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2041  Economy / Economics / Re: Good economic news from the US, EU and China! on: January 10, 2023, 05:19:07 AM
We can't see into the future but by statistics, this year will most likely have positive returns, both in the stock market and for Bitcoin. We will have to see how various issues play out to see how it materializes, such as the war in Ukraine, as you comment, or central banks policies. The rise of the stock markets is partly due to the belief of a rate cut later in the year, which would bring liquidity back into the markets and much of that liquidity ends up in financial assets.

Anyway, we have to think that if we end the year, say at $26k, that would mean ending the year in positive but we could not say that it has been a glorious year.
2042  Economy / Reputation / Re: Campaign managers acting as Escrow on: January 10, 2023, 03:37:31 AM
It's not the first time seeing a campaign manager losing funds on the forum..the latest being [banned mixer] | Bitcoin Mixer | Signature Campaign in less than 4hrs funds gone($4.2k)...

It will not be the first time, but it is not very common.

To Coinomize and YoMix - this is not normal. In fact I can't remember the last time I saw a campaign manager get a sizeable portion of funds and then lost/stole it...

---

Should an escrow be liable for any loss of such funds and get tagged till such a repayment is done?

Yes, he is responsible for these funds. If he loses them he has to bear the consequences, even if it is in this case as it seems due to negligence and not because he stole them himself. At the moment he has one negative tag and two neutral ones reflecting the situation, when not even 24 hours have passed. I think both tags are acceptable. Neutral which will change to negative if he does not pay what he owes or conversely, negative which will change to neutral if he pays.
2043  Economy / Reputation / Re: I've been hacked on: January 10, 2023, 03:28:39 AM
In this case we see that the two people most affected, those who hired him, give him the benefit of the doubt. From a distance we cannot know what really happened to him but from the way he acted I am also inclined to think that the most likely scenario is that he was robbed of his funds.

He will have to reach an agreement to pay back the stolen money, even if it is little by little, and it is going to be difficult because the money he is paying back is going to be money that he will not be able to use to buy food for his family.
2044  Economy / Reputation / Re: I've been hacked on: January 09, 2023, 06:38:23 PM
Come to think of it, I have a question, julerz12.

Why did you make the campaign thread a self-moderated one?

I don't recall any other, apart from those of Royse777, who had good reasons, but you apparently didn't.
2045  Economy / Reputation / Re: I've been hacked on: January 09, 2023, 06:28:25 PM
Personally, I do not advise you to do it (to the reputation of the forum.) @Royse777 is a great member, but currently he is temporarily banned, and he had an old trust problem.

My goodness how quickly it all happened. I saw the campaign and applied precisely because Royse777 didn't manage it. For that I prefer to stay working for icopress for less than half. So I applied in a moment, after another moment I see that I have been accepted and then in a few hours I see two PMs from the campaign manager and now this thread.

We will have to think about this, but what I see is that leaving aside what has really happened, we do know at least that julerz12 has been careless. A campaign manager with the time he has been in the forum should have used a hardware wallet and not just rely on Electrum:

I am using this version of Electrum 4.3.2 which I've downloaded from the official website.

...

I am devastated and ruined and quite frankly pretty angry at how stupid I am for not using my hardware wallet (Ledger) and just relying purely on Electrum
2046  Economy / Services / Re: 🚧[OPEN] [banned mixer] | Bitcoin Mixer | Signature Campaign ~ Up to $100/week on: January 09, 2023, 12:35:38 PM
Bitcointalk Username:  Poker Player
SeqWit BTC Address: 3FbEKP45xmrRGQ3QHibp7LULStQCA8Q6Ri

Will change signature, avatar and personal text if accepted
2047  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: US regulators warn banks over cryptocurrency risks on: January 09, 2023, 05:55:32 AM
The problem with all of this is to mix in the "crypto world" Bitcoin with more than 20,000 other crappy currencies. At heart these warnings are understandable, as the shitcoin market is very much a casino where the house in some cases cheats. Let's hope that Bitcoin is considered a commodity and the rest securities and people start to be clear about the difference.
2048  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will 2023 be another up year for Bitcoin? on: January 09, 2023, 04:21:27 AM
Yes, as I have said recently, we will most likely close the year in the positive, although it does not have to be a large increase from the current price level. Closing lower would be a catastrophe and would break the pattern of previous years, but let's not speculate on what is unlikely to happen. [

2023 will probably be a recovery year if there are no more major FUD news as was the case some time ago.

Of course, apart from a certain price trend dependent on the cycle and halvings, we will have to see what news there is this year that affects the price.
2049  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How profitable it is possible to invest in bitcoins in the new year 2023. on: January 09, 2023, 04:07:04 AM
I agree especially with mk4 and Despairo comments. The only thing I would add is that focusing on 2023 is too short-sighted, and more so considering what Bitcoin is. We will most likely close this year in the positive, but there doesn't have to be a huge price increase either. Just if we closed at $20 on December 31, there would have been a positive return.

OP, do some research on what Bitcoin is and you will see that it is worth HODL for at least one cycle, if not two, although you can take advantage of times like this to buy more and bull market times to make partial sales.
2050  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Crypto Casino on: January 08, 2023, 05:20:13 AM
Hey Guys

did anyone here Tried Crypto Casino online ?? anyone wins ? or just scammers ?

i was playing and spend some dollar and was watching the whole month and there no one winning !!

i tried 3 websites and it all the same

any expertise here ?

Thank you

Lol. How funny.

When you find out that it is normal in a casino to lose, you might have a stroke. Cryptocurrency casinos, in general those you see advertised in the forum, such as the ones we carry in the signatures are reliable. All except one, the 1xBit, do not even think of betting in that one.

The rest are reliable, what happens is that you have to bet knowing that they are games that in the long run make you lose money, although in some sessions you can come out positive. Probably in your first sessions you have had negative variance, that is, more bad luck than usual.

2051  Economy / Reputation / Re: Ban Evasion on: January 08, 2023, 05:13:32 AM
However, your actions on this matter and the way of seeing all this don't picture you in a "Peace enthusiast"  Cheesy

That's because I really like Ronald Reagan.

Peace Through Strength.

2052  Other / Meta / Re: [Voting 2022] Bitcointalk Community Awards 🏆 on: January 07, 2023, 09:32:42 AM
-Hero of Good: theymos
-Golden Feather: Hhampuz
-Bitcointalk Ninja: LoyceV
-Bitcoin Geek: o_e_l_e_o
-Event of the Year: -
-Fail of the Year: FTX fiasco
-Discovery of the Year: -
-Best SpamBuster: lovesmayfamilis
-Best ScamBuster: lovesmayfamilis
-Craft Master: Icopress
-AntiHero: Royse777
-Miss Bitcointalk: I find the question sexist  Grin, but to name one: BitcoinGirl.Club
2053  Economy / Reputation / Re: Ban Evasion on: January 07, 2023, 09:18:46 AM
Leaving aside that the title is incorrect and that the OP is probably an alt who has it in for Royse777 for some reason, no one is struck by this? I mean, with the recent history and on top of that now he's sending PMs of who knows what and ends up temp banned. The Casino Critique thing was also via PMs.

What a gem, reminds me of Naim027, with the only difference that many people have gotten paid a lot of money thanks to him in his campaigns.
2054  Other / Off-topic / Re: My story and where it is now..... on: January 07, 2023, 06:34:12 AM
Well, the critical moment is approaching. I think this thread is the one that has created the most expectation at present.

I believe that if everything goes well, which we hope it will, it is normal that he will be a while without writing here after the transplant, and we will be with the uncertainty, but hopefully it will be for a new beginning for him.

Best wishes from afar, yahoo62278.



2055  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How to get a hardware wallet in a bitcoin banned country? on: January 07, 2023, 06:25:25 AM
I guess you can visit neighboring countries where Bitcoin/crypto isn't banned and buy a hardware wallet from there. You don't have to declare you have them once you enter your homeland. That could be more costly but safer than buying them online and having the item delivered to you (Customs might open/scan packages). If that's not a good option for you, then you might as well consider non-custodial and open-source software wallets.

This is what I would do, and nowadays, the most normal thing is that at the border they don't even know what it is. In the unlikely event that you are searched, it looks like a USB memory stick or similar. Besides what will be prohibited will be the possession of Bitcoin, not a HW in which you have not yet withdrawn the funds. In other words, it is extremely unlikely that you will have any risk by buying a HW in a neighboring country and returning to your country.
2056  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I am Bullish On Bitcoin Despite Bear market on: January 07, 2023, 06:18:27 AM
Long-term investors are generally optimistic about the market and know that now is the best time to buy at low prices. The bear market is an inevitable cycle in the encryption market. Bitcoin still has strong market support, and the price will increase when it enters the bull market again.

Yes, and not only with respect to Bitcoin. I invest in the US stock market as well, and instead of thinking that it's a shame that it's gone down, what I do is take advantage of it to buy cheap. If the asset you buy is top quality, it always goes up in the long run. Times like this are good to buy on sale.
2057  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin What is the probability of 60 K+ again? on: January 07, 2023, 05:21:43 AM
2022 In 22 trade I have never had to accept so many losses since the advent of cryptocurrencies.Those who are mainly dependent on trade are now on the verge of destitution.Before 2022, it seems that trading has not suffered so much loss2022 is a cursed year for traders.If anyone has any idea on when bitcoin position will turn please share it will save many traders like me from losing.

You seem to be doing so many things wrong. For starters you seem to be missing the point that with trading you can make money when the market goes down as well. So it doesn't matter if the market will go up again or when it will reach $60k, because if you really knew how to trade, which I doubt, you could make money too.
2058  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Indians moved 0ver $3.8B to foreign exchanges because of new crypto tax rules on: January 06, 2023, 09:55:54 AM
Once again governments being shortsighted instead trying to get as many people as possible to keep their money in the country and report their tax.

Most Governments around the world are just a group of hypocrites and sore losers.

This is a direct result of a poor policy, which certainly is also a direct result of a poor policymaking process. This should serve as an example to other countries how a policy could actually backfire if it is not well-studied.

People are very surprised if you explain to them that tax reduction policies generate more revenue, but in order to balance the accounts they have to be accompanied by reductions in public spending, and in a world addicted to debt and spending and spending, this seems impossible.

When you want to make it impossible for people to do what they want to do and tax them excessively, people look for ways to avoid paying and to free themselves from your yoke, and in the case we are seeing of cryptocurrencies the same thing. With a policy of tolerance and low taxes, many people who do not declare them and/or have moved them abroad, would declare them and move them in their country, benefiting the local economy.
2059  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: What's the future of digital currencies? on: January 06, 2023, 09:42:27 AM
The future is very difficult to predict. Based on what is there now, we can see the likely things, and we will still err. You can look at the movie Back to the Future, for example, there are some things it got right and some things it got wrong.

Big innovations like Bitcoin that change the world are always rare. If they happened everyday they wouldn't have been as exciting to watch them unravel. This is one of the reasons why we haven't seen any groundbreaking innovations in this scene.

I agree, when the wheel was invented, which marked a before and after in transportation, more than 5,000 years had to pass for another such radical revolution, which was to be able to fly.  What we cannot predict is what we cannot even imagine today. Imagine explaining to someone in 1800 what the Internet was going to be. He couldn't even conceive it. Let alone if you go much further back in time.

In any case, I think the most likely thing for the next say 10 years will be that Bitcoin will continue to exist and revalue in purchasing power, that CBDCs will be implemented and that most shitcoins will go to hell.
2060  Other / Meta / Re: This forum will need explicit rules on the use of AI. on: January 06, 2023, 07:27:47 AM
Basically I was trying to tell you that the monotony of AI systems like ChatGPT will make it easy to spot all the people writing with AIs because they will sound almost exactly the same. And the effort required to rewrite the text to make it unique for each user will be so tedious that people will either abandon this whole enterprise or just copy-paste AI text regardless and face the consequences relevant  for their particular circumstances-e.g. if they are sig campaign members they are all thrown out.

I have no problem with AI accounts used for information or humor purposes, I actually made one myself on the Off Topic board.

Yes, but all the objections you raise sound to me like the same objections that were raised against automatic translators, which are now widely used.

Are you sure that the ChatGPT of 2024, 2025 etc. will be as monotonous and easy to catch as the current one? The first versions of automatic translators were laughable, or think about the first versions of cell phones, or the first years of the Internet.
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