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2461  Economy / Reputation / Re: Royse777 is Casino Critique on: October 08, 2022, 11:32:39 AM
It's been a while since I've been in the reputation section, and, in fact, I think I'm going to end up putting it on ignore because I'm a bit fed up with the unnecessary drama, sometimes stirred up by alts. At first I enjoyed coming here more, as it's like the gossip on Bitcointalk, but I'm getting fed up.

I would like to make a reflection that has been going through my mind.

I know what Casino Critique's main account is.

And I think that hiding it in the end has been detrimental, because, in my opinion, that person has a pretty decent reputation, I'd say. Although not perfect. That person sent me a PM telling me about the project and offering me a free chip. I did not promise them that I would not tell who that person is, although I understood that they preferred not to disclose it. I didn't remember anything the PM said about no disclosing and I had to look at the PM again before writing this post to realize that it said:: "...Casino Critique is my official account. Please keep it unpublished."

In my case, I have not disclosed it but not for money or anything else, because I am not involved in the project and I have had little to no relationship with the people involved during my time in the forum. I simply understand that the people on the project prefer not to disclose it, and I respect that.

The only thing I could have been involved in would have been to invest some chips, but it didn't convince me, as it didn't convince almost anyone else. It seems that the project will continue despite the adversity of lack of funding and if it is finally a successful project will be mainly due to persistence, effort and faith in the project that have those who make up the team.

Although I think it would have been better to say who Casino Critique is, I don't think this issue has had any influence on the funding. I think such big numbers on a new project is what people don't see clearly.

I just prefer to improve my financial situation in a boring but safe way: DCA to the S&P 500, DCA Bitcoin and some RE.
2462  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why 95% online Gambling websites are Scam? on: October 08, 2022, 07:07:25 AM
Why 95% online Gambling websites are Scam?

What you call scam I call mathematical certainty. There are some sites that are scam, but not even close to 95% and in this forum, in general the ones you see in the signatures of forum members are legit with some exceptions like 1xBit or 1xCrap, as I prefer to call it.

Learn concepts such as expected value or mathematical expectation, House Edge and RTP and you will better understand how casino games work. You never have to take them as a good system to win money. Think of it as entertainment, like going out to dinner or to the movies, but with the difference that from time to time you may come out with more money than you went in.
2463  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA) discussions on: October 08, 2022, 06:54:23 AM
Are you implying that there's a universal solution [or solutions] that can be applied to all kinds of crypto-asset service providers and wallets out there?

No, and I don't know why you say that.

What I imply is the following: the countries forming the European Union have had a generally social-democratic political orientation, which had very positive results after WWII and until the end of the last century with high welfare quotas and reduced inequality among its inhabitants. Compared to other parts of the world, the reduced crime rates can clearly be attributed to these welfare quotas and the reduced gap between rich and poor. But for at least a couple of decades now, the regulatory tangle and elephantine bureaucracy is leading to a system more akin to that of the USSR (to exaggerate a bit) than to that of states that allow the private sector to create wealth and then redistribute it.

EU’s Russian Crypto Ban Confirmed as Bloc Tightens Sanctions[/url]
All crypto payments from Russians to European wallet providers will be forbidden

Do we know in a practical way which wallet providers and services we are talking about? Is there a list?
2464  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin 13 years ago... on: October 07, 2022, 03:41:45 AM
How does this make you feel?

It doesn't make me feel anything. Once upon a time when I was seeing things like this still, but now I see that the returns that were obtained the first few years we are not going to have them going forward, which is becoming clear in this cycle and in facts like even Saylor and others are giving much more moderate predictions for the future.

I care more about owning Bitcoin because it is uncensurable, for example than thinking about what it was worth and what it became worth. Plus as has been discussed on the forum, almost everyone who bought at those levels, sold when it made x10 or x20 at best. Others as it was worth very little got careless and lost the private keys. So all that glitters is not gold.
2465  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA) discussions on: October 07, 2022, 03:32:55 AM
Well that article seems short...

I opened a couple of threads back in the day when the draft was presented. Basically they want to identify everyone who trades cryptocurrencies in the EU, or with anyone in the EU and all transactions, of any amount.

2024 is a while away, I wonder what the delay is for.

Normally there is always a time lag between the passage of a law and its implementation. When there is a considerable lapse of time between one and the other, it is because it is difficult to implement.

It sounds like something that could be done on paper to check the identity of wallet users but not something that could actually be implemented by anywhere that isn't a custodial exchange (or their software offerings).

Even trying to include something into open source code that can't be hacked seems like it'll be impossible - and there doesn't seem to be information on what happens if the user or developer refuses to comply with that law too.

Do not underestimate the EU politburo.
2466  Economy / Economics / Re: EU Seals Text of Landmark Crypto Law MiCA, Fund Transfer Rules on: October 07, 2022, 03:23:40 AM
Is it possible that the UK will become the crypto friendly european nation, while the EU itself will take a harsher and more restrictive stance.

I don't know what the UK will do, what I do know for sure is that the EU is going to screw the business with regulations and taxes. I can assure you that the leading cryptocurrency related startups that will be created in the next few years will not be created in the EU. Or in the unlikely event that they are created in the EU they are going to move somewhere else soon. As easy as it is to offshore a digital business, no one in their right mind is going to stay in Bolshevik land to have their business screwed up.

" A separate law on funds transfers requires wallet providers to check their customer's identity, in a bid to cut money laundering."

This was already much talked about at the time. Basically they want KYC for all transactions, of any amount. And the bad thing is that in the EU this is likely to prosper, with hardly any opposition.
2467  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Parents And Their Children In Gambling.. on: October 07, 2022, 03:10:46 AM
What is reflected in the story told by the OP about Michael Jordan and his son, is quite common in wealthy families and not only with respect to gambling, and that is that the father who went from poor to rich knows what it costs to earn the money even if he can squander it from time to time, but in a proportion he can afford. On the other hand, the son who is born in a rich family does not know what it costs to earn the money, he takes it for granted, and in many cases when the parents die they end up squandering all the patrimony and becoming poor. However, in this case it does not seem that it will be like that:

Marcus owns the company Trophy Room and he's good in business. In my understanding, as money is not a big thing for them, they get entertained out of it and they're responsible in their way.

In this case, the story seems to have ended well, as Marcus has a net worth of $1.5M years after the event. It does not look like he is going to be ruined by gambling.
2468  Economy / Services / Re: Staking in online poker crypto on: October 06, 2022, 01:35:26 PM
I avoid debt like the plage, so I'm not interested in the offer, because staking is a type of debt. Although it is quite common in high stakes and very high buy-in tournaments. But I don't play at those levels anyway.

What I do want to say is that the questions raised by yahoo62278 are relevant and if the OP thinks that with this obscurantist offer and not wanting to answer anything he is going to do a lot of business here he is simply wrong.

The offers of this type, not just poker, that we see in the forum, that do not want to discuss details publicly, we must flee from them as I flee from debts, as if they were a plague.
2469  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: I find way to win on dice on: October 06, 2022, 03:07:44 AM
not because he got to win several times meaning he can continuously win forever ,  maybe he just wanted to earn or gain popularity and planning so create his own gambling services ? because I just found that threads he created is pushing His name to gather popularity in crypto gambling world so yes there is some plans I see here in the future.
I assume that one of these days, He will created something similar to gambling services or at least will create a Group in which will give gambling strategy or anything connected to gambling.

I predict a great future for him. A guy who doesn't understand basic statistics is going to sell strategies? Lol.

I certainly don't know who is going to pay to learn how to lose money, but after some of the stuff I see in this section I wouldn't be surprised if he gets some clients.

Of course, those of us who have an idea of how this works can only laugh.
2470  Economy / Services / Re: Neodice.com 🌌 Avatar & Signature Campaign | Up to 0.0025 BTC/W on: October 06, 2022, 03:02:12 AM
Hi icopress,

Just to let you know that I have deleted my application, because although I have been accepted in another campaign, I was hesitating to change to this one if you accepted me because there is a rule in my current campaign that I don't like.

But as I have seen that the slots you offer are reduced (10), I thought of deleting my application and leaving space for the others.

Cheers.
2471  Economy / Economics / Re: Take shelter, a storm is coming in October. on: October 06, 2022, 02:47:38 AM
Because at some point a word gets a new meaning, even if it's not quoting ZH it's still ZH material, much like... a homer for example Grin


And what about those investors, cause after the panic sell there was a panic buy since well, shares were trading above starting price at the end and I'm pretty sure all the doomsdayers and shorters are really not having a nice morning today:

https://www.barrons.com/market-data/stocks/cs

What was the nickname of those guys, ...weak hands? Lol!

Well, if anything, the strong hands that have HODLed CS stock since the top have lost something like over 90% of what they invested. The price at the top was around 90CHF and today it is at 4. So a very good investment by all accounts.

 Cheesy

I'm just curious, as I don't know how old you are: do you remember that crisis and how it all played out?  I remember it well, especially the absolutely devastating hit the stock market took, which can be plainly seen on a 20-year chart of the S&P 500:uicide. 

I am middle-aged, and, yes, I remember that crisis, but the aftermath was not experienced in the same way in the USA as in Europe, because while the stock market there recovered in 3 years, the Euro Stoxx 50 has not yet recovered its maximum value.

In the EU in 2012 there was a sovereign debt crisis and there was talk of the possible breakup of the euro, in Cyprus there was a run on the market in 2013, Greece was bailed out, etc. and only when the president of the ECB at that time, Mario Draghi pronounced "whatever it takes" the EU began to see the light at the end of the tunnel.

That whole thing baffles me.  And I'm not sure how the US would respond, but if it was with nuclear weapons, that would be suicide. 

I already wrote in this topic that the US and NATO will respond to a nuclear tactical attack, and their position is quite clear - the response would be exclusively with conventional weapons against all Russian targets in Ukraine - but given that Russia has annexed parts of occupied Ukraine, that would mean that NATO attacks Russian territory, which means that Russia has the right to retaliate with strategic nuclear weapons, which means that all large cities in the northern hemisphere would become targets.

The simulation was not done a few years ago, and that Plan A would actually be the end of the world as we know it today. The fate of the world, as I have already written, is in the hands of a man who is completely obsessed with his idea of a great Russia at any cost, and on the other hand, a senile old man who can no longer appear in public without causing some new ridiculous situation.

I think that since both sides know that playing with fire could lead to the total destruction of humanity, it is unlikely that they will start playing with atomic bombs. But in wars you never know. When the conflict starts to escalate sometimes things get out of hand.



2472  Economy / Economics / Re: Electricity bills worth 500,000 euros: a hotel chain closes down in Italy. on: October 06, 2022, 02:30:21 AM
Normally government will take the burden at situation like this instead of completely forcing the consumers but later they compensate the loss from electricity with increasing the taxes gradually that can be applied here as well instead of completely forcing the consumers to pay for it. If the government is going to point out other nations political issue is the reason then the respective government is actually failed to fulfill the people requirements.

Yes, of course, now it turns out that socialism, which is one of the most important causes of the problem, is going to get us out of it.

So with the price of energy having increased by at least 300%, and in some places in Europe it is more, you want the government to raise taxes on top of that?  Great plan, eh?

Most business in Europe profited because their countries bought cheap resources from Russia and other countries. Now this opportunity has ended and some companies will go bankrupt. I think the quantitative easing program will start working in many countries soon.

This you say is interesting and I think this is what is going to happen. The policy of raising rates and tightening has been given a reality check and they are going to have to slow down, if not go back to printing and easing because otherwise the 2008 recession is going to be child's play compared to this.
2473  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: I find way to win on dice on: October 06, 2022, 02:16:26 AM
Do only 50% bet 20$ every time if it fails do 60$ it fails do 150$ if it fails do 350$ if it fails do 900$ if it fails do 2300$

There is no way you will fail 7 times and if you do just increase the bet and you will get it back eventually even if you wait 12 times.

what you think on my method?

Congratulations. You are one more of the naive people in this section who think they have found a method to beat the casino.

The other colleagues have told you in a more refined way but I'm going to tell you more clearly: the "system" you have found is a fucking shit that only serves to lose money.

if you try to win $20 (cause that's all you'll win) for 2048 times, on average you'll lose $40k of your $50k bankroll...

This sums it all up. If losing $40k to make $20 sounds like a good system to you, that's up to you. Because it doesn't matter how much we explain it. That martingale and its variants are systems that inevitably lead you to lose money has been explained ad nauseam, and yet we see people on this forum believing in such "strategies".

If you have  50k budget to bet there is no way you get 20 red in a rows. i think can make bank with this mehtod if you have good budget.
at least for short term you must be extremly  unlucky to to fail with it. Or  have casino games rigged.

A great plan, risk $50k to win an amount 650 times less, or $20.

Now you have the information. You're on your own.
2474  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The irony of leaving your private keys in a bank on: October 05, 2022, 03:12:23 AM
Does anyone use a bank safe service to leave your trezor or whatever you use in there? I have been considering which would be the ways in which one could leave physical backups somewhere else than your own home. If you don't trust anyone to do a good job in keeping the device safe, the only way I see is that you either own 2 homes, which I don't, or that you hire a service in a bank where you can leave the stuff in there. Im assuming there's good security, and no one could realistically get in there, at least in any developed country. The only way would be that an employee is dumb enough to attempt a heist from inside but that's also unlikely.

Could you explain your experience doing this and what to considering when hiring such a service?

It is confusing what you say because first you talk about private keys and then about leaving your hardware wallet in the safe of a bank. I see less of a problem with the latter than the former.

If you have a lot of capital and only one house I think the best solution for you would be a multi signature wallet where you need 2 private keys out of 3 to be able to manage funds. 1 is held by the company but with that key alone they can't do anything. Another key you have at home, and the other in a safe at the bank.

If you have a second home, instead of leaving one of the keys in a safe at the bank, you leave it in the second home.
2475  Economy / Economics / Re: Inflation in Germany hits double digits for the first time since WWII on: October 05, 2022, 03:06:50 AM
A lot of people are claiming that the current spike in inflation has more to do with the war between Russia and NATO. That is not the case. If you guys remember, two years ago, most of the countries went on a banknote printing spree giving the excuse of COVID 19 pandemic. The M1 monetary supply in many of the countries incased by as much as 400% in a span of two years. This is mainly responsible for the double digit inflation which we are witnessing right now. The excuse about war and high energy prices is just a tactic to divert our attention.

What you say is not entirely correct. You are partly right, and the rise in inflation started before the war, partly because of massive printing policies and but also partly because of green energy policies.

There's no doubt we have inflation. Does anyone have good ideas of how to address and fix the issue?

Producing energy as if there were no tomorrow.

With abundant and cheap energy, inflation would be at least halved, as energy costs are then passed on in a multitude of goods and services, starting with groceries.

I wait to see what stompix has to say to this, as I think he either lives in Germany or knows very well what is going on over there.
2476  Economy / Economics / Re: Electricity bills worth 500,000 euros: a hotel chain closes down in Italy. on: October 05, 2022, 02:58:01 AM
If they are in Italy but not using Solar panels for power I got to attribute some of their costs to misallocation of resources. 

And I got to attribute your sentence to not reading and shitposting. If you would read the OP, instead of typing fast for a quick buck you would see that it says they were not authorized to install solar panels.

At this current rate, the whole of Europe's economy might end up hibernating or moving in order to sustain production costs (put uprooting whole manufacturing plants and transporting them to countries like Canada would be expensive to do quickly).

This is what is going to happen, if production costs become unsustainable and cannot be passed on to the end consumer, there will only be two solutions: shut down, or move production to where it is cheaper.

IMO countries that decided to pursue green energy at all cost have shot themselves in the knee and this wasn't done willingly. Many countries opposed this but were forced into submission by the EU council that kept reducing their CO2 emission limits. In other words, the EU put its members in a crisis situation.

Well, it's partly because of what you say, but the war is what made it worse. I'm for treating the planet in a more sustainable way, but it's pathetic how the EU where 5% of the world's population lives sets itself up as the savior of the climate.

All over twitter and reddit there are stories of many small and medium type of businesses closing due to electricity costs. At first when the costs went up, they increased their prices, and then they went up again, and there was no point in increasing prices because nobody would buy a 20EUR cup of coffee.

This is the point. Nobody in going to pay 20EUR for a cup of coffee. Unless it's in the poshest place on the island of Capri. And not even that.

Why don't Italy invest in green energy? Greta said solar panels and wind turbines provide free and clean energy. Why not give it a try?

Renewable energy in Italy

Our hope now is the quick peaceful resolution of the war in Ukraine. 

I think so. What happens is that it does not seem that a peaceful solution is going to be reached, and even less so in the short term.

Green energy wouldn’t be enough. You just can’t manufacture enough equipment and install enough equipment to make a difference. Wind energy you can only put it in certain areas. And solar energy is very expensive to produce and install.

We already got tons of green energy everywhere pretty much but we still rely on the old energy. It’s not going anywhere. Not anytime soon.

The problem with energy is that you can't store it. We get energy from the sun when it is sunny but not when it is cloudy or at night, and energy from the wind when it is windy, but not when it is not windy. That's why you need a mix with other sources that are in constant supply.

I don't know whether they need to increase the price of coffee to €20, for the business to remain profitable. But in case if that happens, then there are few scenarios.
...

There is only one scenario. Being the average price of coffee in Italy 1EUR until recently if they have to put it at €20, they have no choice but to close.

Italians are furious as the cost of an espresso soars toward record highs

Although €20 is probably too much of an exaggeration. It would have to go from €1 to at least €3 or 4, but with a 400% increase they are going to run out of customers.

I can safely say the main reason is the ongoing Russia Ukraine war and the sanctions that some western countries have imposed on Russia. But do you understand who is playing the main game from behind? It's US! After the war started US has imposed multiple sanctions on Russia and some EU countries like France or UK also followed through without understanding what game US is playing with them from the disguise of NATO.

US people is not paying the price of the war...

I agree that the USA gains more than Europe, but this last sentence is incorrect. In the USA they also have high inflation and other problems which are reasons, together with the immigration crisis, that the polls for Biden for the mid-term elections are catastrophic.

Sometimes this type of news is an unnecessary catalyst to say negative things about a real issue, I repeat it, but this hotel instead of reinventing itself and announcing reductions, they do the simple; ..."we close and when things improve maybe we will open again,"... it's okay, it's a logical business decision, perhaps framed in not being able to sustain prices in the face of the competition? not wanting to lower the status of the hotel?... the price of electricity in the tourist sector, like in many other sectors, is badly hit, but without a doubt it is one of those that can perhaps be better reinvented, most than other areas.

Explain. When your energy costs go up 300% and you can't put solar panels on, how are you going to become more efficient. By changing the windows? You don't solve the problem and also changing them has a cost.

Explain well the solution you have to combat the 300% increase in energy prices.

The news I posted about the hotel is one but search and you will see a lot of companies in Europe stopping production or planning to shut down because of energy costs.
2477  Economy / Services / Re: 💥WINZ.IO SIG & AVATAR CAMPAIGN💥 Check out the new sportsbook!!! on: October 04, 2022, 03:00:16 PM
Users must earn 1 merit per week to stay in the campaign.

-   In my understanding, this gives an obligation to the accepted participants in this signature campaign, that the participants must get at least 1 merit per weekly task required. Now, most of the merit I received was just over 1 month, so I don't seem to see anything wrong with my merit because I received my merit less than two months ago and the others was a couple of weeks only.

Anyway thanks for the heads up Smiley

That rule is not talking about your past earned merit but that every week those who are selected for the campaign will have to earn at least 1 merit to remain in the campaign. Otherwise you will be booted out by the manager. What I see happening is that chances of merit trading will become obvious again. I hope Yahoo will have enough time to go through merit exchange to catch those who will do it.

tranthidung and I have discussed that here:

Re: Overview of Bitcointalk Signature-Ad Campaigns [Last update: 01-Oct-22]

Although the proper thread would be this one:

📝[Discussion topic] Overview of Bitcointalk Signature-Ad Campaigns📝

Or here in this signature campaign topic because AFAIK it is the first time this is going to be implemented and this is the only campaign requiring it.

If I get accepted, I may be booted out, as in my past post history I've been a week without earning any merit, followed by another week earning a lot.
2478  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Will you change your mind on gambling ? on: October 04, 2022, 04:25:03 AM
  A new government came into power, and enacted a law that nobody should gamble anymore in the country i.e gambling becomes illegal. Will you just behave yourself and abide to this new law that is depriving you from having fun as a good citizen ? or will you ignore the law and keep on gambling since there are online casinos that you can gamble secretly with your mobile phones with out no one knowing ?

It depends on the government. If it is the Chinese government or a dictatorship, I would surely leave it. In a Western country, not that it is my opinion, it is that many people do not care about government restrictions. Let's look for example at the prohibitions on gambling in the USA. People gamble anyway. If you live in a dictatorship where if you are caught moving the dice cup to throw the dice, you get your hand cut off, people think more about it but in developed countries it's a laugh.
2479  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Overview of Bitcointalk Signature-Ad Campaigns [Last update: 01-Oct-22] on: October 04, 2022, 04:19:37 AM
I am not very sure about that rule. I have applied but have found that I myself, despite earning merits at a rate of almost double my activity, have sometimes gone a week without receiving a single merit. If he accepts me I will bring it up for discussion. I guess it would be better to change the requirement to get 4 merits in a month
I think this rule is to enforce participants make more and higher quality posts. However, you made a point that a good post does not always receive merit.

More important, many people got merit by exchanging in their local farms or local communities. This rule can be abused by merit exchange to stay in the campaign.

Anyway, think positively about it as it can increase general post quality, I consider it is a good initiative.

In general I agree with what you say, but if I myself, who I think I am the second best in terms of merit/activity ratio of all those who have applied so far (the second after you), have had weeks of not earning a single merit, to earn 50 merits in the next one. I would not see much sense to have to kick someone like me out of the campaign, and most likely those who are worse than me, he will have to be changing them every week.

What I understand that it can incentivize is the merit exchange, as you say, or the merit with alts in order not to be expelled from the campaign.

Only 5 posts are required in Gambling and the rest 20 posts can be non-gambling.

Yes, but usually in this kind of campaigns, there are people who write 80% of posts in the gambling section or more, even if the requirement is lower. Those will have a harder time to earn merits.

Btw: I gave your weekly merit, so you are not going to be kicked out. Lol. As I am sure you will be accepted.
2480  Economy / Economics / Re: Take shelter, a storm is coming in October. on: October 04, 2022, 03:39:51 AM
Talk of a possible Lehman bankruptcy or a real estate bubble bursting also provoked laughter not so long ago. Do I remind you how that turned out?

Even a broken clock is right, or how one of the users here said:

Same goes for Zerohedge, the site that predicted 200 of the last 2 recessions.

If you keep chanting every month that a crisis will come and you live enough you might see one, if you're unlucky like my grandparents who learned every day the US evil empire will fall, you might, well, not see it in your lifetime. Do you know what amuses me the most? The thing that people here who all the time are laughing about Bitcoin obituaries make the same mistake again when looking at the other markets, I said it, the only thing that died more times than BTC in the last 10 years is the $, and as you can see.. Wink

I just don't understand why you are quoting Zerohedge. The source I posted does not quote ZH, as much as this topic reminds you of them, and yesterday CS shares went as low as 12%, which points out that investors were not trusting, regardless of what ZH says or not.

Credit Suisse Plunges 12% as Concerns of Going Bankrupt Spike

Regarding the dollar, I have made reference to the fact that China is going to counterattack, not by far it is going to collapse the USD. Other currencies will collapse much sooner, and in the current crisis it has only been strengthened. That is why China wants to fight back.


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