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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25881980 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 5 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 12:56:35 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

Do you think 7-11 will ever run a lightning node?

Why not?  It will be a piece of hardware that sits on the counter no different from a credit card scanner.

You don't share Peter Todd's skepticism then
http://bitcoinist.com/peter-todd-warns-lightning-network/

“As for the Lightning protocol, I’m willing to predict it’ll prove to be vulnerable to DoS attacks in it’s (sic) current incarnation, both at the P2P and blockchain level,” Todd meanwhile predicted.

“While bad politics, focusing on centralized hub-and-spoke payment channels first would have been much simpler.”
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According to NIST and ECRYPT II, the cryptographic algorithms used in Bitcoin are expected to be strong until at least 2030. (After that, it will not be too difficult to transition to different algorithms.)
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yefi
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March 31, 2018, 01:04:56 AM

AMA

Can I live in your butt as a parasitic worm and drill bloody fistulas through your body? (David Blaine would be jealous.)
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 01:08:09 AM

AMA

Can I live in your butt as a parasitic worm and drill bloody fistulas through your body? (David Blaine would be jealous.)

My guts are full of pus and vinegar. You wouldn't be comfortable, and I would feel responsible.

But yeah, ok.
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Deb Rah Von Doom


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March 31, 2018, 01:12:55 AM

I dont care what BTC does right now. I just want ETH to die and its following BTC.
jojo69
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1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


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March 31, 2018, 01:13:26 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

It's because you are not who you claim you are


What do you think of young Trudeau?
Biodom
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March 31, 2018, 01:15:22 AM
Last edit: April 01, 2018, 07:04:03 AM by Biodom
Merited by bitebits (1), Last of the V8s (1)

On bull and bear in btc...

There were too few bull/bear markets in btc, but assuming that average bull bear in btc is at least similar to stock markets, here is an interesting snippet:

One source indicates that stock bull averages 97mo while bear 18 mo, while another source states 31 mo bull and 10 mo bear, yet a third one says that average bull lasted 48mo and bear 14 mo.
A have no idea why the numbers vary so much, maybe because of underlying methodology (pretty much all counted since 1925-1930 until today).

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertlenzner/2015/01/02/bull-markets-last-five-times-longer-than-bear-markets/
https://www.ftportfolios.com/Common/ContentFileLoader.aspx?ContentGUID=4ecfa978-d0bb-4924-92c8-628ff9bfe12d
https://paulmerriman.com/22-things-know-bear-markets/
https://www.mackenzieinvestments.com/en/assets/documents/marketingmaterials/mm-bull-bear-markets-sp500-en.pdf

Entry points:

31 and 10
48 and 14
108 and 16.8
97 and 18

If, for simplification purposes, we ignore the duration and just focus on bull/bear ratio, then we get bull/bear duration (proportion) at 3.1, 3.42, 5.38 and 6.43.

Applying these numbers back to the prior bitcoin bull that lasted approx 35mo (which is very similar to the first two aforementioned stock market bulls, incidentally), then 3.1 ratio would give us 11.3mo bear, 3.42-10.2 mo, 5.38-6.5 mo and the last 5.44 mo bear.
That said, the latter corresponds to a very long bull, which we did not have; ours was more like the first two.
5.44 mo from Dec 16 is the end of May, which is most optimistic with October-Nov of 2018 fitting data a bit better

TL;DR this model suggests a 5.44-11.3 mo long bear, which indicates bear lasting until May 30-Nov 24, 2018.
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 01:15:31 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

It's because you are not who you claim you are

It's true. Bitfinex thinks I'm BlatchMajorCornstaff. I don't even remember that.
I've created a tangled mess here


What do you think of young Trudeau?

I'm not aware of politics. Per se
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Observing No-Coiners.


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March 31, 2018, 01:15:34 AM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (10), erre (1)

Just home after a Bday evening of a friend Reading last 2WO pages and willing to spend my very precious LAST Smerit, but better wait to tommorrow So i can actually send iT with al my best to the best meme video/pic that gives me joy and pleasure for the rest of the merit sources PUMP me the F*** up same as you wanne see BTC pump the F*** up So a have Some ammo to send around ;-)  Cool  Roll Eyes  Tongue
yefi
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March 31, 2018, 01:16:24 AM

My guts are full of pus and vinegar. You wouldn't be comfortable, and I would feel responsible.

But yeah, ok.

Thanks for being honest. I think I'll probably look for nicer digs. Sad
Biodom
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March 31, 2018, 01:19:32 AM

Just home after a Bday evening of a friend Reading last 2WO pages and willing to spend my very precious LAST Smerit, but better wait to tommorrow So i can actually send iT with al my best to the best meme video/pic that gives me joy and pleasure for the rest of the merit sources PUMP me the F*** up same as you wanne see BTC pump the F*** up So a have Some ammo to send around ;-)  Cool  Roll Eyes  Tongue

if i were you, i would have given it to two great bottoms  Grin
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 01:21:46 AM

My guts are full of pus and vinegar. You wouldn't be comfortable, and I would feel responsible.

But yeah, ok.

Thanks for being honest. I think I'll probably look for nicer digs. Sad

Might I recommend something in a jojo69? Spacious, handles well. Only one owner.
explorer
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March 31, 2018, 01:26:40 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

It's because you are not who you claim you are


What do you think of young Trudeau?

Do you mean Turdeau? 
yefi
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March 31, 2018, 01:36:05 AM

Might I recommend something in a jojo69? Spacious, handles well. Only one owner.

I burnt out the ass clutch on the last jojo69 I was in. I need something with fewer bowel movements.
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March 31, 2018, 01:40:53 AM
Merited by RejectedBanana (1)

So what is the best strategy for a bear in this market to get some of that honey from the honey badger? Asking for my furry friend.


Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 01:47:29 AM
Merited by yefi (1)

Might I recommend something in a jojo69? Spacious, handles well. Only one owner.

I burnt out the ass clutch on the last jojo69 I was in. I need something with fewer bowel movements.

There are newer models.



But they aren't easy to find.
jojo69
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1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


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March 31, 2018, 01:53:10 AM

cheeky...calling my bowel "spacious"   sheesh
bones261
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March 31, 2018, 01:58:09 AM

Do bears get any memes? Bulls have trains and rockets. What do bears have - dump trucks?

Do you think this would make a good bear meme?

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March 31, 2018, 01:59:07 AM

I'm with Hairy on this one. Volume is too wimpy yet. Saturday night might be ugly, uglier than many of us think.

But of course this is another SOMA prediction, guys! No need to worry!

Straight Off My Ass predictions - Almost always wrong since 1998!
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March 31, 2018, 02:00:04 AM

If you are not sure  then watch this and then make your own conclusions.
This guy is very very good!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8kmJwbJ3MVg&feature=em-uploademail

And he also talks about ladders in another video - for staggered entries, though. Nothing like the 2J-ladder.
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 02:01:09 AM

cheeky...calling my bowel "spacious"   sheesh

If you've ever had to crawl around a host with intestinal narrowing, you would know how important a roomy colon can be. I was really trying to sell you
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