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1141  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2018, 02:24:54 AM
I am so very, very bored.

Malaise sets in.

... stares out from behind a cold, frosted window. alone in the darkness. all is quiet in the wilderness. the herd is safe and sound. slow exhalations build up condensate on the window. a hand reaches out from beneath a swaddling blanket and aimlessly draws trails. the forefinger begins to chill.

Last time I was bored I joined a Facebook crypto group.

Do yourself a favor and... don't do that.

Save time, and just stick the pencil in your eye beforehand.  Then you can avoid the whole fecesbook thing, and skip straight to the pain management.
1142  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2018, 02:22:44 AM
How can you be bored?  Is there nothing that you want to learn?  I can't remember the last time there were enough hours in the day.  Giving up that working BS helped.  Not true.  It's worse now.  Better rethink retirement, old man!

Naw, brother. It's not like that. Just introspective hell right now, with everything coming up, and my partner being out of town.

Still have some work I need to trudge through, and just can't find the motivation lately.

Know what I mean ? Winter blahs starting to get to me. Can't wait to move out of Montana end of March. Hate the snow.

Moving further South.

Looking forward to pursuing passion projects, that I really can't start on now, for... reasons.

Ya, I hear that.  Go rip the Porsche around in the snow.  That will raise the heart rate, focus, and elicit a YEE HAW at the very least  Tongue
1143  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2018, 01:53:46 AM
I am so very, very bored.

Malaise sets in.

... stares out from behind a cold, frosted window. alone in the darkness. all is quiet in the wilderness. the herd is safe and sound. slow exhalations build up condensate on the window. a hand reaches out from beneath a swaddling blanket and aimlessly draws trails. the forefinger begins to chill.


How can you be bored?  Is there nothing that you want to learn?  I can't remember the last time there were enough hours in the day.  Giving up that working BS helped.  Not true.  It's worse now.  Better rethink retirement, old man!
1144  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 26, 2018, 12:59:42 AM
I was looking into opening a Bitfinex account and ran across the fact that you need to deposit$10k to start, is that correct or is that just for fiat transfers or some such thing? Sounds nuts to start with that much on an exchange that will probably tank when the Tether train crashes and burns. Also IIRC all it's fiat portals have been shutdown by the Fed (correct me if I'm misremembering).

I logged in to check, and didn't see that.  Only that any crypto deposit valued less than $1000 will be charged a small fee, while larger deposits are free to make.  USD or Euro deposits require verification to even look at terms, so I can't help you there.
1145  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2018, 12:16:22 AM
In the end, it's all a gamble, I just like the odds better on some of them that few people see for now (then everyone else will see it and have their "Napster" moment, that one dies and gets "torrented", but the world changes anyway.)

Mostly is that latecomers feel that btc can hardly make another 10X+ from current levels, so they end buying lottery tickets priced $1 or less to have their chance for a 100-bagger, without even looking at the monetary base or any other technical spec of their tickets.

I feel like this is the *real* reason. The delusion these people feel is trying to justify the "reasons" why they are doing it, but they can't ignore the underlying reality.

Also, will it surprise them when Bitcoin does indeed do another 10X or 100X? It will, the only factor is how long it will take. Bitcoin is held by < 0.01% of the world population. Not every millionaire in the U.S. has any bitcoin. Wall Street hasn't even begun to up-leverage Bitcoin, because they don't have a way to do it effectively yet.

  Projecting one's own motives and beliefs/understanding onto the great unwashed is I think the most common delusion among (otherwise?) intelligent people.  In this echo chamber,  BTC is best because technical analytical blah blah, where clearly the world at large cares not at all.  It is the $$ and <b> adoption of these uninformed and unintelligent masses that is required to make 'progress'.  Catering to them may be a sell out, but it is undeniably effective. </b>

This. Some days I sit in disbelief at the ignorance of what can be refered to as "the masses".  The intelligent to  stupid ratio seems tipped in an unfavorable direction.

It often seems as if everything in day to day living is based on the simple task of manipulation.  I say "simple" because it often seems way too easy to sway the opinion of "the average person" or make them think they need something that may be completely worthless.

Ty Warner built a net worth of $2.5 billion by selling animals stuffed with fucking beads.  Hell... the guy who sold Snuggies even made a cool $200 million.  No one needs a beanie baby or a snuggie but, they were manipulated into believing there was a need for them.

Crypto is overrun with everyone and thier cousin making alt coins and promoting them. Shit... the other day I saw a coin called "DeezNuts" https://deeznuts.in. I wonder often if as we approach mass adoption that marketing and advertising will push an undeserving coin with poor tech ahead of Bitcoin as "the masses" gobble it up.  Sure the tech behind it might be shit but, that's not always never, or rarely the most important thing to "the masses".

Or maybe I'm just paranoid.

For your consideration:

Think on how stupid the average person is.  Now grok the fact that fully half of the population is dumber than that.  It is somewhat scary.  Just because you are paranoid, doesn't mean they are not out to get you.
1146  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 11:36:15 PM
well now...
just got my head wrapped around this merit business then I see we
now have copper members.  Theymos has been busy I guess...

Is it still 50BTC to change your username?
1147  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 11:30:26 PM
In the end, it's all a gamble, I just like the odds better on some of them that few people see for now (then everyone else will see it and have their "Napster" moment, that one dies and gets "torrented", but the world changes anyway.)

Mostly is that latecomers feel that btc can hardly make another 10X+ from current levels, so they end buying lottery tickets priced $1 or less to have their chance for a 100-bagger, without even looking at the monetary base or any other technical spec of their tickets.

I feel like this is the *real* reason. The delusion these people feel is trying to justify the "reasons" why they are doing it, but they can't ignore the underlying reality.

Also, will it surprise them when Bitcoin does indeed do another 10X or 100X? It will, the only factor is how long it will take. Bitcoin is held by < 0.01% of the world population. Not every millionaire in the U.S. has any bitcoin. Wall Street hasn't even begun to up-leverage Bitcoin, because they don't have a way to do it effectively yet.

  Projecting one's own motives and beliefs/understanding onto the great unwashed is I think the most common delusion among (otherwise?) intelligent people.  In this echo chamber,  BTC is best because technical analytical blah blah, where clearly the world at large cares not at all.  It is the $$ and adoption of these uninformed and unintelligent masses that is required to make 'progress'.  Catering to them may be a sell out, but it is undeniably effective.
1148  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 11:14:36 PM
They have been asking me for sources of daily info on bitcoin because they want to invest in bitcoin when it goes live on robinhood in February.

So newcomers would better save like 0.25% fees and buy from some unestablished exchange rather than going with a reputable one, i.e. trading since 5+ years? I don't get it. But yeah, I'm Swiss, so you know... Grin

I asked that question. There were 2 common responses.

1. No fees
2. "I can trade between stocks and crypto without transferring funds."

*Edit - they already have robinhood accounts for stocks.

So... just found this:

" Cryptocurrency prices are notoriously volatile. To counter that, Robinhood Crypto gives users an estimated price, and once users confirm a buy or sell order, they scan a gamut of trading venues, exchanges and market centers to find the lowest offer, TechCrunch explained. To account for wild price fluctuations, the service puts a 'collar' around your order; If it can't find a price within this margin, it will wait until one surfaces to execute your order or inform you."

Sounds like an awful lot of work for no fees being charged.

Will they offer crypto withdrawals?  Or just rehypothecate with abandon, like stocks?

It seems like no one is sure if you can deposit or withdraw crypto. I searched online for some more info and found lots of people asking the same question with no one having answers. I would speculate that you can not make withdrawals in the form of crypto.

Whereupon I would speculate that no work is being done, and no (or little) crypto is being purchased or held, requiring no fees to pay for such.  Yes, of course I am a cynic.  No wonder they cater to those with scant resources.
1149  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 10:48:18 PM
They have been asking me for sources of daily info on bitcoin because they want to invest in bitcoin when it goes live on robinhood in February.

So newcomers would better save like 0.25% fees and buy from some unestablished exchange rather than going with a reputable one, i.e. trading since 5+ years? I don't get it. But yeah, I'm Swiss, so you know... Grin

I asked that question. There were 2 common responses.

1. No fees
2. "I can trade between stocks and crypto without transferring funds."

*Edit - they already have robinhood accounts for stocks.

So... just found this:

" Cryptocurrency prices are notoriously volatile. To counter that, Robinhood Crypto gives users an estimated price, and once users confirm a buy or sell order, they scan a gamut of trading venues, exchanges and market centers to find the lowest offer, TechCrunch explained. To account for wild price fluctuations, the service puts a 'collar' around your order; If it can't find a price within this margin, it will wait until one surfaces to execute your order or inform you."

Sounds like an awful lot of work for no fees being charged.

Will they offer crypto withdrawals?  Or just rehypothecate with abandon, like stocks?
1150  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 10:45:38 PM
ASSLESS CHAPS

ASSLESS CHAPS

ASSLESS CHAPS

IF THEY ARE NOT ASSLESS THEY ARE NOT CHAPS

Though it could lead to a chapped ass...
1151  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 10:32:45 PM
This is clearly a scam - zero commission? Yeah right. I guarantee you that they will front-run your order.



They are only doing BTC and ETH atm. With the size of the average Robinhood account being under $1000, I don’t think front running will do much good.

I don’t use Robinhood but I get the impression they are more reputable than Coinbase. 

Ya, after reading that their target audience is <$1000 deposit range, I lost interest.  That and the fact that they are reserved to a handful of US states.  Good for those able to use it, if getting small amounts for purchases is the goal.  For investment, it seems... odd.
1152  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: January 25, 2018, 10:21:59 PM
fast and secure money transfer is the most important feature. Privacy is important. Buy monero,mine monero. win and win.

Privacy is important.  You cannot have secure without private IMO, so it is not really a separate thing.  Obscurity is perhaps the best first line of security.
1153  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: January 25, 2018, 10:16:38 PM
A good read....

It was a good read, he may want to swap out fight with deter though. I love it when a good read diasy chains me to another! Smiley

https://www.reddit.com/r/Monero/comments/7fqrse/hypothetical_us_gov_makes_xmr_illegal_now_what/

Quote
blockchain technology is so detrimental to power and control that it jeopardizes the very existence of government.

QFT!
Taxes are oft cited as a reason to ban private money.  Are not taxes the lesser part of government 'funding' these days?  Don't they just - print/borrow/steal whatever its called this week - far more than they collect?  Especially if you count the infrastructure cost to make and enforce those collections?  Maybe US specific, but I'm thinking that taxes are more of a control mechanism than an income.  Perhaps that is the basis of the resulting detriment to power and control.  Taxes, like terrorism and 'the children' - just another ruse.
1154  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: January 25, 2018, 09:45:47 PM
A good read.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Monero/comments/7szhn3/empowering_people_through_privacy/

Quote
Empowering people through privacy (self.Monero)

 by oneoffephemeral

[Note that before posting it here I was looking for the official forum, but since it seemed to contain mainly topics related to developement I decided to give reddit a shot.]

Recently, I started looking into cryptocurrencies and, for mainly ideological reasons, discovered Monero. Since the concept of privacy is something that keeps me busy for quite some time now and that it seems to be an important part for the Monero project, I wanted to share some thoughts.

Problem: the narrative

Most of today’s discussions revolving around privacy are misguided. This can be explained by a presupposition trigger called “I’ve got nothing to hide”. A simple example:

You need to go to a public toilet and lock the door. Why? We all know what you’re doing in there. You’ve got nothing to hide.
A drug dealer goes to a public toilet and locks the door. Why? Chances are that he actually has something to hide.
While the end result may be the same (a locked door in a public place), the motivations for doing so are very different and can be summarized in two words: privacy and secrecy.

False dichotomies

When discussions initially intended to debate privacy end up being about secrecy, we face another implicit assumption: part of our governments’ job is to protect the public (e.g. by fighting crime). Since we are part of the public we would want for our governments to be able to do their job. Unfortunately for us, we end up feeling guilty about wanting to take a shit in private because in doing so we could hinder our governments to fight crime. They need to be sure that the drug dealer is using the public toilet for its intended purpose. Huge dilemma:

Government wants to fight crime
Secrecy helps criminals
The end result of privacy is identical to the one of secrecy
Conclusion: Privacy helps criminals or “We’ll have to get used to letting the entire world watch us taking a shit because we don’t want anyone to think that we are the bad guys.”

Is secrecy, and by extension privacy, bad?

At this point we’ve established the following:

secrecy is a tool used by criminals to cheat and deceive
privacy is a tool used to shit in peace + the “benefits” of secrecy as a side effect
Now, if we don’t want someone to come to our house and beat us up, it seems plausible to try and make sure that this someone doesn’t find out where we live. If our address was private we could actually choose to keep it a secret, thus making it difficult for that someone to come to our house in the first place. This in turn broadens the definition for both privacy and secrecy as follows:

privacy is a tool that can be used to enable secrecy
secrecy is a tool that can be used to protect ourselves
This leads to the situation that secrecy and privacy have conflicting use cases if we frame the discussion using simple binary thinking such as good vs. bad. “Now, this doesn’t seem to be that unusual...” thinks the guy who just bought a new knife to cut his steak before moving on to stabbing his annoying wife. And he’s right. It isn’t…

The real question is: who are we?

For argument’s sake, let’s be a “criminal” job applicant. Our goal is simple: we want to beat our competition for a given job. We decide to hack into their computers and gather as much information as possible. Knowing their weaknesses and strengths allows us to emphasize our strengths in ways that go beyond the scope of this small thought experiment, but let’s just say: we may find ourselves at a bit of an advantage.

Now, let’s be “criminal” politicians in a democracy with anyone being a potential competitor (democracy, right?) and hack into their computers and...wait a minute! Are we idiots? Why be “criminal” and bother with hacking at all? We’re politicians, let’s try and convince people to share their information willingly. How could we do that?

So we’re politicians and our mission is to get the upper hand over our potential opponents (which could be anyone in a democracy, but for simplicity’s sake let’s call them: the public) by increasing our knowledge about them. Unfortunately, the public’s not only comprised of idiots and asking them to share information about things they’d rather not share will prove to be difficult. After all, they don’t want us to go over to their house and beat them up (since we’re politicians we know better and would simply send someone else to do the job anyways.).

There are two things that really work to our advantage here:

The conflicting definitions for secrecy and privacy
The public’s perception of privacy
Being able to choose the same terms for different use cases allows us to obfuscate what we really want to achieve. Basically, we can shape how the public thinks by setting the stage with terms they believe to fully understand, leading them to engage in our discussion without questioning our motives for initiating it in the first place. After all, they trust that they understand a seemingly simple word that is part of their basic vocabulary.

Now, the trick is that when asked about privacy, people don’t think about taking a shit in peace, but rather about the locked door. This makes it virtually impossible for them to distinguish between privacy and secrecy and, by extension, between a space “without other people” and a space “protecting us against other people”. The former works without the latter, but the latter depends on the former. Of course, we don’t want them to think that secrecy can be beneficial, so we just add a drug dealer into the mix and we shift their focus from “the knife to cut the steak” [useful] to “the knife to stab the wife” [devious]. As long as people think

privacy = locking the door when doing harmless things
secrecy = locking the door when trying do hide “harmful” activity
we should easily be able to switch off their sense of self-protection at will.

But what if we’re the good guys and bad people want to hurt us? Short answer: we’re not the good guys. In fact, sometimes we are the good guys and need protection, but sometimes we are the bad guys and others need protection against us. Being aware of that can be a bit difficult at times.

In the context of Monero/cryptocurrency

Because of the unpredictable nature of a human being it makes sense to enable protection for all by default. If we can agree that privacy enables protection in form of secrecy, a project like Monero makes sense to me. While researching Monero or what is intended as a privacy-focused project, I ended up asking myself the question: doesn’t that look like the perfect example to try and make illegal? The first thing that came to mind was that a tax system as we know it (at least in my area) would be under serious threat. But the truth is: it should be. It is inefficient, leads to corruption and transparency doesn’t work. Following the money is impossible and even when documents are released they don’t make any sense to anyone who wasn’t somehow directly involved in the process (which means the majority of the public).

One user in this thread suggested that governments should have to crowd source every project. I came to the same conclusion. I have a feeling that we live in a system in which we are forced to throw money at our governments simply because it is assumed that we should trust them to do the right thing...which seems awfully hard to me if they collect money regardless of what they actually accomplish (or not). Changing the people working for the system won't solve anything, but changing the system itself could be pretty exciting. No idea whether this will be possible with something like Monero, but reading about the project seems at least to fire up some of my dormant neurones...
1155  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 25, 2018, 10:41:45 AM
Too bad that no big social media campaigns about monero,if we have some decent social media campaigns 2018 is the year of monero ,i personally think next to bitcoin the only coin next to it is monero,(maybe ethereum and monero might share the 2nd place but not ripple or anything)

What's stopping you?

I already carry signature in a popular forum ,spreading news about monero,as a individual person thats what i can do ,but if monero team spends money on further social media campaigns and motivating people who post in forums and social media it will be great

If you envision something useful, eg. campaign or incentive or whatever, propose it for funding.  If the community thinks its a good idea, it will get funded.
1156  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 25, 2018, 10:13:31 AM
Too bad that no big social media campaigns about monero,if we have some decent social media campaigns 2018 is the year of monero ,i personally think next to bitcoin the only coin next to it is monero,(maybe ethereum and monero might share the 2nd place but not ripple or anything)

What's stopping you?
1157  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 10:02:52 AM
,
I gave you 2 merit points.  I hereby declare this a merit Ponzi scheme.

JJG is a merit source, so maybe he'll be able to pay you 1% daily interest on that merit.  Smiley (But seriously, don't actually...)
quietly unignores JJG

Think of your dignity, man!
1158  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - April 2013 on: January 25, 2018, 04:10:31 AM
I do not understand why people believe this

And may god have mercy on your soul.
1159  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2018, 04:09:35 AM
BTC goes where?

I award you no points...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQCU36pkH7c
1160  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 24, 2018, 09:49:42 PM
The TPP is back. 

Fuck these guys.

Yeah, WTF.  Like a virus.

How's that swamp draining going?

Seems to be good.  At lest Trump got you out of THAT mess.
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