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Question: When will we see a new ATH?
October - 20 (26%)
November - 13 (16.9%)
December - 24 (31.2%)
2022 - 12 (15.6%)
After 2022 - 8 (10.4%)
Total Voters: 77

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25444780 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (157 posts by 13+ users deleted.)
tonyq
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March 30, 2018, 10:45:53 PM

Been here 5 years next week.
Yes, very new.
Idiot.

It takes something quite special to be here five years and still be a newb.

Sold my coins at $500  each.
I feel ill.
 Embarrassed

It's ok, I paid an average of just under $100 each for them.
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Biodom
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March 30, 2018, 11:37:09 PM
Last edit: March 31, 2018, 12:34:08 AM by Biodom


yes, IF it happens, no guarantees.
gembitz
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*Brute force will solve any Bitcoin problem*


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March 31, 2018, 12:09:15 AM

Eeeeehaaaa we're climbing again! Somebody post that Hulk tossing a bear GIF please I love it Cheesy


Those candles are being mean and green!




 Cool

weee
Elwar
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March 31, 2018, 12:28:29 AM
Merited by jbreher (1), El duderino_ (1)

Double bottom perhaps?

HairyMaclairy
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Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist


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March 31, 2018, 12:35:57 AM

Still not finding this volume persuasive

Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 12:37:46 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA
_javier_
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Still a manic miner


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March 31, 2018, 12:39:56 AM

Double bottom perhaps?



those bottoms are persuasive, indeed  Tongue
PoolMinor
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XXXVII Fnord is toast without bread


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March 31, 2018, 12:40:18 AM
Last edit: April 14, 2018, 04:41:47 PM by PoolMinor

The good news is that the Sun will come out.........just not tomorrow, and I will bet my bottom dollar. I would be a heavy buyer around April 6th, and again mid-May. And early 2019.

P.S. this chart is from the future, your results may vary.


cAPSLOCK
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Volcano Corn!


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March 31, 2018, 12:42:11 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

Do you think 7-11 will ever run a lightning node?
yefi
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March 31, 2018, 12:42:28 AM

It's ok, I paid an average of just under $100 each for them.

Yeah, if I fucked up like that, I'd want Bitcoin to die too.
xhomerx10
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Go! BTC Go!


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March 31, 2018, 12:44:48 AM

Okay, we need a diversion from this weekend's FUD.  



 Check it out - http://www.normalbooks.io/
It's supposed to be available next week at Amazon.  Now why would somebody release such a book knowing that crypto is dead?  Roll Eyes

Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 12:47:32 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

Do you think 7-11 will ever run a lightning node?

In the future meat space retail will be under constant attack from roaming gangs of decentralized delivery drones. They will have store drones to defend them.
All drones will run on LN.
HairyMaclairy
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March 31, 2018, 12:48:25 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

Do you think 7-11 will ever run a lightning node?

Why not?  It will be a piece of hardware that sits on the counter no different from a credit card scanner.
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 12:56:35 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

Do you think 7-11 will ever run a lightning node?

Why not?  It will be a piece of hardware that sits on the counter no different from a credit card scanner.

You don't share Peter Todd's skepticism then
http://bitcoinist.com/peter-todd-warns-lightning-network/

“As for the Lightning protocol, I’m willing to predict it’ll prove to be vulnerable to DoS attacks in it’s (sic) current incarnation, both at the P2P and blockchain level,” Todd meanwhile predicted.

“While bad politics, focusing on centralized hub-and-spoke payment channels first would have been much simpler.”
yefi
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March 31, 2018, 01:04:56 AM

AMA

Can I live in your butt as a parasitic worm and drill bloody fistulas through your body? (David Blaine would be jealous.)
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 01:08:09 AM

AMA

Can I live in your butt as a parasitic worm and drill bloody fistulas through your body? (David Blaine would be jealous.)

My guts are full of pus and vinegar. You wouldn't be comfortable, and I would feel responsible.

But yeah, ok.
TERA2
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Deb Rah Von Doom


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March 31, 2018, 01:12:55 AM

I dont care what BTC does right now. I just want ETH to die and its following BTC.
jojo69
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1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


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March 31, 2018, 01:13:26 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

It's because you are not who you claim you are


What do you think of young Trudeau?
Biodom
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March 31, 2018, 01:15:22 AM
Last edit: April 01, 2018, 07:04:03 AM by Biodom
Merited by bitebits (1), Last of the V8s (1)

On bull and bear in btc...

There were too few bull/bear markets in btc, but assuming that average bull bear in btc is at least similar to stock markets, here is an interesting snippet:

One source indicates that stock bull averages 97mo while bear 18 mo, while another source states 31 mo bull and 10 mo bear, yet a third one says that average bull lasted 48mo and bear 14 mo.
A have no idea why the numbers vary so much, maybe because of underlying methodology (pretty much all counted since 1925-1930 until today).

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertlenzner/2015/01/02/bull-markets-last-five-times-longer-than-bear-markets/
https://www.ftportfolios.com/Common/ContentFileLoader.aspx?ContentGUID=4ecfa978-d0bb-4924-92c8-628ff9bfe12d
https://paulmerriman.com/22-things-know-bear-markets/
https://www.mackenzieinvestments.com/en/assets/documents/marketingmaterials/mm-bull-bear-markets-sp500-en.pdf

Entry points:

31 and 10
48 and 14
108 and 16.8
97 and 18

If, for simplification purposes, we ignore the duration and just focus on bull/bear ratio, then we get bull/bear duration (proportion) at 3.1, 3.42, 5.38 and 6.43.

Applying these numbers back to the prior bitcoin bull that lasted approx 35mo (which is very similar to the first two aforementioned stock market bulls, incidentally), then 3.1 ratio would give us 11.3mo bear, 3.42-10.2 mo, 5.38-6.5 mo and the last 5.44 mo bear.
That said, the latter corresponds to a very long bull, which we did not have; ours was more like the first two.
5.44 mo from Dec 16 is the end of May, which is most optimistic with October-Nov of 2018 fitting data a bit better

TL;DR this model suggests a 5.44-11.3 mo long bear, which indicates bear lasting until May 30-Nov 24, 2018.
Rosewater Foundation
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March 31, 2018, 01:15:31 AM

My attempts to have my identity verified were unsuccessful, I'm still here. Total failure to capitulate. AMA

It's because you are not who you claim you are

It's true. Bitfinex thinks I'm BlatchMajorCornstaff. I don't even remember that.
I've created a tangled mess here


What do you think of young Trudeau?

I'm not aware of politics. Per se
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