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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 919483 times)
Bassica
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October 06, 2015, 05:17:08 PM
 #3841

I will consider escape from range lock when price break up range lock  Grin I have no PC around, this is upper line of horizontal trend posted here many times. It's around $320

So until there I do yawn

Thanks.

What are the odds for us breaking 320 in the current rally, you'd say?

Is there anything you can say about a timeframe on that happening (if ever).

Also, any target for this pump? Will it be another classic buy the rumour, buy the news, sell the launch?
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Afrikoin
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October 06, 2015, 06:13:58 PM
 #3842

I will consider escape from range lock when price break up range lock  Grin I have no PC around, this is upper line of horizontal trend posted here many times. It's around $320

So until there I do yawn

Thanks.

What are the odds for us breaking 320 in the current rally, you'd say?

Is there anything you can say about a timeframe on that happening (if ever).

Also, any target for this pump? Will it be another classic buy the rumour, buy the news, sell the launch?

$ 270 max. No higher



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masterluc
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October 11, 2015, 02:13:47 PM
 #3843

Dancing around daily 200 sma, which is almost horizontal. I will not be surprised if move around will continue after break up instead of shooting up/down.


Fatman3001
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October 11, 2015, 04:47:56 PM
 #3844

thx luc, much appreciated

"I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." - Robert Metcalfe, 1995
Afrikoin
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October 11, 2015, 06:24:37 PM
 #3845

Dancing around daily 200 sma, which is almost horizontal. I will not be surprised if move around will continue after break up instead of shooting up/down.



makes sense. more so since this zone $ 265 - $275 is significant resistance.

If i was a whale looking to pull in more bulls, that is a nice zone to haul in a herd of them, before shooting down, surprise, surprise




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Fatman3001
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October 11, 2015, 06:47:50 PM
 #3846

Dancing around daily 200 sma, which is almost horizontal. I will not be surprised if move around will continue after break up instead of shooting up/down.



makes sense. more so since this zone $ 265 - $275 is significant resistance.

If i was a whale looking to pull in more bulls, that is a nice zone to haul in a herd of them, before shooting down, surprise, surprise



And watch them drop to $230. But at what cost? And risk? P&D is getting expensive in Bitcoinland.

"I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." - Robert Metcalfe, 1995
fortif78
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October 11, 2015, 07:40:06 PM
 #3847

And watch them drop to $230. But at what cost? And risk? P&D is getting expensive in Bitcoinland.

Uh, wut?
Price movement isn't constantly synonymous with either a pump or a dump. This is a market playing itself out, every move up or down isn't orchestrated by a band of deep pockets artificially raising or dropping the price.

"In the land of the blind, the man with one eye is king."
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October 11, 2015, 07:54:29 PM
 #3848

Dancing around daily 200 sma, which is almost horizontal. I will not be surprised if move around will continue after break up instead of shooting up/down.

img]http://i.imgur.com/FJD1kiv.png[/img]

Can anyone decipher this for me? Grin Are you saying you think we'll go continue to go sideways after a slight break up?
Afrikoin
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October 11, 2015, 07:57:08 PM
 #3849

Dancing around daily 200 sma, which is almost horizontal. I will not be surprised if move around will continue after break up instead of shooting up/down.

img]http://i.imgur.com/FJD1kiv.png[/img]

Can anyone decipher this for me? Grin Are you saying you think we'll go continue to go sideways after a slight break up?

sideways. +/-



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Fatman3001
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October 11, 2015, 08:06:06 PM
 #3850

Dancing around daily 200 sma, which is almost horizontal. I will not be surprised if move around will continue after break up instead of shooting up/down.


makes sense. more so since this zone $ 265 - $275 is significant resistance.

If i was a whale looking to pull in more bulls, that is a nice zone to haul in a herd of them, before shooting down, surprise, surprise


And watch them drop to $230. But at what cost? And risk? P&D is getting expensive in Bitcoinland.

Uh, wut?
Price movement isn't constantly synonymous with either a pump or a dump. This is a market playing itself out, every move up or down isn't orchestrated by a band of deep pockets artificially raising or dropping the price.

I'm sorry if I read him wrong, but I thought that was what he meant.

"I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." - Robert Metcalfe, 1995
Afrikoin
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October 11, 2015, 08:12:11 PM
 #3851

Dancing around daily 200 sma, which is almost horizontal. I will not be surprised if move around will continue after break up instead of shooting up/down.


makes sense. more so since this zone $ 265 - $275 is significant resistance.

If i was a whale looking to pull in more bulls, that is a nice zone to haul in a herd of them, before shooting down, surprise, surprise


And watch them drop to $230. But at what cost? And risk? P&D is getting expensive in Bitcoinland.

Uh, wut?
Price movement isn't constantly synonymous with either a pump or a dump. This is a market playing itself out, every move up or down isn't orchestrated by a band of deep pockets artificially raising or dropping the price.

I'm sorry if I read him wrong, but I thought that was what he meant.

yes, i that is what i meant, as a dig at people who attribute 'whales' for  market cycles.



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masterluc
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October 16, 2015, 10:51:44 AM
 #3852

Notice that $270 would be only 61.8% retracement of recent plunge from 318 to 198 and almost 100% of first bounce 198 - 245. So currently nothing exceptional in this rise until ~270 will not be terminal.

If price will continue to rise above 270, this will be interesting.


Fatman3001
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October 16, 2015, 11:27:57 AM
 #3853

thx luc,

if only this forum had a like button...

"I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse." - Robert Metcalfe, 1995
oda.krell
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October 16, 2015, 11:47:10 AM
 #3854

thx luc,

if only this forum had a like button...

It sort of does, but even better actually Tongue


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masterluc
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October 16, 2015, 12:10:38 PM
 #3855

Some status reports.

The main near-horizontal trend line. Not even in middle.



Yearly wvap and deviations. Price dancing around wvap




Weekly picture. Healthy enough - bullish reversal candle + return to positive BB + MACD bullish hook.



Major bearish log trend. Broken. Retested. Escaped.



PnF - nothing interesting, except the whole YTD fits into this small eclipse lol (low volatility)



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October 16, 2015, 01:21:59 PM
 #3856

Very cool stuff as always!

I agree with 270s and I also see a top (if really bullish) around 330 as you depict in the main near-horizontal trend line.

After that, no clue from me...
gotmilk_
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October 16, 2015, 02:41:26 PM
 #3857

I'm a bit worried because RSI is in highly in overbought area. It is close to overbought even on daily. So maybe a small correction could be in place?

Do you agree that there is a huge gap between crypto world and traditional world.. We're launching an ICO that will change this: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2212650.msg22292459#msg22292459
BTCtrader71
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October 16, 2015, 07:42:45 PM
 #3858

Could we be on the upswing of the second shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern spanning most of 2015?

First shoulder peaked at about $300 in early March 2015.

Head peaked at about $312 in July 2015.

Expectation of peak of second shoulder at around $300 in November.


(I posted this same comment just now in chessnut's thread - these are the two threads that I find the most useful in terms of learning EW. My apologies if this is considered bad etiquette  Roll Eyes .)

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Dilla
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October 16, 2015, 07:46:07 PM
 #3859

3rd time's the charm?
Let's hope we break the cycle and push through $300
BTCtrader71
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October 16, 2015, 07:52:57 PM
 #3860

Could we be on the upswing of the second shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern spanning most of 2015?

First shoulder peaked at about $300 in early March 2015.

Head peaked at about $312 in July 2015.

Expectation of peak of second shoulder at around $300 in November.


[reading investopedia ...]

Or perhaps an inverse head and shoulders marking the reversal of the downtrend from $1200.

Shoulder #1 trough either $170 in january 2015, or $212 in February.

Head trough around $220 somewhere in april-may-june.

Shoulder #2 trough in the 190s in august.

Either way we would be on target for about $300 in another month or so. If an inverse head and shoulders, then we begin the trip to da moon.

EDIT: By the above inverse head and shoulders interpretation, the head would be smaller than the shoulders which I know is not how it's supposed to be. But not every pattern is a perfect pattern, right?

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