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Author Topic: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread  (Read 129145 times)
tokeweed
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October 07, 2022, 06:30:00 PM
 #8561

^  What do you mean the Wolves 'won't go blank'?  They'll be able to get at least a goal in vs Chelsea?  Dunno about that.  The Wolves haven't gotten a goal in 5 of their last 7 matches and Chelsea on the other hand have been winning in their last 7 home matches.  I think we're gonna see something like a 2 - 0, 3 - 0 score line or something.

But yeah, I could be wrong.  I'm just looking at all the stuff that's been happening this season. 

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.

R


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October 07, 2022, 07:35:37 PM
 #8562

^  What do you mean the Wolves 'won't go blank'?  They'll be able to get at least a goal in vs Chelsea?  Dunno about that.  The Wolves haven't gotten a goal in 5 of their last 7 matches and Chelsea on the other hand have been winning in their last 7 home matches.  I think we're gonna see something like a 2 - 0, 3 - 0 score line or something.

But yeah, I could be wrong.  I'm just looking at all the stuff that's been happening this season.  

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.

And every club/player that has gone blank for a while always breaks it against Chelsea it's now norms, and with Fofana out of the team, Potter may likely go with Chalobah or Apzi to pair with Silva since he's not a big fan of Koulibaly and with Kepa in the goal there is no way we keep a clean sheet against wolves. They are always causing us problems, and now Diago Costa is coming to Stanford Bridge to prove himself to us.

BTTS + Over 2.5 are good options for both games. That's about 3+ odd. Value bet.

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October 07, 2022, 08:15:24 PM
 #8563

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.
Honestly, the only concern I have with that bet is the fact I'm not overly confident on Liverpool actually scoring. We've struggled against lesser sides, and I feel Arsenal might be a little too organised for us at the back. If we haven't improved on our defense, or confidence whatever is plaguing our defenders right now, it could easily be a demolition job by Arsenal.

They've been playing sleek football all season, while we've been pretty much at our worst in several years. Especially in that back line. Whether or not Nunez can start his career up once again with us remains to be seen.

Salah hasn't been his usual self, Jota is coming back form injury, Diaz is definitely dangerous, and Bobby seems to have picked up some goal scoring form as of recent games. So, if we were to score it'd likely be one of those.
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October 08, 2022, 08:30:48 AM
 #8564

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.
Honestly, the only concern I have with that bet is the fact I'm not overly confident on Liverpool actually scoring. We've struggled against lesser sides, and I feel Arsenal might be a little too organised for us at the back. If we haven't improved on our defense, or confidence whatever is plaguing our defenders right now, it could easily be a demolition job by Arsenal.

They've been playing sleek football all season, while we've been pretty much at our worst in several years. Especially in that back line. Whether or not Nunez can start his career up once again with us remains to be seen.

Salah hasn't been his usual self, Jota is coming back form injury, Diaz is definitely dangerous, and Bobby seems to have picked up some goal scoring form as of recent games. So, if we were to score it'd likely be one of those.

Really strange to find myself agreeing with you here. We have scored in every single game this season except Eveton. And we did have two setpiece goals last game, and also recall we won the last EPL game from a corner. Open goal beauties have been hard to come by if not for Diaz heroics and Bobby rennaisance.

So BTTS should be a no brainer but I would rather risk a straight bet on Liverpool win. We need to get October on track, and if they are going to surprise me with a win, I want full value.


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October 08, 2022, 08:50:57 AM
 #8565

^  What do you mean the Wolves 'won't go blank'?  They'll be able to get at least a goal in vs Chelsea?  Dunno about that.  The Wolves haven't gotten a goal in 5 of their last 7 matches and Chelsea on the other hand have been winning in their last 7 home matches.  I think we're gonna see something like a 2 - 0, 3 - 0 score line or something.

But yeah, I could be wrong.  I'm just looking at all the stuff that's been happening this season. 

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.

I have predicted a clean sheet for Chelsea in this game,I doubt Wolves has the power to score against them,I saw them in Champions League and they dominated the game and they were also great defensively.As you say Wolves have a lot of difficulty in scoring goals so most likely the best bet in this game is Chelsea to win and with a clean sheet to add to the odds substantially.I know this won't be easy as we are in the Premier League here and goals happen more than they don't but I see Wolves as a struggling team.

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October 08, 2022, 09:50:12 AM
 #8566

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.
Honestly, the only concern I have with that bet is the fact I'm not overly confident on Liverpool actually scoring. We've struggled against lesser sides, and I feel Arsenal might be a little too organised for us at the back. If we haven't improved on our defense, or confidence whatever is plaguing our defenders right now, it could easily be a demolition job by Arsenal.

They've been playing sleek football all season, while we've been pretty much at our worst in several years. Especially in that back line. Whether or not Nunez can start his career up once again with us remains to be seen.

Salah hasn't been his usual self, Jota is coming back form injury, Diaz is definitely dangerous, and Bobby seems to have picked up some goal scoring form as of recent games. So, if we were to score it'd likely be one of those.

Really strange to find myself agreeing with you here. We have scored in every single game this season except Eveton. And we did have two setpiece goals last game, and also recall we won the last EPL game from a corner. Open goal beauties have been hard to come by if not for Diaz heroics and Bobby rennaisance.

So BTTS should be a no brainer but I would rather risk a straight bet on Liverpool win. We need to get October on track, and if they are going to surprise me with a win, I want full value.
BTTS for me here as well. I wouldn't worry about Liverpool not scoring, their attack works fine, defense is the problematic part. Just the way I like it when I play BTTS, I will go even further and probably play "both to score in both halves" if I find that market anywhere. Stake used to have them and you can build it yourself on Sportsbet. Should pay out about 9 for this game.

Wolves are best chance for Chelsea clean sheet IMHO. They are good at the back but they are total shit going forward and you can't change that in short period of time. Too make it even worse Pedro Neto is injured and will probably miss WC as well.

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October 08, 2022, 10:45:39 AM
 #8567

^  What do you mean the Wolves 'won't go blank'?  They'll be able to get at least a goal in vs Chelsea?  Dunno about that.  The Wolves haven't gotten a goal in 5 of their last 7 matches and Chelsea on the other hand have been winning in their last 7 home matches.  I think we're gonna see something like a 2 - 0, 3 - 0 score line or something.

But yeah, I could be wrong.  I'm just looking at all the stuff that's been happening this season. 

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.

I have predicted a clean sheet for Chelsea in this game,I doubt Wolves has the power to score against them,I saw them in Champions League and they dominated the game and they were also great defensively.As you say Wolves have a lot of difficulty in scoring goals so most likely the best bet in this game is Chelsea to win and with a clean sheet to add to the odds substantially.I know this won't be easy as we are in the Premier League here and goals happen more than they don't but I see Wolves as a struggling team.

Well i think that Chelsea will concede at least one goal in this match they showed in last match only against Milan that they can play well and i dont think they can keep another clean sheet. I picked 2-1 for Chelsea because i think wolves can score at least one in this match.

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October 08, 2022, 03:21:09 PM
 #8568

Betting-wise, I'll fully skip the Arsenal - Liverpool game. Gun to my head, I'd pick Arsenal - they are playing at home and are an inform team at the moment.

However - LFC found it relatively easy to deal with Arsenal in recent years. That was due to the fact that our pressing actually worked and we had a lot of easy chances due to their inability to play through us from the back. Our pressing game is not on a high level this year - and if we let them play, we'll be in all sorts of problems.

For the first time in many years, I'm actually dreading the game vs Arsenal.

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October 08, 2022, 05:48:42 PM
 #8569

^  What do you mean the Wolves 'won't go blank'?  They'll be able to get at least a goal in vs Chelsea?  Dunno about that.  The Wolves haven't gotten a goal in 5 of their last 7 matches and Chelsea on the other hand have been winning in their last 7 home matches.  I think we're gonna see something like a 2 - 0, 3 - 0 score line or something.

But yeah, I could be wrong.  I'm just looking at all the stuff that's been happening this season. 

Anyway, what do you think of Arsenal vs Liverpool BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.85 or something...  Seems like an easy bet.  I fancy it could go 2 - 2.

I have predicted a clean sheet for Chelsea in this game,I doubt Wolves has the power to score against them,I saw them in Champions League and they dominated the game and they were also great defensively.As you say Wolves have a lot of difficulty in scoring goals so most likely the best bet in this game is Chelsea to win and with a clean sheet to add to the odds substantially.I know this won't be easy as we are in the Premier League here and goals happen more than they don't but I see Wolves as a struggling team.

Well i think that Chelsea will concede at least one goal in this match they showed in last match only against Milan that they can play well and i dont think they can keep another clean sheet. I picked 2-1 for Chelsea because i think wolves can score at least one in this match.

I had picked 2-0 and damn how mad I was seeing that late 90 minute goal as 3-0 for Chelsea ruining my correct prediction.I was fully convinced them to keep a clean sheet because Wolves have been several weeks without scoring a single goal even against much weaker teams than Chelsea so it was natural for them not to score against a strong team like Chelsea.It looks like the impact of the new coach is starting to show here in the Chelsea team little by little by their recent results.

I will not talk about my performance in the pool like I did in the previous year but just keep seeing green arrows which I am seeing from a couple of weeks.

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October 08, 2022, 07:10:24 PM
 #8570

Should be pleased with the way the day went, only annoyed Leicester took an early lead and then proceeded to gift the game. Frustrating team, that one, didn't watch match but Bournemouth probably couldn't believe their fortune playing a side that just won majestically.

BTTS for me here as well. I wouldn't worry about Liverpool not scoring, their attack works fine, defense is the problematic part. Just the way I like it when I play BTTS, I will go even further and probably play "both to score in both halves" if I find that market anywhere. Stake used to have them and you can build it yourself on Sportsbet. Should pay out about 9 for this game.

Wolves are best chance for Chelsea clean sheet IMHO. They are good at the back but they are total shit going forward and you can't change that in short period of time. Too make it even worse Pedro Neto is injured and will probably miss WC as well.

Only thing is 1.5 is the lowest BTTS I've seen in a long time, but yeah, both teams scoring (doesn't matter how I guess) responsible for that.

I recall hilarious talking about BTTS both halves a common option in Skybet, but yeah, don't ever recall myself seeing that kind of market unless you're into Betbuilder but the odds aren't valuable in BB I find -- as en example: BTTS both halves + Arsenal over 9.5 booking points = 5/1. Truly bad value... (sorry Sportsbet but Betbuilder really drags it down).

For the first time in many years, I'm actually dreading the game vs Arsenal.

I want these games usually, and the one vs City, because it's the perfect way to pick yourself up and cut the gap. But yeah, even if we win these 2 games, I'm actually more wary of the others.

That Community Shield performance seems so, so far away.

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October 08, 2022, 08:04:20 PM
 #8571

BTTS for me here as well. I wouldn't worry about Liverpool not scoring, their attack works fine, defense is the problematic part. Just the way I like it when I play BTTS, I will go even further and probably play "both to score in both halves" if I find that market anywhere. Stake used to have them and you can build it yourself on Sportsbet. Should pay out about 9 for this game.
~

Only thing is 1.5 is the lowest BTTS I've seen in a long time, but yeah, both teams scoring (doesn't matter how I guess) responsible for that.
~

In the game Bayern Munich - Barcelona BTTS No was quoted more than 3. Now it's only 2.56, and apparently this is a bet with an edge, but very small. I would bet if the odds were closer to 2.8 or higher. Liverpool are still weak in attack (rule out the Bournemouth game and see) and Arsenal are good in defense so I'm not sure if Liverpool can score at least one goal tomorrow.

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October 08, 2022, 08:08:41 PM
 #8572

~snip
For the first time in many years, I'm actually dreading the game vs Arsenal.

I want these games usually, and the one vs City, because it's the perfect way to pick yourself up and cut the gap. But yeah, even if we win these 2 games, I'm actually more wary of the others.


shit, am I the only one thinking that neighbors will not give up easily?
Arsenal won over Tottenham, but they are yet to prove that they are capable to win over top EPL teams, United beat them for god sake, and done that with ease

with all said, I am waiting for Sunday, 8:00 PM (is that a new time schedule for EPL?), maybe we can beat United, best defense in the league so far, just to stretch attack a bit
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October 08, 2022, 08:39:09 PM
 #8573

Betting-wise, I'll fully skip the Arsenal - Liverpool game. Gun to my head, I'd pick Arsenal - they are playing at home and are an inform team at the moment.

However - LFC found it relatively easy to deal with Arsenal in recent years. That was due to the fact that our pressing actually worked and we had a lot of easy chances due to their inability to play through us from the back. Our pressing game is not on a high level this year - and if we let them play, we'll be in all sorts of problems.

For the first time in many years, I'm actually dreading the game vs Arsenal.

The game is a two-headed sworded, logically you'd give Arsenal every chance to make something of the game, but with Liverpool you really just can't write them off, I'm definitelly sitting this one out too, It could 1-1 be and it could be a riot for all we know, but the odds for Liverpool looks really tempting and of huge value, if I'm to chase value.

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October 09, 2022, 08:10:18 AM
 #8574

Right, I made up my mind. Going big on Liverpool at almost 3/1. Harkorede's right, it's value. When was the last time a 90% full Liverpool squad were the slight underdogs against Arsenal?

Definitely thinking with my heart but hear me out.

Here's why I think it's amazing value:
- Thiago and Hendo are back in the team, alongside Fabinho. Not their sharpest or fittest as we could see in the last game, but they'll get there
- TAA had a problem with Martinelli, and the media thinks he is terrible. They're wrong. Yes, his mistakes have directly lead to 2 goals already this season, but his aggression up the pitch: chances created, stealing possessions, and even shots on goal are at his highest in any season so far.
- Interestingly, the team is in 10 games so far allowed the least opponent possession in our final third. This actually means that Klopp's high line, forward pressing is performing at its very best.
- The problem? In seasons past, we have Fabinho sweeping up whatever comes through, VVD closing off whatever trickles past, and Alisson the final line on 1v1. We haven't had a fully fit Fabinho yet, VVD is in the worst form of his career. That is the problem media is shifting on to TAA.

So between VVD, Fabinho, Salah, Jota, Thiago, Nunez -- there are at least 6 big game players yet to get into gear. Surely this match, if even 2 of them find a way to switch on, we benefit. VVD and Fabinho? We plug the leak. Jota/Thiago? We finally get good service in addition to Trent. Nunez/Salah? We smack in goals.

with all said, I am waiting for Sunday, 8:00 PM (is that a new time schedule for EPL?), maybe we can beat United, best defense in the league so far, just to stretch attack a bit

I've got a bit of money against United and I'll probably add a bit more to it if other earlier results go my way; that's big coming from a Liverpool supporter... unless you believe I'm a jinx heh heh.

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October 09, 2022, 10:37:20 AM
 #8575

Four games today:

Crystal Palace vs Leeds
West Ham vs Fulham
Arsenal vs LFC
Everton vs Man Utd

I must admit I am not looking forward to watch my teams game Grin
I will of course watch it though, at least I might get some points in our pool for that game. I went for 3-1 Gunners, I just don’t see how we get out of there with any points.

I only scored 5.5 points yesterday, hope to do better today.

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October 09, 2022, 12:22:17 PM
Last edit: October 09, 2022, 01:10:15 PM by tokeweed
 #8576

^  I got 2 - 2.  It could be the kind of match when Liverpool plays to the same intensity of their opponent.  They might be in a rut but I don't think they're mentally done.  They know they got a good squad and they def know they got a good manager in Klopp.  I like the BTTS and over 2.5 goals combo here.

And Mtrovic isn't playing vs West Ham and he isn't on the bench either.  Just made a small bet for West Ham clean sheet at 2.30 for fun.  Grin

Edit:  WTF!?  Fk u hammers.

R


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October 09, 2022, 01:15:00 PM
 #8577

Right, I made up my mind. Going big on Liverpool at almost 3/1. Harkorede's right, it's value. When was the last time a 90% full Liverpool squad were the slight underdogs against Arsenal?
~

Arsenal play at home + the main team got a rest as Arsenal played the game against Boude-Glimt with the reserves. And this is not remembering the position of the teams in the standings. It seems to me that Arsenal is the favorite in this match, and if we talk about value bets, it is Arsenal that is underestimated. I could be wrong, but it seems to me that today there will be either a productive draw or a convincing victory for Arsenal, like 3-1.

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October 09, 2022, 01:34:11 PM
 #8578

Right, I made up my mind. Going big on Liverpool at almost 3/1. Harkorede's right, it's value. When was the last time a 90% full Liverpool squad were the slight underdogs against Arsenal?
~

Arsenal play at home + the main team got a rest as Arsenal played the game against Boude-Glimt with the reserves. And this is not remembering the position of the teams in the standings. It seems to me that Arsenal is the favorite in this match, and if we talk about value bets, it is Arsenal that is underestimated. I could be wrong, but it seems to me that today there will be either a productive draw or a convincing victory for Arsenal, like 3-1.

In this type of game of course the standings are completely irrelevant as we both know how good these teams are in terms of Premier League football.Liverpool comes here with a win against Rangers while Arsenal against a weaker team like Bodo/Glimt in the Europa League.

Both teams should be playing for the win tonight and that can end as a draw but one thing I think it is going to be sure and that will also be my bet for this game,is both teams to score yes because Liverpool attacks work well the same as Arsenal but both teams lacks in defending.

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October 09, 2022, 03:25:11 PM
 #8579

Arsenal play at home + the main team got a rest as Arsenal played the game against Boude-Glimt with the reserves. And this is not remembering the position of the teams in the standings. It seems to me that Arsenal is the favorite in this match, and if we talk about value bets, it is Arsenal that is underestimated. I could be wrong, but it seems to me that today there will be either a productive draw or a convincing victory for Arsenal, like 3-1.
It's a bit concerning that they've been conceding goals at home though and maybe that's why bookies underestimate Arsenal even though they're looking great so far, and I also agree with Harkorede, Liverpool could switch up anytime.

Anyway, I just hope Arsenal gets the win at the end so i'd get my second slam point for this round.  Grin

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October 09, 2022, 03:48:05 PM
 #8580

Arsenal play at home + the main team got a rest as Arsenal played the game against Boude-Glimt with the reserves. And this is not remembering the position of the teams in the standings. It seems to me that Arsenal is the favorite in this match, and if we talk about value bets, it is Arsenal that is underestimated. I could be wrong, but it seems to me that today there will be either a productive draw or a convincing victory for Arsenal, like 3-1.
It's a bit concerning that they've been conceding goals at home though and maybe that's why bookies underestimate Arsenal even though they're looking great so far, and I also agree with Harkorede, Liverpool could switch up anytime.

Anyway, I just hope Arsenal gets the win at the end so i'd get my second slam point for this round.  Grin

They already started with an early goal against Liverpool which shows just how concentrated and prepared for the title fight they are,they don't care who is the opponent,they start playing their football like it is their last game and the points are coming their way,I know it is early but as they say the sun can be spotted since early in the morning.

I believe to get a couple of slam points as so far I have found the 1 x 2 correctly in every game except the Bournemouth one so I am expecting at least a slam point,they help really big if we are persistent enough in getting enough of them during the season.

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