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1121  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: January 10, 2024, 08:44:36 AM
Many fans are simply used to Manchester City winning the premier league in the last three seasons, not four. They failed to remember how Manchester City made fierce efforts to come out on top for the championship. It was never a simple ride.

Last season it was Arsenal who started to lead before Manchester City was catching up in the last matches of that season. And before the last season, Manchester City outpointed Liverpool by only a single point to win the championship.

There are many matches left and this condition for Manchester City is not new to them. I am certain Pep Guardiola is aware and he will bring some help if it is essential. Manchester City was greatly impacted by the prolonged absence of KDB, but he is back.

That season, when Liverpool was only one point behind, can only formally be called “close” competition - in fact, the entire season City was in the lead by a large margin, and Liverpool, having lost many points at the start, tried to catch up. In the end, they were unable to catch up and only reduced the difference to a minimum, but the title was in City's pocket all the way. In the Arsenal situation, City's gap to Arsenal was indeed large at certain moments, but even at these moments the bookmakers rated City as favorites - this says a lot about the degree of City's dominance.
1122  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: January 10, 2024, 08:34:17 AM
Real will host Atletico at home in the semi-final of the Super Cup.Real have a long-standing streak and this streak is not going to be broken easily.This match may be a bit difficult for them, but I expect Real Madrid to win again because they have home advantage.In the match between them, there is an advantage because Real Madrid usually wins anyway. I don't know if Arda güler will play in this match, but I would definitely like him to play.His appearance in such high stress and high tension matches will show us how he makes decisions and what he does in risky matches.I think Ancelotti will play him according to the course of the match.

On paper, Real are the clear favorites and should beat Atletico. Atletico are showing a questionable performance with a lot of goals they are conceding and at the moment they are not even in the top 4 in La Liga. On the other hand, derbies are always games where the underdog has increased chances, plus this season Atletico have already beaten Real once. I hope they can't do it a second time because I want Real Madrid to make the treble.
1123  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: January 10, 2024, 08:28:49 AM
Breaking News!

Bad news has come for Leverkusen because their mainstay striker this season, Victor Boniface, is reportedly injured and will be out for 6 weeks. The player from Nigeria also had to miss AFCON and I think this is a loss experienced by Nigeria and Leverkusen because they have to lose a very important figure in the competition. Victor Boniface has a right muscle-tendon injury and will undergo surgery in the next few days.

It seems that the intensity of the existing competition meant he had to step aside early before AFCON and the Bundesliga at the start of this year. Once again, Victor Boniface is a victim of the national competition he has to play for and previously we knew at Leverkusen he had no injury problems at all. Obviously this will be the biggest loss for Leverkusen because they lost the spearhead of their attack while currently topping the standings.

Source: https://twitter.com/FabrizioRomano/status/1744726883022045341

Theoretically, taking into account the fact that if not for the injury, Boniface would have taken part in the African Cup and would still have been absent from Bayer's upcoming games, Xabi should already have some kind of plan. But now the situation has become more complicated since restoration within the specified time frame is not guaranteed.
I'm shocked that Boniface scored 10 goals and are the club's top scorer, but the club's second top scorer is defender Grimaldo (7 goals)  Grin
Maybe he should finally change his position?
1124  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: January 09, 2024, 08:51:04 PM
Absolutely not. Real won the Copa del Rey + they reached the semi-finals of the Champions League. The mere fact that they reached the semi-finals of the Champions League outweighs all the achievements (Super Cup + La Liga) of Barcelona. Fair or not, from a business point of view, the Champions League is more important than the national championship because it gives more money. Moreover, the fact that Real lost the title last year was quite natural given the restructuring they made.
OK, Real Madrid might make more money than Barcelona just because Real Madrid made it to the semifinals of the Champions League, so what have they achieved? Expectations for Real Madrid are always high when it comes to winning titles, but they failed miserably last season if they didn't talk about business.

So far I am not one of those people who hate Real Madrid and any team for failing to win the title, but I have never regretted saying that Real Madrid was bad in domestic competition last season even when Barcelona had to face big problems. Barcelona was much better than Real Madrid last season, that is the fact.

Absolutely right, I don’t argue that Barcelona was better, but when Xavi made transfers from the last financial possibilities, Barcelona’s plans were to get to at least 1/4 of the Champions League.
What do we end up with? Barcelona took the title and are close to bankruptcy. Real didn't take the title, but they have the money to make signings like Bellingham, they can buy Mbappe next summer and complete a rebuild of the club that will generate income for the next decade (including titles and this season's La Liga title is already in Real's pocket).
You can't separate football from business and at the moment Real is the top club and Barcelona is no longer.
1125  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: January 09, 2024, 08:44:20 PM
Indeed, basically Bayern Munich still has a good chance to be able to take over the top position of the Bundesliga standings . But ya, the fact remains that it is not easy at all because at this moment Bayern Munich also does not always win every match . Because after all, Bayern Munich has also suffered one defeat during the first half of the season. Therefore, although there is still a chance for Bayer Leverkusen to get bad results in some matches later, but "if" at the same time Bayern Munich also get bad results . Then ya, in the end Bayer Leverkusen will remain at the top of the Bundesliga standings until the end of the season. Who know

Bayer has a chance, but the bookmakers, as always, believe in Bayern (too much in my opinion):

Fc Bayern Munich 1.30

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.19

It's funny that the nearest club has very scanty chances, this is Stuttgrat and it is quoted as 148 to one, and Dortmund is listed as 246  Grin
In fact, we have a duel between two clubs, and the rest solve local problems. In general, it’s a pity that the number of spots in the Champions League is limited to 4: both Leipzig and Stuttgart deserve them, but in this case Dortmund will be left out.
1126  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Will you be worried or comfortable seeing your elderly mother gambling? on: January 09, 2024, 04:35:43 PM
It's a difficult question because we don't know all the circumstances. Here you can talk both optimistically and pessimistically. The pessimistic way of reasoning is understandable to everyone, but the optimistic one may sound like this: despite the fact that the woman is elderly, she has a hobby and, most importantly, free time and money to do it. She has an interest in life and enjoys it  Smiley
I see no reason why this can't be true. Usually people with financial problems work two or three jobs and we don’t see them in such places.
In general, until we know the specific circumstances, I see no point in judging the situation.
1127  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: January 09, 2024, 04:29:53 PM
Arsenal attack were not good but now suddenly they are on decline which is surely hurting them badly with they need to fix this quickly if they want to have better results in remaining season with now we are heading for the toughest time of season and all top teams are doing their best Jürgen Klopp is surely one of the best man on duty and learning from his mistakes his attack and defense both are doing their best which is helping them to have good success, and now they are in four competitions with chances they can win trophies as much they can with their current level of performance.
~

Arsenal is fine with the attack - according to the expected goals metric, they are always good, there may be a few games where this did not translate into real goals, it’s just a bad streak. Arsenal have two easy games ahead before the meeting with Liverpool and I think they will have time to improve their affairs and self-confidence. It’s a pity that because of the African Cup, many games will be played with suboptimal lineups and the results may be quite unexpected.
1128  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: January 09, 2024, 04:22:41 PM
~
However Bayern Leverkusen is leading with 42 points while Bayern Munich is currently 38 points and however the Bayern Leverkusen upcoming matches is a very sure win match for them because there performance is far better than those clubs and at the same time making Bayern Munich chances of entering the first position very impossible for them.

Bayern have one game in hand, so if you count not by the points actually scored but by the ones lost (this is how you should count when the teams have different numbers of games), then one game is enough for Bayern to surpass Bayer.
By the way, already in the 21st round these teams will have a second personal meeting and if they still do not lose points until this moment, then we can say that this will be a game for the title.
1129  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: January 09, 2024, 04:10:48 PM
Despite the title last year, Xavi had two years of failure in European competition, plus, taking into account their last game, Barcelona set a historical anti-record - 20 games without a win with a difference of more than one goal. This has never happened in history (and Barcelona has had very difficult times in different periods). Episodes like this look like systemic problems, right? Another question is how much of Xavi’s share of blame is here personally, but I think that there is definitely some - the club does not look like a club that achieves more than it deserves, rather the opposite.
Barcelona today is not the same Barcelona as its glory days, but what is unique is that Barcelona can still win titles even if they only get them in domestic competitions. Real Madrid barely won anything last season even though they had many experienced players and big stars in their squad, it was also much worse than Barcelona who were facing bad financial problems.
~

Absolutely not. Real won the Copa del Rey + they reached the semi-finals of the Champions League. The mere fact that they reached the semi-finals of the Champions League outweighs all the achievements (Super Cup + La Liga) of Barcelona. Fair or not, from a business point of view, the Champions League is more important than the national championship because it gives more money. Moreover, the fact that Real lost the title last year was quite natural given the restructuring they made.
1130  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: January 09, 2024, 02:11:57 PM
I fail to see why we should hold Xavi accountable for every Barcelona game because he always uses the players that are supposed to be playing. Yes, we all know that Barcelona is a formidable team in La Liga, and we hope that they will always remain that way, but we also need to keep in mind that we can't always count on the team to perform well. Real Madrid did not win the league title last season, but they did not blame the coach because they understood that a team should not always be winning a match. Barcelona, on the other hand, won the Liga last season despite their lacklustre performance in the Champions League.
~

Despite the title last year, Xavi had two years of failure in European competition, plus, taking into account their last game, Barcelona set a historical anti-record - 20 games without a win with a difference of more than one goal. This has never happened in history (and Barcelona has had very difficult times in different periods). Episodes like this look like systemic problems, right? Another question is how much of Xavi’s share of blame is here personally, but I think that there is definitely some - the club does not look like a club that achieves more than it deserves, rather the opposite.
1131  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: January 09, 2024, 02:03:06 PM
I am very sure that anyone who bet on Napoli last night will definitely experience a loss and that is an unexpected result. Maybe if Napoli lost by a narrow score or drew it would still be understandable but it shows a crushing defeat for Napoli and that is the worst result they have experienced so far. Torino sealed the full 3 points at home with this victory and left Napoli unable to move at home.

Now we can better understand that Napoli are no longer as reliable as last season and this defeat clearly makes them the big team with the worst results and they have to be thrown down to 9th position in the standings. It turns out that holding the title as defending champion is not as easy as imagined and they have to mourn the endless bad results after Spalletti left. In this match, Napoli also suffered a loss after Pasquale Mazzocchi received a red card which made it easy for Torino to break through because they were only playing with 10 people.

I hope bookmakers will evaluate them according to actual results and not the status of the current champion. Maybe then there will be an opportunity to earn a little money by betting on Napoli because, after all, 9th place for them is clearly below average (to which I believe the team will return). Now they have 8 wins and 7 losses - this is a completely undeserved indicator. Even the three teams that are right behind Napoli have only 6 defeats. I don't believe that Napoli have become so bad and will not improve their results in the future.
1132  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: January 09, 2024, 01:48:14 PM
In this match, PSG showed no mercy to their opponents every time there was a chance to score, it would be a goal. It seems like PSG wants to give a signal to their opponents, especially in the UCL League, that they are ready to face them at any time and of course a big win like this increases the players' confidence even though the opponent is a weak team like Revel. However, it must also be acknowledged that a small and weak club like Revel is still trying to withstand PSG's attacks, they are not giving up even though they lost by an absurd score.

Apart from that, it is also clear that PSG really needs Kylian Mbappe at PSG and they don't want to lose Mbappe. because Mbappe always launches real attacks in the opponent's penalty box with his speed, so it's not surprising that in that match he scored a hat trick. Any team playing for mbappe will benefit from his mentality and pace.

As I understand from the statistics, PSG likes to play seriously against weak opponents and thus get beautiful numbers. Before this game, the top scorer in the French Cup for PSG was Francois M'Pelé with 28 goals, and now it is Mbappe with 30. The numbers are beautiful (I wonder how many games Mbappe spent on this), but the results do not correspond to them - if I’m not mistaken, the previous two seasons PSG were eliminated at the 1/8 stage.
1133  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: January 09, 2024, 01:38:09 PM
There has been no official news, but leaks say that Mbappe has already signed a contract with Real Madrid (the transfer will take place in the summer). Now there is no official announcement of this news, since apparently Mbappe wants to calmly finish the season for PSG and calmly leave without scandals and conflicts with the fans. Or maybe this news will be announced after Real and PSG either play each other in the Champions League or avoid this possibility (one of the clubs is eliminated).
There is indeed a rumor saying that an agreement has been reached between Mbappe and Real Madrid, where Mbappe will join Real Madrid when his contract at PSG ends. But still, as long as there is no official statement from either party, I think it will remain speculation. As we know Mbappe once gave Real Madrid false hope, so there is no guarantee that Mbappe will not repeat his actions.

If the contract is signed, then Mbappe will not have a chance to pull off that trick again - as you know, there are very large compensation fees for early termination of the contract, and this clause applies to both the club and the player. I doubt that Mbappe has an extra billion (Real have many contracts with such compensation) to spend on violating the contract. The only question is whether the contract has already been signed or not.
1134  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🌍⚽Sportsbet.io AFCON 2024 prediction pool discussion thread on: January 09, 2024, 01:32:33 PM
But I would be rooting for the likes of Nigeria as they seem to have a decent team, would have gone for Cameroon but with Onanan in goal jeez...the thought alone scares me lol.

Onana is a good keeper, he just didn't have the right guys in front of him at United, plus all of them are totally not fit to ETH strategy. He wants to play like City but his players want to play like Mourinho lol
~

I’m not sure that Onana’s problems do not lie in himself - I looked at the clips of goals that he missed throughout the entire last season (and part of this season) and I can say that in 25-30 percent of cases this is definitely his mistake. Moreover, often this is not just a mistake, but a mistake due to the fact that he wants to play beautifully and not reliably. That’s why you can find video clips of him making beautiful saves. But on average, it seems to me that he does not play at the level of top goalkeepers.
1135  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: Потребительские свойства биткоина on: January 09, 2024, 11:23:39 AM
Цены то они устанавливать могут, а смогут ли они осуществлять транзакции с такой комиссией? Есть подозрения что если для граждан США транза стоимостью в 3-10 баксов это очень дорого и неприемлимо для повседневных платежей, то уж для гондурассцев тем более.
Я видел что автор темы уже переосмысливал свой первый пост спустя 7 лет после публикации, так вот сейчас прошло намного меньше времени и мне кажетя ему пора снова провести переосмысление с учетом всех текущих реалий типа АМЛ/КУС/КУТ и прочей децентрализации  Roll Eyes

Может надеяться что история с комиссиями в скором времени исправится, а пока что хотя бы так. ) Ясно что в текущих реалиях это не имеет большого смысла, но пусть будет лишним точно не будет, если все наладится, то кто захочет будет юзать биток, если не наладится то так и будет... АМЛ и тому подобное в битке напрягает, и напрягает даже криптанов, которые в курсе дела, а представьте простым людям, которые и так сомневались есть ли смысл иметь дело с битком, сказать, что битки бывают грязными, они в таком случае десятой дорогой его обходить будут.

Именно так.
Представьте как простой человек совершает продажу за битки чего-нибудь в интернете, или наслушавшись крипто энтузиастов инвестирует в биток деньги (причем в настоящий биток, а не тот который на биржах виртуальный). И потом при попытке выйти в фиат его начинают конкретно дрючить за "грязные" битки - блочат счета, тербуют справки/отчеты где покупал кто такой сам и т.д. Grin
После такой херни следующему энтузиасту этот человек просто даст в рожу как только услышит басни про децентрализованность/нецензурируемость и прочее.
1136  Local / Разное / Re: Когда увольняться? on: January 09, 2024, 10:59:09 AM
А теперь на карте поищите страну где 35 лет (предположим что среднему юзеру форума 35, ну или не юзеру а просто тому кто много трудился до 35 и смог сколотить 300к бачей капитал, соотвественно до 70 остается еще 35 лет) было все Ок с инфляцией и скажем обтекаемо "не было войны" которая на ноль делит все ваши накопления.
Если отбросить инфляцию, то варианты есть, но например в США ваши 300к это что слону дробина даже 20 лет назад, а если учитывать инфляцию, то я вообше не знаю где ваш план сработает.
На мой взгляд накопительство фуфло всегда. Надо что-то делать. И да работа это еще хуже чем накопительство  Grin
Накопительство хорошо только как элемент других стратегий. Это вполне неплохой элемент, но его много чем нужно корректировать.
-Чего копить?
-Копить чего-то одно или чего-то несколько?
-Когда начать копить?
Когда прекращать копить?
-Что делать с накопленным?
- и т.д. Это лишь часть вопросов, с которым столкнётся чел, желающий чего-то накопить. И на каждый вопрос у него должен иметься железобетонный ответ. В противном случае он сам не будет понимать, что он делает.

На любой "железобетонный ответ" есть пример где от железобетона осталось одно желе  Wink Начиная от недвижимости в Донецке, продолжая всякими там вкладами в банках Греции, да и вообще фиатом в любых ипостасях.
Я бы сказал что накопительство имеет смысл не просто как элемент других стратегий, а как элемент масштабных стратегий. Для обычного человека копить выше стандартной подушки безопасности вообще очень рискованно - вероятность того что он успеет что-то потребить с накопленного (собственно цель ради чего все затевается) очень мала на длинных промежутках времени.
1137  Local / Oбcyждeниe Bitcoin / Re: NFT на биткоине: BRC-20 on: January 09, 2024, 10:49:54 AM
В материале приводятся только мнения разработчиков, поддержавших инициативу пофиксить ординалы как обычный баг, а вот мнения неподдержавших я не увидел. Интересно, чем они оправдывают многократное повышение комиссий из-за деятельности, никак не связанной с первоначальной задумкой Биткоина в качестве децентрализованной платежной системы? [1] Неужели защита нецензурируемости зашла так далеко, что они готовы пожертвовать самой сетью Биткоина, позволив сделать ее полностью неюзабельной? Мне кажется, дело тут совсем не в защите идеологических принципов, а в деньгах. Кто-то неплохо зарабатывает на продвижении идеи "NFT на Биткоине" и не хочет терять доход. Часть дохода может идти в том числе и для спонсирования разработчиков Bitcoin Core, что естественно отражается в формировании их мнения относительно этих картинок. Короче, даже  Биткоин не может противостоять коррупции.[2]

1. Могу предположить что это оправдывается концепцией как раз децентрализованности сети - если какой-то участник хочет засирать сеть (честно уплачивая при этом огромную комиссию) то с чего бы ему мешать?

2. Да ладно? А как же децентрализация и всё такое? Ведь раз кто-то не согласен есть говно, то они просто уйдут в форк и типа "люди решат" какая сеть настоящая?  Grin
По крайней мере такие басни я слышал.



Вчера за простейшую транзу (один вход, два выхода) заплатил 3.5 бакса и это мне еще повезло говорят. Хорошо то как.

P.S. Кстати я поменял свое мнение относительно ординалсов и теперь хочу чтобы их выпилили  Grin Но не потому что меня волнует проблема сети, а потому что во-первых ординалсы выглядят как ненадежное говно, которое разрабы могут легко выпилить из блокчейна, а во-вторых у меня есть более интересная идея как сеть засирать  Grin
1138  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io - UFC Fight Night 234 - Multi Master Challenge - (Saturday) on: January 08, 2024, 04:34:18 PM
12. Magomed Ankalaev
11. Matheus Nicolau
10. Jim Miller
9. Ricky Simon
8. Phil Hawes
7. Andrei Arlovski
6. Matthew Semelsberger
5. Marcus McGhee
4. Farid Basharat
3. Westin Wilson
2. Nikolas Motta
1. Felipe Bunes

NOT go the Full Distance 5
1139  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ Newcastle + Southampton ⚽ (13 January 2024) on: January 08, 2024, 04:33:26 PM
Game 1:  30, 19'
Game 2:  30, 19'
1140  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🌍⚽Sportsbet.io AFCON 2024 prediction pool discussion thread on: January 08, 2024, 04:31:27 PM
So, anyway deadline is january 12?
Deadline is kick off time of the first AFCON match. I guess that should be January 13 for most if not all time zones.

Ok! Thank God the transaction went through without any problems. Sent a PM  Smiley

Who's the favorite to win? I assume Morocco?
I like the Ivory Coast team, I feel that Egypt is too dependent on Salah.

Senegal looks good on paper again, but something about that team never clicks for me. Algeria? They look kinda boring but tough to beat.

If they had a single decent CB, Nigeria would be my favorite. Their offensive line is really good.

Bookmakers see the teams’ odds as a fairly even distribution:

Morocco        5.88
Senegal        6.86
Algeria          7.84
Ivory Coast   7.84
Egypt           9.80
Cameroon    10.78
Nigeria        10.78
Tunisia        12.74
Ghana         14.70

Morocco is indeed the favorite but actually has 17% for the title.
As I understand it, at the group stage there are no difficult groups and almost everywhere it is clear who will advance to the next round? Maybe only group D looks like a random group.
I hope that in the tournament we will see better performance than in the qualifications for the World Cup.
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