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1521  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: March 11, 2023, 01:47:22 PM
Said Nurmagomedov is massive favorite for me but odds are not great unless you play some special bet on him.
My pick in Multi Master Challenge is on Ariane Lipski to win and she is heavy underdog and it will be huge surprise, but I just like it.
I probably wont watch this event live but it is worth checking main card later.

Yeah, he has the potential to be a clean sweep, get the finish early on. However, I honestly think people put too much emphasis on the name, and just expect them to steam roll. Said, isn't Khabib, and definitely has shown several weaknesses. Now, I don't know if Jonathan Martinez is the man to put him to the sword, but he's got a decent record, and it should be at least a challenge. Also, I find Said a lot more risky than some of the others with an association of Khabib.

Ariane Lipski has the chance, but if I was to bet on her, I'd have to with the decision, hoping that she puts out enough volume. I don't she'll be finishing the fight, but there's a lot more value in the decision.

Jonathan Martinez is a decent fighter and is a live underdog in this spot.  My pick is still Nurmagomedov due to his durability and Martinez chin is kinda suspect but I'm not really sure why the books lined it this wide.  It should be closer imho.

Here's my lottery ticket after weigh ins.

Yan - Aldrich - Bautista
Add:  Dumas - Nurmagomedov - Harris
Add:  Spann - Williams
Add:  Petrino - Gravely
Add:  Volkov - Assuncao
Add:  Nam

^  It's really greasy.  Lol.  Pie shtters could be Yan, Baustista and Harris.  

UFC Vegas:  Weigh ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wvcSpY8Xr1A

UFC Vegas:  Face offs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_3oqvCkpP4

Watch Yan throat punch Dvalirjffj.  Hard to spell the guy's name.  Cheesy

Petr Yan (136) vs Merab Dvalishvili (134.5)
Alexandr Romanov (264.5) vs Alexander Volkov (258)
Nikita Krylov (213) vs Ryan Spann (213)  215-pound catchweight
Austin Lingo (145.5) vs Ricardo Ramos (154)*
Jonathan Martinez (135.5) vs Said Nurmagomedov (136)
Vitor Petrino (204) vs Anton Turkalj (205)
Lukasz Brzeski (245) vs Karl Williams (240.5)
Raphael Assuncao (136) vs Davey Grant (136)
Sedriques Dumas (184.5) vs Josh Fremd (186)
Mario Bautista (136) vs Guido Cannetti (136)
Tony Gravely (136) vs Victor Henry (136)
JJ Aldrich (125.5) vs Ariane Lipski (125.5)
Tyson Nam (125.5) vs Bruno Silva (125.5)
Jared Gooden (177)* vs Carlston Harris (169.5)

A couple of guys missed weight.  One fight cancelled.
1522  Economy / Gambling / Re: FORTUNEJACK.COM |Deposit 777 play with 1777 mBTC |Live Casino, Slots, Betting on: March 11, 2023, 01:39:46 PM
Nice promo, ampera. Been a while since I flexed on casino wager, but I'm too busy with sports betting these days (and even that's a pale shadow of the activity I used to have).

Anyone feel good about this week's MajSev? Most of the prolific teams are in on the list, and teams like Liverpool are on the rise. Salah? Nunez? Gakpo? Damn =D

Felt good with this round of Majestic 7 until I saw Bournemouth scoring a goal in against Liverpool first before HT.  I'm like 'ah it's one of those days.'.  Now I feel like my pick for the match, Salah, isn't getting one in.  Lol. 

Anyway here are my picks..  I guess it's no use hiding them now.

Salah
Toney
Felix
Haaland
Ings
Saka
Fernandes.

The best result I had this season is 4 right picks just last week.  Lol.  When was the last time somebody won 10k?  I think it was at the first month of last season. 

1523  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: What if its falls! Will altcoin survive? on: March 10, 2023, 12:51:10 PM



That's mean alternatively, if btc falls flat altcoin will dies off. What their deep relationship? Why btc important to altcoin, what's the connection in between? Will altcoins really survive without btc?

You're wrong.  Maybe you could be right at the time when Ethereum was just starting out.  But now?  Ethereum def doesn't need BTC to exist to survive.  Do you know how much in fees Ethereum generates on a daily basis?  I'd imagine it's more than double than what BTC generates.  And it's the most used blockchain in crypto right now, BTC not so much.  I don't think I have to check onchain activity to confirm it.

ETH is where it's gonna be all at bud, even with the technical inferiorities.
1524  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: March 10, 2023, 12:36:31 PM




I fully doubt that Mbappe would stay at PSG when Messi and Neymar were both the leave the club unless PSG can bring in at least one, or even better, two huge names from the soccer world into the team. If that is not the case, Mbappe won't be wasting his time playing with unknown names in Paris. They will try to keep Messi I think. For Messi it is also not the time yet to go to America. I think he wants to play the Champions League at least one or two times more and perhaps add one more title or beat Ronaldo's record for total goals scored.

Regarding Ancelotti, I would love if he remains the coach of Real Madrid. He is a real asset to the whole world of soccer. A true gentleman, a great coach who always finds respectful words both in times of awful defeats and in times of glorious victories. I like the attitude a lot and players and fans and everyone likes him.
He did say that Real Madrid will be hist last club, so it comes down to Real Madrid's plans and whether they want to fire him or not when he doesn't win anything. I must say that not winning anything this year doesn't mean he was a bad coach. Every team has these years where they fall a bit behind in the domestic league, perhaps get kicked out of the national cup (Copa del Rey in this case) due to rather unlucky circumstances and what not. Hopefully he is given another year to compete for more titles.

He was always destined to leave PSG sooner or later.  He has the profile for it.  Imagine...  Young player under 25, a profilic goal scorer, has the makings to win Ballon d'Or and all of the other high honors in European football, surely hungry to win something outside of Ligue 1 and a young guy like that prolly wants to make more money.  I mean what am I saying, he def wants to make more money.

I don't know where he'll end up but a player like him seems like Real Madrid is the best fit.
1525  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: AfreecaTV StarCraft League Prediction and Info Thread on: March 10, 2023, 12:23:11 PM
Won my parlay to break even and Round of 24 is done.  It has really been a fun one with unpredicable results.  I think it's due to these players are getting a little bit older now.  Their reflexes could be getting slower.  And if you played SC/BW, you know hand speed and APM matters as much as strats and meta.  This game isn't slow like Dota or League of Legends.  It's a couple of levels higher on the mechical skill side and the strat side.  IMHO.

Anyway, here are the guys who went through for Round of 16.

Group A
Action:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Action
sSak:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/SSak

Group B
Bisu:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Bisu
BarrackS:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/BarrackS
 
Group C
Ample:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Ample
Best:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Best

Group D
Snow:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Snow
Jaedong:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Jaedong
 
Group E
ZerO:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/ZerO
Shine:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Shine


Group F
Light:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/Light
JyJ:  https://liquipedia.net/starcraft/JyJ

Group selections for Round of 16 will be at March 15.
1526  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: March 10, 2023, 12:16:34 PM
^  I hate you.  Sad  Now I'm having second thoughts on my top ticket..  I put Harris on as I like him in this spot.  I like him a lot actually.  :/

We have the same picks except for a couple.  Here's how my lottery ticket could now look like...  I made a few changes as the lines changed and it's hard to get value at the top.  Yan could be my pie shtter.  Could change again after weigh ins.

Harris - Yan
Add:  Ramos - Dumas - Aldrich
Add:  Nurmagomedov - Spann
Add:  Petrino - Williams - Gravely
Add:  Volkov - Assuncao
Add:  Nam

I left Bautista out as he really doesn't give value with where his line is at.
1527  Economy / Gambling / Re: Rollbit.com | Crypto's Most Rewarding Casino 👑 on: March 09, 2023, 02:28:53 PM
..
you didn't get my response right. If you are OK with providing you documents, why do you disagree to make a video call! Your identity have been already disclosed the moment you've uploaded your gov. I'd.
Something is not matching here! Let's wait for more proofs.

I'd hate to go through a video call too.  I mean who wouldn't?  It's a hassle.  But I have never in my life experienced it in all my days of dealing with exchanges, poker sites and sports betting sites both fiat and crypto.  Maybe in my case it never really needed to go up to that point cos if an exchange or a gambling site is asking for a video call after you uploaded your passport or driver's license...  Something is up.  So you better make sure your face matches the the pic in the ID or you say good bye to your money.  :/
1528  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: March 09, 2023, 02:05:14 PM

Just wondering...  How many spots are getting paid out of 29?  Just so we know.  In the EPL pool I didn't know that 22 spots were getting paid until it was too late as I stopped trying to win and just started to clock buttons starting around November because I thought only 10 spots were getting paid.  Cheesy  I don't want to make the same mistake here in this pool.  Grin

Anyway..  Saudi Arabian GP next!  Let's see if Aston Martin can finish on the podium again.  They're the team to watch imho.

The final date for the pool participants to make the payment is March 17. And as there are still some participants who haven't made it yet we haven't announced the distribution table. But we would determine it concurringly. You can still fight for yellow cap in the PL pool as well. Tongue




Right right...  Was just curious.  Grin

And yeah, I wouldn't mind winning a free bet or two from getting a yellow cap at the EPL pool but it's also hard to do.  A lot of the guys now have decent knowledge of the game unlike some years prior.  It's really noticeable how everybody has leveled up in football, F1 and MMA.  Can't speak for the rest of the sports.

But maybe I shouldn't be taking those free bets for granted by making degen long shot parlays with them.  Lolol.  I think next time I'll make some bets that actually win.  I've wasted more than 10 of them.  That's like over 200 bucks!  I could've made a bigger parlay with that.  Cheesy Cheesy
1529  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: March 09, 2023, 01:56:08 PM
Liverpool will have a chance, Real is not some defensive giant that will kill the game. Hell, Liverpool had 2:0 in first game before Real broke them.

I expect Real to play bad game but I also expect them to pull together at some point and destroy Liverpool dreams. We all know what is Real in CL, no matter how bad it gets, 10 good minutes at the end is enough to turn it around and this time it may not even be necessary. Liverpool to win will be enough for me when betting.

Bayern - PSG tonight, I am hoping for goals galore, these 2 were a bit short on spectacle in first leg.

Oh for sure Liverpool has a chance to win.  But to get back on aggregate from a 3 - nil deficit vs Real, dunno.  They could but I think going to pens is more likely.  And a lot more fun!  But then it could be too big to ask for.  We'll see...  It's just Real Madrid as a team ain't no mental midget.  They're mentally solid and they're hard to break.

And not sure why the books have it at almost even between them.  Prolly the 7 - 0 trashing vs United swayed the line.  Lol.
1530  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: March 09, 2023, 01:42:47 PM


No offense for this, but does Jon Jones is deserved to become top 1 P4P in men's UFC? he was at 10th position and only fight once time with the best fighter in heavyweight, now he's beat Makhachev which previously have beat Volkanovski. From my personal opinion, Makhachev should be on top 1, Volkanovski top 2 and then followed with Jones to be in top 3.




Who knows...  I guess every fighter in his weight class has to challenge him now as the greatest P4P tag makes it more enticing for each challenger.  As for me, who cares about the P4P rankings.  I just want to watch these guys throw leather and try to won some money from my lottery tickets.  

And I noticed there were parlays that had more than 5 legs each that almost hit.  I'll show how I make my tickets in my next parlay and see if you guys like the structure better.  It's a bit safer as you put your most confident picks at the top as a break even ticket then add the bottom ones with your less confident picks.
1531  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: March 08, 2023, 02:25:25 PM
I wonder what's going on with Vettel rn...  Lol.  He's prolly giving his wife a hard time for giving him hints that he should retire from F1 as Aston Martin doesn't look like a team who could put him on podiums.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  Just one more season and he would've reaped the profits of his labor with the team.
I also thought about Vettel while watching race and that would be interesting to see him in current Aston Martin together with Alsonso. But last season it looked like he lost interest in F1 and probably even very competetive car would bring it back.

@tokeweed it seems that each and every Vettel fan is agreeing with you, but sadly he didn’t stick around otherwise I too believe that this podium spot belonged to him. Lastly I feel that his failure while driving for Ferrari had crushed his confidence, and post that he never really recovered even after moving on from them.

His failure in Ferrari is partly due to him and the team.  It's never really just about the driver or the team.  Imagine if Vettel was acquired at Mercedes and it was Hamilton who was at Ferrari.  Lmao.  I'm pretty sure Vettel would be at podiums while the weekly team radio compilation from Ferrari would be one for the history books.  Lolol.  Cheesy

I wonder what's going on with Vettel rn...  Lol.  He's prolly giving his wife a hard time for giving him hints that he should retire from F1 as Aston Martin doesn't look like a team who could put him on podiums.  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy  Just one more season and he would've reaped the profits of his labor with the team.
I also thought about Vettel while watching race and that would be interesting to see him in current Aston Martin together with Alsonso. But last season it looked like he lost interest in F1 and probably even very competetive car would bring it back.

Seriously tho, I think Vettel had already decided to quit before his two year contract with Aston Martin ended.  Would the performance of the car at his second year mattered for him to reconsider retirement is an open question.  I think he would've given it another couple of years if it looked promising imho.  Just sad seeing him go...
1532  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: March 08, 2023, 02:09:28 PM
I played the last year so i know so much points can be a winning round, and when i see i have 14.5 i say to myself, "Well maybe i win the round", but when i click in the leaderboard i see that tremendous 17 points made by fM.
Yeah, I'm having a similar impression because despite Leclerc did a DNF, I still had some good picks but seeing someone making 17 points is really surprising.  Cheesy
Last year in your Formula 1 pool, it was enough to have 11 Points for winning yellow cap for the first race (see here) and today, 11 points is just resulting in being somewhere in the lower midfield.  Cheesy
Sure: last year, Verstappen and Perez did an unexpected DNF as well as Leclerc did today but so much points difference in our pool is still surprising.

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

Just wondering...  How many spots are getting paid out of 29?  Just so we know.  In the EPL pool I didn't know that 22 spots were getting paid until it was too late as I stopped trying to win and just started to clock buttons starting around November because I thought only 10 spots were getting paid.  Cheesy  I don't want to make the same mistake here in this pool.  Grin

Anyway..  Saudi Arabian GP next!  Let's see if Aston Martin can finish on the podium again.  They're the team to watch imho.
1533  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: March 08, 2023, 01:57:06 PM
^  Real Madrid is ahead on aggregate by three goals against Liverpool and the next match is gonna be in Madrid.  It's gonna be a tall order for Klopp to ask for the same performance they did vs Man United as Real Madrid ain't no joke.  I know the away goal rule was abolished a couple of years ago but we can't deny that the home supporters have an effect against the visiting side of sorts esp in a stadium like the Bernabeu.

Don't get me wrong.  I'd like to have all the English teams at the next round.  Was stoked to see Chelsea win 2 - nil against BVB.  I'll be rooting for Liverpool but I'm not expecting much.
1534  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: March 08, 2023, 01:37:55 PM
~

Petr Yan is in a tricky situation right now. Guess where Merab Dvalishvili trains and who he trains with. I will give you a hint - he is a sparring partner of a guy who already has two wins over Yan (or one win Cheesy). Dvalishvili is now on a series of 9 wins. So if Dvalishvili follows gameplan, he has all chances to win. Dvalishvili weakness is defense from strikes, head movement. But he is good at wrestling. Petr starts slowly, but increase tempo in last rounds. With takedowns and ground work Merab is able to take first round, survive Petr striking  and win 2-1 or 3-2 aka split decision.

Hahaha I have seen the recent videos of Merab Dvalishvili training with Aljamain Sterling and when I have seen this fight card, it was all for Petr Yan all along, surely if Aljamain Sterling have mauled down Yan in their 2nd match he surely have the game plan and pattern to do it again unless Petr Yan have watched this training session, Petr Yan is not a simpleminded guy, if it's not working with Aljamain Sterling he and his camp will surely change their game plan, but I really like that Merab Dvalishvili is getting ready for it he surely doesn't underestimate his opponent,


Petr Yan actually is doing the same - he is (or probably was) in Thailand, training in Tiger Muay Thai. That is Petrs problem, he is to confident in himself, he gets same camps. That is why he looses by split decisions. Thanks to his skills two last fights were split decisions instead of unanimous. I think he is surrounded by wrong guys partially. He should try changing his fight plan instead of relying much on striking only. Aljo read him like a book with that in their second find and was controlling him smiling. Merab is going to do the same. If Petr wants to win, he should rush from the beginning, stop his usual slow start and increased tempo, otherwise Merab would win because he would take first two rounds, show some control during third round and win. P.S. Will it be 3 or 5 round fight ?

Yup...  Yan tends to be a slow starter and he usually gives up the first couple of rounds as he likes to get a read from his opponent before he launches his own attack.  I think it's why Sean O'Malley wanted to fight him.  O'Malley knew it was a huge step up in competition but then also knew that if he could win the first two rounds or at least the first round, he def has a good chance to win the match as it was just for three rounds.

This match is a 5 rounder, so Yan has some room to start slow.

UFC Free Fight:  Yan vs Sandhagen
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ImBiRV-wCOQ

UFC Free Fight:  Dvalishvili vs Moraes
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8bHNmrcN_Y
1535  Economy / Gambling / Re: Rollbit.com | Crypto's Most Rewarding Casino 👑 on: March 08, 2023, 01:26:42 PM
I'm sorry for posting this here, but as it is a serious complaint I was interested to know from the OP if this is true, here is the complaint:

Rollbit Withdrawal Frozen For $12,800 & No Response

I've seen many accusations so this is something normal, but in this story there is something that made me worried and that is the part where the person who is accusing the casino says that after making KYC the casino asked him to make a video call with him , and seriously? Is handing over documents and taking a selfie holding documents not enough for KYC? honestly if a casino asks for video call then that casino is at a very high level of KYC and for me this requirement is scary

Did you read his post?  He made a deposit of 12k and made a bet of 1k which won 800 bucks and decided to withdraw the whole thing.  You being a Stake user of all people should know that it would raise a red flag for the account.  From sports betting site's point of view, it's like the site is being used as a mixer of sorts.  I mean try doing the same thing at Stake or any book for that matter and I'm pretty sure the account would be flagged too.  And if a site is not doing it as a standard security measure then I'd call the site sketchy.
1536  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: AfreecaTV StarCraft League Prediction and Info Thread on: March 08, 2023, 09:31:41 AM
As you guys may have already noticed, this guy Soma is my pie shtter of the Round of 24.  If you follow the ASL long enough he's been a consistent figure in the Round of 16, so I really don't know what happened to him in his Ro24.  One thing noticeable about him tho is he got really fat.  Not sure how that translates in playing an RTS game.  Cheesy  Maybe mentally it does.  Lol.

Anyway to get my money back I parlayed Snow, Zero and Light.  Light the leg of the parlay is playing in around 30 minutes.  Leeezzgooo!



Here are the results from groups C to E...

ASL 15 Round of 24 Group C Results



ASL 15 Round of 24 Group D Results



ASL 15 Round of 24 Group E Results

1537  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: March 07, 2023, 01:16:03 PM
I'll probably be having a break in terms of betting, the events coming up don't particularly take my fancy. I'll still get some predictions out. Obviously, the next big event for me would be Izzy vs Alex again. Izzy has some value there too, considering he was winning their last fight up until literally the final moments Tongue.




Just bet small and have fun making greasy parlays.  Save the dough for trading when the bull market comes back.  Wink

Anyway the next three events are actually decent leading to UFC 287.  Not to mention that UFC 286 is gonna be in London.  That's gonna be crazyyy.  English fans hit different.

And here's the Multi Master.  Enjoy...

UFC Fight Night 221 - Multi Master Challenge
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5443781.0

My lottery ticket will prolly look more like this for more value.

Aldrich - Dumas
Add:  Williams -Bautista - Ramos
Add:  Nurmagomedov - Petrino - Yan
Add:  Spann - Volkov - Gravely
Add:  Nam - Assuncao
1538  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ Arsenal + Southampton + SPFC ⚽ (Thursday + Sunday) on: March 07, 2023, 01:02:06 PM
Game 1:  38, 40'
Game 2:  38, 35'
Game 3:  38, 25'
Game 4:  38, 20'
1539  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io - UFC Fight Night 221 - Multi Master Challenge - (Saturday) on: March 07, 2023, 12:59:06 PM
14. Petr Yan
13. Alexander Volkov
12. Nikita Krylov
11. Ricardo Ramos
10. Said Nurmagomedov
9. Vitor Petrino
8. Karl Williams
7. Raphael Assuncao
6. Sedriques Dumas
5. Mario Bautista
4. JJ Aldrich
3. Tony Gravely
2. Bruno Gustavo da Silva
1. Abubakar Nurmagomedov

NOT go the Full Distance:  5
1540  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: March 07, 2023, 12:54:33 PM
Then what is the situation for changing picks to sacrifice the early points? Smiley There must be one Smiley
Well I guess if you thought that Red Bull will have pole positions and made their drivers to finish on the podium and both have troubles with the car in qualifying and start from last positions you could change your pick to some other driver. Not gonna happen, but that rule with 2 points for early picks seems like great one for F1. Big influence on my decision to join, wanted to see how it works first hand.

This thing is harder than it looks and def harder than football prediction imho.  Like I have somewhat of an idea of the first 5 spots but 6 to 10 it gets a bit harder and that's where just clicking buttons begin.  Lolol.  Cheesy

And it seems like the couple early picks points isn't really worth it at the start of the season as we don't really know where these teams will be on the grid every race day.  That could change at the middle of the season tho.
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