is no need to play the Victim card

Snip
Relax ser, you're almost having the same reactions as franky1.

I don't think so.

Believe me, no one is playing the "Victim Card" because there's obviously no victim.

Well I am glad that you don't consider yourself a victim, even though you seemed to have been playing the victim card, as I already sufficiently elaborated in respect to that point.

You're the one who believes that.

Yes.  I believe that you were playing such Victim card for the reasons that I already stated.


Contrary to what you believe, or probably what you want to "believe", no I am not playing the victim card. It's simply not me. I personally believe that each person should stand up for himself, especially against bullies, name-calling trolls, and gaslighting charlatans in the forum.

BUT criticism from a Bitcoin OG/Legendary-Whale-Investors such as you, who is a positive influence for the whole Bitcoin community, not just in this forum, is OK for me. It's probably I respect you too much. Is that wrong of me?
2033  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: October 26, 2022, 11:34:02 AM



I'm in! I'm urukhai in BlackJack.fun. Cool


This user case have linger for a while now and i dont understand what the problem is with the account as the blackjack team or their representatives have not responded to this and this is unlike them.
Blackjack fun have always been active on this thread and hopefully we should see a response from them soon.

Actually they have responded but haven't found a solution yet I don't know if the problem is from a third party or from blackjck.fun itself
Previously some users experienced the same thing but now I see they can play normally , yeah that sounds weird but there's nothing we can do but wait.


Wow, this is very interesting, I think that users will be able to approve their case, but for me this is something new, I did not know that now they have to verify almost how the protocol that is used for an exchange, this is something that Not all casinos have it as a requirement, but because of the free spins, because of everything they are offering, it is worth doing it, does this mean that if I am going to enter and want to do this, is it better to verify myself first? How do they deal with players seeking privacy and anonymity? There are no special treatments for it? or definitively they have to follow the verification steps.


You don't have to worry about KYC if you are playing using minimal amount or having a regular transaction because this casino will never ask you a KYC if you are just a regular player with normal bankroll. Only whales and player that show irregular activity in the casino such as abused of bonus through multi account is subjected for KYC. I'm playing on this casino without a problem for a long time with regular bankroll.

I'm just required to do KYC when my bankroll exceeds to there limit which I don't know how much exactly but I remember my account got 3000$ and above when I was prompt to do KYC. This casino is operating for a long time woth good trust record. Your money is safe playing here.


@Admin can you check my mail.  Smiley


I believe transactions from multiple/many different public addresses would also prompt the casino to start requiring users to KYC, not just about the amount, although that too would prompt it.

I saw the whale called "winner" play in the casino today. He might be a good candidate to win free spins consistently for the Weekly Wagering Competition, IF he's "truly back".
2034  Other / Politics & Society / Re: High inflation is causing GLOBAL protests on: October 26, 2022, 06:40:19 AM
All of the BRRR-Money-Printing started to put it all together. It was going to happen sooner, if not later. But because of supply side disruption caused by the Russo-Ukraine War, and the opening of the economy with all that COVID-19 money injected in circulation, it was caused to come sooner.

We haven't seen the worst of basic commodity price increases, plus more problems with winter approaching. The power grids in some regions of Europe will be further tested, and it won't be OK.

The global economy was showing some signs of recovery even with COVID-19 in play. What ruined it all was Putin's decision to invade Ukraine. This caused energy and gas prices to soar like crazy (especially in the EU), adding fuel to the fire. Inflation was rising during the pandemic, but now it became worse. Unless the war is stopped, don't expect inflation to ease anytime soon. Not even central banks' measures to help control inflation will do any good. People in the lower and middle classes are already suffering, while the rich are becoming richer. Who knows if we never get to see the light at the end of the tunnel? Just my thoughts Grin


Haha. The "signs of recovery" was merely the effect of the biggest/largest BRRR-Money-Printing that most Central Banks did to inject cash/liquidity into the system. It wasn't a REAL recovery because there was not much growth in goods and services that were being produced while the money supply was growing. What do we have when there's too much growth in money supply, but no/small growth in goods and services? INFLATION.
2035  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 26, 2022, 06:28:03 AM
I'm one of the most optimisic HODLers in the forum,
Oh gawd..  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

How do you know?

and why would it even matter?
Ser, I believe your ego, and probably a biased attitude towards your fellow HODLers, is affecting your mood. I was merely making a point that even the most optimistic of HODLers will have doubts in their investment thesis, especially during the lows of the bear markets.

But, I'm a mere pleb, and the stupid one in the forum at that, and you're the "Legendary Whale-Investor". If you ridicule me, that's OK. Cool
Regarding my alleged legendary whale investor status, there's no evidence to support that claim either.
But you are, it would obviously be very impossible for a HODLer who has started DCAing since 2014 to not be a Legendary-Whale-Investor. Plus it's OK to ridicule me, because you as HODLer who buys Bitcoin monthly at any price since 2014 or before that, optimism should have a new definition. Cool

There is no need to play the Victim card

Snip


Relax ser, you're almost having the same reactions as franky1.

Believe me, no one is playing the "Victim Card" because there's obviously no victim. You're the one who believes that. I'm merely making my own point, and if it deserves to be ridiculed, then it's OK. I learn the hard way. Plus there's no need for it to be written in paragraphs and paragraphs of long rants that no one will waste their time to read.
2036  Other / Politics & Society / Re: High inflation is causing GLOBAL protests on: October 25, 2022, 11:50:42 AM
Inflation in my country is not too bad so far, still within normal numbers.
although it's a little but the impact is quite felt, especially the price of fuel oil, maybe that's the most noticeable increase,
when it comes to food prices, they are still within normal prices.

I hope that the future will be better and the economy will recover quickly.


I believe that the considered "within normal numbers" for inflation is a maximum rate of 2%. Above that, and it's considered "high".

There are the current numbers of the inflation rates across the regions of the G20 nations, https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/inflation-rate

China has the lowest inflation rate with 2.8%. It's "high", but it's within "normal numbers". France is where it starts to have "real inflation". It has more than twice the 2%, with an inflation rate of 5.6%.
2037  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 25, 2022, 11:39:05 AM
I'm one of the most optimisic HODLers in the forum,
Oh gawd..  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

How do you know?

and why would it even matter?
Ser, I believe your ego, and probably a biased attitude towards your fellow HODLers, is affecting your mood. I was merely making a point that even the most optimistic of HODLers will have doubts in their investment thesis, especially during the lows of the bear markets.

But, I'm a mere pleb, and the stupid one in the forum at that, and you're the "Legendary Whale-Investor". If you ridicule me, that's OK. Cool

Regarding my alleged legendary whale investor status, there's no evidence to support that claim either.


But you are, it would obviously be very impossible for a HODLer who has started DCAing since 2014 to not be a Legendary-Whale-Investor. Plus it's OK to ridicule me, because you as HODLer who buys Bitcoin monthly at any price since 2014 or before that, optimism should have a new definition. Cool
2038  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Lightning Network Observer on: October 25, 2022, 06:47:45 AM
in fiat land. people used to only be able to buy whole shares and when 1 share was many hundreds of dollars. third world country citizens could not afford to buy single shares because their $3 a week wage (ignorant people call "coffee amount") meant they couldnt buy a single tesla share unless they saved up for years

yet bitcoin came around to solve that. allow people to buy decimal amounts every week to skip the 'save to buy' and just go straigh tto the buy stage

but then the ignorant "coffee amount" preachers then tried to say bitcoin was not fit for the 3rd world countries where bitcoin should not be used for the unbanked, in their narrow minded view. and so tried to push for 3rd world countries to adopt a sub network. offramping people away from bitcoin to this weak, insecure subnetwork

now they are saying the 3rd world countries are not "techies" and shouldnt run independent nodes but instead put their value into the trust of a custodian wallet
silly thing is that this weak subnetwork, has no big rules. thus it is not difficult to build user friendly GUI's. but as its well known when devs cant be bothered to make rules, secure a network and then make the network userfriendly.. that network is not going to succeed. but hey they dont care. they just want control and limit users abilities in the elites favour

(i mentioned this phase years ago about moving from hop model to hub/soke model of "factories"/custodians)

these ignorant people have been seen in the last couple days to start to word this subnetwork as a more risk aware less utopian promise. and even try to be more realistic by saying the unit of measure is not "bitcoin" but a different unit which they start calling LN-btc.. much like other subnetworks dont define their units as bitcoin but (binance: WBTC, liquid LBTC)

so although they have now started to sound more realistic to the risk awareness and difference of the networks and security models and utility(a positive) they are still trying to limit what 3rd world countries have access to, where only the elites can get the parts that 'make' profit at the jeopardy of the poor who have to trust the elites wont abuse such system

such a shame they wasted 5 years going down that avenue..

You started off so great franky1, and you described one of the issues, and how bitcoin addresses the ability for very poor people to get into bitcoin, and you lasted almost 3 paragraphs before you started to devolve into nonsense.


The Troll with a capital "T" is again spreading disinformation that the Bitcoins/UTXOs in Lightning are not actual Bitcoins, and that they are only IOUs issued by "he doesn't know who or what". He refuses to accept the fact that the Bitcoins in the Lightning Network are actually signed transactions that are not yet broadcasted, and not yet included in the blockchain.
2039  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: October 25, 2022, 06:35:38 AM
I'm one of the most optimisic HODLers in the forum,

Oh gawd..  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

How do you know?

and why would it even matter?


Ser, I believe your ego, and probably a biased attitude towards your fellow HODLers, is affecting your mood. I was merely making a point that even the most optimistic of HODLers will have doubts in their investment thesis, especially during the lows of the bear markets.

But, I'm a mere pleb, and the stupid one in the forum at that, and you're the "Legendary Whale-Investor". If you ridicule me, that's OK. Cool
2040  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: "Gareth Soloway: BTC to 3,5k possible" How likely is that? on: October 24, 2022, 09:57:48 AM
Every burst of the bubble is possible. But do you think that we're in a bubble right now where in fact that bitcoin has dropped from $69k to $17k and a few years ago from $20k to $3k? Honestly, I'm done with those bullish predictions that are being published and noticed by people.

Now that there's something like this, it's better to have such negative predictions so that the opposite is what actually comes. Remember those bull runs when we're all expecting $100k and then the opposite has happened.


We're just pleb-investors who either get very optimistic, OR become very pessimistic. I myself had some doubts in my current investment thesis, but I truly believe that buying during DIPs of bear markets is the best times to accumulate Bitcoins, and HODL. Plus especially in the current bear market, the Central Banks have actually tightened thr most in 20 years. You know what will follow after the tightening? I believe the next big surge during the next bull market will be like the surge of 2015 - 2017. Cool
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