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1561  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: April is the real alt season on: April 21, 2021, 10:02:15 AM
No need to analyze or depend too much on the indicators, I agree that at this time many coins have gained a lot, but there are still many others that have not achieved as originally expected. More precisely, this instinct in this market let me feel that the uptrend is not over yet, confidence in this market is still very large.

So far, the altcoin rally has been limited to the top 20 or 25 alts. Obviously you can't expect all the 10,000 plus altcoins to go up, just because there has been a rally in the Bitcoin prices. The vast majority of the altcoins are still under very heavy price manipulation and their market caps are kept at artificially high levels. These coins will move up only when someone triggers a pump-and-dump cycle with them.
1562  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Mining Alternative Countries on: April 21, 2021, 09:51:47 AM
If you are in a mostly cold climate country, I think that you can profit a lot in those places, Canada or any places that have snows all year round is pretty good because you have less cost with heating. Isn't mining bitcoin in China prohibited or only state owned? I am confused because China bans bitcoin use for their citizens while they are also part of the growth of bitcoin.

90% or more of the capital costs come from the purchase of mining rigs. The cooling systems are not very expensive and they don't need to be imported from China. The problem in setting up mining farms in cold countries such as Canada and Iceland is that the mining rigs still needs to be imported from China. And the price of a medium-sized rig which costs $500 in China may shoot up to $1,500 per piece once it reaches Canada or Iceland, thanks to the shipping charges and import duty.
1563  Other / Politics & Society / Re: AFRICA: where did they lose it ? on: April 21, 2021, 09:41:21 AM
This sums up what happened in Africa

This brings us back to my point about Africa suffering from excessive population growth. This is partly due to the 5 stage development cycle, but also certainly due in large part to catholic missionaries... they 'converted' the African population as part of the colonialist drive to establish control... and of course the catholic church bans contraception. The refusal due to western indoctrination to use contraception leads directly to a population increase, which in many cases these countries can't support... which in turn contributes to poverty, malnutrition and starvation. The pope and the catholic church are responsible for a huge amount of suffering on the African continent.

Well.. I have seen this pattern in other Catholic nations as well, such as the Philippines. Because of massive population growth, the residents remain in extreme poverty and they are forced to work under subhuman conditions in richer nations. And it is not just the Catholic church. Some of the other religious sects also discourage family planning. Actually Africa can't sustain such a huge population growth, since most of the land is arid or rocky. The increasing population has put a huge strain on the natural resources, and this has in turn resulted in inter-religious and inter-ethnic clashes, as various groups compete for limited resources.
1564  Economy / Economics / Re: I think Bitcoin is the biggest bubble and ponzi in the universe or it isn't? on: April 21, 2021, 07:40:39 AM
Bitcoin is definitely not a ponzi scheme. Ponzi always crash. Bitcoin is based on pure supply and demand created by humankind. It is possible to say bitcoin is a bubble. As a bubble, bitcoin will go up and down but it will never ever disappear from this world. The DotCom bubble is a good example. Many companies do change but many of them have receovered after more than 10 years

I have multiple reasons to believe that Bitcoin is not a bubble or Ponzi, and I am saying this out of my one decade of experience with cryptocurrency. My points are as follows:

1. The inventor of Bitcoin (Satoshi Nakamoto) never benefited from his invention. There was no premine, and Satoshi never sold any of the coins that he mined. So if the promoter is not benefitting from it, how can we classify Bitcoin as a Ponzi?

2. In order to qualify as a bubble, Bitcoin should be something that can be destroyed. But theoretically it is impossible to destroy the coins that are mined.

3. Bitcoin is 100% decentralized and it is impossible for someone to control BTC.

4. The algorithm or the original code can't be changed in future, not even by the inventor.

5. Every single transaction is stored in Blockchain, so it is impossible for someone to stay anonymous after using Bitcoin for fraud.
1565  Economy / Economics / Re: Economy after COVID-19 on: April 21, 2021, 07:29:10 AM
Can you, for example, give a 100% guarantee that, for example, in India or Mexico, the incidence and death rates from Covid correspond to at least 90% of the real picture?

I can't speak for Mexico, because I don't have any information about that country. But I have relatives in India and I can assure you that the number of deaths they are reporting from India are very close to the real numbers. The truth is that the mortality rate is much lower in India. But this is not due to any work done by the government. Indians have constant exposure to flu-virus and therefore their natural immunity is better. Across the South Asian region (Pakistan, Nepal, Sri Lanka.etc), you can find the same scenario. On the other hand, the highest mortality rate for CoVID 19 was reported from the Latin American region, which includes Mexico.
1566  Economy / Economics / Re: China to overtake the Us as the largest global economy by 2028? on: April 21, 2021, 07:19:04 AM
If China's growth continues and their New Silk Road and money trap continues, I am pretty sure that they are going to take over the 1st place in the global economy but one thing that irks me is that they still have a closed market so I think that they are not going to sustain that growth if they continue doing that.

What sort of money trap your are talking about? Western countries have exploited developing nations for so long, by providing loans with extremely exploitative terms. China on the other hand, has more relaxed terms and low interest rates. I see a lot of Westerner's complaining about the "Chinese debt trap". But they have no moral highground to say this, when their own countries were the first to use this strategy. Now they are complaining because the poorer nations have got a better choice.
1567  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Transactions Fees x Gambling on: April 21, 2021, 06:55:11 AM
Are you sure? I just checked the fees during the last weeks and 20 Sat/Byte was never possible IMO. Where exactly did you find this information? Maybe I'm just misinformed or I am using the wrong sources. Cheesy

Nope.. 8-9 days back, it was possible to get a confirmation even with 5 Sat/Byte. Look the fee on 12th April here:

https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#BTC,2w,weight

The transaction fee is very volatile, and it depends on the mining hash rate and number of transactions. Now the hash rate has dropped due to mining farms closing down (due to power outage) in China. That has resulted in fewer blocks being mined and as a result the Mempool size has increased to 246 MB. On 12th April, as you can see from the chart, the Mempool size was just 101 MB (out of that 98 MB contributed by transactions paying a fee of 4 Sat/Byte or lower).
1568  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: April 21, 2021, 06:45:18 AM
I don't think there is much need to focus on strike rate when your target is only 138 runs. 138 runs is not a big total on a platform like IPL. So maybe Lalit Yadav has batted defensively. And players like Hetmayar, Stoinins, and Aswing are not out yet. Those are very good batsmen for the T20 format.

Yes.. it was surprising to see Marcus Stoinis not being used before Lalit Yadav. The required run rate was low, but since Steven Smith and Shikhar Dhawan were playing in a defensive manner, I was thinking that it may be a good idea to send Marcus Stoinis and Shimron Hetmyer to pump up the run rate. If the target was 5-10 runs more, then it would have got really difficult for the Delhi Capitals. They won only because of good performance from their bowlers. 
1569  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: April 20, 2021, 04:33:07 PM
Imran Tahir deserves a spot in the squad because of his bowling and they can shuffle according to the ground conditions, the local players needs to be replaced by young talents.

I would rate Tahir as one of the best spinners available in the IPL. But unfortunately for him, he is in the wrong team. CSK will be unable to accomodate Tahir, unless one of their regular overseas players get injured. Right now all four of them (Curran, du Plessis, Bravo and Moeen Ali) are very integral members of the squad and the management can't think about dropping any one of them. Mitchell Santner is also there in the CSK squad and he is a very good all rounder. But right now he has zero chance of getting selected.
1570  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin is falling down. Is it the end for it? on: April 20, 2021, 01:50:47 PM
There is nothing wrong with these small fluctuations. The main driver behind the small correction was the decision by the Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası (Turkish Central Bank) to prohibit payments using Bitcoin for various goods and services. Another trigger was disappointing listing of Coinbase in NASDAQ. A lot of people were expecting valuation in the $100-$150 billion range, and what we got was $60 billion. But then there was some good news as well, from the Chinese central bank.
1571  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: China gives bitcoin stamp approval as investment alternatives on: April 20, 2021, 01:34:40 PM
The china central bank has given unprecedented stamp approval to bitcoin and other stable coins, as investment alternatives.
As Bitcoin tries to recover from last weekend’s price crash, which brought bitcoin down to $52k from its all-time high of $64k making a $7,000 loss within a few minutes.
This news will further strengthen the bitcoin market to recover fast.

When you post something like this, you need to provide the source as well. How we will get to know whether this is some unfounded rumor, or real? I did a quick search in Google News, and this was one of the articles that I found:

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/19/china-calls-bitcoin-an-investment-alternative-marking-shift-in-tone.html

Quote
Li Bo, deputy governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) called bitcoin an “investment alternative.” Industry insiders called the comments “progressive” and said they were “significant.”

Quote
As investment alternatives, “many countries, including China, are still looking into it and thinking about what kind of regulatory requirements. Maybe minimal, but we need to have some kind of regulatory requirement to prevent ... the speculation of such assets to create any serious financial stability risks,” Li said.

So we indeed have some positive signals from the Chinese central bank. I just hope that their colleagues in Nigeria and India are taking note.
1572  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Elon Musk please stop messing up the crypto market on: April 20, 2021, 01:06:18 PM
It took only 1 year to turn one person into whole cryptocurrency conductor. He says Bitcoin - its price go down, he makes a joke and the price of other altcoin goes down. That is scary because there is nothing to put against him. We are slowly approaching from anonymous and independent payment system into dictatorship. And what worse, what ever he does, his influence on crypto only grows stronger.
In few years the scenario from most of blockbuster movies will be repeated. One powerful persons will lose his mind and people will try to overthrow him.

You are forgetting the fact that his tweets only had a limited impact on Bitcoin. When he tweeted that Bitcoin looks overpriced, the price went down for a short while, but it recovered very soon. On the other hand, the bull run was triggered by real market incidents, such as adoption of cryptocurrency by PayPal and the purchase of BTC by Tesla. We don't need to give too much importance to the tweets by Elon Musk on Bitcoin prices, because in reality they didn't had much of an impact. That said, his tweets succeeded in pumping some of the shitcoins, such as Doge.
1573  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Mining Alternative Countries on: April 20, 2021, 12:56:47 PM
Capital costs represent around half of the total expenses in the long term and this is where China has the advantage. The mining rigs are produced in China and therefore they are available at very low prices. If you import the mining rigs to a country such as India or Indonesia, the shipping charges and import duty will make it at least 100% more expensive. Electricity is not very cheap in China, but nowadays mining rigs have become more electricity efficient and their power consumption has gone down. Apart from China, it is very difficult to set up a profitable Bitcoin mining operation in any other part of the world.
1574  Economy / Economics / Re: The total value of the crypto currency market is near $2 trillion on: April 20, 2021, 10:15:13 AM
for now, it may not exist but I am sure in the future there will definitely be...
Since the beginning of Bitcoin circulating I am sure 99% of people at that time would not have believed the Bitcoin market cap would reach $ 1 trillion, but over time, it is happening now. Trust me, the future is a mystery and nothing will be impossible, $ 100 trillion? maybe!

Quote
If wishes were horses, beggars would ride.
If turnips were watches, I'd wear one by my side.
If "ifs" and "ands" were pots and pans,
There'd be no work for tinkers' hands.

The total global wealth is somewhere around $300 billion and right now cryptocurrency represents around 1% of that. You are claiming that it can be increased to 25%-33%. Theoretically you can claim anything. You can even claim that cryptocurrency can amount to 90% of the global wealth, and amount to a market capitalization of $3,000 trillion. But how much of this is possible in real life? IMO, cryptocurrency market cap can never be as large as the market cap of gold, and the latter stands at $11 trillion right now.
1575  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Enough is enough! Good bye Bitcoin! on: April 20, 2021, 07:52:03 AM
I feel really bad for this guy(OP). He sold his coins just a few days before the bull run started. But that is how it works with cryptocurrency. If you don't have the patience to stay invested, then there is a good chance that you will incur losses. He had BTC2.25 in his wallet. That would have been a fortune as per the current exchange rates, had he not sold them. Anyway, I appreciate him for making a post in this thread after 7 months of inactivity. Such posts help new users, to learn about the most common mistakes we make while investing in cryptocurrency. Therefore I have donated merit points to him.
1576  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2021-03-15] [Reuters] India to propose cryptocurrency ban, penalising miners on: April 20, 2021, 07:42:52 AM
On the one hand, such a decision can be caused by excessive consumption of electricity and accidents after a high load on the power grid. On the other hand, the state, solving this problem, creates risks for itself to miss out on great opportunities for the budget (replenishment by new taxpayers) and the country's population (creation of new jobs), as well as increasing the level of income of citizens. Difficult decision - but apparently they weighed everything well before making it. Only time will tell whether they were right or wrong, we'll see.

You are 100% wrong. There are no large scale Bitcoin mining farms in India (although there may be some small-scale individual miners). So the argument that this proposal was a result of excessive consumption of electricity is laughable. In the previous posts various users have posted in detail why the government came up with such a measure. If you still support this measure, then I am not sure what you are doing here in Bitcointalk.
1577  Economy / Economics / Re: Turkish Central Bank Forbids use of cryptocurrencies as a mean of Exchange. on: April 20, 2021, 07:29:17 AM
I believe that the Turkish government makes a decision on cryptocurrencies precisely for the reason that Turkey is in a leading position along with the United States and India in the spread of coronavirus around the world. Their economy is in a very poor condition, while it should be borne in mind that the holiday season in Turkey will practically be closed, which means that the receipt of funds in the State Treasury will be almost critical. Since the government sees a large-scale leak of finance into the cryptocurrency, they accordingly took tough measures to reduce the damage.

This is just ridiculous. How can a ban on cryptocurrency help them with reduced tourist arrivals or a decrease in tax revenue? There is a very small correlation between cryptocurrency and these sectors. And the ban covers purchase of goods and services using cryptocurrency. And this is even stranger. You need to pay your taxes, irrespective of whether you are making the payment using the Turkish Lira, US Dollar or Bitcoin. So how this is going to help? If you claim that this measure was an attempt to prop up the Turkish Lira, then it would have been more understandable.
1578  Economy / Economics / Re: Covid virus 2021 on: April 20, 2021, 07:19:22 AM
Vaccinations are great. I have one question. Each country is developing its own vaccine. Yes, someone will buy it from abroad, but how to determine which vaccine is better. I understand that there won't be much choice for me. Whichever vaccine my country proposes, that I will accept, but the fact, that there is no one standard and it's scary.

It's not like you have hundreds of choices. Around 8-9 different vaccines are available globally, and the availability in your country depends upon the permissions given by your government. As far as I know, in none of these countries the vaccines are available in the open market. They are available only through government approved centers, where there is a strict eligibility criteria. And regarding the efficiency, almost all of these vaccines have completed Phase 3 clinical trials and the results are openly available in medical journals such as The Lancet.
1579  Economy / Economics / Re: Covid virus 2021 on: April 20, 2021, 07:00:30 AM
It depends on their own leaders, I see countries like Vietnam that the prevention is immediately controlled and their people always trust the leaders. As for India in recent days I have felt like they are losing control as they let the disease spread again.

Don't know the situation in India, but I guess it is not very easy to implement containment measures in a country of 1.4 billion, especially when there are large internal migrant movements. From what I have seen, the virus spreads through air, and containment measures are only partially successful. The only real solution available is to vaccinate as many people as possible. And that is a problem in countries such as India, which have huge population.
1580  Economy / Economics / Re: The Coinbase CEO sold 749999 shares of COIN on the first day of the offering on: April 20, 2021, 06:50:14 AM
Good for him. He sold his stocks at peak levels. I am actually surprised that he didn't sold more of his shares. Remember that Coinbase went for a direct listing and not an IPO. In case of an IPO, then I would have expected Brian Armstrong and the other promoters to offload a few billion USD worth of shares (which is normal with any IPO). So this amount ($292 million) doesn't sound too high. He may sell more of his shares in the coming days and weeks.
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