Up Like Trump

[Nxtblg]

...Anyhoo, the derived market price is trading like a risky arbitrage play - a lot like a stock that's the target of an announced takeover which might fall through. What's fascinating about this stability is that the punters were actually slow to catch on to the Trump phenomenon. The aforementioned contract was a "screaming buy" right up 'til last New Year's.

It says I can buy a Trump yes for 30¢, what does that win me?

Trump "Yes" for what? From my last reading, a "Yes" for the Republican nomination costs about 70 cents.

[Wilikon]

A Win-Win for America!

 

Just o let everyone know, the implied odds for Mr. Trump to win the Pubbie nom have been quite stable over the last several days; they're centered around ~74%. As I write this, the figure's 75%.

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-republican-nomination

Corruption in political reality is another matter than a pure statistical prediction. Lots of people have too much to lose if TRUMP wins. Lots of BAD people. I pray he has 1 000 000 000 Alpha Force Cosmic Angels. He will need each and everyone of them.

If the berniebots believe the clinton machine won't do the same thing to them they are wrong...

[Moloch]

A Win-Win for America!

Just o let everyone know, the implied odds for Mr. Trump to win the Pubbie nom have been quite stable over the last several days; they're centered around ~74%. As I write this, the figure's 75%.

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-republican-nomination

Corruption in political reality is another matter than a pure statistical prediction. Lots of people have too much to lose if TRUMP wins. Lots of BAD people. I pray he has 1 000 000 000 Alpha Force Cosmic Angels. He will need each and everyone of them.

If the berniebots believe the clinton machine won't do the same thing to them they are wrong...

Trump voters are too stupid to look at the next column... obviously... nice clip-job on the image so you can't see Trump's name in the upper-right corner

Also note this is marked sample and in Spanish...

Do you have anything real or just endless propaganda?  Your sources for information are whorebile (note: I just invented this word and added it to urbandictionary just for you)

[Lethn]

Liberals who say they are leaving if Trump wins is about the biggest endorsement he could receive.

I don't like the guy but they keep doing things that make me hope he wins.

That's how I feel for fucks sake, Trump is a wanker, but the thing is, he's talking honestly and liberals and the left hate him for it and they are rabidly attacking anybody that disagrees with them whether they actually support Trump or not, that kind of hostility will always come back to bite them and what it will do is just push people to vote for Trump because the alternative is worse.

Think about it for a moment, people who spew their bullshit without thinking, why the fuck would you vote with a group of people who are smug, arrogant and try to paint you as a racist no matter what your opinion is or if you defend yourself? Not nice is it? I don't blame people who vote for Trump at all, if these arrogant socialites really do end up leaving America it could be the best thing that could ever happen to American poltiics because I do believe it is largely in part to these assholes that we can't have any discussion about important issues anymore.

Hell, I'm British and I'm fucking affected by it, we also have a much bigger problem over here with the kind of smug arrogance that we're seeing from certain groups who hold nothing but contempt for the voting public, the only thing people are going to do by attacking Trump is encourage people to support him, stupid smear attacks and insults won't work on this opponent, it is frankly, very entertaining to see.

[Moloch]

[Spendulus]

......Trump is a wanker, but the thing is, he's talking honestly and liberals and the left hate him for it and they are rabidly attacking anybody that disagrees with them whether they actually support Trump or not, that kind of hostility will always come back to bite them and what it will do is just push people to vote for Trump because the alternative is worse.

Think about it for a moment, people who spew their bullshit without thinking, why the fuck would you vote with a group of people who are smug, arrogant and try to paint you as a racist no matter what your opinion is or if you defend yourself? Not nice is it? I don't blame people who vote for Trump at all.....

Seems it's NOT just the liberals and the left who hate him for it.

Very curious things going on now. 

[Moloch]

......Trump is a wanker, but the thing is, he's talking honestly and liberals and the left hate him for it and they are rabidly attacking anybody that disagrees with them whether they actually support Trump or not, that kind of hostility will always come back to bite them and what it will do is just push people to vote for Trump because the alternative is worse.

Think about it for a moment, people who spew their bullshit without thinking, why the fuck would you vote with a group of people who are smug, arrogant and try to paint you as a racist no matter what your opinion is or if you defend yourself? Not nice is it? I don't blame people who vote for Trump at all.....

Seems it's NOT just the liberals and the left who hate him for it.

Very curious things going on now. 

GOP Voter: If Donald Trump's the Nominee, I'm Voting for Bernie
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2SrQqMoDJQ

[Lethn]

Sorry, true enough the GOP hate him for it as well

[galdur]

he's talking honestly and liberals and the left and the terminally retarded and the certifiably psychopathic hate him for it. it´s the alliance from the asshole of the ages

[notbatman]

...Anyhoo, the derived market price is trading like a risky arbitrage play - a lot like a stock that's the target of an announced takeover which might fall through. What's fascinating about this stability is that the punters were actually slow to catch on to the Trump phenomenon. The aforementioned contract was a "screaming buy" right up 'til last New Year's.

It says I can buy a Trump yes for 30¢, what does that win me?

Trump "Yes" for what? From my last reading, a "Yes" for the Republican nomination costs about 70 cents.

EDIT:

Looks like my answer is in the fine print.

[Bobsurplus]

With all that MONEY, it should be easy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpbbuaIA3Ds

[notbatman]

Where can I gamble on the election in bitcoin?

[vokain]

Where can I gamble on the election in bitcoin?

I used betsofbitco.in for the 2012 elections, it worked out
Edit: maybe defunct now or moved

[notbatman]

404

[Wilikon]

[galdur]

It´s over. There´s no contest anymore. Trump has reached 50% of total delegates and so it would be extremely difficult, probably impossible, to defraud the nomination away from him at the convention. They´ll fall into line now.

[tvbcof]

It´s over. There´s no contest anymore. Trump has reached 50% of total delegates and so it would be extremely difficult, probably impossible, to defraud the nomination away from him at the convention. They´ll fall into line now.

Not so fast:

  http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/top-conservatives-gather-to-plot-third-party-run-against-trump-220786

This trial balloon is being floated all over the place.  As I said when I first started looking at this, the best the Republicans can do is the get Hillary in (and it's not that big a deal to them or the Dems which establishment puppet is in anyway.)

As I see it, the establishment has Trump as a Republican at mate in two.  Cruz and Sanders on the Dem side might as well tip the king already.  See my other post for an idea about how he might be able to beat them to the punch.

[Wilikon]

It´s over. There´s no contest anymore. Trump has reached 50% of total delegates and so it would be extremely difficult, probably impossible, to defraud the nomination away from him at the convention. They´ll fall into line now.

It is NEVER over until it is over... Vigilance. More now than ever before. Clinton destroyed bernie, as predicted.

The clinton machine, as predicted, used the poor bernie drones to split and uselessly concentrate on TRUMP instead of her. As you can see here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1152899.msg14199088#msg14199088

I was trying to explain but I could not get through. It will take the berniebot months to understand how a zombie he was for soros...
I could not believe moveon.org, a CLINTON MACHINE, was supporting bernie and not her. It was a virus.

This how this game is played. Dirty.

[galdur]

It´s over. There´s no contest anymore. Trump has reached 50% of total delegates and so it would be extremely difficult, probably impossible, to defraud the nomination away from him at the convention. They´ll fall into line now.

It is NEVER over until it is over... Vigilance. More now than ever before. Clinton destroyed bernie, as predicted.

The clinton machine, as predicted, used the poor bernie drones to split and uselessly concentrate on TRUMP instead of her. As you can see here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1152899.msg14199088#msg14199088

I was trying to explain but I could not get through. It will take the berniebot months to understand how a zombie he was for soros...
I could not believe moveon.org, a CLINTON MACHINE, was supporting bernie and not her. It was a virus.

This how this game is played. Dirty.

Well yeah, there´s no contest anymore as the nomination is concerned since Trump is already at 50%. If they try to screw him after that with some splinter candidate he can at his leisure start a third major political party and seriously damage both parts of the cozy two-part one-party system. So, they´ll behave.

[galdur]

He needs 1237 delegates and already has 619. The probability that anyone will overtake him is exactly zero. Nada, Null. That´s how it is.