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Question: When will bitcoin reach the top of this bull market (i.e. when will it moon)?
Topped at $13,880 in June - 12 (7.6%)
H2 2019 - 16 (10.2%)
H1 2020 - 30 (19.1%)
H2 2020 - 28 (17.8%)
H1 2021 - 12 (7.6%)
H2 2021 - 31 (19.7%)
H1 2022 - 6 (3.8%)
H2 2022 - 4 (2.5%)
H1 2023 - 0 (0%)
H2 2023 - 3 (1.9%)
2024 or Later - 15 (9.6%)
Total Voters: 157

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21293826 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (102 posts by 19 users deleted.)
HairyMaclairy
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January 20, 2018, 02:53:28 AM

You are very gracious.  

In other news I would like to express my disappointment at the rising BTC price. I have put a lot of effort into a bear market strategy over the past week that doesn’t require shorting and am now ready to go.  And the bloody price is rising and I’m twiddling my thumbs!  

Of course I’m long BTC and delighted but I really did want to test it out....
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Satoshi is no god. He did not come down from the mountain with 10 golden rules engraved in stone for no one to question.
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January 20, 2018, 02:54:09 AM

https://twitter.com/cryptovenus/status/954483855364378624

Interesting retweet type thing. Bitmain is off abroad with a vengeance. I wonder where they'll end up fully spreading to.
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January 20, 2018, 03:00:08 AM

with a dark theme and korea-nix option.

What's not to like?

and Hairy, you are good as far as I'm concerned
JayJuanGee
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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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January 20, 2018, 03:18:48 AM

...and bitcoin was NOT doing what it should be doing...blah blah blah..

In other words... good enough for me to conclude that either you have been BIG BLOCKER brainwashed or you are one of those nutjobs...  Tongue Tongue

...


The significance of Cathy Newman is?

putting words in my mouth


I disagree.   Sometimes when there is a dialogue back and forth, it can take a few back and forths, and maybe even some passion or some misunderstandings before the positions are clarified, and perhaps I attributed too much to your statements, but I don't think so, and I see no reason to back down under the current conditions, since it seems that you mostly have refused to clarify or explain what you were attempting to assert, and instead just backed away.
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January 20, 2018, 03:32:14 AM

The bottleneck in the 100-120bytes per sat has cleared up in the mempool. That is good news. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h
jojo69
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January 20, 2018, 03:37:00 AM

Bitcoin is doing precisely what it is supposed to do; secure my, and your, and everyone here's wealth in a secure, decentralized, deflationary vehicle...I have never said anything other.

It is NOT, in its current form, a suitable, day to day, means of exchange, and there is a vacuum, and an opportunity.

Will that opportunity be picked up by the lightening network?  Perhaps...if it is ready soon, perhaps it will, if not that opportunity will fall to a competitor.
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January 20, 2018, 03:49:16 AM

You are very gracious.  

In other news I would like to express my disappointment at the rising BTC price. I have put a lot of effort into a bear market strategy over the past week that doesn’t require shorting and am now ready to go.  And the bloody price is rising and I’m twiddling my thumbs!  

Of course I’m long BTC and delighted but I really did want to test it out....

Dont mess with the honey badger..you know better! Wink
HairyMaclairy
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January 20, 2018, 03:52:10 AM

Bitcoin is doing precisely what it is supposed to do; secure my, and your, and everyone here's wealth in a secure, decentralized, deflationary vehicle...I have never said anything other.

It is NOT, in its current form, a suitable, day to day, means of exchange, and there is a vacuum, and an opportunity.

Will that opportunity be picked up by the lightening network?  Perhaps...if it is ready soon, perhaps it will, if not that opportunity will fall to a competitor.

Bitcoin has the development effort behind it. It is going to smash it out of the park this year.
the artful bodger
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January 20, 2018, 03:52:46 AM

https://twitter.com/cryptovenus/status/954483855364378624

Interesting retweet type thing. Bitmain is off abroad with a vengeance. I wonder where they'll end up fully spreading to.

Probably somewhere freezing cold like the North pole.
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January 20, 2018, 03:54:43 AM

Bitcoin has the development effort behind it. It is going to smash it out of the park this year.

I certainly hope so
the artful bodger
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January 20, 2018, 03:55:31 AM

The bottleneck in the 100-120bytes per sat has cleared up in the mempool. That is good news. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h


Is that why the ideal fast confirmations fee bitcoinfees.earn.com recommends has dropped by 70 satoshis/byte?
Torque
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January 20, 2018, 04:11:30 AM

Bitcoin has the development effort behind it. It is going to smash it out of the park this year.

I certainly hope so

Oh no we can't have that. Otherwise what will the BCash and shitcoin shills troll us with?
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January 20, 2018, 04:24:33 AM

The bottleneck in the 100-120bytes per sat has cleared up in the mempool. That is good news. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h


Is that why the ideal fast confirmations fee bitcoinfees.earn.com recommends has dropped by 70 satoshis/byte?

Yes, most definitely.
the artful bodger
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January 20, 2018, 04:28:18 AM

The bottleneck in the 100-120bytes per sat has cleared up in the mempool. That is good news. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h


Is that why the ideal fast confirmations fee bitcoinfees.earn.com recommends has dropped by 70 satoshis/byte?

Yes, most definitely.

Is there any particular reason the bottleneck in the 100-120 bytes per sat range has cleared up?

Bitcoinfees.earn.com has dropped its recommended fee further down to 390 satoshis/byte since my last post.
HairyMaclairy
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January 20, 2018, 04:29:04 AM

Bitcoin has the development effort behind it. It is going to smash it out of the park this year.

I certainly hope so

Oh no we can't have that. Otherwise what will the BCash and shitcoin shills troll us with?

Competition between second layer solutions could be robust.
HairyMaclairy
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January 20, 2018, 04:31:57 AM

The bottleneck in the 100-120bytes per sat has cleared up in the mempool. That is good news. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h


Is that why the ideal fast confirmations fee bitcoinfees.earn.com recommends has dropped by 70 satoshis/byte?

Yes, most definitely.

Is there any particular reason the bottleneck in the 100-120 bytes per sat range has cleared up?

Bitcoinfees.earn.com has dropped its recommended fee further down to 390 satoshis/byte since my last post.

Given that 140 sats is consistently clearing, 390 sats is grossly overpaying. You really need to judge your own fees.  Just pick a level that is currently consistently clearing. I  would be very comfortable with getting into the next block with 195 sats right now.

the artful bodger
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January 20, 2018, 04:39:34 AM

The bottleneck in the 100-120bytes per sat has cleared up in the mempool. That is good news. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h


Is that why the ideal fast confirmations fee bitcoinfees.earn.com recommends has dropped by 70 satoshis/byte?

Yes, most definitely.

Is there any particular reason the bottleneck in the 100-120 bytes per sat range has cleared up?

Bitcoinfees.earn.com has dropped its recommended fee further down to 390 satoshis/byte since my last post.

Given that 140 sats is consistently clearing, 390 sats is grossly overpaying. You really need to judge your own fees.  Just pick a level that is currently consistently clearing. I  would be very comfortable with getting into the next block with 195 sats right now.



That website's recommended fee is extremely high because it's guaranteed to get into the next block. It gives a whole range of fees with probabilities of confirmation times.

Sometimes confirmation is so urgent I am prepared grossly overpay to guarantee a place in the next block. If it's not urgent I go for one of the cheaper lower probability fees.
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January 20, 2018, 04:41:35 AM

The bottleneck in the 100-120bytes per sat has cleared up in the mempool. That is good news. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h


Is that why the ideal fast confirmations fee bitcoinfees.earn.com recommends has dropped by 70 satoshis/byte?

Yes, most definitely.

Is there any particular reason the bottleneck in the 100-120 bytes per sat range has cleared up?

Bitcoinfees.earn.com has dropped its recommended fee further down to 390 satoshis/byte since my last post.

Given that 140 sats is consistently clearing, 390 sats is grossly overpaying. You really need to judge your own fees.  Just pick a level that is currently consistently clearing. I  would be very comfortable with getting into the next block with 195 sats right now.



Yes, I typically use this web page to pick my own fee. https://dedi.jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/more/#24h Only risk is if suddenly there is a massive influx of transactions, or the network experiences some bad luck. You never know when someone may decide to "stress test" the Bitcoin Mempool.
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January 20, 2018, 04:51:38 AM

https://twitter.com/cryptovenus/status/954483855364378624

Interesting retweet type thing. Bitmain is off abroad with a vengeance. I wonder where they'll end up fully spreading to.
Why stay in a country that doesn't want you.
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January 20, 2018, 04:58:45 AM

You are very gracious.  

In other news I would like to express my disappointment at the rising BTC price. I have put a lot of effort into a bear market strategy over the past week that doesn’t require shorting and am now ready to go.  And the bloody price is rising and I’m twiddling my thumbs!  

Of course I’m long BTC and delighted but I really did want to test it out....

Keep jinxing your strategy Cheesy
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