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Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
Down
Same as now
I don't know

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Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 504278 times)
S3052
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March 22, 2011, 11:02:32 PM
 #261

Mini-update:

Longterm: RALLY
Short-term: RALLY has been re-ignited after the break above 0.8 $. Now the 0.71 $ is strong support. As long as this holds, the rally is on track towards higher targets. Next resistances: 0.88-0.90, 0.95, 1.00, 1.10.



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S3052
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March 24, 2011, 04:51:18 PM
 #262

Quick alert (full update as promised tonight)

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Longterm: RALLY
Short-term: RALLY.

Today, the 2 months downtrend line has been broken to the upside.


Net, the rally is strong  - both, short and longterm.





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LZ
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March 24, 2011, 05:49:59 PM
 #263

So many buyers... And where are sellers? This is an excellent platform for trading in the range 70/80-90/95. Smiley

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March 24, 2011, 06:21:57 PM
 #264

Hi lzsaver, can you explain a bit more? I am not sure I understand.

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LZ
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March 24, 2011, 07:29:56 PM
 #265

Okay. For example: sellers may take 80-86 bid orders and try to buy at 80,
buyers may take 88-90 ask orders and try to sell at 90. But it will work only
if buyers and sellers will be active together. Or maybe I am not farsighted...

Ideas?

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March 24, 2011, 07:41:25 PM
 #266

Okay. For example: sellers may take 80-86 bid orders and try to buy at 80,
buyers may take 88-90 ask orders and try to sell at 90. But it will work only
if buyers and sellers will be active together. Or maybe I am not farsighted...

Ideas?
Obviously, sellers and buyers are expecting the price to rise. So why would anyone sell that low?

"Bitcoin had been transformed from an anarachistic challenge to the financial status quo, to the crypto spawn of Satan, fuelled by cut-throat greed and delusions of avarice." - MatTheCat
"these people don't seem to want to stop till Bitcoin is completely destroyed and left like an old cum rag in the corner of the room." - ShroomsKit
S3052
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March 24, 2011, 08:45:52 PM
 #267

It is important to think about all profiles of traders / investors. There are many different types:

1) Scalpers: They constantly try to make incremental (small percentages) profits from small market movements
2) Market makers: They always put the highest bid and lowest ask in the system and are happy with 1-2 % gain per trade.
3) Swing traders: They try to profit from buying low and selling high from a couple of days or weeks.
4) Longterm investors: They have a years+ time horizon.
5) ...

If your comments only go to group 4), it may sounds right that they would not sell now, but you have all sorts of other traders already in the bitcoin market who buy and sell very often. This is actually a good sign since they add liquidity to the market and keep spreads low.

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LZ
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March 24, 2011, 09:26:28 PM
 #268

Yeah, you are right. What you think about two large orders at 95? And how long it may delay the rally?

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March 24, 2011, 10:16:25 PM
 #269

I will publish my Bitcoin Technical Analysis in a few minutes.

The orders around 0.95$? This just means there needs to be buying volume of approx. 10 $M to wipe them out. This is nothing if we see fund inflows.

 Just imagine you have 10 people transferring 1,000 $ each to MtGox via wire transfer..
Or, if it does not happen, prices may ppause and consolidate around the 0.86-0.95 area for a while.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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S3052
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March 24, 2011, 10:18:05 PM
 #270

As promised, here is tonight's Bitcoin technical update.


Please donate here if you wish to see this continued:
1P8iS7WLx5n4ixThBRCPEPk9A3dR8bV6qt


Longterm: RALLY
Short-term: RALLY.



http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4497563#post4497563

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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March 24, 2011, 11:04:56 PM
 #271

As promised, here is tonight's Bitcoin technical update.


Please donate here if you wish to see this continued:
1P8iS7WLx5n4ixThBRCPEPk9A3dR8bV6qt


Longterm: RALLY
Short-term: RALLY.



http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4497563#post4497563

I am going to facebook this.
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March 26, 2011, 09:41:49 AM
 #272


My opinion.

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S3052
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March 26, 2011, 11:15:09 AM
 #273

Can you specify what you mean with your opinion?

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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S3052
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March 26, 2011, 11:30:32 AM
 #274


Dear bitcoin-folks:


1. You can follow my Bitcoin Market and Technical Analysis in realtime via Twitter now.

2. I will also start to cover Gold in USD, Silver in USD, S&P500 and Nasdaq 100 markets as of now


http://twitter.com/#!/S3052

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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nofuture
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March 27, 2011, 12:17:48 AM
 #275

Good idea to start the twitter feed.    I've noticed more bitcoin related tweets in general lately.   

As those businesses and apps come online I expect demand will grow.
Bruce Wagner
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March 27, 2011, 12:07:14 PM
 #276

Yes.
Lots more tweets about Bitcoin.
Things are picking up momentum.
Follow me on twitter too.   Smiley
http://twitter.com/brucewagner
LZ
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March 27, 2011, 02:25:51 PM
 #277

Can you specify what you mean with your opinion?
That is happening now. Wink
Code:
Last Price: 0.868    High: 0.9    Low: 0.8152

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March 27, 2011, 02:58:33 PM
 #278

Yes.
Lots more tweets about Bitcoin.
Things are picking up momentum.
Follow me on twitter too.   Smiley
http://twitter.com/brucewagner


Bruce!  Where have you been?  I was beginning to wonder if you had burned out on Bitcoin.

Any progress that you can report with regard to the POS system that you were working on in November?

"The powers of financial capitalism had another far-reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole. This system was to be controlled in a feudalist fashion by the central banks of the world acting in concert, by secret agreements arrived at in frequent meetings and conferences. The apex of the systems was to be the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland, a private bank owned and controlled by the world's central banks which were themselves private corporations. Each central bank...sought to dominate its government by its ability to control Treasury loans, to manipulate foreign exchanges, to influence the level of economic activity in the country, and to influence cooperative politicians by subsequent economic rewards in the business world."

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March 27, 2011, 05:53:54 PM
 #279

Yes.
Lots more tweets about Bitcoin.
Things are picking up momentum.
Follow me on twitter too.   Smiley
http://twitter.com/brucewagner


Bruce!  Where have you been?  I was beginning to wonder if you had burned out on Bitcoin.

Any progress that you can report with regard to the POS system that you were working on in November?


We need more media coverage to boost mindshare and drawn in investors to speculate.  People are developing the apps and businesses that will fuel the raw demand.  BTC will continue to grow.   The sideways trading pattern is just breath catching after the huge run early this year. 
S3052
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March 27, 2011, 09:28:00 PM
 #280

Here is a special Bitcoin technical update, because as of today, my analysis can be found regularly on http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com. Thanks to tcatm, owner of bitcoincharts.com and bitcoinwatch.com  !!!

http://blog.bitcoinwatch.com/?p=20

Please donate here if you wish to see the Bitcoin Market Coverage continued:

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>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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