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1461  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping / change of owership / refunds etc. on: January 13, 2013, 04:35:21 PM
So I've noticed something about the flow of the BTC refunds that did show up, which makes me think that the funds were never in fact converted to USD.
This is irrelevant. The price of the product (to buyers, and on the material end) is USD. If Tom or BTCFPGA decided to take the risk of keeping the income in Bitcoin, that risk - and any potential gains/losses - is his.

True.  I'm just pointing out that they appear to never have been converted, contrary to some opinions.

I know this is based on some conjecture, but I think the evidence looks highly suspicious.  I think it's quite likely that those 500 BTC were from customer funds, or that he had everything mixed together (inappropriately).
I think it is highly likely he had everything mixed together - but why is this automatically assumed to be inappropriate? MtGox certainly stores all the user balances together, and bitcoind does so even if you have separate accounts setup. Perhaps ideally, things might be different, but that doesn't change the reality or realistic expectations.

I dunno, I don't think it's too appropriate to keep business and personal funds mixed together in the same account in these kind of large amounts.  Maybe you disagree.

I concede that I'm guilty of the same when it comes to my tiny USD-based business.  But I don't hold massive amounts of pre-order funds.  The risk is all mine.
1462  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Maybe everyone here will learn a lesson about pre-orders on: January 13, 2013, 04:25:18 PM
I saw the writing on the wall and knew this shit was going to get ugly. I was supposed to actually help Tom put the units together. We had phone calls and numerous communications. Then the communication got slower and the delays started. Something didn't smell right.

I'm kind of embarrassed that I waited as long as I did to request a refund.  I feel like I just *barely* made it out unscathed (aside from missing out on ~20% gain in BTC value).

In retrospect, the hosting plan announcement should have been enough evidence for me to decide to get out.  It said 3 words about the product, and the rest was diversion.

There were many small signs before that too.

FWIW, the hosting thing is my brainchild and was not meant as a diversion.  I just thought we were close enough to a ship date that it could be announced.  Tom actually announced it ahead of me - there were still details left to be worked out. 

I still see it as a good potential business and may yet offer it as a service - that is if my credibility isn't totally shot with this crowd  Undecided

That makes sense.  I'm more talking about the way the announcement itself was written, to avoid any attention on the product, and misdirect attention onto the hosting service, with bold ALL CAPS proclamations that it as THE REAL DEAL, and such.

It may still be a viable service (though it's not for me).  Unfortunately, if you do it, I think you'll be hosting something other than bASICs, since I don't think that bASIC will ever come to exist now.
1463  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping / change of owership / refunds etc. on: January 13, 2013, 04:14:43 PM
So I've noticed something about the flow of the BTC refunds that did show up, which makes me think that the funds were never in fact converted to USD.

I first paid 93.8326 BTC to 1CpZJF9jwbR3SZmk4i6HaPfp59VPpXAcP5 for my later order #1678 in this transaction:

http://blockchain.info/tx/4cff94125296a7d6e8a86e9ddc7681f2bfd203ea006e0dfa64edc3269a5e936b

A couple hours later the funds get swept into 19Ysizrie7XAGcqSTzhCTsMTuUaFU1hCEa, which seems a main BTCFPGA address.

Much later, my refund paid to 1upLmz8yxpzKCDpBGyVzu1Lv6vox7PMuQ gets paid from this same 19Ysiz address.

If you look up MichaelBliss's refund request address, 1CVmb947c2kGmQcQTjJFWAxMGRmEuLnnfW, you will see that a large part of his refund also came from the 19Ysiz address.

Now here's the bad part:

Remember Tom's 500 BTC bet that bASIC would ship in March?

So - Tipsy Tom instead of processing timely refunds is placing bets on his failures:

Quote
500 BTC of my Own coin says these units will be released by March
« on: Today at 12:06:34 PM »
just putting my money where my mouth is


http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1138


Pathetic

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:Ah3W7i9L8GMJ:https://www.btcfpga.com/forum/index.php%3Ftopic%3D1039.0+http://betsofbitco.in/item%3Fid%3D1138&cd=4&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us&client=safari

10-Jan 7:51 AM, 500.00 BTC move out of the 19Ysiz account: http://blockchain.info/tx/c290b3d26e5344b0dfc7545b083cc9d28aa607237e11fa7543287841464ee4de

10-Jan 12:06 PM (after some confirmations) Tom announces the 500 BTC bet made with "my Own coin"

I know this is based on some conjecture, but I think the evidence looks highly suspicious.  I think it's quite likely that those 500 BTC were from customer funds, or that he had everything mixed together (inappropriately).

The statement is not yet available for betting.  Maybe Dave intervened and had BoB not approve the bet and hold the funds or something.  Or maybe BoB staff themselves are watching what's going on and decided to do the same.
1464  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Maybe everyone here will learn a lesson about pre-orders on: January 13, 2013, 05:23:19 AM
I saw the writing on the wall and knew this shit was going to get ugly. I was supposed to actually help Tom put the units together. We had phone calls and numerous communications. Then the communication got slower and the delays started. Something didn't smell right.

I'm kind of embarrassed that I waited as long as I did to request a refund.  I feel like I just *barely* made it out unscathed (aside from missing out on ~20% gain in BTC value).

In retrospect, the hosting plan announcement should have been enough evidence for me to decide to get out.  It said 3 words about the product, and the rest was diversion.

There were many small signs before that too.
1465  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping till end of March on: January 13, 2013, 03:46:03 AM
Poor Tom.  I hope he comes through this OK.  It sounds like he's in a bad place.

I think the business is lost.  I hope he can keep his family.
1466  Bitcoin / Hardware / [Archive] BFL trolling museum on: January 13, 2013, 03:44:19 AM
A month to ship 300 units?  Why would it take them that long?

I bet all 300 will be shipped within a week.
1467  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping till end of March on: January 13, 2013, 03:09:31 AM
Wow.  I count myself lucky to have escaped with a refund, paying only the currency depreciation.

https://www.btcfpga.com/forum/index.php?topic=1041.msg3093
1468  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping till end of March on: January 12, 2013, 09:36:04 PM
I don't know about trusting them to deliver ASICs on time if ever, but I think you can still trust them to give your refund, for now.

They refunded my BTC order, which took a few days.  BTC is of course faster than the CC system.

If I held a CC order at this point, I wouldn't do a chargeback yet.
1469  Bitcoin / Hardware / [Archive] BFL trolling museum on: January 12, 2013, 07:09:02 PM
Sonny is now a free man who has repaid his debts to society.

What about the ~$20m he scammed from his mail fraud victims that was never recovered?  I doubt that's been repaid.
1470  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: January 12, 2013, 04:32:15 PM
Will tracking numbers be shown on the website order status page or be emailed to customers when they ship?

Well I hope so.

The day it's to arrive I plan to take off from work to receive it in case it requires a signature.
1471  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: January 12, 2013, 05:47:41 AM
Will tracking numbers be shown on the website order status page or be emailed to customers when they ship?
1472  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping till end of March on: January 11, 2013, 11:45:56 PM
If they would begin refunding some orders, it would probably do a lot to restore ppls confidence and stem the tide of requests.  Some may even un-cancel.  Even refunding 5% of the outstanding requests would do something to get the word out.

I suggest they start with mine, #726, #1678, and #1786.  I requested them about an hour before the "new chinese year year" post, so I expect it's one of the earlier ones in the queue (which I hope is a FIFO).

Tom and Dave, if you refund me, I promise I'll post about it here.  kthx.

Edit: So y'all can watch along at home, my refund request address is: 1upLmz8yxpzKCDpBGyVzu1Lv6vox7PMuQ  I'm expecting a refund in the amount of $2199.98.

Edit: I do see that Dave emailed me about 3 hours ago asking for clarification.  Replied just now.

I don't normally read or post here but I did want to check in.  Bogart your refund is on the list for tomorrow.  This list is going to Tom *and* a new team member who is on a plane right now to go assist Tom.

Received it today.  Two payments of 32.2861 BTC, and 122.52 BTC.  At the current mtgox price of $14.24, that's $2204.43.  I'm satisfied.

Thanks Dave and Tom.
1473  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: January 10, 2013, 10:57:19 PM
When will general sales start?

I do believe that no more are planned to be produced (or even available to pre-order I think) until after the Chinese New Year.
1474  Bitcoin / Hardware / [Archive] BFL trolling museum on: January 10, 2013, 10:55:53 PM
If the chips haven't been paid for, and there really isn't enough money to get them finished, they'd be in a situation where...

I'm getting an uneasy feeling about this.  What if all the ASICs end up in one set of hands?  A set of hands with very deep fiat pockets...

yes, a 51% attack is coming...  Cool the United Nations (http://www.un.org/en/ecosoc/) will shut down Bitcoin because to much people buys Shit on SilkRoad...  Cool

SR is nothing but a useful distraction.  The real threat is to the established fiat system(s).
1475  Bitcoin / Hardware / [Archive] BFL trolling museum on: January 10, 2013, 10:45:34 PM
CES interview with Josh from Butterfly Labs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ZUPniBo5UQ

Pay attention to the micro expression before saying that "shipping" products, looks down and pauses ...

Good catch.  He also stutters a bit at that point, while he talked pretty smoothly for the rest of the interview.

I don't think it means much though.  All I see is that he's embarrassed that they have yet to ship any of their products that he personally "honest abe" said they would be shipping in October.

I'd be embarrassed too.

If anything, I think it shows that he is not in fact soulless.
1476  Bitcoin / Hardware / [Archive] BFL trolling museum on: January 10, 2013, 10:37:20 PM
If the chips haven't been paid for, and there really isn't enough money to get them finished, they'd be in a situation where...

...in a situation where they need a bailout!  Much like another vendor.

I'm getting an uneasy feeling about this.  What if all the ASICs end up in one set of hands?  A set of hands with very deep fiat pockets...
1477  Bitcoin / Hardware / [Archive] BFL trolling museum on: January 10, 2013, 10:25:33 PM

Yes.  Full Custom is another step more difficult still.  On that chart I guess the risk would read "Very high".  Same for the NRE, and probably Development Span too.


Full Custom: This is similar to a Normal ASIC, except that you have the flexability to design down to the transistor level (or below). If you need to do analog design, super low power, super high performance, or anything that can't be done in a Normal ASIC, then this is the thing for you.

Pro's: This requires a very specialized set of talents to do properly. Performance is great.

Con's: Same con's as Normal ASIC, only more so. Odds of screwing something up is much higher.
1478  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping till end of March on: January 10, 2013, 10:17:36 PM
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1128 - bASIC will not ship ASIC products in 2013
I don't get the point of these ridiculous betsofbitcoin. I really have to tie up my Bitcoins for 11 months just to prove a point one way or the other? I'd rather bet with my wallet and order some damn ASICs, and in 11 months we'll see who's laughing.
You think that's bad? Look at some of the ones that end in 3 or 5 years.
Mm hmm.  If you bet on such a statement, consider the risk that BoB may not be around by the time it ends.
1479  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping till end of March on: January 10, 2013, 10:02:51 PM
If they would begin refunding some orders, it would probably do a lot to restore ppls confidence and stem the tide of requests.  Some may even un-cancel.  Even refunding 5% of the outstanding requests would do something to get the word out.

I suggest they start with mine, #726, #1678, and #1786.  I requested them about an hour before the "new chinese year year" post, so I expect it's one of the earlier ones in the queue (which I hope is a FIFO).

Tom and Dave, if you refund me, I promise I'll post about it here.  kthx.

Edit: So y'all can watch along at home, my refund request address is: 1upLmz8yxpzKCDpBGyVzu1Lv6vox7PMuQ  I'm expecting a refund in the amount of $2199.98.

Edit: I do see that Dave emailed me about 3 hours ago asking for clarification.  Replied just now.
1480  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bASIC not shipping till end of March on: January 10, 2013, 09:59:22 PM
So - Tipsy Tom instead of processing timely refunds is placing bets on his failures:

Quote
500 BTC of my Own coin says these units will be released by March
« on: Today at 12:06:34 PM »
just putting my money where my mouth is


http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1138


Pathetic
Why does this remind me of a scam that happened a little while ago?

EDIT: Link doesn't work? :/

BoB staff have not yet approved the statement for betting, so only the submitter (cablepair) can view it, while logged in.

In the meantime:

http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1116 - bASIC mining devices will not ship before April 2013
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1128 - bASIC will not ship ASIC products in 2013
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