First of all, I must say that you should not be upset because multi-bets with a total odds of 22 are won very rarely, no matter what “logical” outcomes they consist of.

In general, I agree with your analysis of the Inter - Sociedad game, but I note that the point is not only about Inter, but also about the fact that Sociedad are quite strong. Another question is why Inter played so carefully and why they didn’t go all in (after all, qualification from at least second place was already guaranteed) and didn’t try to win even at the cost of the risk of losing.

Copenhagen and Galatasaray, on the one hand, surprised with their low performance, but on the other hand, it was a typical “game of death.” Therefore, the one who scored first was only concerned with not losing the advantage.

Now I will comment on the other three games. Napoli - Braga, there are no questions here, I made a forecast with a final score of 2-0 because I was sure that Napoli would win convincingly. Here are the other two games, you guessed the result, but I would say that there was a lot of luck here - both Real and Bayern did not have any tournament tasks in these meetings, and the opponents had maximum motivation to win. Both games were away games. Real Madrid have most of their main squad injured. It would be logical to expect that either there or there could at least be a draw.

In general, I can say that in some picks you were lucky, in others you were not, but in general there are no anomalies in the results, just normal fluctuations.

A strange question for a crypto forum, I would consider this topic suitable for forums about relationships or the like.

Firstly, here you can replace gambling with anything: any hobby, even any job that requires attention more than 8 hours a day, business, building a career, etc. Both spouses can do this (even at this stage, serious time management and separation of priorities are already necessary) and when children appear, they again must find a balance between all activities since there are only 24 hours in a day and you cannot help but pay attention to children, which means a waste time for certain activities should be reduced.

Secondly, these are purely personal issues and there cannot be universal advice here. In some couples, the husband may give up his hobby/career for the sake of his wife, or vice versa, in some couples one of the spouses would rather get divorced than give up his job/hobby. All options are normal if two people agreed in this way (even if it’s a divorce haha). There are many relationships that suit those who are in them, but for example they would not suit you, but what difference does it make if you look at it from the outside? There's nothing to discuss here.

Are you sure this is a Russian bookmaker? Their details are in Cyprus and being in Russia I was unable to access this site. Using VPN (through the UK) I couldn’t either. Tomorrow, with a PC and a more flexible VPN, I will try to study what they offer, but I can’t say that they look trustworthy.

After yesterday's defeat to Bayern, Ten Hag's chances of being sacked have certainly increased. And it amazes me that he seems to be deliberately adding fuel to the fire at the post-match press conference: “We played well and did not deserve to lose.” Hmm... I wonder what you can count on with just one shot on target in the entire game? Plus, one way or another, the fact that Copenhagen (!!!) qualified for the 1/8 worsens the impression of United’s failure.

The fact that United is formally not far from the top 4 does not mean that they have a chance to get there. Bookmakers estimate this probability as 1 in 8, and after the defeat to Liverpool (which I am 99% sure of) it will be something like 1 in 10. I’m not sure yet that I want to place any bets (I need to think about the odds), but it seems to me that he could be sacked after the game with Liverpool.

Зачем разработчикам вообще об этом думать? Это как раз их не должно волновать вообще так как прекрасно регулируется самим рынком - кто больше платит тот сеть и использует и размер платы определяется "как в учебнике" балансом спроса и предложения. В конце концов как платежное средство биток уже несколько лет как проиграл всем конкурентам и если он вдруг найдет свою нишу в хранении цифрового мусора типа ординалсов, то почему нет.

Если бы ублюдки разработчики хотя бы чуть-чуть думали о том чтобы биток "развивался и рос" они бы реализовывали решения по противодействию тем кто из псевдоанонимной п2п сети делает централизованную сеть с КУС и АМЛ.


Квотирование = цензурирование. Немного противоречит битковским устоям, нее?
Плюс надо отдавать себе отчёт что любой механизм цензурирование рано или поздно (думаю скорее рано в этом случае) оказывается в руках регуляторов и в итоге вы будете не "место для картинки" просить а разрешение на "сделать транзакцию" (КУС/АМЛ в комплекте).

Забрал бы конечно. А что значит нечестно? С точки зрения каких правил? Биток это игра по определённым правилам и как говориться "используя наш сервис вы соглашаетесь и бла бла бла", все максимально честно на мой взгляд.

Вот сейчас любители институционалов в битке (патамушта курс вырастет!) с удивлением узнают что им то уже надо разрешение брать на то чтоб битком пользоваться (кус/амл), но понимания что они сами к этому привели нет совсем. Я за настоящий биток: не ваши ключи - не ваши биткоины, неоткатываемые, нецензурируемые транзакции, если кому-то не нравится то пусть идёт в другие монеты/валюты, выбор очень широк.

Что касается куда потратить треть ярда _рублей, то думаю сменил бы гражданство -> реализовал бы свои 5 стартапов -> если бы хотя бы один из них выстрелил, то вывел бы 30% от того что оставил бы в битке при вытягивании такого лотерейного билета -> вложился бы в то чтобы убить биток (обнулить). Задумка как это сделать есть, продать ее особо никому не продашь, реализовывать ее сейчас опасно, а вот потом норм, можно в историю свои имя вписать.

This is too radical advice, maybe you have a specific gambling experience (and you think that it can be extended to everyone else), or you are far from gambling in general.
Explain to me how I can spend a maximum of 20 minutes on gambling if, for example, I prefer to place live bets on tennis (or football) matches? The game itself lasts much longer and if we are talking about tennis, you have to make a lot of bets to try to catch value, and if we are talking about football, then you can wait almost an hour for the right moment to bet.

Or, for example, let’s take the most popular (at least in all polls it is always in the top) game - Dice. Many people like to play here using autobetting and custom algorithms, the most popular case being martingale. Even taking into account the fact that now many casinos offer fast bets (when up to 10 bets are made per second), it sometimes takes much more than 20 minutes to enjoy the process and “catch” a loss. Especially if you bet on 1.1 and then multiply your bet tenfold after a loss, and multiply it tenfold again after two losses in a row.

It’s the same story with poker - what serious game can you play with so little time? Only some multi-tables, but ordinary players don’t like such fuss and chaos, but pros who live from this.

In general, your advice makes sense (don’t spend a lot of time on gambling, don’t get addicted to it), but there are many options when short gaming sessions are simply pointless and will not provide the required pleasure.

Of course, the casino will not pay money from its own pocket, this is a kind of cashback, but in this case for the one who attracted a new player to the casino. And this is clearly written almost everywhere I’ve seen referral programs.

As for the fact that many write that they have never received significant referral payments, you just need to understand that this is not for ordinary people, but for influencers/media personalities. If you referred a friend and he lost $100 in a casino, then let’s say you get 25-50 cents. This is a ridiculous amount and not worth doing at all. But when some influencer makes a post with his referral link, maybe thousands of people will register using it, and then even such small amounts will add up to a large one (especially if there are high rollers among these thousands).

Therefore, yes, for an ordinary person there is no point in wasting time on this, but if you are an influencer/celebrity, then your word/like is expensive and will bring profit. By the way, influencers are protected from the fact that the casino may not pay them these referral earnings - after all, everyone will hear the influencer’s word and if they speak out about such a problem, the casino will lose its reputation.

Your view of the world is too black and white. There are always shades (and gambling, by the way, is not something inherently bad) and gambling is part of most games - even football, even chess.

For example, a football player has a choice: make a long shot (probability of scoring a goal is 10%) or trick the defender and improve own position, make a short shot or give an assist (the probability of this is 15%). Which is better to choose? To some extent, this is a gambling issue. Teams employ special analysts who give advice to players (through the coach) on how best to act so that the team receives the greatest benefit.

In chess it’s the same, people are not computers and cannot count complex positions to the end, so they have a choice: for example, go to a difficult option where you can either win or lose, or go to a calm continuation of the position and with a 75% chance of getting a draw. Depending on the tournament situation, they make a decision and this is also gambling to some extent.

Now let’s take computer games that most young people play - they are all filled with gambling (and this is even if we don’t remember about loot boxes). There are also a lot of choices there, like: beat boss A and with a 1% chance of getting the legendary item A1, or beat Boss B and with a 10% chance of getting the rare item B1. The decision of these picks is also gambling.

Therefore, if we return to the first post of the topic, we can say that gambling is not an innate quality, but simply a part of real life and you just need to be able to “work” with it correctly.

For Pot B bets, yes. Another (in my opinion) anomaly caught my attention: in the games Dortmund - PSG and Newcastle - Milan, the odds for a draw are very high, 4.02 in the first case and 3.92 in the second. On average, bookmakers quote a draw as 3.5 in pairs where the teams are roughly equal and each needs a win. Isn't this the case? PSG need a win to ensure Newcastle don't overtake them. Newcastle needs a win to claim 2nd place. Dortmund needs a win to stay in first place and have an easy round of 16, and Milan can still make the top 2 too.
It seemed to me that in these pairs there is a lot of value in a bet on a draw if we are talking about a cash bet.


In the playoffs it is really difficult to seriously improve your position, but still there will be 29 games ahead, which is from 0 to 87 points, so even if someone is more successful in guessing the exact scores, then only with this can you win back 10-20 points. If you take risks and guess the wins of the underdogs/draws, then the increase in points can be even greater, in fact, many participants still have a chance.

Why did you miss Arsenal? Is 3.92 too low or do you consider them historical losers?  In general, yes, they have long been something like Tottenham, zero trophies for many years, but I see the logic in the fact that every season they are getting better and if this season they take the title, then in my opinion it will be mega logical and consistent. If we talk about losers, then Liverpool have good experience in this - they have lost the title “at the finish line” many times. Overall, I trust the bookmakers here and I think Arsenal's title is more likely than Liverpool's.

By the way, it is no longer possible to bet on the Girona title with good odds - after they beat Barcelona, the bookmakers sharply changed their opinion and now the quote is 5.88 (and before the game it was 20+ lol).


The effort required to conduct an “ideal” (and even ordinary) competition is truly enormous, so I specifically highlighted this point. But technical implementation is one thing (I still believe that everything should be automated in order to avoid subjective issues and be humane towards the organizers), but the format of the competition itself is another. It would be interesting to first come up with an “ideal” format, then you could think about how to implement it technically. I hope other participants will also suggest some ideas for improving the polls.

Несмотря на то что у вас подпись казино вы страшно далеки от темы 
Казино/буки это как раз сфера перманентного кидалова. Если отбросить топов (которые +- стабильны), то вся эта сфера состоит из проектов которые появляются -> раскручиваются -> скамятся тем или иным способом (надо заметить не всегда по своей вине, но конечному пользователю от этого не легче). Как ниже уже написали некоторые даже в закат не уходят, а продолжают скамить (пока приток средств превышает рекламу на маркетинг нафига закрываться). Самый яркий пример 1хbit который на этом форуме рекламировался.


Это не вопрос везения, уметь надо. В теннисе ставите на победу одного теннисиста в казино А, а в казино Б ставите на победу его оппонента (с учетом пропорций коэффициентов). В итоге на выходе у вас "честные" деньги. И кстати если делать грамотно, то можно даже маржу бука отыграть. Можно аналогично ставить на красное/черное (с зеро или без) в лайв рулетках.


Да, да посмеяться с кого-то всегда не грех. Над теми кто думает что "да ну этого не может быть" тоже. Ибо жизнь у нас одна и ей надо дорожить (быть осторожным).

I've heard of similar bans (where you can voluntarily ban yourself from local casinos). In my opinion, this is imbecility and shifting responsibility for oneself onto others. I wouldn’t want to do business and also keep track of the “names” of visitors - who fucking came to me on their own, but before that they banned themselves from me. What kind of nonsense is this and why should I do this and if I suddenly provide him with services, be responsible for it? If he does not control himself, then let him go to a psychiatric hospital and be treated.

Regarding this incident, what year was it? I can assume that this is definitely the case in this century (these stupid self-bans are a modern invention), so I’m not sure of the effectiveness of such actions - the guy hasn’t heard of the Internet and online gambling? If his addiction is really that strong, then he would definitely find a way to play online, besides, poker can be found everywhere on the Internet - even on YouTube there are thousands of hours of videos about poker tournaments and the like.

In general, this story does not look believable, but if we assume that it is true and this highly addicted gambler was able to end his addiction, then he did well.
But because of such idiots, life becomes harder for normal people - if there are lists of “self-banned”, then the casino must monitor them in order to prevent them from playing, and this leads to the need for a total KYC and other unpleasant things like taxes.

Hmm... I think bankroll management is a very simple thing that anyone can master either by simply accepting certain algorithms "on faith" or by watching a couple of videos on YouTube (if reading articles is too tiring).
So I would say that I'm better at the first thing. I don't have full statistics of all my bets, but I think I often find "skewed" bets where the bookmakers got it wrong and where there is more value than most average bettors.
Naturally, this doesn’t help to be in the black (you have to be honest and admit that distance and margin win over absolutely everyone), but at least I often win in polls and if we talk about the implementation of free bets, then I’m definitely in the black (I definitely won more than if I just sum up all free bets). Quite funny, but with cash bets the situation is worse because it is psychologically more difficult to be bold when making a bet when you bet your own money.

Just in case anyone wants to know how to be 100% accurate:



 
The overall odds were, of course, relatively large, but if you look at the individual outcomes, almost all of them were “reliable.” I had my doubts about Newcastle and took the double chance - how could I have expected them to lose 3-0? Other outcomes are also far from obvious. I think that if I bet on opposite outcomes, the odds would be more than 100 for sure.
I hope with this bet I have exhausted my limit of bad luck and the subsequent ones will finally work (there have already been several bets with large odds like 35 where literally one outcome separated me from victory).

Meanwhile, bookmakers have updated their title odds and City's odds have dropped dramatically:

Manchester City 1.85

Arsenal 3.92

Liverpool 4.41

Aston Villa 16.66

Now everything looks fair, much more adequate than a week earlier when City’s odds were 1.25, and even a little earlier 1.1 (by the way, isn’t this a record-breaking drop in outrights?).

As always, I’d rather believe that Newcastle’s streak will end than continue, it’s unlikely they’ve forgotten how to score goals 

Why do you consider Milan to be the favorite in the upcoming game? Newcastle have terrible results, but Milan are no better. If we take the last 10 games in all competitions, Milan have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, and Newcastle have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Almost equal results but Newcastle plays at home. Bookmakers have Newcastle as big favourites:

1.79 - 3.92 - 3.92

It turns out to be a rather piquant situation that forces PSG to play strictly to win in Dortmund. But Dortmund hardly wants to take second place in the group and get a top opponent in the 1/8, so the game will be serious.

I don’t know how this will end, but for some reason I want to make a multi-bet on the fact that both games will end in a draw. I think the final odds of 15.75 look like super value.

What an interesting coincidence: bookmakers estimate the probability of United qualifying from the group and the probability of United finishing in the top 4 in the Premier League almost the same - the odds are 8. This is approximately 12%, yes, it is not 0% and there are theoretical chances, but it seems to me that it is already possible to “reliably” say that United failed the season in the two most important competitions.
There is a game with Bayern ahead and, firstly, United is clearly not one to count on winning, and secondly, even if United wins, they will have to hope for a draw in the Copenhagen - Galatasaray game. Maybe ardent fans believe in such outcomes, but not me.
In the Premier League, the next game is against Liverpool away - it is also difficult to imagine that Liverpool, having smelled the title, will not win at home.
My prediction is that after these two games (If they are unsuccessful for United) Ten Hag will be sacked.

There is no need to correct anything in the sporting event itself, it is enough to “work” with the odds. For example, with live betting, allow the owner to place bets a couple of seconds faster than the quotes for everyone else are updated. For example, in tennis, this will give you a huge advantage, since the quotes there change significantly after each serve you win. Thus, the one who may be a little faster than the rest will hedge against them and receive a guaranteed profit. I think you can come up with a lot of tricks and secret passages in this area.
But as I wrote above, this is an absolutely pointless idea, since even if you win a little, you risk that your entire business will be destroyed if other people find out about it. And they will find out 100% because to implement such tricks you will have to involve the technical specialists of your casino in this matter, and as the proverb says, “if more than two people know about something, then everyone knows about it.”

This is the first such bright season for Gyurassi in his entire career, and given the fact that he is already 27, his contract is very different from the contracts of young or already established stars. Guirassi's compensation for premature termination of the contract is worth a ridiculous 17.5 million euros (and this termination of the contract can be activated as early as this winter). This is insignificant money for any top/near top club. The question is that if there is demand for this forward from other clubs, he will choose the club with the most favorable conditions (signing bonus + salary), so the final price can turn out to be really high.
But buying him expensive is a huge risk - just look at his stats over the years, he are pretty average (if you go by the numbers). Maybe this season many different factors have come together so that he scores a lot, but there is no guarantee that if he moves to United he will continue to do so. Even Rashford, who scored a lot last season, now barely scores at all, or Hoylund, who doesn’t seem to have scored a single goal in 12 games.

In general, before the game, the odds for Barcelona’s victory were around 1.6 and for Girona’s victory 3++. Bookmakers always take cash flow into account, so it's safe to say that people generally expected Barcelona to win.
As for Real, they beat Girona 3-0, Barcelona 2-1 (both away games), but lost to Atletico. Therefore, Real's results are not as ideal as i would like.
As for the fact that now the fight for the title will be between Renal and Girona, you are greatly exaggerating - before this game, Girona’s chances of winning the title were about 20 (that’s literally 5%). Let’s say now they grow to 15 (6.6%) - this is still very little. Real's chances were 1.5 and now they will increase a little more (since the gap over Barcelona has grown). The only interesting point for me is whether Atlético will be able to surpass Barcelona in the eyes of bookmakers? In my opinion, this would be natural - Barcelona is weak, Atletico has a game in hand and a potential +3 point advantage over Barcelona.
If we talk objectively without taking into account the size of the “brand,” then now the contenders for the title are in this order: Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, Girona.

Ну так проторенная дорожка. Я помню как в рфии (и вообще в мире) как раз под предлогом защиты детей от педофилов урезали свободу в интернете. Прекрасно прокатило.
При этом Эпштейн, со своим чудным островом, будучи в специальной камере, предназначенной для предотвращения самоубийства заключенного, как раз самоубийством жизнь и закончил  Да и вообще его самого и его помощницу судили (это стало мемом) за чайлдтраффикинг ... никому  Ну то есть они поставляли детей неким абстрактным педофилам 


Пффф... С миксерами вопрос решенный. Тренд трудно не заметить. Опять же лягушку варят медленно - сначала мол закрываем ужасные-ужасные-страшно-преступные миксеры -> сообщество схавало -> дальше закрываем все остальное.

И вот тут кстати казино неизбежно следующие. Если рассуждать чисто логически, то для северных корейцев, труд которых просто ничего не стоит, не составляет никакого труда посадить тысячу-другую челов для совершения микроставок и микротранзакций в казинохах (и не только там) чтобы отмывать любые суммы.
И кстати есть подозрение что в связи с жестким прессингом миксеров скоро будут появлятся новые казино (как появились новые миксеры после бана ЧМ), это будут казино созданные именно с целью отмывания -> потом их грохнут так как они управлялись ужасным Лазурусом, а потом и все остальные кзино либо в стойло поставят либо грохнут.


Самое смешное в том что уже и в этом направлении работа идет - для промышленности это давно реалии (в Европе уже хз сколько торгуют квотами на выброс СО2) а для отдельных граждан уже вовсю тему с "углеродным следом" проталкивают. Не говоря уже о том что наличку постепенно выдавливают/запрещают.


Вы вообще не понимаете ничего  Если бы этой ужасной группировки не было, то ее бы создали сами "борцы" - они то борятся не против группировок, а для того чтобы людей в стойло поставить. Им эти группировки вреда никакого не наносят, а наоборот сплошной профит.