Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress]

[BADecker]

Well, thanks for clarifying where Ukraine's failure is. It's like that in the West, as well. The universities are the places that teach a bunch science theory as though it were science fact.

So, now we see why the Ukraine is crashing and Russia is growing. Russia has the engineers that keep proving to the Ukrainian scientists where and how their theories are wrong.

 

Your comedy show is amazing! The circus is crying for you! Have you thought about changing your keyboard to a big circus stage?

And I’ll leave the classic Russian primitive denial unnoticed - you can write as much as you like about the rise of Russia, but this will not change reality ... Even the Russian Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Statistics understood how bad everything is inside Russia, and they classified part of the previously open information and economic indicators But don't stop yelling about the greatness of Russia, it's even more fun

The RF just cannot import. This means that, despite having still a decent supply of foreign currency, RF cannot buy with it the stuff needed.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/05/25/russias-imports-fall-to-two-decade-low-a77794

Export data from 20 of Russia’s largest trading partners showed a 50% drop in imports to Russia in April compared to the same month a year ago, according to Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance trade group.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60125659

 You need a chip, go find one in the drawer. You need maintenance for your plane or spares? Go cannibalise other. Do you want to fly to another country? You cannot, your plane has not received the compulsory revisions - and will  not be receiving it. You want to sell Oil? You will sell it at a discount. Would you like to repair that specialised medical machine? You can't.

Let's put some numbers to it:

https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/imports#:~:text=Russia%20main%20imports%20are%3A%20machinery,agricultural%20products%20(14.5%20percent).

Russia main imports are: machinery, equipment and transport (45 percent of total imports), chemical products (19 percent) and foodstuffs and agricultural products (14.5 percent).

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/05/11/russia-sanctions-effect-military/

With Western technology sales banned, Russia is using computer chips meant for household appliances in battlefield gear, Commerce secretary tells a Senate hearing

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60125659

7.8%Official forecast of fall in Russian GDP in 2022. 30%Unofficial forecast of GDP collapse by IIF

Do you RF trolls around know what happens when the GDP of a country falls by 30%? I don't, but you are going to find out.

Do you have any idea what happens when people pick up on a need? Take a look at Pearl Harbor when the US entered WW2. The whole US nation became mobilized in ways that took out the Nazi's and the Jap's.

Everything that has been happening so far in Russia and the Ukraine hasn't really mobilized Russia yet at all. And most of the common people of the Ukraine are against fighting, because it's killing them.

The Ukraine would be nothing at all if the US didn't support her. And the people of the US are getting fed up with all these world wars the Government is getting them into.

If the US doesn't straighten up and give Ukraine to the Russians, the US people will wake up and replace the US government trouble-makers. It's starting, right now.

[1715664200]

1715664200

[LTU_btc]

About 1000 Russian troops were surounded in Vysokopolye by Armed Forces of Ukraine and now asking green corridor:
https://t.me/zsuwar/18321
https://odessa-journal.com/arestovich-confirmed-the-encirclement-of-a-group-of-russians-in-the-kherson-region-and-revealed-the-details/
Ukraine have big temptation to destroy them, but more likely that russians will have to surrender and will be taken as POW's

By trying to implicate Ukraine you're actually attacking Mother Russia because they've committed this act of nuclear terrorism in March 2022.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uP1RUMyzb1Y

Even if this is really a Ukrainian drone attacking, how can you prove the power plant was the target and not the occupants. These drones, regardless of who they belong to, are still doing less damage than Russian tanks did when they first assaulted the power plant and kept shooting at it like it was a military bunker. If somebody is the terrorist here it's Russia.

Attack of kamikaze drones was confirmed on Ukrainian media:
https://t.me/uniannet/65282 As you can see from video, they didn't attacked building of power plant. And I doubt that Ukrainians would be so dumb to do that.
And yeah, what Russia did back in March in Zaporizhia nuclear power plant was act of nuclear terrorism. And now they basically turned Zaporizhia NPP into their military base.

[paxmao]

About 1000 Russian troops were surounded in Vysokopolye by Armed Forces of Ukraine and now asking green corridor:
https://t.me/zsuwar/18321
https://odessa-journal.com/arestovich-confirmed-the-encirclement-of-a-group-of-russians-in-the-kherson-region-and-revealed-the-details/
Ukraine have big temptation to destroy them, but more likely that russians will have to surrender and will be taken as POW's

By trying to implicate Ukraine you're actually attacking Mother Russia because they've committed this act of nuclear terrorism in March 2022.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uP1RUMyzb1Y

Even if this is really a Ukrainian drone attacking, how can you prove the power plant was the target and not the occupants. These drones, regardless of who they belong to, are still doing less damage than Russian tanks did when they first assaulted the power plant and kept shooting at it like it was a military bunker. If somebody is the terrorist here it's Russia.

Attack of kamikaze drones was confirmed on Ukrainian media:
https://t.me/uniannet/65282 As you can see from video, they didn't attacked building of power plant. And I doubt that Ukrainians would be so dumb to do that.
And yeah, what Russia did back in March in Zaporizhia nuclear power plant was act of nuclear terrorism. And now they basically turned Zaporizhia NPP into their military base.

I have read about the RF troops being isolated and near capture. As I mentioned a few posts ago, all to be taking with a pinch of salt, but it seems that the RF cannot really fight in two fronts effectively and the east has been taking all the supplies.

I hope the capture of this group is confirmed and those RF soldiers are treated correctly as well. The RF psychos have managed to create such a destruction and hate...

[tvbcof]

...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/05/11/russia-sanctions-effect-military/

With Western technology sales banned, Russia is using computer chips meant for household appliances in battlefield gear, Commerce secretary tells a Senate hearing

I didn't read the article due to a pay-wall, but I can guess what it did and didn't say.

FWIW, a microcontroller is a microcontroller.  Most of the time, even on a complex system, it's job is pretty limited.  The failure rate, even in such a device destined for a dishwasher, would be pretty low and the durability acceptable for most things.  But...

If the Russians are using old processors, microcontrollers, FPGAs, etc in certain critical systems, my guess is that it would have more to do with security than with availability.  I myself favor ancient hardware for certain things because with every production run that goes by there is an increasing chance that hardware backdoors will have been inserted (at the behest of the likes of the intelligence apparatuses of various nations and under significant carrot/stick economic pressures associate with international trade, buyouts, etc.)

I have no idea how far down the road things are now, but I do remember industrial process hardware getting pretty badly hacked in Iran (with cooperation between the German manufacturer and certain intelligence agencies) and I know that at the higher end processors (PowerPC iirc) a hardware backdoor was brilliantly discovered by an independent researcher and on a pretty old unit.  I wouldn't rule out that pretty low-end microcontrollers are compromised by this time, and it might be difficult to buy a new one that isn't.

[be.open]

About 1000 Russian troops were surounded in Vysokopolye by Armed Forces of Ukraine and now asking green corridor:
https://t.me/zsuwar/18321
https://odessa-journal.com/arestovich-confirmed-the-encirclement-of-a-group-of-russians-in-the-kherson-region-and-revealed-the-details/
Ukraine have big temptation to destroy them, but more likely that russians will have to surrender and will be taken as POW's

Oh, have you brought fresh wet erotic fantasies of Lucy "talking ass" Arestovich?

[LTU_btc]

Oh, have you brought fresh wet erotic fantasies of Lucy "talking ass" Arestovich?

Actually, Arestovich wasn't prime source of these news. On various telegram channels it started to spread yesterday morning and initially it was written about 2000 troops, later it was confirmed that there is about 1000 troops.
Erotic fantasies of Arestovich or fairy tales of Konashnenkov. I rather pick first one.

[be.open]

Oh, have you brought fresh wet erotic fantasies of Lucy "talking ass" Arestovich?

Actually, Arestovich wasn't prime source of these news. On various telegram channels it started to spread yesterday morning and initially it was written about 2000 troops, later it was confirmed that there is about 1000 troops.
Erotic fantasies of Arestovich or fairy tales of Konashnenkov. I rather pick first one.

It is strange that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine does not know anything about this. But you continue to believe Lucy's fantasies and the fakes of various  telegram channels.

Meanwhile, on the territory of the Kherson region, the Odessa brigade, formed mainly from citizens of Ukraine, went through combat coordination. The main goal of the Odessa brigade is the demilitarization and denazification of Nikolaev and Odessa.

And the key points of the grain deal concluded the day before:
1. All restrictions on the export of food and fertilizers have been completely lifted from Russia
2. Completely unlocked the transit of goods to Kaliningrad through Lithuania
3. Ships going to Odessa to export grain will be inspected by Russia at the entrance and at the exit
4. Turkey will take grain from Odessa with a 25% discount

[tvbcof]

Oh, have you brought fresh wet erotic fantasies of Lucy "talking ass" Arestovich?

Actually, Arestovich wasn't prime source of these news. On various telegram channels it started to spread yesterday morning and initially it was written about 2000 troops, later it was confirmed that there is about 1000 troops.
Erotic fantasies of Arestovich or fairy tales of Konashnenkov. I rather pick first one.

I did a quick search to test some stuff out with gibiru engine (which I should use more.)  Alas, they seem to lack a sort-by-time feature.  Seems like each of the options to the mainstream joke engines (google, ddg, bing, etc) seems to have their own set of annoying limitations.

  https://soldat.pro/en/2022/07/23/ukrainskij-genshtab-ne-podtverdil-zayavlenij-arestovicha-ob-okruzhenii-tysyachi-rossijskix-voennyx-v-vysokopole-xersonskoj-oblasti/

At this point I cannot see any reason to keep Arestovich around except that 'they' for some reason WANT a Baghdad Bob (who happens to have a extra set of disturbing particularities on top of the Baghdad-Bob-ism.)  This whole 'Ukraine' thing started out smelling like a rat to me, and the odor keeps intensifying.

[VKcams.com]

“We can confirm the recent deaths of two U.S. citizens in the Donbas region of Ukraine,”

https://abcnews.go.com/International/americans-dead-eastern-ukraine-officials/story?id=87275130

[paxmao]

...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/05/11/russia-sanctions-effect-military/

With Western technology sales banned, Russia is using computer chips meant for household appliances in battlefield gear, Commerce secretary tells a Senate hearing

I didn't read the article due to a pay-wall, but I can guess what it did and didn't say.

FWIW, a microcontroller is a microcontroller.  Most of the time, even on a complex system, it's job is pretty limited.  The failure rate, even in such a device destined for a dishwasher, would be pretty low and the durability acceptable for most things.  But...

If the Russians are using old processors, microcontrollers, FPGAs, etc in certain critical systems, my guess is that it would have more to do with security than with availability.  I myself favor ancient hardware for certain things because with every production run that goes by there is an increasing chance that hardware backdoors will have been inserted (at the behest of the likes of the intelligence apparatuses of various nations and under significant carrot/stick economic pressures associate with international trade, buyouts, etc.)

I have no idea how far down the road things are now, but I do remember industrial process hardware getting pretty badly hacked in Iran (with cooperation between the German manufacturer and certain intelligence agencies) and I know that at the higher end processors (PowerPC iirc) a hardware backdoor was brilliantly discovered by an independent researcher and on a pretty old unit.  I wouldn't rule out that pretty low-end microcontrollers are compromised by this time, and it might be difficult to buy a new one that isn't.

Take a look at Iran's GNP after sanctions - unless you'd rather have some official comfort juice media. You can hack low-end processors, but the access to the technology critical for the electronic warfare is not found in PCs nor washing machines.

Oh, have you brought fresh wet erotic fantasies of Lucy "talking ass" Arestovich?

Actually, Arestovich wasn't prime source of these news. On various telegram channels it started to spread yesterday morning and initially it was written about 2000 troops, later it was confirmed that there is about 1000 troops.
Erotic fantasies of Arestovich or fairy tales of Konashnenkov. I rather pick first one.

Russian porn is considered a cultural thing as well in some circles.. On the topic, I take this possible capture of RF troops will either be confirmed soon or be just another "product" of the war. It will be quite easy to see how it ends and as I said, I take it with a pinch of salt.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/07/23/inch-by-inch-the-ukrainians-appear-to-be-pushing-south-toward-kherson/?sh=21d9d3f27e20

But the flimsy rumors swirling around the purported pocket of surrounded Russian troops in Vysokopillya belie the real pressure the Russians are under along the southern front of Russia’s five-month-old wider war on Ukraine.

Having expended the last of its prewar combat power capturing the twin cities of Severodonetsk and Lysychansk in eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region, the Russian army has hit pause on major offensive operations.

[be.open]

Orban said Ukraine will never win the war this way "quite simply because the Russian army has assymetrical dominance".

We are sitting in a car that has a puncture in all four tyres: it is absolutely clear that the war cannot be won in this way.

As Russia wants security guarantees, this war can be ended only with peace talks between Russia and America.

The opinion of Ukraine (and the European Union) on this issue already seems to be of no particular interest to anyone. It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with balls.

[Waradlain]

It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with Putins balls in his mouth.
Anyway, there is an honest question: does anyone have an idea how Hungary with their government fits in the Transatlantic security architecture? I mean, I don't follow imaginary countries much but I'm wondering what is the contribution of Hungary, how it makes the Alliance stronger and based on what was accedence at one time?

[suchmoon]

It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with Putins balls in his mouth.
Anyway, there is an honest question: does anyone have an idea how Hungary with their government fits in the Transatlantic security architecture? I mean, I don't follow imaginary countries much but I'm wondering what is the contribution of Hungary, how it makes the Alliance stronger and based on what was accedence at one time?

Even though they have a clown in charge, it's still probably better to have them in NATO/EU than not. Otherwise Orban would be sending troops to Ukraine to help Russia or at least providing airports etc (like Lukashenko).

[paxmao]

Orban said Ukraine will never win the war this way "quite simply because the Russian army has assymetrical dominance".

We are sitting in a car that has a puncture in all four tyres: it is absolutely clear that the war cannot be won in this way.

As Russia wants security guarantees, this war can be ended only with peace talks between Russia and America.

The opinion of Ukraine (and the European Union) on this issue already seems to be of no particular interest to anyone. It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with balls.

Erdo also says that high interest rates are the cause of inflation. Quite a lateral thinking, so I will accept your explanation that he is using his balls for consultancy.

It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with Putins balls in his mouth.
Anyway, there is an honest question: does anyone have an idea how Hungary with their government fits in the Transatlantic security architecture? I mean, I don't follow imaginary countries much but I'm wondering what is the contribution of Hungary, how it makes the Alliance stronger and based on what was accedence at one time?

Even though they have a clown in charge, it's still probably better to have them in NATO/EU than not. Otherwise Orban would be sending troops to Ukraine to help Russia or at least providing airports etc (like Lukashenko).

Turkiye and China would rather maintain an strategic neutrality in all this an simply take as much profit as possible. Erdogan is going to face elections quite soon - not that they are going to be clean and democratic most likely - and is playing a very peculiar economic policy consisting in not raising interest rates despite a triple digit inflation. Four fifths of the population are either plain poor or struggling to pay for basic staples. In a truly democratic country, he would be ousted.

However he is playing "big politics", selling drones, being the guarantor of treaties and being the "neutral" side in negotiations, dressing himself as an statesman while expelling one central bank governor after another. Overall, I do not think that it matters if Turkiye is or not in NATO - it certainly does not seem to matter to them.


@Waradlain
RE imaginary countries, I do not see how Hungary, that has centuries as national identity, is imaginary. The contribution to NATO... probably marginal as of now.

[Waradlain]

It looks like Orban is the last public politician in Europe with Putins balls in his mouth.
Anyway, there is an honest question: does anyone have an idea how Hungary with their government fits in the Transatlantic security architecture? I mean, I don't follow imaginary countries much but I'm wondering what is the contribution of Hungary, how it makes the Alliance stronger and based on what was accedence at one time?

Even though they have a clown in charge, it's still probably better to have them in NATO/EU than not. Otherwise Orban would be sending troops to Ukraine to help Russia or at least providing airports etc (like Lukashenko).

Given that decision-making in both NATO and the EU is based on consensus, is the participation of an direct russian shill that can veto any decision justified? Moreover, a russian shill that publicly declares "well yea men, we're considering the possibility of invading another country".

Also this

Hungary’s prime minister Viktor Orban may have an ulterior motive behind his reluctance to support the European Union’s extension of energy sanctions against Russia announced Wednesday. He may, in fact, want a piece of Ukraine.
Ukraine’s Secretary of the National Security Council, Oleksiy Danilov, said on Monday that Orban had allegedly been told of Russia’s plan to invade Ukraine well before it happened and that Orban said nothing because he hopes to secure a chunk of Ukraine for himself.

[VKcams.com]

"Two Americans, a Canadian and a Swedish citizen were killed this week"
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/23/americans-killed-russian-tank-attack-00047567

[DaRude]

"Two Americans, a Canadian and a Swedish citizen were killed this week"
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/23/americans-killed-russian-tank-attack-00047567

I thought the diplomacy hit a rock bottom and can't sink any lower, but it keeps surprising me

"We call on Russia to live up to its international obligations to treat all individuals captured fighting with Ukraine's armed forces as prisoners of war," they [State Department spokesperson] said.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/23/politics/americans-killed-ukraine-donbas/index.html
So they gave up trying to justify exceptions by claims of dual citizenship or whatever and now straight up saying that there are no more mercs at all? Does that mean that everyone will now have to treat all Iran's mercs in other conflicts as prisoners of war? Or it's another double standard that somehow only applies to Ukraine?

A top State Department official said that pressure from the global community and Russia's need for money from its own agricultural exports may have led Moscow to sign an agreement to allow Ukrainian grain to transit through the Black Sea. “This came together because, I think, Russia ultimately felt the hot breath of global opprobrium,” said Victoria Nuland, undersecretary of state for political affairs.

https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-07-22-22/h_d3eaea1b11c234af3193407e2f0f884f
Why why are they allowing Nuland to speak? Hasn't she done enough? The message was always clear Russia applying pressure to Ukraine #5 wheat exporter (8.5%) was the reason for global food shortages U.S. Treasury: Agricultural, Medical Products Not Part of Russia Sanctions Now Nuland goes off yapping her mouth admitting that apparently there was pressure from "global community" to a #1 agricultural exporter? So global shortages in food are because of pressure to a #5 exporter but not to #1 exporter?   someone take her microphone away!

[be.open]

Meanwhile, Boris Johnson is gearing up for a brilliant new career.

[tvbcof]

...

A top State Department official said that pressure from the global community and Russia's need for money from its own agricultural exports may have led Moscow to sign an agreement to allow Ukrainian grain to transit through the Black Sea. “This came together because, I think, Russia ultimately felt the hot breath of global opprobrium,” said Victoria Nuland, undersecretary of state for political affairs.

https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-07-22-22/h_d3eaea1b11c234af3193407e2f0f884f
Why why are they allowing Nuland to speak? Hasn't she done enough? The message was always clear Russia applying pressure to Ukraine #5 wheat exporter (8.5%) was the reason for global food shortages U.S. Treasury: Agricultural, Medical Products Not Part of Russia Sanctions Now Nuland goes off yapping her mouth admitting that apparently there was pressure from "global community" to a #1 agricultural exporter? So global shortages in food are because of pressure to a #5 exporter but not to #1 exporter?   someone take her microphone away!

On the grain export thing, I cannot understand why Putin wouldn't have said something like "Oh, Odessa has some security issues at the moment, but we've got Mariupol port all fixed up and safe.  Just truck the product up there if you like and there should be no problems.  The choice is yours."

In point of actual fact, it probably is more safe and convenient to use the diverse road systems going into the (formerly Ukrainian) Donbas which is now pretty safe and stable.  The South part around Odessa is congested and contested.  Forcing the product over the bridges which are under attack might at least calm some of the strife along at least some of the potential routes which makes (almost) everyone a winner.

[TwitchySeal]

"We call on Russia to live up to its international obligations to treat all individuals captured fighting with Ukraine's armed forces as prisoners of war," they [State Department spokesperson] said.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/23/politics/americans-killed-ukraine-donbas/index.html
So they gave up trying to justify exceptions by claims of dual citizenship or whatever and now straight up saying that there are no more mercs at all? Does that mean that everyone will now have to treat all Iran's mercs in other conflicts as prisoners of war? Or it's another double standard that somehow only applies to Ukraine?

A top State Department official said that pressure from the global community and Russia's need for money from its own agricultural exports may have led Moscow to sign an agreement to allow Ukrainian grain to transit through the Black Sea. “This came together because, I think, Russia ultimately felt the hot breath of global opprobrium,” said Victoria Nuland, undersecretary of state for political affairs.

https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-07-22-22/h_d3eaea1b11c234af3193407e2f0f884f
Why why are they allowing Nuland to speak? Hasn't she done enough? The message was always clear Russia applying pressure to Ukraine #5 wheat exporter (8.5%) was the reason for global food shortages U.S. Treasury: Agricultural, Medical Products Not Part of Russia Sanctions Now Nuland goes off yapping her mouth admitting that apparently there was pressure from "global community" to a #1 agricultural exporter? So global shortages in food are because of pressure to a #5 exporter but not to #1 exporter?   someone take her microphone away!

Nobody is stopping Russia from exporting grain...or any agriculture commodities...so...yeah....someone give her microphone back.