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1061  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 16, 2023, 12:15:56 PM
Hey guys, weigh ins gonna start in three hours.  Sometimes it's good to see how some of these guys look before making your bets.  Like at UFC 289, I think it was TopTort777 who noticed that Dariush didn't really look that good on the scale.  The sharps were all over Dariush causing Oliveira's line to go a little bit deeper in underdog territory.  Smiley  And you guys saw what Oliveira did to him in the cage.  Dariush's durability was shot.  I mean was it a bad weight cut?  Dunno...  But with Dariush's case, there has to be some correlation with looking bad on the scale and getting finished in one round.

UFC on ESPN 46:  Vettori vs. Cannonier Official Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRu9uFMrFYw
1062  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for June on: June 15, 2023, 12:39:34 PM
And I guess sideways would look like this?



After the bounce, it looks like we're going back to how it was going prior to it.

Surprising to see most people vote sideways for a change. It's a good sign that people aren't too bullish right now at least, even if maybe they should be a bit more bearish given the current correction.

As for the sideways theory, I'm not too convinced. Once price eventually reaches $25K level, that's looking increasingly likely, it will either act as support or fail imo, rather than any prolonged attempt to hold it as support. I say this as there is a lot of fear in the market right now with what the SEC is up to, even if it doesn't directly effect Bitcoin what so ever, people are still selling regardless it seems.

Personally I still find it more likely for price to re-test around $23K, potentially with a more capitulation style candle/event given the current market sentiment, followed by a swiftly returning back above $25K. Not so dissimilar to $20K correction that quickly returned to $25K. Despite the background noise, I don't see much different so far with the current correction than that of March. The only difference is we haven't seen the quick move to the downside yet, but instead a slow grind downwards with low volume or support, but I think we are getting closer to an increase in volatility in order for lower prices to arrive.

There's a couple of guys who voted for it to go up.  It's going to be funny if they're the two guys who got it right.

Well it certainly wouldn't be out the question. Price is only down -5% this month, so ending the month >$27.2K would indeed be an up month, even if potentially not by a lot.

Anyway, I think the couple of sell downs that went to 25.3k could qualify for '25k' as it's more about the range than the actual number with these things.  So some room for error is fine imo.  But yeah...  Things are starting to move up to 26k again with some resistance.  Looks like it's not gonna be smooth sailing and your 23k call could happen.  :/

I agree that $25.3k could well qualify as testing $25K, as the previous highs were only around $50 less than that. However the issue I currently see is the close below the 200 WMA which will signal caution for many investors, even speculators, at least until it is reclaimed. At present, the $26.3K to $26.5K is now acting as resistance, where the 20 as well as 200 WMA are based, even if the week is still young.



I'd have much preferred a re-test of $25K prior to closing strong back above the 200 WMA, which would have signalled strength in the market. But instead last weeks close only signalled weakness. Hence without the combination of $25K previous resistance turning into new support, along with confirming the 200 WMA as support, I see the next realistic downside target as around $23K, close to the 50 Week MA.

Let's see what happens when US session starts in around 30 mins from now.

I'm not sure this is that relevant at present, as it's only relevant when traditional markets and Bitcoin are correlated, whereas in the past 5 weeks Bitcoin has corrected and S&P has broken to the upside, so there is now a short-term inverse correlation. While this could be a lagging indicator for a Bitcoin break-out in the near future, this still remains to be seen as price continues generally to the downside.

And as we were talking about 25.3k being qualified to be '25k', the real 25k was tested and was broken.  :/  If the daily candle doesn't close above 25k - 25.3k and it establishes itself as resistance, it looks like BTC could go back down to 19.5k - 20k range.  

And I'm not really sure why you're saying support is at 23k because this is what I'm looking at...  25k or so was tested twice during August and Feb, before finally breaking out at March.  Now it seems like it has flipped back to being resistance.

1063  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: MMA Info and Predictions - Bellator, KSW, PFL, ONE... on: June 15, 2023, 12:24:43 PM
As long as the free bet isn't expired and you made a bet out of it, the bet is live no matter when the expiry date for the free bet is.  So yeah...  I was looking around shopping for lines for my free bet and saw Volkanovski vs Rodriguez which going to be a week after this weekend's event.  Rodriguez at 4.00 seems like a good deal so I took it.  I'd imagine it to be around 3.10 - 3.20, maybe less even, on fight day.
Oh ok, I always thought I had to place a freebet before, so I probably missed on some nice bets.
For Rodrigez I dont think he can win against Volkanovski, Volk is a machine and he is going to give his best performance now after losing from Islam Makhachev few months ago.
Odds on Miles Johns against Raoni Barcelos looks great to me for this weekend in UFC.

As for Romero, yeah..  Would've wasted it on him.  But I do think he could make it really close.
Maybe in first round, he is toasted after that, if he survives that long Grin

Wdym?  Place the bets on events before the date that the free bet expires?  :/  Nah man, just make the bet on any event on any date before the free bet expires.  And even if it expires, I think Steve from Sportsbet could give you another one if a free bet expired and you hadn't used it for some reason.  Not sure.

As for Rodriguez, for sure Volk wins it.  But at 4.00, I think Rodriguez could win one if they fought 4 times.  Just playing with numbers in my head.  And it's just a free bet.  Grin
1064  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 15, 2023, 12:16:26 PM
^  Vettori has more volume, he's a better wrestler and prolly more durable than Cannonier even though Cannonier looks like a scary gorrila.  But there's something about Cannonier that makes fighters become less aggressive and less likely to follow the same game plan that they originally have.  It turns them into counter strikers just like him.  Lol.  Maybe it's the..  Oh I don't know...  His KO power?  Cheesy

But yeah, I have Cannonnier but not that confident to put a bet on it.
1065  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Looking for the Next Great 1000x on: June 14, 2023, 12:49:43 PM



 Started a watch list again for PEPE, BOB, WOJAK, TURBO, LADYS and BOBO.


Check out the list, looks like memecoins are back in vogue.  Except for PEPE and BOB, the rest are up today by at least 10%.  But overall they're all in the green.  Not bad with all the shenanigans going on in the market rn and with the SEC going after exchanges and branding alts as unlicensed securities.  :/  But guess what, memecoins are not securities so fk that guy Gensler.  Lmao.  He basically needs to shut Ethereum down to stop all the trading going on in DeFi right now.  Something that can't just be done that easy.

They're too late.
1066  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: MMA Info and Predictions - Bellator, KSW, PFL, ONE... on: June 14, 2023, 12:38:18 PM



I should've bet my Sportsbet free bet on Romero instead of Rodriguez.  Grin
Can you place a free bet if it expires before the date when this fight is starting?
This whole Bellator fight card in available early on Sportsbet but I think your bet on Romero would be wasted.
He has minimal fighting chance to win against Nemkov who is in top form and one of the best Light Heavyweight fighters in the world.
Nemkov has a reach advantage and he is 16 years younger, so only chance for Romero is some surprise KO punch.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/bellator/bellator-297/matches

As long as the free bet isn't expired and you made a bet out of it, the bet is live no matter when the expiry date for the free bet is.  So yeah...  I was looking around shopping for lines for my free bet and saw Volkanovski vs Rodriguez which going to be a week after this weekend's event.  Rodriguez at 4.00 seems like a good deal so I took it.  I'd imagine it to be around 3.10 - 3.20, maybe less even, on fight day.

As for Romero, yeah..  Would've wasted it on him.  But I do think he could make it really close.
1067  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2023 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread on: June 14, 2023, 12:26:17 PM
^  I like rain on some tracks, no rain for most others.  Like Spa Belgium, Suzuka Japan and Silverstone, I don't like it to rain in specifically those tracks because those are the races I look most forward to every year.  As for others, I could care less.  If it's possible, I wish it would rain in the desert.  Lol.  Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and the newer tracks are mostly boring.  Rain would be welcome there.

But I think Singapore's night race would be very interesting if it rained.  It would make the ambiance more exciting.

Here's the Canadian GP schedule for anybody interested.

2023 Canadian GP Schedule
Friday, 16 June:  Practice 1  13:30 - 14:30
Friday, 16 June:  Practice 2  17:00 - 18:00
Saturday, 17 June:  Practice 3  12:30 - 13:30
Saturday, 17 June:  Qualifying  16:00 - 17:00
Sunday, 18 June:  Race  14:00
1068  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 14, 2023, 12:16:42 PM
I mean how could the UFC market Adesanya vs Whittaker 3?

How many times Figueredo fought Moreno? How many times Conor fought Poirier ? Adesanya met Pereira 4 times... Cheesy It is so hard to get a title fight nowadays. Ranked guys dont want to fight unranked or those who are lower than they are. It is so stupid to see same guys fight each other again and again, that UFC should make a best of 3 or something like that to get a belt. Like NHL and NBA have in later part of tournament. (best of 3 or 5, I dont remember).

Moreno was a tough match up for Fig tho, who at the time Fig was like thought to dominate 125 for years like how Anderson Silva dominated the middle weight division.  Little did we know there was a little guy from Mexico who would change the landscape in the fly weight division.

Anyway looking more closely at this weekend's match ups, it could be one of those cards for underdogs.  There could be around 7 underdogs winning it.  Should've thought it over before making my picks at the Multi Master.
1069  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for June on: June 13, 2023, 12:57:49 PM
And I guess sideways would look like this?



After the bounce, it looks like we're going back to how it was going prior to it.

Surprising to see most people vote sideways for a change. It's a good sign that people aren't too bullish right now at least, even if maybe they should be a bit more bearish given the current correction.

As for the sideways theory, I'm not too convinced. Once price eventually reaches $25K level, that's looking increasingly likely, it will either act as support or fail imo, rather than any prolonged attempt to hold it as support. I say this as there is a lot of fear in the market right now with what the SEC is up to, even if it doesn't directly effect Bitcoin what so ever, people are still selling regardless it seems.

Personally I still find it more likely for price to re-test around $23K, potentially with a more capitulation style candle/event given the current market sentiment, followed by a swiftly returning back above $25K. Not so dissimilar to $20K correction that quickly returned to $25K. Despite the background noise, I don't see much different so far with the current correction than that of March. The only difference is we haven't seen the quick move to the downside yet, but instead a slow grind downwards with low volume or support, but I think we are getting closer to an increase in volatility in order for lower prices to arrive.

There's a couple of guys who voted for it to go up.  It's going to be funny if they're the two guys who got it right.

Anyway, I think the couple of sell downs that went to 25.3k could qualify for '25k' as it's more about the range than the actual number with these things.  So some room for error is fine imo.  But yeah...  Things are starting to move up to 26k again with some resistance.  Looks like it's not gonna be smooth sailing and your 23k call could happen.  :/

Let's see what happens when US session starts in around 30 mins from now.
1070  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: MMA Info and Predictions - Bellator, KSW, PFL, ONE... on: June 13, 2023, 12:38:37 PM
For me, there is a fight and a chance for Yoel Romero to get the Light Heavyweight belt for Bellator and be the oldest 46 years old champion,

Bellator 297: Nemkov vs. Romero

Date and Time: Friday 06.16.2023 at 06:00 PM ET
Promotion: Bellator MMA
Location: Chicago, Illinois, United States



MAIN EVENT
Vadim Nemkov VS Yoel Romero

CO-MAIN EVENT
Sergio Pettis VS Patricio Pitbull

MAIN CARD
Corey Anderson VS Phil Davis
Daniel James VS Gokhan Saricam

PRELIMINARY CARD
Kyle Crutchmer VS Bobby Nash
Pieter Buist VS Gadzhi Rabadanov
Jaleel Willis VS Ramazan Kuramagomedov
Karl Moore VS Alex Polizzi
Wladmir Gouvea VS Gabriel Sayeg
Archie Colgan VS Emmanuel Sanchez
Mike Hamel VS Shamil Nikaev
Norbert Novenyi Jr. VS Kamil Oniszczuk
Timur Khizriev VS Richie Smullen
Jordan Newman VS Matthew Perry
Cody Law VS Edwin Chavez
Max Metzgar VS David McKinney

Information was from Tapology: https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/99770-bellator-297-nemkov-vs-romero



I'm not really familiar with most of the match ups except for the main event, the co main and the Anderson vs Davis match up.  I think if Yoel Romero shows up like he was when he fought Robert Whittaker, he could make the fight really close.  Nemkov's TD defense improved as shown in the second fight vs Corey Anderson but Romero's wrestling is on another level.  He could be a problem imho.  Let's see if his cardio holds up tho.  Like you said, he's already 46. 

I should've bet my Sportsbet free bet on Romero instead of Rodriguez.  Grin
1071  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 13, 2023, 12:27:26 PM
^  I don't think either of those guys will go on to get another title shot.  I guess the winner will get another top 5 guy while the loser will the thrown to a top prospect.  Lol.  As for Whittaker vs Du Plessis, I think Du Plessis gets a chance to fight for the belt due to being a new face at top 5 but Whittaker winning will make it iffy for the match makers.  He deserves another title shot imo but he already fight Adesanya twice and lost.  :/  I mean how could the UFC market Adesanya vs Whittaker 3?

Anyway, here's another fight replay.  Enjoy...

UFC Free Fight:  Canonnier vs Brunson
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zlGB3PuddUo
1072  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ EURO 2024 Qualifiers ⚽ GOALFEST ⚽ [Friday + Saturday] on: June 13, 2023, 12:17:24 PM
70 goals
1073  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🏎️🏁 Canadian Grand Prix 🏁🏎️ Prediction Contest on: June 13, 2023, 12:15:45 PM
1. Verstappen
2. Verstappen
3. Verstappen
4. 15 seconds
1074  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io - UFC on ESPN 47 - Multi Master Challenge - (Saturday, 17 June) on: June 13, 2023, 12:12:18 PM
14. Jared Cannonier
13. Arman Tsarukyan
12. Christian Duncan
11. Lucas Almeida
10. Manuel Torres
9. Muslim Salikhov
8. Raoni Barcelos
7. Alessandro Costa
6. Kyung Ho Kang
5. Denys Bondar
4. Felipe Bunes
3. Tereza Bleda
2. Ronnie Lawrence
1. Zac Pauga

NOT go the Full Distance:  5
1075  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Looking for the Next Great 1000x on: June 12, 2023, 12:31:22 PM
^  I checked out ORDI.  And with ORDI's market cap at around 100 million USD, 1000x means its market cap will be at 100 billion?  Lmao.  For a project that a lot of maxis love to hate on, I don't think it's gonna go to a market cap past 3 - 5 billion at peak bull market.  Dunno...  

But the first thing everybody should check is the current market cap and the fully diluted valuation.  The price and supply cap aren't really good metrics to use to determine how high an altcoin could possibly go.  Better to check out projects with very low market caps.
1076  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ [POLL] FOOTBALL: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 on: June 12, 2023, 12:24:03 PM
^  Yeah I was so drunk just laughing, throwing popcorn and posting on here with all caps.  Cheesy  And yes, there was the one that hit the bar too.  I think it's fair to say that City was lucky in that match but I think it's also fair to say that a little luck going a club's way is really needed to win a one match KO game. 

All in all there was a guy who said he wanted to see pens.  I think that would've been an epic ending too.

So...  Is Guardiola still City's manager next season?  Does anybody else think they could win another UCL title back to back?  :/
1077  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: June 12, 2023, 12:16:32 PM
^  Yup, I wanna see the UFC run it back and have those guys go at it again.  Oliveira made a dumb mistake with the no so well executed flying knee and he got caught straight at his chin then on he went groggy straight to the mat.  Lol. 

As for Nunes, happy to see somebody have a happy ending.  She has some money, her health and a beautiful family.  Smiley

Anyway, on we go to the next event!  I honestly don't know a lot of these guys that much but there should be some bangers here and there.  Main event is decent tho.

Here's a fight replay for Vettori

UFC Free Fight:  Vettori vs Hermansson
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PxAr-BLKX8w
1078  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: June 10, 2023, 08:50:00 PM
PEP MINI HEART ATTACK LMAOOO!!!
1079  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ [POLL] FOOTBALL: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 on: June 10, 2023, 08:30:35 PM
RODRIIIIIIIIII

Edit:  LUKAKU DEFENDING FOR CITEH!!!  HAHAHAHAHA!!!

Edit:  Wow...  City won the treble.  A lot of people could say they're a money club but what they've done tonight, finally winning the UCL has made them immortal.  What a special moment.  

And come to think of it, I also watched the dramatic match when they first won the EPL around 12 years ago.  Time flies.  Wow...

Think I'm gonna sleep now.  Too drunk to watch UFC 289.
1080  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ [POLL] FOOTBALL: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 on: June 10, 2023, 07:38:24 PM
Damn...  Sad to see KDB go.  Sad

Edit:  HT and I feel like it's gonna be one hilarious night after this match ends.  City's CL curse is real.
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