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1661  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 16, 2013, 09:58:56 PM
Assuming betting remains steady SDICE should see rise in bitcoins received (and stock value in BTC) when BTC/USD falls. Reverse if it rises.
1662  Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] Asset Exchange Marketplace + Rewritable Options Trading on: April 16, 2013, 06:42:41 PM
I want to thank Ukyo for letting me take out as much of my btc as I want any time of day.
1663  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 16, 2013, 02:22:23 AM
What matters more to me is the ultra-steady 1.9% edge line because that's indicative of longer term profits and this month - the last few days in particular- have shown it getting pretty close to flat.

Can someone remind me why we care about the 1.9% margin? I mean, if I wanted to make 1.9%, on average, for a term of say one year, then I might as well keep my fiat in the bank and not assume the risks associated with the stock price or SD being out-competed. Not to mention the risk associated with BTC/USD rate that apparently influences SD share price.

Your bank pays you 1.9% on every transaction? Even with bad months, and splitting profits 100m ways, SDICE probly pays better interest than anything your bank offers...
1664  Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx on: April 15, 2013, 07:22:26 PM

Trading is not done via IRC, trading is done by ... the irc bots, ...

Make up your mind, is it or isn't it done by IRC?

Why are you being difficult? IRC trading was an added feature to combat the bad DDOS attacks a month or so ago. You CAN use it, you do not HAVE to.
1665  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: [LTC][Pool][PPS]notroll.in PPS Pool -scam alert- on: April 14, 2013, 11:21:00 PM
After the last few days with all this going on i have move to www.wemineltc.com and plan to leave my miners there

and ofc i have learned set auto payouts low to cut down on the risks of getting hit like this

Guys, everyone is SO excited about wemineltc!   ... ....  ... .  .   .   Tongue
1666  Economy / Speculation / Re: Yet another analyst :) on: April 14, 2013, 04:47:14 PM
You sure there won't be a short rally Sunday/Monday first?
1667  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: Weekly pool and network statistics on: April 14, 2013, 01:44:17 PM
If you haven't already done so, could you run an analysis testing whether there are possibly ASICs mining above and beyond what ASICMINER and Avalon have publicly noted?
1668  Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] My name is Bond. MPOE Bond. ( Jan: 9.99%, Feb: 4.8% Mar: -23%) on: April 14, 2013, 11:54:28 AM

2 simple questions:
1) Is this bot writing naked calls
2) If bot lost money, YOU (bond holder) loose your invested principal and promised %?


That's one question and statement, which, ironically, contains your answer.
1669  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 14, 2013, 11:52:30 AM
If I've understood this right the 1.9 edge figure reflects the "BTC In" sum and the 1.9% line on the chart showing pretty flat tells me that 'BTC In' in is also pretty flat.  Have I missed something here?

I don't think so.  I think you're both looking at much the same thing, in that they're both indicators of the bet volume rather than the (short term) profitability.

The following is the amount of "BTC In" for SatoshiDice.com for four 4-week periods:   
   BTC IN
Jan 16th   1992532
Feb 13th   1174083
Mar 13th   240936
Apr 9th   121371
Thanks both.  That clears that one up for me and is affirmed by looking at the upper chart of dooglus's pair for the same time frames where we can see the 1.9% edge line showing proportionally the same jumps over the same time periods.  I was under the understanding however that the primary reason for the massive drop after Feb was more to do with the disappearance of a 'whale' rather than anything to do with usd/btc.  But maybe ThickAsThieves, your assumtion has some merit in explaining the halving in revenue between the latter pair of periods.  This is not as obvious just by looking at the charts - which lazily has been my means of keeping tabs on how my investment is doing.

The whales certainly distorted things. Would be great to have them back though.
1670  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 14, 2013, 05:43:07 AM
If I've understood this right the 1.9 edge figure reflects the "BTC In" sum and the 1.9% line on the chart showing pretty flat tells me that 'BTC In' in is also pretty flat.  Have I missed something here?

I don't think so.  I think you're both looking at much the same thing, in that they're both indicators of the bet volume rather than the (short term) profitability.

The following is the amount of "BTC In" for SatoshiDice.com for four 4-week periods:   
   BTC IN
Jan 16th   1992532
Feb 13th   1174083
Mar 13th   240936
Apr 9th   121371

1671  Economy / Speculation / Re: Yet another analyst :) on: April 13, 2013, 06:19:56 PM
http://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/    TIMBERRRRRRRRRRRR!
1672  Economy / Securities / Re: S.DICE - SatoshiDICE 100% Dividend-Paying Asset on MPEx on: April 13, 2013, 05:41:59 PM
You can buy shares at the following places:


havelockinvestments.com
bitfunder.com
btct.co
coinbr.com
mpex.co
1673  Economy / Speculation / Re: Yet another analyst :) on: April 13, 2013, 04:47:50 PM
Short run up, then a deep run down.
1674  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 13, 2013, 03:53:40 PM
The sums provided are all-time cumulative. You need to do some math to compare changes in BTC In over time. More hints: Compare the daily BTC In from the last 2 or 3 reports. Then compare the BTC In for the last four 4-week periods. Then realize that SDICE income is highly tied to BTC/USD.
1675  Economy / Securities / Re: [BTCTC][[ASICMINER-PT]] - Public trading of ASICMINER shares on: April 13, 2013, 02:46:37 PM
Auctioning USB miners is not ideal. Just pick a price and sell them. If they sell out, too bad, wait for next batch.
1676  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 13, 2013, 02:00:16 PM
Expect it to look a lot better in coming days. With BTC value lowering, people will make larger/more BTC bets.

It was the same price or less for all of march ! didn't see people make large bet in march  !?
Yes, I'm not seeing that happening either - especially given that many will have bought them at a much higher price than today.  My guess is they might treat them with a little more care.  However there's always the new influx which I still suspect make up the majority of plays.


You both don't see it because you aren't looking in the right place. Hint: "BTC In"
1677  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: April 13, 2013, 10:48:43 AM
Expect it to look a lot better in coming days. With BTC value lowering, people will make larger/more BTC bets.
1678  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 12, 2013, 04:12:42 PM
Wow, fucking awesome!
1679  Economy / Speculation / Re: Yet another analyst :) on: April 12, 2013, 03:27:47 PM
stocks....


You mean bitcoin stocks, or?
1680  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: PSA: Bitcoin's survival and long term prospects depend on MtGox getting killed. on: April 11, 2013, 03:38:36 PM
I'll take the pledge.
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