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2241  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: [Nov 2022] Mempool empty! Use this opportunity to Consolidate your small inputs! on: November 21, 2022, 04:30:37 AM
I have a question because yesterday I sent a transaction with the minimum fee, when the mempool was almost empty, with about 1,500 pending transactions. The next block took more than half an hour to confirm and by then there were more than 5,000 transactions almost all with a higher fee than the minimum, but what was my surprise when my transaction was confirmed in the next block. In other words, mine was confirmed at the minimum rate and there were about two thousand at a higher rate that were not confirmed.

Does anyone know why this happened? As far as I know, miners give priority to transactions with higher fees, but sometimes they may be interested in confirming transactions with lower fees, for example if the miner himself has sent a lot of transactions with the minimum fee to consolidate.

But in my case I can't explain why it happened. Was it by mistake?
2242  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Where would Twitter go after its takeover by Elon Musk ? on: November 21, 2022, 04:19:52 AM
I think a 5 year old in charge of a candy store would do a better job than the narcissistic giga-troll in charge of Twitter.

I am surprised by this exaggerated statement. It wouldn't be that you don't like his ideology or that for example, he would like to reinstate Trump's account and the rest is an after-the-fact rationalization?

To say that about the richest guy in the world is surprising, to say the least.

THE REAL-TIME BILLIONAIRES LIST

Although in his case he has also been greatly benefited by the massive printing policies that have made his companies trade at very high P/E ratios, as I commented in my previous post, but, come on, painting him as someone who has no idea about business saying that a 5 year old would do better.... I'd better wait and see where twitter is in a year. As you are well aware, many companies operate at a loss in the early stages and I'm sure he has a plan going forward.

What I see that he has done is to get rid of the socialists, and I think that is what bothers many of you.

Let's see if getting rid of all the people who were going to the office for entertainment and to censor what the democrats didn't like has worked out well for him or not.
2243  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Where would Twitter go after its takeover by Elon Musk ? on: November 20, 2022, 08:19:53 AM
For me, twitter is a clear case of what a book called "Bullshit jobs". It is clear that now they are understaffed, but in that company worked many people who were dedicated to do basically nothing and we can see an example in the following video:

A day in the life of a Twitter employee

These companies may have been inflated by the massive printing we have had in the last few years, which caused technology stocks to continue to keep rising even when trading at outrageous P/E ratios.

This is in terms of workers. And cost control in other aspects? I find it hard to believe this tweet from Musk, but I have no way of verifying it, and given how overstaffed they were, I wouldn't be surprised:

Quote
Especially bizarre given that almost no one came to the office. Estimated cost per lunch served in past 12 months is >$400.
2244  Economy / Economics / Re: Household debt soars at fastest pace in 15 years as credit card use surges, Fed on: November 20, 2022, 04:23:37 AM
I think the numbers are a *bit* misleading.

The mortgage numbers are interesting but for a lot of people it became an investment. Remember these numbers are this year vs last year.

How many people went out and took out as much money as they could borrow against their homes at 4% thinking that within a year to 18 months they could be getting 5%+ in the short term and even longer in the long term?

How many people were waiting for the current housing shrink / price drop to happen to buy?

Same with credit cards. If you have good credit just about every bank is still throwing 0% for 9+ months or longer offers around.
If I could leave those funds in a savings or checking account or put it in a CD at the 1.5% +/- rates that were around a year ago I *might* do it. It's a tough call. At the 3% (savings) to 4.5% or better (CD) rates that are around now, it's a no brainier. You want to give me money at 0% that I can invest no risk and get 3%+ on give it to me. So credit card debt goes up.

So taken in a bubble the numbers look like one thing, looking at all the external factors makes them look different.

-Dave

The problem with that you comment is that numbers are one thing, and Average Joe's behavior is another. From a purely mathematical point of view, it makes sense that they lend you money at 0% and you invest it for a higher interest rate, but that equation does not take into account risk, and on the other hand it also does not take into account that most of the population goes on what I call a "liquidity binge".

Are you telling me that most Americans are borrowing more because they are financial geniuses and are profiting from the interest?

I don't think so, because the money that the people I know are borrowing is not enough to make a difference. Typical person who has a median to low income, a net worth of $30k (mostly in equity in his home), and only $1k in the bank, who decides to buy a $1k Iphone in installments at 0% interest to "not decapitalize", when in reality he has virtually no capital, and if the move goes well, and they give him 1% for that $1k he has in a savings account, at the end of the year he gets the grandiose amount of $10! Lol.

In the end most do not spend the cash available on an investment but on stupid consumption, and then comes the whining.
2245  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Promotion and Adoption in my locality on: November 20, 2022, 04:12:16 AM
Is that in Nigeria? I say this because of the large Nigerian community on the forum. In any case, it looks like an African country and we have seen several such initiatives in other posts to spread awareness and use of Bitcoin. I too doubt, like hugeblack, that this will turn into a significant volume of transactions in the barber shop, but you never know, as I have read that there is quite a bit of cryptocurrency usage in Nigeria.

Nigerians Turn to Crypto Assets as Currency Weakens

Cryptocurrency usage soars in Nigeria despite bank ban

It would be curious if they end up using Bitcoin more there than in El Salvador.
2246  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can you still win with free spins? on: November 20, 2022, 04:05:09 AM
Sites which allow you to spin for free forever will definitely limit the size of the reward you can win on every spin. Like freebitco.in, for example, where we earn few satoshis every hour (few cents of dollar) and more few satoshis by spinning the wheel of fortune once a day.

When we talk about casinos' free spins we talk about spins which can potentially rewards us with decent prizes, like 50$, 100$, 200$... And that is why those spins don't come without requirements for the gambler. In order words, he is forced to risk money to receive free spins or to be able to cashout his prizes.

This sums it all up. The OP should not expect to get rich with free spins. In freebitco.in it can take years to get the maximum prize, which is $200, and the other free spins are given to you for having bet a certain amount, as a reward, as you said.

All this reminds me of "there's no such thing as a free lunch". If you want to make serious money, you better get off your ass to get it, and don't expect it to come to you somehow "for free".
2247  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Running a casino during crypto crash on: November 20, 2022, 03:55:20 AM
I really don't care if casinos won't show the proofs of their bankroll.

I do care. After all, I do not want them to use the funds I deposit for a fractional reserve system.

After all, as long as they already established a good name, that's worth trying. Reputation does matters to me and there are ways to prove that even not showing their bankroll.


Yeah, well, SBF had an excellent reputation, and so did Madoff in his day, so I prefer proof that my money is safe.

After all, these sites won't run for long if they are not financially capable.

Wrong. The Madoff scam lasted more than two decades, so a scam can last a long time.
2248  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool if full, but what does that actually mean? on: November 19, 2022, 08:39:33 AM
I want the unbanked to be able to run a node. 

Really? How?

I changed my laptop and I thought about using the old one for a full node but I was looking at some information, and as I saw that it wasn't just two clicks, I left it for later and the old laptop is still waiting for me.

But I don't see the unbanked setting up a node. I doubt they can afford a laptop to begin with. If they had one, I doubt they would use it as a node, as there are much more productive things they can do. The node also has a cost in terms of electricity and we have to think that not all over the world there is broadband internet or flat plans, if they have to pay for GB used there's no way they are going to set up a node.

Maybe there is an easy and cheap way to set it up and that is what you are thinking of.
2249  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I hardly have up to $100 again in all my fait bank accounts since I joined BTT on: November 19, 2022, 08:30:05 AM
It's really a bad idea to store all your assets in bitcoin, even daily spending money. Bitcoin is an asset class that is resistant to inflation but it is only suitable for the long term and not for the short term. An example: if you hold fiat currency since inflation occurred so far your fiat currency will not lose so much value but if you hold bitcoin at $69k, your asset will lose 75% of its value from the current price. In this case, fiat wins bitcoin.

Don't idolize one thing too much, to make life easier, try to manage it all appropriately.

I agree 100% with this.

We have examples of people on the forum who are in my opinion overexposed to Bitcoin, although it depends on each individual case. If your net worth is $100M, you can have 95% of it in Bitcoin. For laughable net worths, I would start by accumulating cash, 3-6 months reserve of expenses readily available, either in cash at home or in a bank account that you can spend or withdraw from an ATM. That's what people call an emergency fund. From there I would go on to build investments. Actually that's what I did in the past and nowadays I keep adding to my investments having financial peace.

I don't have issues with my daily expenses, this is about planning, and I have carefully table out my plans before doing this. I've been in the world of investment for a while now, I don't see any immediate issue for now.

Having only $100 risks you having to sell at a loss if you have an unforeseen event that costs you money, and, besides, I do not know if you expect to have everything in Bitcoin to give you future returns like those of the first cycles. I doubt it, and what is happening in this cycle should make us think along those lines.

Although everyone does what he wants with his money, so I end up giving you good luck.

2250  Economy / Economics / Re: Why Bitcoin is the only crypto you should BUY on: November 19, 2022, 04:07:27 AM
Is anyone else seeing an alt account here with a post designed to try to earn merit?

You have your own point of view and I respect that.  I agree on what you said about Bitcoin but seriously?  Tether?  BUSD and USDC is way more better than tether.  These two stablecoins had their regular audit and have been certified to have 1:1 reserved while tether is somehow on the gray part area when the reserve fund is discussed.

Yeah I don't know why the OP first talks about Bitcoin and then shoehorns Tether in. I agree that Bitcoin is essentially different from the others, but precisely Tether which is a stablecoin that raises many flags is not understood. In my case I only have Bitcoin and I do not see bad to have a small percentage of some alt, as I believe that in the future the Bitcoin will coexist with them, but the question is which ones will survive.
2251  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How are Online casino's and sports betting platforms coping? on: November 19, 2022, 03:59:21 AM
Online casinos got their boost in business during the pandemic days.
Just think of new sportsbooks that have been introduced during this period.
We can say, online gambling got their popularity and more players when pandemic hit the world.
That is true, instead of going bankrupt, most of these gambling sites got their good revenue because of increasing popularity of online casinos.
With a lot of advantages offered to gamblers, online gambling is like the new norm to play and place your bets at the comfort of your home.

But in that case it was different. There was a crisis and a downturn in the markets but people stayed at home. And what did they do? In most cases, they ate more and had a lot more online leisure, including gambling. I noticed it in poker because it was like going back 10 years, the rooms were full of fish. Now it is not the same, and gambling is not immune to crises, as shown in the article linked by Davidvictorson
2252  Economy / Exchanges / Re: The FTX conspiracy on: November 19, 2022, 03:51:53 AM
The connections are just too obvious.

You left out one part of the story, the one involving Zelenski and Ukraine in all this.

Quote
The Ukrainian government mysteriously disappeared online records of its fundraising arrangement with the FTX crypto scam just days before the scandal erupted. The initiative claims to have raised $60 million for Ukraine, but where did the money go?....

FTX pledges to “turn bitcoin into bullets, bandages and other war materiel” for Ukraine
The partnership between FTX and the Ukrainian government was first publicized on March 14th when the leading cryptocurrency website CoinDesk announced Kiev had launched a dedicated webpage for cryptocurrency donations dubbed Aid for Ukraine.

Under its auspices, FTX pledged to “convert crypto contributions to Ukraine’s war effort into fiat for deposit” at the National Bank of Kiev, allowing the embattled government to “turn bitcoin into bullets, bandages and other war materiel.” CoinDesk stated the initiative “deepens an unprecedented tie-up between public and private sector forces in crypto.”

Read more on: FTX partnership with Ukraine is latest chapter in shady Western aid saga

To all this, the left-wing, progressive biased Associated Press has been quick to deny it:

Posts spin baseless theory about FTX, Ukraine and Democrats
2253  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: New Solution to Address the Problem of Gambling in Australia. on: November 18, 2022, 05:38:00 PM
I think it's a good idea. Anything that helps to curb people who get out of control with gambling and end up losing much more than they can afford, even if they are in debt, is a good thing. Although it seems to me that with the ease of credit today the effect will be small. Nowadays many people have a pre-conceded personal that with two clicks on their cell phone they get the money in their account. Or instead of spending the credit card you can spend all the money you have in the casino and then pay the month's expenses with the credit card.

I have already said that I think it is positive but it will not be a panacea.
2254  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Implications of the FTX and Alameda Situation for Cryptocurrency and Regulation on: November 18, 2022, 03:00:36 AM
If the regulator forbids investing in crypto companies, then there will be a price drop in the crypto market.

Why would they do that? To me they would be more likely to ban cryptocurrencies than to ban institutions from investing in them.

And anyway, this cycle that was known as the one of institutional adoption, I would rather call it the one of "institutional disappointment", because in the cycle in which more institutions have invested than ever before, we are having the worst return of all cycles by far.

Leverage, championed by the greatest institutional investor and the most media-acclaimed: Michael Saylor, is largely to blame for this.

So I'm not so much concerned about institutions investing as I am about what regulations the public authorities are going to come up with now that CBDCs are in the pipeline.
2255  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you have Lucky Casino? on: November 18, 2022, 02:49:24 AM
I’m playing same set of games on different casino not just to get the bonuses of each casino but also to have a different mood of my mind set. It really helps me to calm down and focus whenever I’m losing big time on one casino. It also helps me to not chase my previous losses because I think about it as fresh start.

With this regular routine, I notice that I have a specific casino that I’m always winning despite I’m playing same game that I lose huge amount on the other casino...

Do you have this kind of casino?

I question what you say that I have put in bold, also as other colleagues have commented to you. It is impossible that you always win in a casino.

To say something similar to what you say, it did happen to me in the past, when I had a bad streak, I changed rooms and had a fresh start in the new room and started winning. But over time I realized that it was more a psychological aspect than anything else. If I endure a bad streak in the same room, there comes a time when the results turn around and you start winning.
2256  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How to prevent cheating in a game on: November 18, 2022, 02:42:26 AM
As a gambler what prevention measures will you take in other not to cheat on your game that you know a way on cheating to win or will you go ahead and cheat ?

About this and as far as I am concerned, I have commented several times that one of the reasons why I do not play poker in cryptocurrency rooms without KYC is because it is much easier to cheat. Implementing KYC does not make cheating impossible, but it reduces it a lot. Besides, nowadays I play in Pokerstars which has a great anti-fraud department, so the possibility of finding someone in the room who is cheating is reduced to a minimum.
2257  Economy / Economics / Re: Fed and central Banks need to do something on: November 17, 2022, 04:57:36 AM
-snip

So your solution for a heroin addict is to give him large doses of fentanyl, right? What a genius, I don't know how I hadn't thought of that before.

LOL! You can change the subject of your topic to "Ramblings of a Spoiled Rich Kid!"

Please correct me if I am getting this wrong, but if I have to rephrase your long rant, which is more like a demand in a middle of a tantrum, into one single sentence, it would be: "Give me money so that I can buy all the things that I want, right now!"

However, if all of you spoiled brats will get what you want, it might spell doom for your country. If printing goes on without an increase in economic output, what good is printing? It will only result to a devalued currency.

Just like that. We have been in a forward flight for many years based on more and more debt, more and more printers, and now because the balance sheet of central banks is reduced a little, just a little, and rates are raised, the OP starts to cry. If they really raise rates to more than 10% I don't know what he is going to do.
2258  Economy / Services / Re: POKER COURSES FOR SALE on: November 17, 2022, 04:44:55 AM
Usually, articles not accompanied by videos can confuse people who need help understanding writing because they tend to understand more easily if they watch videos.
But with so many articles out there, we often find the content of poker lessons similar to other articles, which can also confuse us.
And the poker lessons from Youtube can help people understand how to play this poker game so we can learn it.
But whatever poker game lessons we get, we have to practice it because then we can understand how to play it.

It is that these problems arise when you intend to learn poker in a self-taught way. It is better that you get into one of the many schools that are online where they give you a structured content, step by step, which will help you to climb from basic levels to mid and high stakes if you are able to get there, because today the tables are hard and even if you put a lot of time and effort, maybe you stay in mid-stakes. But if you like it, at the end of the road you will be making some extra money which is pretty good, or even if you live in a poor country maybe you can live from it, but for that you have to have a very good bankroll management and control the psychological aspects, which are topics that are also touched in the poker schools syllabus.
2259  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A lottery's defense to not paying a huge winning. on: November 17, 2022, 04:30:58 AM
The question is ?
What do you really think of the lottery company and is there any chance for them to winning the case and not paying the winner?

To my understanding no, the company had a problem with their database, supposedly and they are hiding behind that to not pay the prize. To me that does not seem to me a defense that justifies not paying and unless they provide other elements of proof in the trial I understand that the most reasonable thing is that they pay him the lottery prize in full. Although it is also necessary to think that in matters of law what seems to be clear in favor of a part ends up with a reasoned sentence of many pages in favor of the other, that is to say that the plaintiff cannot claim victory.
2260  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is it safe keep my money in cloud? on: November 16, 2022, 04:59:10 AM
I don't really understand what does you mean about keep your money in cloud, but you need to know cloud and the other online storage isn't safe and very vulnerable against hacker or malicious virus.

A Ledger or Trezor hardware wallet, and write down the backup on a piece of paper(or 2, and store it on 2 different locations). That's it. Don't try to complicate things.
I wouldn't recommend to backup the seeds phrase on a paper because it can be easily destroyed by fire or water, also when you hold for a long time usually you can miss few words from your written since the quality isn't same anymore. I'd recommend to backup using steel plates that resistant against fire, water, corrosion etc.

If you notice, he is saying to write the seeds on two pieces of paper and store them in two different locations. The probability of getting the two papers burned or wet is practically 0, and the steel plates are also not 100% safe because they attract the attention of potential thieves and kidnappers, while the papers are easily camouflaged.

There is no system that is 100% secure, although some are more secure than others, but in this case having the papers in two locations is quite secure and used by many people.
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