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Question: Bitcoin Forecast: What do you expect BTC/USD prices to do in the next 4 weeks?
Up
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Same as now
I don't know

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Author Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?  (Read 508951 times)
Vladimir
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June 14, 2011, 12:38:25 AM
 #941

are we gonna see the price hitting 25 today?  Roll Eyes

Bitcoin is a marathon, not a sprint, have some patience, people.  Cool


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brocktice
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June 14, 2011, 02:29:52 AM
 #942

are we gonna see the price hitting 25 today?  Roll Eyes
Bitcoin is a marathon, not a sprint, have some patience, people.  Cool

A marathon with really crazy interval training.

http://media.witcoin.com/p/1608/8----This-is-nuts

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kicir
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June 14, 2011, 05:26:23 AM
 #943

looks like it's heading south for the early part of this morning

hoki
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June 14, 2011, 04:30:53 PM
 #944

Bitcoin is a marathon, not a sprint, have some patience, people.  Cool

not everyone is mining  Wink

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YoYa
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June 14, 2011, 08:07:51 PM
 #945

Order book looks healthy, close on 10000 at 15, 15000 at 15, and raising to 20000 as it goes towards 13. Can't see ten in the current graph, but betting it's massive. Demand is there, but it's rather patient in light of last weeks volatility, will be interesting how things turn out.

Would love to speculate if it will go higher or lower, but unfortunately know what a useless exercise that will be. Indicators look good, let's leave it at that.
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June 14, 2011, 08:58:48 PM
 #946

There is almost a million $ worth of bitcoins for sale in the mtgox orderbook below the all time high of 32$. This is not bullish

>15years analysis experience

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Vladimir
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June 14, 2011, 09:06:33 PM
 #947

There is almost a million $ worth of bitcoins for sale in the mtgox orderbook below the all time high of 32$. This is not bullish

That's less than one day volume... not such a big deal...

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davout
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June 14, 2011, 10:12:47 PM
 #948

There is almost a million $ worth of bitcoins for sale in the mtgox orderbook below the all time high of 32$. This is not bullish

Hmm... It is too bad we can not see the whole orderbook.
The representation is pretty accurate nonetheless IMO, if you assume dark orders are evenly distributed.

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June 15, 2011, 05:04:15 AM
 #949

Here a technical update.
http://chart.ly/bkh9bpa

by the way, where is the StockTwits symbol $BCOIN to pick there. It was announced on bitcoinwatch but I cant pick it.
http://bitcoinwatch.com/

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

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andes
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June 15, 2011, 10:13:29 AM
 #950

My technical update.
The calm before the storm??   Shocked

http://i.imgur.com/XkCA6.png


0 years experience in trading. If you would like a donation for the wasted time, please send me your bitcoin address.  Grin
kokjo
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You are WRONG!


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June 15, 2011, 10:29:20 AM
 #951

My technical update.
The calm before the storm??   Shocked

http://i.imgur.com/XkCA6.png


0 years experience in trading. If you would like a donation for the wasted time, please send me your bitcoin address.  Grin

likely in the longterm, i think that the bitcoins is going +1000$ in 10 years. but right now its going down, because its overpriced.

"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves and wiser people so full of doubts." -Bertrand Russell
davout
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June 15, 2011, 12:02:02 PM
 #952

There is almost a million $ worth of bitcoins for sale in the mtgox orderbook below the all time high of 32$. This is not bullish

Hmm... It is too bad we can not see the whole orderbook.
The representation is pretty accurate nonetheless IMO, if you assume dark orders are evenly distributed.
THAT, my friend, is a pretty big assumption. You can try to use the visible order book for market analysis, and I suppose it could give you pretty good results if the variance is about what you expect... Until it isn't.
If you have enough you pretty much always trade dark, because you usually don't want to move the market either way. So I think it's not perfectly accurate but it's a reasonable assumption nonetheless.
You might argue that people put big normal orders to attempt to shift the market one way or another, but they probably even out.

Guess only mtgox knows Smiley

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June 15, 2011, 04:39:31 PM
 #953

I wonder of there is a way to tease out data on dark pool trades by correlating visible trades to block chain transactions...
You can see recent big deposits since mtgox moved a shit-ton of coins in a single transaction a couple of days ago, these deposits are probably big dark orders now.
But otherwise no.

proudhon
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June 15, 2011, 06:21:00 PM
 #954

My technical update.
The calm before the storm??   Shocked

http://i.imgur.com/XkCA6.png


0 years experience in trading. If you would like a donation for the wasted time, please send me your bitcoin address.  Grin

likely in the longterm, i think that the bitcoins is going +1000$ in 10 years. but right now its going down, because its overpriced.

When the exchange rate blasted into the 30s last week I got a little worried that my prediction of no higher than $20/BTC by the end of the year might be wrong.  I'm feeling more confident again.
S3052
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June 18, 2011, 07:38:24 AM
 #955

I have reset the market sentiment poll.


Up?
Same as now?
Down?
I don't know?

click on the poll above.

Please VOTE

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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nster
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June 18, 2011, 09:57:54 AM
 #956

My technical update.
The calm before the storm??   Shocked

http://i.imgur.com/XkCA6.png


0 years experience in trading. If you would like a donation for the wasted time, please send me your bitcoin address.  Grin

likely in the longterm, i think that the bitcoins is going +1000$ in 10 years. but right now its going down, because its overpriced.

When the exchange rate blasted into the 30s last week I got a little worried that my prediction of no higher than $20/BTC by the end of the year might be wrong.  I'm feeling more confident again.

My bet is no more than 50$ by the end of the year..... 20$ is just too low

167q1CHgVjzLCwQwQvJ3tRMUCrjfqvSznd Donations are welcome Smiley Please be kind if I helped
bitcola
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June 18, 2011, 07:58:18 PM
 #957

I should say that this technical analysis is extremely simplified: simple trendlines and RSI.

This is a lousy way to trade. No offence to the OP and his contributions, but do not rely on such limited analysis.

Better to take a fundamental view of where you think it will go in the medium and long term and why (justify it). Then use technicals for timing your trades to obtain good prices.


You can use the technicals any way you want. For example, one could say that what you actually have there is a descending triangle that has already broken on the downside and indicates a confirmed sell signal.

In fact, if it breaks your red line then I would say that is additional confirmation to sell and to go ahead and unload.
bitcola
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June 19, 2011, 06:51:17 AM
 #958

But so far it is telling me to get ready for $20-$27.

What is "it"?

Intuition is no way to trade. You must break everything down into logic and reasoning or you will get burned.

The technicals are way too volatile right now to infer a trend. Only a fundamental view can justify your theory it will run to $20-27. If so, what theory is that?
S3052
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June 19, 2011, 07:35:58 AM
 #959

Not everyone believes in technical analysis and this is fine. Everyone should chose where he is most comfortable with.

For myself and my followers and subscribers, there is great evidence that the technical analysis for bitcoins has worked and still is working very well to time trades.

>15years analysis experience

Always do your own due diligence & consult your financial advisor. Never invest unless you can afford to lose your entire investment.

http://twitter.com/BitcoinAnalyst

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Anth0n
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June 19, 2011, 02:42:58 PM
 #960

Not everyone believes in technical analysis and this is fine. Everyone should chose where he is most comfortable with.

For myself and my followers and subscribers, there is great evidence that the technical analysis for bitcoins has worked and still is working very well to time trades.


Are you still taking subscribers? I sent an email about it and did not get a response.
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